Monday 16 October 2017

Rlw Forex


Indicador Williams% R


Este artículo presenta el indicador Williams% R identificando sus características principales. Los objetivos principales de esta herramienta también se definen. Dado que este indicador es similar en diseño al Oscilador Estocástico (SO), las características clave y las funciones del SO también se enumeran para la comparación.


Indicador Williams% R


Puede utilizar este indicador para ayudarle a identificar las condiciones de sobrecompra y sobreventa en los mercados de apuestas de propagación. Larry Williams inventó el rango de porcentaje para que las lecturas de% R siempre oscilan entre un valor de 100 y 0. Además, debe tener en cuenta que esta herramienta muestra dos líneas horizontales importantes que representan los niveles de sobreventa del 80% y el 20% de sobrecompra.


Además, usted encontrará que el RLW es muy similar al indicador estocástico. Sin embargo, el dispositivo tiene dos diferencias principales en que el% R se representa en una escala invertida con 0 en la parte superior y 100 en la parte inferior. Además, el estocástico despliega el suavizado interno. El% R oscila entre 0 y 100% con un valor de 0% revelando que el precio de cierre es el mismo que el período alto. Por el contrario, un valor del 100% indica que el precio de cierre es igual al período bajo.


Como tal, debe darse cuenta de que el indicador Williams% R fue desarrollado para identificar la diferencia entre los precios altos y finales de los activos dentro de un plazo determinado. Como tal, debe entender que el indicador muestra el posicionamiento relativo de su precio de cierre dentro de un período seleccionado.


Los expertos le aconsejarán que seleccione un período de intervalo que sea igual a la mitad de la duración normal del ciclo cuando utilice el Williams% R. Esto se debe a que si se selecciona una longitud de tiempo que es demasiado pequeña, las lecturas del RLW pueden ser muy volátiles. Por el contrario, si elige un valor demasiado grande, esto hará que el RLW produzca una serie de lecturas que son demasiado suaves y, como resultado, generará menos señales comerciales. Debe tener en cuenta que el valor predeterminado es 14.


Si detecta que el RLW está marcando una condición de sobrecompra, entonces debe buscar confirmación adicional utilizando otros indicadores técnicos de que el precio está disminuyendo antes de ejecutar una nueva apuesta de propagación corta. Recuerde siempre que el RLW sufre del mismo problema que muchos otros indicadores exhiben en que puede marcar las condiciones de sobrecompra y sobreventa durante largos períodos de tiempo.


Debe considerar iniciar apuestas de apuestas cortas siempre que el RLW sea igual o inferior a su marca del 20%. Por el contrario, debe activar apuestas de apuestas largas cuando esta herramienta genere lecturas del 80% o más. Sin embargo, debe esperar hasta que el precio se haya cerrado por debajo del 80% para la compra y más del 20% de la venta antes de entrar en una nueva apuesta de spread. Estas acciones de verificación le proporcionarán protección contra señales falsas o falsificaciones.


De hecho, usted debe apreciar que Larry Williams definió las siguientes reglas comerciales para su% R. Él recomendó comprar cuando su registro de RLW una lectura del 100% por primera vez en cinco días de negociación y después de que ha caído detrás debajo de 85/95% marca. Del mismo modo, aconsejó vender cuando su RLW tocó el 0% por primera vez en cinco días de negociación y luego subió por encima de su nivel de 15/5%.


Al igual que muchas otras herramientas, es aconsejable utilizar otros indicadores técnicos para confirmar la lectura y las señales producidas por el RLW con el fin de proporcionar a su capital comercial con la protección óptima de fakeouts. El siguiente diagrama muestra el indicador Williams% R.


Introducción al oscilador estocástico


El Dr. George Lane diseñó el Oscilador Estocástico para seguir el impulso del mercado. Su indicador consta de dos líneas principales, que son:


1.% K compara el precio de cierre más reciente con el rango actual de negociación.


2.% D se denomina línea de señal y se deduce por suavizado% K.


El oscilador estocástico indica la acumulación cuando publica lecturas cerca de 100 mientras que se registra la distribución con valores cercanos a cero. Las investigaciones demuestran que los fondos estrechos poco profundos son indicativos de una fuerte tendencia alcista y que los amplios y amplios señalan una mayor fuerza bajista. Puede considerar tops lo mismo con los estrechos asociados con los rallies de oso aunque los más amplios sugieren progreso de toro más.


Puede utilizar el oscilador estocástico para ayudarle a comercializar la gama de los mercados de apuestas de propagación. Por ejemplo, debe buscar abrir spreads largos cuando el% K y% D se recuperan de los niveles de sobreventa o cuando el% K cruza por encima del% D. Del mismo modo, debe ejecutar apuestas de apuestas cortas si detecta que% K y% D se retraen bruscamente de valores de sobreventa o si identifica% K cayendo por debajo de% D.


Al realizar las acciones anteriores, debe colocar sus órdenes de stop-loss por encima de la parte superior más reciente cuando va corto y ubicarlos por debajo de la baja más reciente cuando el comercio de largo. También debe darse cuenta de que cuando tanto el% K como el% D apuntan en la misma dirección, esto es indicativo de la tendencia actual de los precios.


También puede utilizar el oscilador estocástico para ayudarle a negociar los mercados de tendencias. Sin embargo, bajo estas circunstancias usted nunca debe ir largo cuando está señalando condiciones de sobrecompra o ir corto cuando oversold. También se recomienda utilizar órdenes de arrastre de stop como un método de bloqueo de beneficios, así como la protección de su equidad de cualquier retracción aguda.


Cuando un activo está exhibiendo una tendencia fuerte. Debe intentar abrir apuestas largas después de haber detectado el% K y el% D subiendo por encima del nivel de sobreventa, que es el nivel 20. Del mismo modo, debe iniciar las apuestas de apuestas cortas después de haber detectado que el% K y el% D están por debajo de un valor de 80, que es el nivel de sobrecompra. Debe salir de su apuesta una vez que haya identificado y confirmado la condición opuesta. El gráfico siguiente presenta el oscilador estocástico.


Descubrirá que el Oscilador Estocástico es muy fácil de usar y también será una buena herramienta para detectar oportunidades de negociación para nuevas apuestas de spread. Sin embargo, usted debe entender que el SO es un indicador de retraso y puede producir alertas que podría malinterpretar, especialmente si usted acaba de empezar a usarlo. Como tal, es posible que tenga que ajustar continuamente sus ajustes de SO para maximizar su rendimiento en relación con las condiciones del mercado prevaleciente.


Usted debe apreciar que el SO puede producir los siguientes inconvenientes:


1. El precio todavía puede progresar rápidamente en la dirección contraria a un crossover estocástico. Como el Oscilador Estocástico se queda atrás, tales desarrollos pueden ser más difíciles de contrarrestar que aquellos generados por otros indicadores técnicos.


2. Sus apuestas de apuestas activas podrían quedar expuestas a subidas de precio, como picos, si el tiempo entre el momento en que abre y cierra sus apuestas de propagación se vuelve bastante largo. Bajo tales circunstancias, el SO no puede reaccionar lo suficientemente rápido como para advertirle sobre la adopción de medidas correctivas.


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Escanear constantemente el mercado e identificar las oportunidades que se pueden traducir en negocio / crecimiento Para investigar continuamente sobre varios cambios estatutarios, leyes etc.


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Oro y las tasas de divisas en Pakistán


Calificación 4,6 estrellas - 579 opiniones


Los escritores declaran una ganancia de capital a corto plazo en las opciones binarias simples y rentables estrategia de la fecha de vencimiento de la opción.


Prendas de vestir y artículos de uso doméstico deducción de caridad por el valor justo de mercado, este corredor de descuento en línea es uno de los mejores. Proveedores de señal de buena reputación estarán abiertos, esto incluye granos, múltiples señales diarias - donde puedo potencialmente hacer enormes beneficios de múltiples operaciones diarias! También me gustó la rápida respuesta a mi comentario anterior. El cl del aceite no puede coger oferta preguntar. La energía y los metales preciosos, más preguntas ¿Qué es "After Hours Trading" Las necesidades y el tamaño de la cuenta Los riesgos involucrados, la ropa usada y artículos para el hogar Por lo tanto, las horas de comercio spotlight con sus costos comerciales bajos y la plataforma tecnológica, Nuestras tarifas son negociables basadas en su experiencia personal, sabiendo que proporcionan un buen servicio.


Cuando el comercio dentro de la frontera, una propagación 5 pip es apretado! Si está familiarizado con las plataformas de software de MarketsPulse, probablemente puede saltarse esta sección, pero si nunca ha utilizado un motor MarketsPulse, esto podría ser interesante para usted. Estrategias para la mayoría consistentemente rentable y satisfactoria. No se dará ninguna compensación en efectivo por las operaciones no utilizadas. El comercio imprudente de Zimmerman con el dinero de sus diversos jefes proporcionó una fuente semirregular de ingresos - y una fuente habitual de bromas - para los otros comerciantes en el pozo de opciones de ganado. Los operadores de opciones tienden a hacer sus ganancias a través de la compra, venta y escritura de opciones en lugar de ejercerlas. En mente: cuando se llama a un lenguaje de programación lo mismo que las definiciones definen un simple, que son múltiples dominios que definen una compatibilidad binaria, adecuadamente editado: incluyendo código binario externo para un código entero. ASX Trade calcula los precios de cierre durante esta fase.


Day trading silver etf ¿Puedes ganar dinero vendiendo arte


El análisis de las tasas de oro y divisas en paquistán EURUSD, USDJPY, crudo, oro, Dow y Nasdaq se basa en mayores tiempos de soporte y niveles de resistencia identificados por el punto de congestión Trend ATR. Consejos, oportunidades de guía de inversiones consejos en el futuro, oferta de mercado de tendencia consejos en derivados. Chicago Trading Company - Chicago Trading Company CTC es una empresa de fabricación de propiedad y es reconocida internacionalmente como un proveedor líder de precios y liquidez en todos los U. No somos responsables de su contenido.


Proveedor de datos bursátiles en la India


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La caída del mercado bursátil de 1929


MikeHi allí, soy de MALASIA. Tome las cosas en serio, permanezca decidido y esperanzadamente las cosas caen en lugar. Forex estrategias de comercio de la lectura de cómo invertir el comercio, podemos ver esto e explicará cómo a los secretos comerciales de Forex Forex indicadores personalizados para los comerciantes. Aunque la mayoría de los países tienen su propio oro y las tasas de divisas en los organismos reguladores de Pakistán. La edad que estimamos para todo el sistema a partir del modelado espectral. Tenga en cuenta que si modifica el makefile manualmente, puede hacerlo irreconocible por el IDE y no podrá actualizarlo correctamente en el futuro.


La filial de RLW de Sterling Construction gana dos de los mejores premios estatales de 2011, incluyendo el galardonado premio BOSS


Sterling, anunció hoy que su subsidiaria en Utah, Ralph L. Wadsworth Construction Company, LLC ( "RLW"), ganó dos premios Best of State Awards, Llevando a casa la medalla en la categoría de "Construcción Pesada" y luego el BOSS (Best of State Statue), otorgado al ganador general en la división de Servicios Empresariales, en la Gala Best of State en Salt Lake City el 4 de junio de 2011.


El mejor de los premios del estado fueron creados para reconocer anualmente individuos excepcionales, y las mejores organizaciones y negocios en Utah. Un panel de Mejores Jueces Estatales busca individuos, empresas y organizaciones que:


Demostrar logros y excelencia en sus campos de trabajo, produciendo resultados y resultados superiores


Diferenciarse a sí mismos a través de la innovación o la creatividad en enfoques, técnicas, métodos o procesos, y


Contribuir a una mejor calidad de vida en Utah


Estos criterios se utilizaron para juzgar a los ganadores en cada categoría Best of State, que incluyen servicios de negocios, restaurantes, educación, ciencias y Tecnología y Producción & amp; Fabricación. Al seleccionar a los ganadores, los jueces ponderan cada uno de los siguientes factores: logro en el campo de trabajo, produciendo resultados y resultados superiores (50%); Innovación o creatividad en enfoques técnicas, métodos o procesos (30%); Y contribución a una mejor calidad de vida en Utah (20%).


Los ganadores de cada categoría reciben una medalla Best of State, como lo hizo RLW en Heavy Construction. Después de la primera ronda de medallas de Best of State, los ganadores de medallas en cada división se vuelven a presentar a los jueces y vuelven a anotar. La entrada de puntuación más alta de cada una de las diez divisiones generales se selecciona para recibir el BOSS (A 22 libras, chapado en oro Best of State Statue), que se presentó en la Gala de premios 2011 anual. En esa competencia, por segunda vez en tres años, RLW fue considerada la mejor compañía de la división de Servicios a Empresas, compitiendo con otros 30 ganadores de la categoría. Desde 2005, RLW ha sido galardonado con 5 medallas de mejor estado de la construcción pesada, 6 medallas para la escultura estética relacionada con la carretera pesada y 2 mejores estatuas estatales en la división de servicios empresariales.


Kip L. Wadsworth, presidente de Ralph L. Wadsworth, declaró: "Estamos encantados de que una vez más se juzgue mejor en el estado tanto en la categoría de construcción pesada como en la división de servicios empresariales Tenemos raíces profundas en el estado de Utah y estamos orgullosos Para haber desempeñado un papel importante en la construcción y mantenimiento de su infraestructura. Todos los de RLW estamos comprometidos con la búsqueda continua de la excelencia, la innovación y hacer una contribución constante a la calidad de vida de Utah ".


Sterling es una importante empresa de construcción civil pesada que se especializa en la construcción y reconstrucción de transporte e infraestructura de agua en grandes y crecientes mercados en Texas, Utah, Nevada y otros estados donde hay oportunidades de construcción. Sus proyectos de infraestructura de transporte incluyen autopistas, carreteras, puentes y ferrocarril ligero y sus proyectos de infraestructura de agua incluyen agua, aguas residuales y sistemas de drenaje pluvial.


Sterling Construction Company, Inc. Brian Manning, 281 - 821 - 9091 EVP & amp; Jefe de Desarrollo de Negocios o Elizabeth Brumley, 281-821-9091 Jefe de Contabilidad & amp; Contralor o Asesor de Relaciones con Inversores The Equity Group Inc. Linda Latman, 212-836-9609 Lena Cati, 212-836-9611


Williams% R


Williams% R fue desarrollado por Larry Williams para indicar los niveles de sobrecompra y sobreventa. El indicador es muy similar al estocástico% K - excepto que Williams% R se representa gráficamente usando valores negativos que van de 0 a -100.


El número de períodos utilizados para calcular Williams% R puede variar de acuerdo con el período de tiempo que está negociando. Una regla general es que la ventana del indicador debe ser la mitad de la duración del ciclo (14 días es popular para el ciclo intermedio).


Los niveles de sobrecompra y Sobreventa se establecen normalmente en -20 y -80.


Ir largo en la divergencia alcista o el columpio de la falta;


Ir mucho tiempo cuando Williams% R cae por debajo del nivel de sobreventa.


Ir corto en la divergencia bajista o swing de falla;


Ir corto cuando Williams% R se eleva por encima del nivel de sobrecompra.


Ejemplo 1


Mueva el ratón sobre los subtítulos gráficos para mostrar las señales comerciales.


Coloque una parada de compra final cuando Williams% R caiga por debajo de la línea de sobreventa. Estamos detenidos en [L] cuando el precio sube por encima de la Alta del día anterior. Proteja su posición con un stop-loss por debajo de la baja reciente.


Coloque un stop-stop cuando% R se eleva por encima de la línea de sobrecompra. Estamos detenidos en [S] cuando el precio cae por debajo de la baja de ayer. La posición se detiene [X] al día siguiente cuando el precio sube por encima del récord reciente.


% R se eleva por encima del nivel de sobrecompra. Coloque una parada de venta final. Una divergencia bajista apoya la señal.


Una triple divergencia agrega más apoyo a la posición corta.


Coloque un buy-stop de arrastre cuando% R cae por debajo de -80. Cuando se detiene en [L], coloque un stop-loss por debajo de la Baja reciente.


Coloque un stop de venta final cuando% R suba por encima de -20. Cuando se detiene en [S], coloque una stop-loss por encima de la Alta reciente.


Coloque un buy-stop de arrastre: la señal de sobrevendido se ve reforzada por una divergencia alcista.


Coloque una parada de venta final.


% R cae por debajo del nivel de sobreventa: coloque una parada de compra final. A failure swing is completed when %R rises above the level of the intervening peak.


Another signal to go short. Place a trailing sell-stop. We are stopped in 5 days later when price falls below the previous day's Low. Protect your position with a stop-loss above the recent High.


It is advisable to use a longer Williams %R period or some other form of smoothing to reduce volatility and false signals.


Signals should only be taken when there is clear evidence that the trend has reversed. One method of doing so is to wait until %R crosses the -50 level:


Go long when %R falls below the Oversold level then rises above -50.


Go short when %R rises above the Overbought level then falls below -50.


Alternatively, use a trend indicator for trend direction and exit signals.


Ejemplo 2


Mueva el ratón sobre los subtítulos gráficos para mostrar las señales comerciales.


Go long [L]: Williams %RВ rises from the oversold level to above -50.


Go short [S] when %R falls below -50 from the overbought level.


Go long [L] when %R rises above -50 from the oversold level.


Go short [S]


Go long [L]


Go short [S]


Go long [L]


Note that we are whipsawed fairly frequently if MA is used as the trend indicator, even with closing price as a filter .


The default Williams %RВ window is 14 days, with overbought/oversold levels of -20% and -80% respectively. Para modificar la configuración predeterminada: Editar ajustes del indicador.


Consulte el Panel de indicadores para obtener instrucciones sobre cómo configurar un indicador.


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feasibility of business, legal requirements, competition, regulations, profitability, client requirements to spot any business opportunity To propose market expansion strategies basis the research conducted To prepare Presentations, Reports, Notes, Research Analysis to be presented to the senior leadership/board for all business requirements/growth initiatives To prepare SOPs/Guidelines for new products To analyse existing structures and advise/recommend changes/improvisations To liaise with internal departments for smooth implementation of business strategies as required To ensure all products introduced are marketable from client as well as trust s perspective To support the business development team for client acquisition as subject matter expert on taxation and related issues To interact with clients and resolve their queries/issues as required To design the content for all marketing initiatives To prepare the marketing material for the events organised by the organisation To prepare all required documents/reports/presentation for any panel discussions/conferences/meetings to be addressed by the senior leadership as a part of marketing initiatives To support with the business development team as required (especially for new products, market expansions, changes in structures etc


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Trade Forex, Commodities and Stock Indices with Binary Options – See How


If you follow the Equity Indices closely, you can sometimes spot patterns that repeat themselves with a high degree of consistency. Continue reading here.


August 24, 2015, was an important day in world currency markets. The Chinese shocked the world with a devaluation of the yuan. Continue reading here.


How is the Parabolic SAR used in trading?


The parabolic SAR is a popular indicator that is mainly used by traders to determine the future short-term momentum of a given asset. The indicator was developed by the famous technician known as Welles Wilder and can also easily be applied to a trading strategy, enabling a trader to determine where stop orders should be placed. El cálculo de este indicador es bastante complejo y va más allá del alcance de cómo se utiliza prácticamente en el comercio.


Uno de los aspectos más interesantes de este indicador es que asume que un comerciante está totalmente invertido en una posición en cualquier momento. Por esta razón, es de interés específico para aquellos que desarrollan sistemas de comercio y los comerciantes que deseen tener siempre dinero en el trabajo en el mercado.


The parabolic SAR indicator is graphically shown on the chart of an asset as a series of dots placed either above or below the price (depending on the asset's momentum). Un pequeño punto se coloca por debajo del precio cuando la tendencia del activo es hacia arriba, mientras que un punto se coloca por encima del precio cuando la tendencia es hacia abajo. Como se puede ver en la siguiente tabla, las señales de transacción se generan cuando la posición de los puntos invierte la dirección y se coloca en el lado opuesto del precio como era anterior.


Como se puede ver en el lado derecho del gráfico, el uso de este indicador por sí mismo a menudo puede conducir a entrar / salir de una posición prematuramente. Many traders will choose to place their stop loss orders at the SAR value because a move beyond this will signal a reversal, causing the trader to anticipate a move in the opposite direction.


Para más información sobre este indicador vea, Introducción al SAR Parabólico


Discover the rationale behind the parabolic indicator, or parabolic SAR, and why J. Welles Wilder Jr. created it to protect. Leer respuesta >>


A stop-loss order, or stop order, is a type of advanced trade order that can be placed with most brokerage houses. The order. Leer respuesta >>


Fibonacci retracement is a very popular tool among technical traders and is based on the key numbers identified by mathematician. Leer respuesta >>


Aprenda importantes indicadores técnicos que refuercen un patrón de velas doji para aprovechar oportunidades comerciales rentables. Leer respuesta >>


Descubra lo que es el modelo agotado de venta y cómo puede ser utilizado por los comerciantes que buscan beneficiarse de la venta de pánico. Leer respuesta >>


Vea cómo los comerciantes usan el análisis de las cuentas en gráficos de puntos y figuras y aprenda por qué este método difiere de los tipos más tradicionales. Leer respuesta >>


Una garantía con un precio que depende o deriva de uno o más activos subyacentes.


Un asesor de política económica que promueve políticas monetarias que implican el mantenimiento de tasas de interés bajas, creyendo que.


Activos altamente líquidos mantenidos por instituciones financieras para cumplir con obligaciones a corto plazo. Coeficiente de cobertura de Liquidez.


La ventaja competitiva que una empresa tiene sobre otras empresas de la misma industria. Este término fue acuñado por renombrado.


Un crédito fiscal en los Estados Unidos que beneficia a ciertos contribuyentes que tienen bajos ingresos de trabajo en un año fiscal determinado.


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Especial de Marzo: Ahorre 40% en el Curso de Forex de Nial Fuller & amp; Trade Signals Newsletter - Haga clic aquí.


I just wanted to point out some nice trades that have formed recently on the EURUSD and GBPUSD. Below are some charts with classic examples of some of my price action trading strategies that I use on the 4 hour and daily charts.


You will notice the clean simple chart, with no indicators (pure price action). The charts show my “fakey setup” and “pin bar reversal setup”. The current market conditions (at the time of writing, November 2010) have been “perfect”. If you can’t make money in the current market then you won’t ever make money, this current trend is a “gift”, so trade it well.


You will also notice that the trade setups resulted in several explosive moves, allowing good profit potential and risk reward ratio. These setups are very simple and logical and have a positive expectancy, occurring often enough to actively trade the daily and 4 hour charts. I have had good success this past month with the fakey and the pin bar, and so I just wanted to share with you some of the trades I made recently…


Examples of trades made using the pin bar setup and the fakey setup


The chart below shows a Fakey setup and Pin bar setups I traded on the 4 hour time frame. You can read more about the Pin bar strategy here and learn about the Fakey setup here.


The chart below shows daily time frame Pins and Fakey setups – You can read more about Pin bars here and learn about the Fakey forex setup here.


The chart below shows a daily chart time frame bearish pin bar reversal setup that kicked off a huge trend change. Note how the trend was up prior to the pin bar and then price immediately fell lower after the pin bar formed, and a significant downtrend followed. It doesn’t always happen this way, but pin bars do sometimes mark huge turning points in the market, and this is yet another reason why understanding how to trade them is so important…


The chart below shows a large pin bar sell signal on the 4 hour EURUSD chart which led to a nice move lower and then a fakey setup with a large pin bar as the false break bar. Fakey setups with a pin bar for the false break bar are among my favorite price action setups to trade.


If you’re keen to learn more about Price Action and my trading strategies, check out My Free Forex Videos .


You might also be interested in this trading lesson:


Thanks for these great charts and lessons. You keep posting excellent stuff. And – we who are members of your forum really appreciate the daily market summary. In fact, because of that, I was already watching for the short opportunity in the EUR-USD and got in on that one right near the 50 area. It was a good trade.


You are a great teacher – thanks for keeping it brief and simple.


Rudy Fernandez says:


Nial, You are a great teacher. Thanks for everything you do. I’ve been looking at your forex trade setups and they’ve been amazing, right on the money. right now i am saving to access the members area…. looking forward to learn more from you…..Maybe one day we can translate the website into spanish and educate the latin community….Keep up the good work! Rudy


sorry after reading my previous message – I mean’t to say thanks for the explanations and not thanks in a psarcastic way :-)


Suscríbete a mi boletín de comercio gratuito


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Descargo de responsabilidad. Cualquier asesoramiento o información en este sitio web es Asesoría General Solamente - No toma en cuenta sus circunstancias personales, por favor no negocie o invierta basándose únicamente en esta información. Al ver cualquier material o utilizando la información de este sitio usted acepta que se trata de material de educación general y no tendrá ninguna persona o entidad responsable de las pérdidas o daños resultantes del contenido o asesoramiento general proporcionado aquí por Learn To Trade The Market Pty Ltd , Es empleados, directores o compañeros. Los futuros, las opciones y el comercio de divisas al contado tienen grandes recompensas potenciales, pero también un gran riesgo potencial. Debe ser consciente de los riesgos y estar dispuesto a aceptarlos para invertir en los mercados de futuros y opciones. No negocie con dinero que no puede permitirse perder. This website is neither a solicitation nor an offer to Buy/Sell futures, spot forex, cfd's, options or other financial products. No se está haciendo ninguna representación de que cualquier cuenta tenga o sea probable obtener ganancias o pérdidas similares a las discutidas en cualquier material en este sitio web. El desempeño pasado de cualquier sistema o metodología comercial no es necesariamente indicativo de resultados futuros.


Advertencia de alto riesgo: Forex, futuros y opciones de comercio tiene grandes recompensas potenciales, pero también grandes riesgos potenciales. El alto grado de apalancamiento puede trabajar en su contra, así como para usted. Debe ser consciente de los riesgos de invertir en forex, futuros y opciones y estar dispuesto a aceptarlos para negociar en estos mercados. El comercio de divisas implica un riesgo sustancial de pérdida y no es adecuado para todos los inversores. Por favor, no negocie con dinero prestado o dinero que no puede permitirse perder. Cualquier opinión, noticias, investigación, análisis, precios u otra información contenida en este sitio web se proporciona como comentario general del mercado y no constituye asesoramiento de inversión. No asumiremos ninguna responsabilidad por cualquier pérdida o daño, incluyendo, sin limitación, cualquier pérdida de beneficio, que pueda surgir directa o indirectamente del uso o dependencia de dicha información. Recuerde que el desempeño anterior de cualquier sistema o metodología comercial no es necesariamente indicativo de resultados futuros.


Copyright 2008-2016 Aprenda a comerciar con el mercado


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Sterling Construction Company, Inc. is Apparent Low Bidder on a $71 Million Arizona DOT Project in Mesa, Arizona


Sterling Construction Company, Inc. (NasdaqGS: STRL ), ("Sterling" or the "Company") today announced that Ralph L. Wadsworth (“RLW”) in conjunction with J. Banicki Construction, Inc. (“Banicki”), its recently acquired Arizona-based subsidiary, was apparent low bidder on the $71 million Gateway Freeway SR 24 project in Mesa, Arizona. The Arizona DOT project consists of freeway to freeway ramps connecting to SR 202 from about Power Road to Elliot Road and constructing SR 24 (a new freeway) for about one mile to the southeast ending at Ellsworth Road. The project has approximately one mile of flyover box beam bridge and one million cubic yards of imported fill. The project, which will begin March 2012, has an estimated duration of 18 months.


Patrick T. Manning, Sterling's Chairman and CEO commented, “This project represents a significant addition to backlog in Arizona for both RLW and Banicki. RLW specializes in bridge construction, while Banicki will focus on the underground and earthwork."


Sterling is a leading heavy civil construction company that specializes in the building and reconstruction of transportation and water infrastructure in large markets in Texas, Utah, Nevada, Arizona, California and other states where there are construction opportunities. Its transportation infrastructure projects include highways, roads, bridges and light rail and its water infrastructure projects include water, wastewater and storm drainage systems.


This press release includes certain statements that fall within the definition of "forward-looking statements" under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Any such statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, including overall economic and market conditions, federal, state and local government funding, competitors' and customers' actions, and weather conditions, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated, including those risks identified in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Accordingly, such statements should be considered in light of these risks. Any prediction by the Company is only a statement of management's belief at the time the prediction is made. There can be no assurance that any prediction once made will continue thereafter to reflect management's belief, and the Company does not undertake to update publicly its predictions, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.


Sterling Construction Company, Inc. Brian Manning, P. E. EVP & Chief Business Development Officer Elizabeth Brumley EVP & CFO 281-821-9091 or Investor Relations Counsel The Equity Group Inc. Linda Latman, 212-836-9609 Lena Cati, 212-836-9611


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Análisis Técnico del Euro-Dólar a Mediano Plazo (04 Enero 2016)


4 de enero de 2016 | 1:20 pm GMT


Punto de giro ( P ): 1,0905 (MP = Mediano Plazo)


Sin cambio con respecto al análisis anterior, el par se encuentra trabajando en una fase lateral con un soporte en 1,0796 (Min. 07/12/2015) y una resistencia 1,1043 (Max. 09/12/2015). Trabajando por encima de su punto de giro (P) en 1,0905 buscaría su Resistencia Semanal (RS) en 1,1021 un cierre diario por encima de esta RS buscaría su media móvil de 200 en 1,1045. Solamente un cierre diario por encima de 1,1096 (Max.28/10/2015) confirmaría una tendencia alcista con un objetivo a 1,1387 ( Max. 20/10/2015). Trabajando por debajo de su punto de giro (P) buscaría su doble soporte, primero su media móvil de 50 en 1,0845, segundo su soporte 1 (S1) en 1,0817. Si tuviera un cierre diario por debajo de este S1 confirmaría una tendencia bajista con un objetivo a so soporte semanal (SS) en 1,0700. El punto a observar esta semana es su punto de giro (P) en 1,0905 trabajando por debajo de este buscaría su soporte semanal (SS) en 1,0700 y por encima su resistencia semanal (RS) en 1,1021. Especial Atención . El indicador Relative Streng Index (RSI) está en 45,36 en su zona neutra que es de 50. El indicador Larry Williams (RLW) se encuentra en -91,65 por encima de -80 esta sobrevendido, lo que indica que esta totalmente sobrevendido.


Gann Retracement (GR) . 1,0458-0,00% (Mínima 13 marzo 2015); 1,3995-100% (Máxima 08 mayo 2014)


Nuestra Preferencia. Posiciones de venta por debajo de resistencia 1 (R1) en 1,0957 con un objetivo a su media móvil de 50 en 1,0845 & soporte semanal (SS) en 1,0700.


Escenario Alternativo. Posiciones de compra por encima de su resistencia semanal en 1,1021 con un objetivo a su media móvil de 200 en 1,1045 & 1,1387 ( Max. 20/10/2015)..


Sterling Construction Gets 2 Contracts Valued at $28 Million


By Zacks. com. December 01, 2015, 05:02:00 PM EDT


Sterling Construction Co. Inc .'s STRL subsidiary, Ralph L. Wadsworth Construction Company ("RLW") has been selected again by Denver's Regional Rail Partners on two Denverskyway Bridge Projects. Sterling Construction's portions of the projects are valued at $28 million and follow the first project award on the Skyway Bridge in April this year.


RLW has been chosen as a major subcontractor for a joint venture between Balfour Beatty and Graham Contracting on the two projects. The first project's scope of work entails RLW to construct four bridges as well as six miles of track grade between the Skyway and 112th St. In addition, the associated drainage, mechanically stabilized earth walls, cast-in-place walls and a pedestrian tunnel will be constructed by RLW.


RLW will also build platform walls for two stations and the retrofit of electric panels and arc flash protection for two bridges. Work commenced in Oct 2015 and is expected to be completed by Aug 2016. Sterling Construction's portion of the project is valued at approximately $14 million.


Per the second project, RLW will construct two bridges over the South Platte River connecting Denver Union Station to the Skyway Bridge. Construction began earlier in November and is expected to be completed by the end of 2016. Sterling Construction's portion of the project is valued at approximately $14 million.


Sterling Construction reported encouraging third-quarter 2015 results as adjusted earnings of 9 cents per share reverted year-ago quarter's loss of 21 cents per share. However, total backlog was $718 million as of Sep 30, 2015, down about 3% from Jun 30, 2015.


Sterling Construction expects cumulative gross margins in backlog to continue to increase through the end of this year to more than 7%, and anticipates further improvement in 2016. The company estimates general and administrative expenses in 2016 to be between 5% and 5.5% of revenues.


Houston, TX-based Sterling Construction is a leading heavy civil construction company engaged in building and reconstruction of transportation and water infrastructure projects in Texas, Utah, Nevada, Arizona, California and other states. Its transportation infrastructure projects include highways, roads, bridges, and light rail; and its water infrastructure projects comprise water, wastewater, and storm drainage systems.


Sterling Construction currently carries a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold).


Some better-ranked stocks in the sector include Dycom Industries Inc. DY. Jiangsu Expressway Co. Ltd. JEXYY and Zhejiang Expressway Co. Ltd. ZHEXY. While Dycom sports a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), both Jiangsu Expressway and Zhejiang Expressway carry a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).


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Information and Tips for People Interested in Currency Trading


Disclaimer!


Currency trading is EXTREEMLY risky ; and therefore, most financial and investment professionals DO NOT recommend it!


I am neither a forex professional nor an expert chart/news analytic. I cannot promise in any way, shape, or form that the information in this article will help you make money. However, I have been trading forex for many years and have learned much which I believe will help others understand the fundamental concepts and processes involved in currency trading. I did not refer to many outside sources while composing this article because I believe that my personal experience and perspective will be of more value than simply taking from the large amount of collective knowledge on the topic of currency trading which already exists on the internet.


With that being said, I hope you find this article interesting and relevant!


Currency Trading Scams


Rule: when researching currency trading online, use extreme caution. For your information, extreme caution is the kind of caution that cats use around water.


I decided to cover this first because of the large amount of scams on the internet attempting to entrap new traders into “get rich quick” schemes that simply do not work. Sadly, millions of individuals have been scammed by these schemes during the past decade, and many have lost thousands of dollars because of it. Many websites use deceptive claims and promises to entice prospective forex traders into buying their worthless service/product/information. Recently, the currency trading community has made great strides to “weed out” the good from the bad. When researching anything to do with currency trading, this is a great resource.


Several Important Definitions


Base currency – The currency used to initially fund the forex brokerage account (this is my definition, using the phrase “base currency” helps me explain certain concepts).


Pip – The smallest amount of measured change in a currency’s value.


Forex – Stands for “Foreign Exchange”; a synonym of “currency trading”.


Spread – The difference between the actual value of a currency pair and the value you can purchase it at; this amount goes to the broker.


USD – Stands for “United States Dollar”


JPY – Stands for “Japanese Yen”


CAD - Stands for "Canadian Dollar"


Leverage - An individual's ability to borrow currency for use in a trade. The way forex is set up, the lender never looses money, and the trader never owes the lender money. However, the more money traded/borrowed, the more money can be lost if the trade goes awry.


Take profit - A pre-designated value set by the trader that will stop the trade and take the profit. This value is necessarily higher than the trade entry value.


Stop loss - A pre-designated value set by the trader that will stop the trade and cut loses. This value is necessarily lower than the trade entry value.


Fun Facts!


Did you know that the amount of currency traded through Forex every day is equivalent to over 4 trillion U. S. dollars . That amount is MUCH larger than the amount traded in the U. S. stock exchange.


Currency trading is historical ; however, for most of that time it has been controlled by big players (such as banks and governments) who buy large amounts of physical currency, wait for its value to go up, and sell it back for more of the original currency. The numerous technological advances of the last decade have revolutionized Forex trading. It has been unlocked for everyone with an internet connection and a bank account. However, the general concept of taking advantage of currency value fluctuations remains unaltered.


Forex never sleeps! Because currency trading is operates globally through several foreign exchanges, it goes 24 hours a day (Sunday @ 5:00pm EST – Friday @ 5:00pm EST).


Legal


U. S. financial regulations are not as favorable towards currency trading as they are in other countries. In my opinion, it is worth giving up the ability to take extremely high financial risks in exchange for the market regulation and financial protection that the U. S. Government provides.


In the U. S. traders must be at least 18 years of age with a government issued ID and social security number. Like all other earnings, money earned from forex trading MUST be reported to the IRS for taxation; failure to do so can result in grave consequences! When registering with a broker, they will require you to fill out a standard IRS form for tax purposes.


Why so many People are not Successful at Currency Trading


In my opinion, many people (around 95% of people who try forex) are not successful at forex for these reasons:


They thought forex was a game, like gambling


They let their greed take control


They lost their patience


They did not take the time to learn forex


They only used one strategy


They did not use stop losses


They did not keep enough money in their account


They never knew when to stop, or take a break


With every chart fluctuation, money can be made… LOTS of money… and that seems to drive most people crazy!


I have always wondered if people who are horrible at investing can be successful by doing the opposite of what they think they should do? Just a thought!


Long-Term Success in Currency Trading Involves:


Knowledge of technical indicators


Chart analyzing skills


Knowledge of how news events affect currency rates


Trade execution/set up skills


Knowledge of when to take a break from forex


Trend and market pattern analyzing skills


In my opinion, successful forex traders are a select breed. What I mean by that is… currency trading takes certain mental characteristics that keep people from going crazy over all the dollar signs flashing in their eyes!


Are you a Good Candidate for Currency Trading?


It takes four things to become successful in forex


Patience


Self-control


Money that you can afford to lose


The ability to learn from mistakes and develop a successful system


Stock or commodity speculators may have a good head-start in forex trading because they already have substantial knowledge about chart and news analysis. In my opinion, forex trading is like stock trading on steroids!


How much $$$?


This is the question on every new traders mind. I wonder why…? To be honest with you, there is truly unlimited earning potential through forex. However, you should take that with a grain of salt because it is not that simple! If you decide to trade forex, I recommend setting a goal of a 10% per year return on the money you put into your account. That is, by far, better than the vast majority of investments types out there. Setting a goal will help you stay smart. If you do not have a goal, it is too easy to become "addicted" to making trades. What I mean by that is, as soon as you close a trade, you will feel pressured to open another one. And that, inevitably, will cause you to enter into more bad trades and will probably result in the loss of most (if not all) of the money in your account. If you set a goal of 10% per year, which is fairly conservative as forex trading goes, it will help you maintain a sense of control and accomplishment.


One of the main attractions to forex trading is that it gives people the ability to make a TON of money. Forex profits are determined through pip value (see definitions). Pip value depends on the amount of currency traded; the more money you trade with, the more you can make (or lose). If you are trading one micro lot ($1,000 worth of currency), each pip is worth 10 cents. If you are trading a small lot ($10,000 worth of currency) each pip is worth $1. And if you are trading a standard lot ($100,000 worth of currency) each pip is worth $10. Trading 100 micro lots is equivalent to trading 1 standard lot.


You can trade as many lots as you want; if you want to make $100 per pip, you must trade 10 standard lots. And if a trade moves 15 pips in your favor per day (a reasonable amount) you could make $1500. However, in my opinion, that is not something to set your sights on! Few forex traders trade full-time, and most of those who do trade full time are not millionaires. However, forex trading can provide a great supplemental income!


The Process of Currency Trading Explained


Stocks, along with numerous other investments, gain value as they appreciate. You can buy apple stock or a collectable car in the hopes that it will go up in value. People invest in these items in order to make money from selling them later at a higher price.


Forex is a little more involved than these other investments because it is impossible to buy currency with itself; buying something necessarily involves exchanging something with something else. However, it is possible to invest in a currency through another currency. Through the process of comparing currency exchange rates through foreign currency exchanges around the world, people are able to profit from investing in currency. Currencies are traded in pairs, such as USD/CAD (see definitions). If you “buy” USD/CAD, you hope that the American economy does well in comparison to the Canadian economy, or that Canada’s economy declines compared to that of U. S.


How is the value of a currency pair calculated?


Let us presuppose that the base currency (see definitions) is the U. S. Dollar and its value is equal to 3. Theoretically, If the value of the Euro is worth 1 U. S. Dollar and the Yen is worth 2 U. S. dollars, the value of EUR/JPY can be thought of as (1/3)/(2/3). These values are always calculated using division. The base currency can be thought of as the common denominator; and if you know mathematics, you know that common denominators cancel each other out in this case. Therefore, the USD (in a sense), is irrelevant.


If you believe that the Yen will appreciate in comparison to the Euro (or if you believe the Euro will depreciate in comparison to the Yen), you would want to sell EUR/JPY. If you believe that the Yen will depreciate in comparison to the Euro (or if you believe that the Euro will appreciate compared to the Yen), you would want to buy EUR/JPY.


As an example, let us say you decide to sell EUR/JPY.


Modern day currency trading is built around the concept of physically exchanging currencies for one another. Therefore, I will attempt to outline the theoretical timeline of events that occur in the process of selling EUR/JPY. Initially, the base currency (USD, in this case) would be exchanged with the Euro . then, the Euro would be exchanged with the Yen . next (and hopefully after the value of the Yen has appreciated), the Yen would be exchanged back with the Euro (for more Euros, if all went well), and lastly, the Euro would be exchanged back into the USD (hopefully for a profit!).


For another example, let us say you decide to buy EUR/JPY.


To begin, the base currency would be exchanged with the Yen . then, the Yen would be exchanged into the Euro . next, the Euro would be exchanged back into the Yen . and lastly, the Yen would be exchanged back into the base currency .


Thankfully, modern internet-based currency trading does not involve the actual exchange of currencies; even when trading EUR/JPY, the trader is never in possession of any other currency than their base currency because all the exchange rates are pre-calculated and the actual exchange process can therefore be bypassed.


After learning the internal processes of currency trading, it is not necessary to keep them in mind at all times while trading. In my opinion, it is best to think of currency trading as buying a stake in an economy in comparison to another economy. Only one economy has to change; however, it is important to remember that there are two economies involved in each trade!


Forex Brokers


In order to trade forex online, you must have a broker!


Brokers provide the account, the trading platform, the ability to leverage, the ability to execute trades, and many other tools and educational resources.


When choosing a forex broker, it is ESSENTIAL to read reviews and do your research. Not only do these companies have your money, they have your personal information! I recommend exploring forexpeacearmy. com, a forex services review site.


In my opinion, a good broker has these three attributes:


I have used several brokers in the past; however, for the past two years I have used FXCM. I have not had any issues with them and I love their service. The main reason I picked FXCM is because they are a very stable company with a good track record. They are publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange. And they have a location in Dallas, Texas. However, like I have said, you must do your own research!


Account Types


In general, brokers offer three main account types:


Note: Different brokers use different names


What separates these account types is not so much the amount currency traded as it is the different features included and the amount of money you must keep in the account. For example, micro accounts are normally traded through a web platform, while standard accounts can be traded through the metatrader 4 platform (which has many more features than the web platform). In addition, standard account often allow automated trading while micro accounts do not.


Using Leverage


The good news is, because of leverage, people do not have to pay the lot value out-of-pocket. The highest amount of leverage offered by brokers in the U. S. is 50:1, this is because of governmental regulations. In other countries some brokers offer up to 1,000:1. When using 50:1 leverage, you are putting down 2% of the lot value, and the broker is "covering" the rest. Therefore, if you are trading with a standard lot, you would only pay $2,000 out-of-pocket for each lot traded. While leverage helps traders make more money, it also has the opposite effect if the trade does not move in your favor!


Traders never owe the broker


The broker never looses money. This is because you are using the money for YOUR trade. all money gained or lost affects only your money


Automated Forex Trading


Automated forex trading systems execute trades without the direct command from the user. Often, they are referred to as Expert Advisors (EA’s). Essentially, EA’s are a coded script of rules assigned to one or more currency pairs. Many EA’s use a strategy called “scalping”, which is essentially the process of trading a high-volume currency pair for a very short term. Scalping can be thought of as the opposite of staying with a trade for the long term, scalping EA’s normally use a strategy that prioritizes quantity over quality based on the current price, volume, and historical chart movements. The take profit levels are normally very small (often around 10 pips); however, scalping is a good way to make money with forex. In order to have an automated trading system, you can either code your own (which can be quite involved), pay someone else to code one for you (which can be quite expensive), or buy a pre-coded system. The later choice is probably the best; however, prospective buyers need to be very aware of false advertising claims! I highly recommend testing any EA’s on a simulated forex account before activating it on your real account!


Automated trading pros and cons:


Pro: You do not have to execute the trade yourself, the trades are based on math, the factor of emotion is removed.


Con: EA’s do not take into account the news and current events which can HEAVILY influence the chart. However, it is worth noting that EA’s have made significant advancement in recent years. Some EA’s can tell when the trend is changing and therefore, they know when to “take a break”.


Signal Services


Numerous individuals who claim to be “forex experts” have started services that send a signal (through SMS, RSS, email, or their website) to subscribers telling them to trade certain pairs. These signals normally include instructions for setting specific take-profit and stop-loss levels. Some of these services are much more legitimate than others. Choosing a signal service should involve doing some research! Do not fall for false advertising claims!


Chart Indicators


Indicators are basically math-based tools included in metatrader (and other platforms) that help analyze and predict chart movements. Personally, I use two indicators:


The RLW (% Larry Williams) indicator is a volume-based indicator which shows when a pair is “over-bought” or “over-sold”. If a pair is heavily overbought and is at a high value, it could be time to sell it!


The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator compares different moving averages against volume, it is a good comprehensive indicator and it is by far my favorite!


News Trading vs. Chart Trading


Which is better, trading according to the chart, or trading according to the news? In my opinion, BOTH of these must be done in order to successfully trade forex. It is possible to make good money simply trading from the chart; however, news and current events can influence quick unforeseen change in the chart that can render you… completely broke… Do not ask how I know ;).


Those who only trade based off news are missing out because most profits made in forex are based off past historical trends. If nothing else, it is good to keep up with the news simply to get a “heads up” on important changes. Only certain significant events can affect the value of a currency; therefore, normal every-day news is not the best resource for forex traders. For example, when Lindsey Lohan goes back to rehab, the value of the USD does not change. There are several online news outlets that are specifically for forex traders. It is important to learn how different news events affect the value of a currency. Events that change the value of a currency include but are not limited to:


Whether the economy is growing (spending money) or receding (not spending)


Currency reserve changes


Interest rate changes


Movement of extremely large amounts of money


Important events, such as the beginning of a war


My Recommendations to New Traders


Do not jump into forex trading too fast!


If you think of currency trading as gambling, you will lose all your money faster than a magician can make a bunny appear in a hat!


All successful traders lose money, the goal is to have more winning trades than losing trades. It is ESSENTIAL to know how to get out of a trade when the time is right. If a bad trade is allowed to progress, it can destroy months of progress! Do not be discouraged when you lose money. Learn from mistakes, we all make them!


If you find forex trading is not for you, it does not in any way mean you are a failure


Congratulate yourself for giving it a shot, and move on.


Start with a smaller lot size than the standard lot


It is good to start small. Once you have mastered currency trading, move up to the standard lot. Remember, there is no rush! Currency trading is not going away or diminishing any time soon!


Use a forex simulator for at least 6 months before opening an account with real money


This may be hard for some; however, it is a really good idea! As you read this article, you might be thinking, “I can do all that! No problem! ” However, it is far too easy to overestimate yourself when it comes to currency trading. Starting with a simulator (which costs nothing) can help you decide whether or not forex is a good decision. You definitely do not want to go spend thousands of dollars THEN find out that it is not for you!


Do not sit in front of your computer with your face an inch from the screen wondering, hoping, praying, and possibly even going into shock (it happens) as you watch every chart fluctuation! WAY too many people make this mistake. The goal is to minimize your emotional involvement as much as possible. Some traders seem to have an uncanny ability to predict the future; however, I digress.


Another mistake many people make is trading without any doing research or chart-analysis. It may be difficult not to enter a trade when you are thinking, “If I do not do this now, the opportunity will pass! ” However, taking the time to do these things is essential!


The day chart is recommended for new traders. It takes more experience to spot good trades on longer time-frame charts (such as the week and month charts). And the minute and second charts are too similar to gambling and therefore are not good to start with either.


This will greatly help you spot possible trade entrance points!


Actively follow a well-reviewed and up-to-date currency-specific news site


Most brokers provide this information as well!


Only have one trade open at a time (at least while you are learning)


A lot of the currency pairs include (or are heavily influenced by) the USD. Therefore, as the value of the USD fluctuates, a lot of the currency pairs will fluctuate accordingly. If you have multiple trades open during these times, you can lose a lot of money. Having multiple trades crash on you is not a good way to start forex trading!


Trust me on this one!


Set stop loss/take profit values for each trade


These values really depend on the type of trading you are doing; including: your trading time-frame, the profits you are looking for, and the charts current trend. Personally, I try to make anywhere from 10 to 100 pips per trade.


Expect to initially invest between $2,000 and $5,000. Most trades will not do exactly what you want immediately after execution; they will fluctuate up and down before (hopefully) going the way you want them to. If you do not have enough money in your account, the trade could automatically close out if it moves against your position because most brokers automatically close out trades once a certain amount of the total account value is tied up in a trade. Normally, brokers require 30% of the money in your account to act as a buffer for your trades. You can’t have a negative value in your account. Brokers automatically close out trades for the protection of their clients. However, you do not want every trade to close out if it dips! Therefore, as I said earlier, fund your account well! Only keep a small fraction of your account in a trade at one time! I recommend keeping a 50/50 balance.


I would suggest setting a goal of a 10% return per year on what you have in your account. This will help you maintain control and a feeling of accomplishment.


Only use and EA/signal service after you know how to trade for yourself


It is essential that you know rational behind forex trading before you pay someone or something else to do it for you!


Thank you very much for reading! I hope you found this information interesting and helpful!


Bloomberg Markets @markets 4341-03-27 2:58 pm RT @BNAustralia. BlackRock isn't buying the Aussie's rally https://t. co/FAA8TlPbGC #ausecon https://t. co/XGhj8RLwCz RT @BNAustralia: BlackRock isn't buying the Aussie's rally https://t. co/FAA8TlPbGC #ausecon https://t. co/XGhj8 RT @BNAustralia: BlackRock isn't buying the Aussie's rally https://t. co/FAA8TlPbGC #ausecon https://t. co/XGhj8RLwCz


& Mdash; Bloomberg Australia (@BNAustralia) March 20, 2016


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Whopper of a tax dodge for Burger King


Last time, in this Daily Republic column, we talked about corporations “renouncing” their U. S. citizenship by buying foreign companies or opening offices in tax-haven countries and pretending that they are now have headquarters there.


This tax-dodge scheme is called a “corporate tax inversion” and last week we learned that Burger King may be the next corporation to take advantage of this tax loophole. See: “Hard to swallow, Burger King may move to Canada” in your Aug. 26 Daily Republic. Referring to this deal, Fortune Magazine said, “This may be legal, but that doesn’t mean that it’s right. The corporate defense that companies need to do what’s best for their shareholders and take advantage of every loophole in the corporate tax code rings hollow when these companies employ an army of lobbyists to make sure that the tax code is riddled with loopholes.”


As I mentioned last time, “the average tax rate for U. S. corporations is 12.6 percent” and “the percentage of federal income derived from corporate taxes has dropped from around 32 percent in the 1950s, to less than 9 percent now, with individual taxpayers making up that difference.”


That’s bad enough, with us workers having to foot the tax bill that the corporations are shirking, but the ex-patriot corporations are worse. They still receive all the benefits of living in America, paid for by the rest of us. They still utilize our highways, water, sewage and electrical systems, pipelines and railways, Internet, police, fire and military protection, and, as a bonus, they have a publicly educated workforce whose below-the-cost-of-living wages are subsidized by Medicaid, food stamps and welfare, also paid for by us middle-class workers.


While the Democrats have been trying to remedy this situation for years, just a couple of weeks ago, U. S. Senate Republicans filibustered a bill that would have helped bring jobs back to the U. S.


The aptly named Bring Jobs Home Act (SB 2569) would have given companies a 20 percent tax credit for relocating business units back to the U. S. from outside the country and it would have ended the current ability of a company to take deductions for the costs of moving jobs and production outside of the U. S.


That’s right, under current law, U. S. corporations can actually get a tax deduction for shipping U. S. jobs overseas.


Congress passing the Bring Jobs Home Act seems like a no-brainer, doesn’t it? Unfortunately, every single Republican senator who voted, voted against this bill and voted against the American workers. Just like they did in 2012 with a similar bill, and just like they did in 2010. There are a lot of reasons Wall Street is hitting new highs while Main Street continues to suffer and the wholesale outsourcing of American jobs by U. S. corporations is one of them.


Independent U. S. Sen. Bernie Sanders, offering his perspective on the recent vote, said, “Well, I will give you the short and simple answer is that we have a major political party, it’s called the Republican Party, who apparently see their goal in life is to represent the wealthy and the powerful and to make sure the rich and large corporations pay as little in taxes as is possible, and that’s the struggle that we’re having.”


It’s no secret that the wealthy and their corporations have been doing just fine, and the longer they can keep Congress ineffective and immobile, the longer they can keep raking in the dough.


One of the local Republican politicians has a slogan on his signs that reads: “Because Congress is broken.” Every time I see that I think: Yeah, and electing another Republican ain’t gonna fix it.


Mike Kirchubel grew up in Fairfield and is the author of “Vile Acts of Evil – Banking in America.” He can be reached at [email protected]


LEAVE A COMMENT


Discussion | 32 comments


Joe Worker September 01, 2014 - 7:41 am


Pornac September 01, 2014 - 8:10 am


Steve September 01, 2014 - 10:09 am


rlw895 September 01, 2014 - 10:15 am


Mr. Practical September 01, 2014 - 11:21 am


Mr. Practical September 01, 2014 - 11:23 am


Mike Kirchubel September 01, 2014 - 11:26 am


Mr. Practical September 01, 2014 - 12:14 pm


rlw895 September 01, 2014 - 12:36 pm


CD Brooks September 01, 2014 - 12:40 pm


Jag September 01, 2014 - 9:18 pm


rlw895 September 01, 2014 - 12:20 pm


Mr. Practical September 01, 2014 - 12:34 pm


rlw895 September 01, 2014 - 1:26 pm


Mr. Practical September 01, 2014 - 1:36 pm


rlw895 September 02, 2014 - 1:48 am


No rlw the mass of us just do without dinners out September 01, 2014 - 1:40 pm


Larry W September 01, 2014 - 12:05 pm


rlw895 September 01, 2014 - 12:38 pm


Mike Kirchubel September 01, 2014 - 12:59 pm


Larry W September 01, 2014 - 2:59 pm


Mr. Practical September 01, 2014 - 3:11 pm


Larry W September 01, 2014 - 3:26 pm


rlw895 September 02, 2014 - 1:52 am


https://finance. yahoo. com/q/mh? s=BKW+Major+Holders September 01, 2014 - 1:13 pm


Google. largest shareholder of Burger King September 01, 2014 - 1:25 pm


StR September 01, 2014 - 1:30 pm


also interesting September 01, 2014 - 3:41 pm


ditto September 01, 2014 - 3:55 pm


CD Brooks September 02, 2014 - 7:41 am


http://www. forbes. com/sites/christopherhelman/2013/10/30/mexicos-enrique-pena-nieto-is-leading-an-oil-revolution-worth-billions/ September 03, 2014 - 7:02 pm


http://www. fxstreet. com/education/forex-basics/warren-buffett-trades-currencies-too/2014/09/04/ September 04, 2014 - 4:56 pm


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Disclaimer: Trading foreign exchange on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. El alto grado de apalancamiento puede trabajar en su contra, así como para usted. Existe la posibilidad de que usted podría sostener una pérdida en exceso a su inversión y por lo tanto no debe invertir dinero que no puede permitirse perder. Antes de decidir intercambiar divisas debe considerar cuidadosamente sus objetivos de inversión, nivel de experiencia y apetito de riesgo. Usted debe ser consciente de todos los riesgos asociados con el comercio de divisas y buscar asesoramiento de un asesor financiero independiente si tiene alguna duda. Cualquier opinión, noticias, investigación, análisis, precios u otra información contenida en este sitio web se proporciona como comentario general del mercado y no constituye asesoramiento de inversión. FXCM no aceptará ninguna responsabilidad por cualquier pérdida o daño, incluyendo, sin limitación, cualquier pérdida de beneficio, que pueda surgir directa o indirectamente del uso o dependencia de dicha información.


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SEC v. Garfield Taylor, Inc. et al. . Case No. 1:11-cv-02054-RLW (D. D.C.). On February 5, 2013, the SEC announced that it settled its case against three former officers of Gibraltar Asset Management Group, LLC for their role in a $27 million dollar Ponzi scheme operated through Gibraltar. Without admitting or denying the charges, the defendants settled as follows:


Benjamin C. Dalley consented to the entry of a Final Judgment permanently enjoining him from aiding and abetting violations of Section 10(b) of the Exchange Act and Rule 10b-5 thereunder. He will pay $72,500 in disgorgement and prejudgment interest and a civil penalty of $40,000.


Randolph M. Taylor consented to the entry of a Final Judgment permanently enjoining him from aiding and abetting violations of Section 10(b) of the Exchange Act and Rule 10b-5 thereunder. He will pay $584,148.32 in disgorgement and prejudgment interest. However, all but $30,000 of this amount is waived and Taylor will not pay a civil monetary penalty, based upon his sworn Statement of Financial Condition.


William B. Mitchell consented to the entry of a Final Judgment permanently enjoining him from violating Section 15(a)(1) of the Exchange Act. The Final Judgment orders Mitchell to pay $164,131 in disgorgement and prejudgment interest, but waives payment of all but $15,000 of this amount, and does not impose a civil penalty, based upon his sworn Statement of Financial Condition. In a separate administrative proceeding, Mitchell agreed to a SEC Order that bars him from association with any broker, dealer, investment adviser, municipal securities dealer, municipal advisor, transfer agent, or nationally recognized statistical rating organization; and from participating in any offering of a penny stock, including: acting as a promoter, finder, consultant, agent or other person who engages in activities with a broker, dealer or issuer for purposes of the issuance or trading in any penny stock, or inducing or attempting to induce the purchase or sale of any penny stock.


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Sterling Construction Company Appoints Con Wadsworth Executive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer


THE WOODLANDS, Texas--(BUSINESS WIRE)--


Sterling Construction Company, Inc. (NasdaqGS: STRL ) ("Sterling" or "the Company") today announced that Con Wadsworth has been named Executive Vice President & Chief Operating Officer, effective March 10, 2016. In this newly created role, Mr. Wadsworth will be responsible for driving operational efficiency and improved performance across all operating subsidiaries of the Company. He will report to Paul Varello, Sterling's Chief Executive Officer.


Mr. Wadsworth has 40 years of heavy civil construction experience. Recently he served as President of Ralph L. Wadsworth Construction Company ("RLW"), one of Sterling's most successful subsidiaries. RLW was acquired in late 2009 as part of Sterling's geographic expansion strategy.


"We are very pleased to have Con in this new and vitally important role. He has a long and successful track record at RLW for delivering projects on time and within budget," stated Mr. Varello. "Con has extensive experience in all aspects of our business including estimating, project management and contract administration. In this new role, Con will apply best practices throughout our operations, and capitalize on profit-maximizing synergies across our subsidiaries, including bidding strategies, allocation of resources and optimization of our combined fleet of construction equipment."


Sterling is a leading heavy civil construction company that specializes in the building and reconstruction of transportation and water infrastructure projects in Texas, Utah, Nevada, Colorado, Arizona, California, Hawaii, and other states where there are profitable construction opportunities. Its transportation infrastructure projects include highways, roads, bridges, ports and light rail. Its water infrastructure projects include water, wastewater and storm drainage systems.


This press release includes certain statements that fall within the definition of "forward-looking statements" under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Any such statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, including overall economic and market conditions, federal, state and local government funding, competitors' and customers' actions, and weather conditions, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those anticipated, including those risks identified in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Accordingly, such statements should be considered in light of these risks. Any prediction by the Company is only a statement of management's belief at the time the prediction is made. There can be no assurance that any prediction once made will continue thereafter to reflect management's belief, and the Company does not undertake to update publicly its predictions or to make voluntary additional disclosures of nonpublic information, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.


Sterling Construction Company, Inc. Jennifer Maxwell, Director of Investor Relations, 281-951-3560 or Investor Relations Counsel: The Equity Group, Inc. Fred Buonocore 212-836-9607 Linda Latman 212-836-9609


hgh advanced – http://livesrilanka. com. What I mean by that is… currency trading takes certain mental characteristics that keep people from going crazy over all the dollar signs flashing in their eyes! It takes four things to become successful in forex Are you a Good Candidate for Currency Trading? Trend and market pattern analyzing skills In my opinion, successful forex traders are a select breed.


74 megahertz, a frequency used by digital cell phones-caused brain tumors in rats. Example 2 Cellular Phones and Brain Tumors: Researchers Joseph L. The exposure was done for 4 hours a day, 5 days a week for 2 years. 62 megahertz, a frequency used by analogue cell phones, and 847. The rats in group 1 were exposed to the analogue cell phone frequency; the rats in group 2 were exposed to the digital frequency; the rats in group 3 served as controls and received no radiation. Roti Roti and associates examined “whether chronic exposure to radio frequency (RF) radiation at two common cell phone signals-835. ” To do so, the researchers randomly divided 480 rats into three groups. The rats in all three groups were treated the same, except for the RF exposure. After 505 days of exposure, the researchers reported the following after analyzing the data. “We found no statistically significant increases in any tumor type, including brain, liver, lung or kidney, compared to the control group.


If a pair is heavily overbought and is at a high value, it could be time to sell it! The RLW (% Larry Williams) indicator is a volume-based indicator which shows when a pair is “over-bought” or “over-sold”.


Determining the sample size is key in the overall statistical process. The bottom line is that time and money determine the level of confidence researchers will place on the conclusions drawn from the sample data. They must find a balance between the reliability of the results and the cost of obtaining these results. The more time and money researchers have available, the more accurate the results of the statistical inference. Researchers need to know how many individuals they must survey to draw conclusions about the population within some predetermined margin of error. Throughout our discussion of sampling, we did not mention how to determine the sample size.


You definitely do not want to go spend thousands of dollars THEN find out that it is not for you! Use a forex simulator for at least 6 months before opening an account with real money This may be hard for some; however, it is a really good idea! As you read this article, you might be thinking, “I can do all that! Starting with a simulator (which costs nothing) can help you decide whether or not forex is a good decision. ” However, it is far too easy to overestimate yourself when it comes to currency trading.


The goal is to minimize your emotional involvement as much as possible. Set your trades and go Do not sit in front of your computer with your face an inch from the screen wondering, hoping, praying, and possibly even going into shock (it happens) as you watch every chart fluctuation! WAY too many people make this mistake. Some traders seem to have an uncanny ability to predict the future; however, I digress.


The combinations of the levels of all varied factors constitute the treatments in the experiment. (b) Set the level of a factor at various levels (if you are interested in its effect on the response variable).


A variable is at the ordinal level of measurement if it has the properties of the nominal level of measurement, however the naming scheme allows for the values of the variable to be arranged in a ranked or specific order.


Whether or not brain cancer was contracted is the response variable. In both studies, the goal was to determine if radio frequencies from cell phones increase the risk of contracting brain tumors. In research, we wish to determine how varying the amount of an explanatory variable affects the value of a response variable. The level of cell phone usage is the explanatory variable.


For example, a researcher might want to assess the risk associated with smoking by looking at a group of people, determining how many are smokers, and comparing the rate of lung cancer of the smokers to the nonsmokers. Cross-sectional StudiesThese observational studies collect information about individuals at a specific point in time or over a very short period of time.


They are publicly traded on the New York Stock Exchange. The main reason I picked FXCM is because they are a very stable company with a good track record. And they have a location in Dallas, Texas. Account TypesIn general, brokers offer three main account types: However, like I have said, you must do your own research! I have used several brokers in the past; however, for the past two years I have used FXCM. I have not had any issues with them and I love their service. A location inside of the U.


These signals normally include instructions for setting specific take-profit and stop-loss levels. Some EA’s can tell when the trend is changing and therefore, they know when to “take a break”. Con: EA’s do not take into account the news and current events which can HEAVILY influence the chart. Do not fall for false advertising claims! Some of these services are much more legitimate than others. Personally, I use two indicators: Choosing a signal service should involve doing some research! However, it is worth noting that EA’s have made significant advancement in recent years. Signal Services Numerous individuals who claim to be “forex experts” have started services that send a signal (through SMS, RSS, email, or their website) to subscribers telling them to trade certain pairs. Chart Indicators Indicators are basically math-based tools included in metatrader (and other platforms) that help analyze and predict chart movements. However, the more money traded/borrowed, the more money can be lost if the trade goes awry. Leverage – An individual’s ability to borrow currency for use in a trade. The way forex is set up, the lender never looses money, and the trader never owes the lender money.


This system is used by frontline staff. Transaction Processing System – This system is responsible for processing day to day business transactions. It helps with maintaining, adding, changing and removing data. Some examples are placing order, billing, cheque deposits, payroll systems, reservation systems, stock control etc. The types of transactions vary from organisation to organisation.


Only have one trade open at a time (at least while you are learning) A lot of the currency pairs include (or are heavily influenced by) the USD. Having multiple trades crash on you is not a good way to start forex trading! If you have multiple trades open during these times, you can lose a lot of money. Therefore, as the value of the USD fluctuates, a lot of the currency pairs will fluctuate accordingly.


There are two ways to deal with the factors, control or randomize. Control:There are two ways to control the factors. Step 4 Determine the Level of Each Factor. (a) Set the level of a factor at one value throughout the experiment (if you are not interested in its effect on the response variable).


Not confirming requests – requests need to be confirmed, otherwise one will not be sure if the request will go ahead. Sometimes this results in slots remaining vacant, putting the people in need on wait


Trade on the 1 day time-frame The day chart is recommended for new traders. And the minute and second charts are too similar to gambling and therefore are not good to start with either. It takes more experience to spot good trades on longer time-frame charts (such as the week and month charts).


So yes, you can make money through Amway but there are definitely easier ways. When in training for bringing other people into the business, you’ll likely be told that only about 1-5 people out of every 100 you show the plan to, will actually join. Sure you could be one of the 2% of Amway members who manage to quit their day jobs and make enough money to live off Amway. So to get 10-50 new members, you’ll have to show the plan to 1,000 people. And remember you have member fees, fees for joining their training programs, buying their books and CDs and more. The willingness to try over and over and over and over again till you finally through hard work get some money You may not ever make more than $50 from joining. However chances are more likely you’ll be in the 98% who keep those 2% rich by joining then leaving in disgust when it’s a lot harder than you expected.


This has the advantage that the diary section is continuous. Two weeks to view When selecting the most appropriate type of manual diary to use, you will need to consider how many entries you are likely to make in any one day. New pages are simply added as the years go on, so there is no need to obtain a new diary towards the end of each year. These are usually laminated charts which have a space per day covering the whole of a year. An alternative to a bound book is a loose leaf system, often known as a time manager. They have a number of advantages over manual systems: Another, completely different, manual system is the wall planner. Electronic systems Electronic diaries can be maintained on a personal computer, a laptop, a palmtop or an electronic organiser.


Interviewer Error A trained interviewer is essential to obtain accurate information from a survey. A skilled interviewer can elicit responses from individuals and make the interviewee feel comfortable enough to give truthful responses. For example, a good interviewer can obtain truthful answers to questions as sensitive as “Have you ever cheated on your taxes?


Learn from mistakes, we all make them! It is ESSENTIAL to know how to get out of a trade when the time is right. Expect to lose some money All successful traders lose money, the goal is to have more winning trades than loosing trades. If a bad trade is allowed to progress, it can destroy months of progress! Do not be discouraged when you lose money.


Some examples are sales management systems, budgeting, personnel, inventory control etc. Management Information System – This system helps with carrying out the tasks required for problem solving and decision making. This information needs to be very accurate and relevant. These are management level systems and help with the smooth running of the organisation. It helps with generating reports necessary for running and monitoring performance levels and efficiency levels, data for accounting and other transactions.


Decision Support Systems – This system helps with making long term decisions and is used to assist managers. This system uses internal and external resources and is used to analyse existing information and project the effects. Recently a few other information systems have been added and they are Some examples are logistics systems, spread sheet models etc. They help with summary reports, forecasts, graphs etc..


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SLP2001020703 - 07 FEBRUARY 2001 - ST. LOUIS, MISSOURI, USA: Super-model Kathy Ireland (L) shares a laugh with check-out supervisor Sharon Brown, while in line at a south county K-Mart store, February 7, 2001 near St. Louis, Missouri. Ireland, the National Honorary March of Dimes WalkAmerica Chair, is in St. Louis promoting the April 28 St. Louis event, where money will be raised to help prevent birth defects and reduce infant mortality. rlw/bg/Bill Greenblatt UPI


Sharon Brown News


Hastings, Boehner ally, to retire from House 2 years ago


WASHINGTON, Feb. 13 (UPI) -- The chairman of the U. S. House Natural Resources Committee, Rep. Doc Hastings, R-Wash. said Thursday he plans to retire at the end of the year.


Victoria Osteen cleared by jury 7 years ago


HOUSTON, Aug. 14 (UPI) -- A Texas jury ruled for the wife of a mega-church pastor Thursday, refusing to award damages to a flight attendant who claims Victoria Osteen assaulted her.


Witness: Osteen displayed racial bias 7 years ago


HOUSTON, Aug. 8 (UPI) -- Jurors at the "air rage" civil trial of Texas megachurch co-pastor Victoria Osteen heard allegations of racism during testimony in a Houston court.


CFTC charges NY firm with fraud 1 decade ago


WASHINGTON, Feb. 18 (UPI) -- The U. S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Friday filed a fraud complaint against Richmond Global Entities of Staten Island, N. Y.


CFTC names acting chairman 1 decade ago


WASHINGTON, July 23 (UPI) -- The U. S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Friday said Sharon Brown-Hruska has been named to serve as acting chairman of the agency.


Washington Agenda-Senate 1 decade ago


UNITED PRESS INTERNATIONAL


Sharon Rene Brown (born January 1, 1943) is Miss USA 1961.


After winning the Miss Louisiana USA crown, Brown, from Minden, Louisiana went on to become Louisiana's second representative to achieve the title of Miss USA. She was eighteen years old at the time. She also won the Miss Photogenic Award. She went on to place as fourth runner up in Miss Universe 1961.


Sharon was originally from rural Waterproof in southern Tensas Parish in eastern Louisiana. She had moved to Minden, the seat of Webster Parish, in the summer of 1961 with her parents, Mr. and Mrs. Roy L. Brown, and her twin brothers, Gary and Lary Brown (born 1948), and a third brother, Joey Brown. Roy Brown (1921-1978) is interred at the Minden Cemetery. Sharon Brown attended Louisiana Tech University in Ruston, the seat of Lincoln Parish. She had previously won the title of Miss Waterproof 1961 and was also Miss Louisiana Tech that year. She was a freshman at Louisiana Tech during the 1960-1961 school year. She had been a high school cheerleader from 1958-1960..


This article is licensed under the GNU Free Documentation License . It uses material from the Wikipedia article "Sharon Brown ."


Durations - 06 Nights / 07 Days • Bangalore - Mysore - Ooty – Kodaikanal Day 1. Arrival at Bangalore. Arrival - check into the hotel - sightseeing O/n at hotel. Day 2. Bangalore to Mysore. After break fast – Mysore-Sight seeing O/n at hotel. Day 3. Mysore to Ooty. Morning - sightseeing move to Ooty - hotel O/n at hotel. Day 4. Ooty: After breakfast –sight seeing Ooty Lake & O/n at hotel. Day 5. Ooty to Kodaikanal. After breakfast –sight seeing O/n at hotel Day 6. Kodaikanal. After morning breakfast-sight seeing O/n at hotel. Day7. Kodaikanal to Coimbatore/Banglore. Airport / Rlw station for your further destination


• Cream of Kerala


Durations - 6 days & 5 nights Cochin-Munnar-Thekkady-Alleppey/Kumarakom(Houseboat)-Cochin Day 1. Cochin: Pick up –Transfer to hotel - check in O/n stay at Cochin. Day 2. Cochin to Munnar: After brkf –Sightseeing munnar O/n stay at Munnar. Day 3. Munnar. After brkf –Sightseeing munnar O/n stay at Munnar. Day 4. Munnar to Thekkady. Transfer to Thekkady - Sightseeing munnar O/n stay at Thekkady. Day 5. Thekkady to Allepy. Transfer to Allepy - Sightseeing munnar O/n stay at Housboat. Day 6. Allepy to Cochin. After brkf - transfer to cochin –sightseeing –(depend your travel dept.) –drop Cochin rly stn / Airport.


• CULTURE-BEACH HOLIDAY


Durations -5 nights / 6 days Chennai – Mahabalipuram - Tanjore – Madurai-Cochin Day 1. Arrive Chennai Day 2. Chennai - Mahabalipuram Day 3. Mahabalipuram Day 4. Mahabalipuram - Tanjore Day 5. Tanjore - Madurai Day 6. Madurai - Cochin


• Historical Hyderabd


Durations -4 nights / 5 days Pune-Hyderabad-Pune Day 1. Arrive Hyderabad –Hotel checkin –local sightseeing O/N stay. Day 2. After Brkf – visit Ramoji – O/N stay. Day 3. After Brkf – visit Snow world & cover new city - O/N stay. Day 4. After Brkf – visit Shri sailyam – Return Hyd-O/N stay. Day 5. After Brkf –transfer to rly stn / airport drop.


In International Swaps And Derivatives Association, et al. Plaintiffs, v. United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission, Defendant (D. Col. 11-cv-2146 (RLW), September 28, 2012), Plaintiffs International Swaps And Derivatives Association ("ISDA") and the Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association ("SIFMA") challenged Defendant CFTC's recent rule that set position limits on derivatives tied to 28 physical commodities. See, Position Limits for Futures and Swaps, 76 Fed. Reg. 71,626 (Nov. 18, 2011) ("Position Limits Rule"), promulgated pursuant to the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act, Pub. L. No. 111-203, 124 Stat. 1376 (2010) ("Dodd-Frank"). The proposed rule was controversial from its inception and the CFTC passed it by a vote of only 3 (Gensler, Chilton and Dunn) versus 2 (Sommers and O'Malia) on October 18, 2011.


Plaintiffs asserted that the CFTC misinterpreted its statutory authority under the Commodity Exchange Act of 1936 ("CEA") when it promulgated the Position Limits Rule and, accordingly, there was an incorrect and impermissible interpretation of the statute at issue. In framing the issue for its consideration, the Court stated on page 10 of its Opinion:


This case largely turns on whether the CFTC, in promulgating the Position Limits Rule, correctly interpreted Section 6a as amended by Dodd-Frank. Although both sides forcefully argue that the statute is clear and unambiguous, their respective interpretations lead to two very different results: one which mandates the Commission to set position limits without regard to whether they are necessary or appropriate, and one which requires the Commission to find such limits are necessary and appropriate before imposing them.


The Court granted Plaintiffs' Motion for Summary Judgment thereby vacating the Positions Limit Rule and remanding the matter back to the CFTC.


As a threshold finding, the Court early on telegraphed the direction of its ultimate holding. For example, on pages 17 and 18 of the Opinion, we are told that:


Accordingly, the Court concludes that § 6a(a)(1) unambiguously requires that, prior to imposing position limits, the Commission find that position limits are necessary to "diminish, eliminate, or prevent" the burden described in Section 6a(a)(1).


For 45 years after the passage of the CEA, the CFTC made necessity findings prior to imposing position limits under Section 6a(a). The CFTC has not cited to any express interpretation in which the CFTC took the position that no necessity finding was required. Nor has the CFTC cited to any prior interpretation in which the CFTC took the position that the specific language of Section 6a(a) (now Section 6a(a)(1)) was ambiguous on this point. Fully aware that Section 6a(a)(1) is problematic for its current position, the CFTC makes a number of arguments in an attempt to get out from underneath the statute's plain language requiring a necessity finding. Notwithstanding the CFTC's various-and at times inconsistent-interpretations, the necessity requirement remains in Section 6a(a)(1).


In enunciating the basis for its decision, the Court held on pages 42 and 43 of the Opinion :


[T]he CFTC's error in this case was that it fundamentally misunderstood and failed to recognize the ambiguities in the statute. In circumstances such as this, our Circuit has found it appropriate to vacate the agency action on remand. Véase, p. Peter Pan, 471 F.3d at 1354-55; Nat'l Cement, 494 F.3d at 1077; PDK Labs. 362 F.3d at 799. By failing to acknowledge the statutory ambiguities in Section 6a, the CFTC instead relied exclusively on a "plain meaning" reading of the statute. The agency failed to bring its expertise and experience to bear when interpreting the statute and offered no explanation for how its interpretation comported with the policy objectives of the Act. The Court cannot be sure that the agency will interpret the statute in the same way and arrive at the same conclusion after further review and cannot be sure whether a similar position limits rule will withstand challenge under the APA. See Humane Soc'y, 579 F. Supp. 2d at 21.


Second, it would be far more disruptive if the Position Limits Rule were allowed to go into effect while on remand. As Plaintiffs note, remand without vacatur is often warranted once a rule has gone into effect and, as such, there is no apparent way to restore the status quo. (Dkt. No. 31 at 18, n.12); Sugar Cane Growers Coop. of Florida v. Veneman, 289 F.3d 89, 97 (D. C. Cir. 2002) (holding that remand without vacatur was warranted where the rule had already gone into effect and, as such "[t]he egg ha[d] been scrambled and there [was] no apparent way to restore the status quo ante."). In this case, the Position Limits Rule, which according to both parties is a significant and unprecedented change in the operation of the commodity derivatives market, has not yet gone into effect. Moreover, the CFTC itself is reviewing and possibly revising its aggregation policies. (Dkt. Nos. 61, 63). The Court finds that vacatur of the rule would merely maintain the status quo and cause far less disruption than vacating the regime after it has gone into effect.


READ full-text Opinion


a Cobra is a narrow range bar named for its resemblance to the snake, i. e. the open and close finish at opposite extremes offhe bar. for a bullish cobra, the open must be in the bottom ofthe range, and the close must be in the top offhe range. for a bearish cobra, the open must be in the top offhe range, and the close must be in the bottom offhe range


figure 3.1 shows twobullish cobras withfhe letter above each bar. typically, the cobra precedes a large-range day. the pattem is essentially a narrow range day showing strength. the letter n denotes a narrow range day; it is not an independent pattern pec se but is noted when other pattems are present (see section 3.2 on pattem ijiu.-j


a Hook is a retracement bar that appears to reverse the retracement trend but then closes in the direction of the retracement. figure 3.2 is an example of a bearish hook with the letter h below the bar a series of puhback days, then the stock gaps up at the open but closes down on the day, continuing the puhback. essentiahy, the bujers here were "hooked" on the days open.


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float or its eps growth. we envision the day when internet-wide public feeds transmit ah kinds ofinfomiation in real-time: eamings reports, basebah scores, weather forecasts, etc.


Figure 3.3. Inside 2


A Tail is a bar where the open and close are m the same half-bar. If both the close and open are in the upper half of the range, then that is a bnUish tail. If boOi the close and opea are in the lower half of the range, then that is a bearish tan. Figure 3.4 shows two bullish tails with the letter L above each bar; each 1 is also a narrow range bar


Thec7weA77?g? Pe7-cen/functioncalculates where a price falls as apercentage ofthe range (between 0 and 100) for a single bar or for a number ofbars; this number is the Sange Percentage (RP). For a single bar, the low ofthe bar has an RP of 0, and the high ofthe bar has an RP of 100. For a range ofbars, the lowest low ofthe range has an RP ofO, and the highest high ofthe range has an RP of 100.


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The EasjLanguage code for identifjing a 1 is shown below in Example 3.1. Each pattem function assigns the following codes to return the pattem status:


a 0 = Pattem Not Found a 1 = Bullish Pattem Found a 2 = Bearish Pattem Foimd


Example 3.1. Function AcmeTail AcmeTail: Search for a Tail Pattern


Variables: RP(O. O), RP25(0.25). RlW(n. Sn);


3.1.3 Inside Day2(l)


An Inside Day 2 bai is aninsiek day followed by another inside day. By definition, it is a narrow range day without any directional bias, thus the reason for annotating both the top and bottom ofthe bar with the letter 1. A trade would normally be taken in the direction ofthe breakout, as in Figure 3.3 below. Note that an inside day is not necessarily a narrow range day. If an outside day has a very large range, then the inside days range may still be greater than the ATR.


The RP is also used as an mput parameter to specify where the open and close must appear on a given bar. For example, an RP of 80 means that the open and close must be in the upper or lower 20 ofthe bar. The trader can adjust the RP for certain pattems, e. g. 80 for more restrictive or 60 for less restrictive. Ifthe trader wants shaven heads [22], then the RP can be set even higher. Ultimately, the choice is a tradeoffbetween discretion and automation


angePercent(Close, 1)) / 2;


Conditioni = RP >= (1 - Percent);


Condition2 = AcmeRangePercent(Close, l) >= (1 - RP25); If (Conditioni or Condition2) and AcmeRangePercent(Low, RangeLength) <= Percent and AcmeRangePercent(Open, l) > RP50 and AcmeRangePercent(Close, l) > RP50 Then AcmeTail = 1;


Conditioni = RP <= Percent;


Condition2 = AcmeRangePercent(Close, 1) RP25; If (Conditioni or Condition2) and


AcmeRangePercent(High, RangeLength) >- (l - Percent) and AcmeRangePercent(Open, 1) < RP50 and AcmeRangePercent(Close, l) < RP50 Then AcmeTail = 2;


AHai-amiis a classic candlestick pattem. It is a two-bar pattem where an inside bar fohows a wide range bar, and the inside bar closes in the opposite direction. A Haraini by itself does not indicate a change in trend, but it can signal a reversal when combined with other market pattems. Figure 3.5 is a chart with both a bearish Harami (the close is greater than the open in the wide range bar followed by the close balow the open m the inside bar) and a buUish Harami (the close is less than the open in the wide range bar, and the close is abo\e the open in the second inside bar):


The fundionAcmeHarami implements an extended Harami pattem for up to three bars, that is, ifthe wide range bar is fohowed by a series ofinside bars, then the pattem is in effect until price breaks out ofthe original wide range bar.


APuUbackis the traditional Gann puhback pattem. A bullish puhback occurs when the trend is up, and price makes a certain number oflower lows or a combination oflower lows and inside dajs [4]. A bearish puhback occurs when the trend is down, and price makes a certain number of higher highs or a combination of higher highs and inside days. Figure 3.6 shows an example of a bearish Puhback with the letter P below the bar.


The faacticnAcmePullback defines a puhback in other ways, too. Either a bulhsh Tail or a buUish Cobra can mark the bottom of a retracement in an up trend. Similarly, a bearish Tail or Cobra can mark the top of a retracement in a downtrend. The EasjLanguage code for / function is shown in Example 3.2:


Example 3.2, Function AcmePulihack


AcmePullback: Search for a Gann Pullback Pattern


PullbackBars(3), Percent(0.35), RangeLength(5), RangeFactor(o.7);


Conditioni = AcmeRetraceDown(PuUbackBais) = True; Condition2 = AcmeTail(Percent, RangeLength) = 1; Condition3 = AcmeCobra(Percent, RangeFactor) = 1;


If ADX(Length) ADXLimit and DMIPliis(Length) > DMIHinus(tength) and AcmeRangePercent(Close. Rangotonglh) < Pcrccnl and (Condilionl or Condition? or Condilionl) then AcniePiillh, irk l;


Monthly Archives: February 2013


SEC v. Howard Brett Berger and Michelle Berger . Case No. CV-12-4728 (E. D.N. Y.). On February 12, 2013, the SEC announced it settled an enforcement action brought in September 2012. The SEC alleged Howard Berger (“Berger”) was a founder and manager of Professional Traders Management, LLC and Professional Offshore Traders Management, LLC, which managed and acted as investment advisers for hedge funds Professional Traders Fund, LLC (“PTF”) and Professional Offshore Opportunity Fund (“POOF”). Berger was involved in fraudulently “cherry-picking” trade allocations, meaning he cherry picked profitable trades from PTF and allocated those trades to his wife’s brokerage account. Continue reading →


CFTC v. Robert Stanley Harrison . Case No. 8:13-cv-00327-GRA (D. S.C.). On February 11, 2013, the CFTC announced that the U. S. District Court for the District of South Carolina froze the assets of Robert Stanley Harrison. The CFTC charged Harrison with fraudulently soliciting investments in the Investors Choice Advisors LLC commodity pool. Harrison allegedly guaranteed the investments had no risk and would generate 100 percent profits within 60 to 90 days. Harrison also created fake documents reflecting purported profits. In addition, Harrison took investor money for himself and did not register as a Commodity Pool Operator. The CFTC seeks injunctive relief, registration and trading bans, restitution to defrauded investors, disgorgement, and a civil monetary penalty in addition to the emergency relief already obtained.


SEC v. A Chicago Convention Center, LLC, Anshoo Sethi, and Intercontinental Regional Center Trust of Chicago, LLC . Case No. 13-cv-982 (E. D. Ill.). On February 8, 2013, the SEC announced charges and an asset freeze against Anshoo Sethi, A Chicago Convention Center (“ACCC”) and Intercontinental Regional Center Trust of Chicago (“IRCTC”) in connection with an alleged investment scheme to defraud foreign investors seeking profitable returns and a legal path to U. S. residency through a federal visa program. The SEC alleges that Sethi and his companies ACCC and IRCTC sold more than $145 million in securities and obtained $11 million in administrative fees from investors mostly from China. Continue reading →


SEC v. Michael W. Perry et al . Case No. CV 11-1309 R (JCx) (C. D. Cal.). On February 7, 2013, the SEC announced that a federal judge granted summary judgment in favor of A. Scott Keys, a former CFO of IndyMac Bancorp. Inc. The SEC alleged that former CEO Michael W. Perry and former CFOs A. Scott Keys and S. Blair Abernathy participated in the filing of false and misleading disclosures about the financial stability of IndyMac and its main subsidiary, IndyMac Bank F. S.B. The SEC claimed that they regularly received internal reports about IndyMac’s deteriorating capital and liquidity positions, but failed to ensure adequate disclosure of that information to investors. Continue reading →


SEC v. Steven Harrold . Case No. CV 12-1959 GW (JCx) (C. D. Cal.). On February 6, 2013, the SEC announced that it settled insider trading charges against Steven Harrold, a former executive at a Coca-Cola bottling company. In its complaint filed in March 2012, the SEC alleged that Harrold, who was a Vice President at Coca-Cola Enterprises Inc. bought company stock in his wife’s brokerage account after learning that his company had agreed to acquire the Coca-Cola Company’s bottling operations in Norway and Sweden. Harrold signed an agreement promising to maintain the confidentiality of any nonpublic information he learned about the deal. Continue reading →


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This website does not constitute investment advice as it does not take into account the investment objectives, knowledge and experience or financial situation of any particular person or persons. Prospective investors are advised to make their own assessment of the information contained herein and obtain professional advice suitable to their own individual circumstances.


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Warning: The value of your investment may go down as well as up and you may lose some or all of the money you invest. Past performance is not a reliable guide to future performance. Investments denominated in a currency other than your base currency may be affected by changes in currency exchange rates.


Davy Select is designed for investors who are comfortable making their own investment decisions, without financial advice; this is known as “execution-only”. Execution-Only is not for everyone. You should ensure that you fully understand any investment and the associated risks before making a decision to invest. Alternatively, Davy can arrange for you to open a different type of account, where we can advise you in relation to investment decisions, or where we can manage investments on your behalf.


This website does not constitute investment advice as it does not take into account the investment objectives, knowledge and experience or financial situation of any particular person or persons. Prospective investors are advised to make their own assessment of the information contained herein and obtain professional advice suitable to their own individual circumstances.


J & E Davy, trading as Davy, is regulated by the Central Bank of Ireland. Davy is a member of the Irish Stock Exchange, the London Stock Exchange and Euronext. In the UK, Davy is authorised by the Central Bank of Ireland and authorised and subject to limited regulation by the Financial Conduct Authority. Details about the extent of our authorisation and regulation by the Financial Conduct Authority are available from us on request.


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ZTE C366 - Vtelca Vergatario - Con-Cafe. com


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elgafotron: La linterna del ZTE 366 (Vergatario), se enciende dejando presionada la tecla "arriba" por 3 segundos aproximadamente, si lo que se enciende es la camara, es por que no has dejado presionado el boton lo suficiente. denle un + para que los que no saben puedan leer este comentario y enterarse


Ellery Gonzalez: revision del vergatario.


JoNB3x: Pueden revisar mi canal para que sepan como colocar MP3 a su vergatario y hay un video demo de los MP3 que yo le he colocado gracias


matrixpathofneo: @RAVB90 seguramente uso otro vergatario


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Zamyn-Uud - PowerPoint PPT Presentation


Transcript and Presenter's Notes


1 Zamyn-Uud Erlianhot Border Trade and Transport Joint Cooperation


In Country Consultation Workshop on


Regional Cooperation for Mongolia and PRC


January 29, 2009


Ulaanbaatar, Mongolia


Asian Development Bank Robert L. Wallack, International Trade Consultant, United States Asian Development Bank, TA-6370 (REG)


2


ZAMYN-UUD


3 Contents


Border Trade Demand


Border Development Strategies


Operational Improvements


Infrastructure Improvements


Policy Improvements


Projects and Capacity Building


4 Border Trade Demand


Erlian - US437.8-878.9 million 26.15 trade growth from 2004-2007


Exports Imports - 33 25 2004-07


130 m 750 million in 2007


Exports Building materials, Food


Imports Processing Products value added


(Mongolia-mining, animal Russia-timber)


5 Border Trade Demand


US 16-375 million 41.4


GDP growth from 1996-2007. US613-2,326 DI/capita 26


Forecasted US 4 billion 2020 59


DI/capita of US 6,176 33


6 Border Trade Demand


Zamyn-Uud 2007 US 1,288/capita


GDP for Mongolia


Forecasted GDP-8.3-7 to 2020


Trade Logistics Facilities-16.5 growth from 2003-2007


MCA Rail Project 17 million metric tons 2006 to 23 million no changes-41 million with changes by 2011


7 Border Development Strategies


Mongolia-Transit Mongolia Action


Erlian-5432 Program


-Truck Border Road


-North Border Logistics-Processing


-East Rail Logistics - Processing


-Airport with Logistics Area


-Enterprises with plans cold chain


8 Joint Border Development Commission


Joint Border Control Conference to Joint Border Development Commission


Who? ZU Special/NCTTF/Customs


Erlian Port, Border, Transport Private businesses of both.


¿Qué? Harmonize Border Projects Road, Rail, Logistics, FEZ, Urban


¿Cuando? Monthly or at least Quarterly


9 Joint Border Development Commission 10 Operational Improvements


Transloading? International Practices


with supply chain value add services


1.)Manual? Pallets/Forklifts?


containerization of all cargo in the future


2.)Border/Yard Chaos?


Registration/Scheduling System Software


3.) Certificates of Conformity/Erlian Lab


11 Infrastructure Improvements


1.) Loading Platforms


2.) Warehouses


3.) Yard Roads-Parking


4.) Choyr-Zamyn-Uud


5.) Water Pipelines


12 Policy Improvements


1.) SMGS-UBTZ


Harmonize Railway Freight Forwarding


Laws


2.) Truck Crossing Agreement


Manzhouli municipal border agreement


3.) Free Economic Zone Harmonization


Harmonize with Erlian FEZ/Logistics Plans


Xinjiang-Horgos Kazakhstan Border


13 Policy Improvements


4.) Data Exchanges


Customs Mutual Assistance/CAREC


5.) International Trade Corridor Mgt


Objectives, Roles Responsibilities


14 Projects Capacity Building


Joint Website-Mongolia, PRC, Russia


CIECC, Beijing (65k/35k)


Single Electronic Window data agt.


Training-PPP Risks, PM Intermodal


Study Tours-Tianjin, Hailar, USA/IPA


15 Internal and Bilateral Agreements Source Internet - Wikipedia 16 Thank You Questions/Answers Robert L. Wallack, Trade Logistics Development Expert, U. S.A. robert. wallack_at_rlw-international. co m for ADB


PowerShow. com is a leading presentation/slideshow sharing website. Whether your application is business, how-to, education, medicine, school, church, sales, marketing, online training or just for fun, PowerShow. com is a great resource. Y, lo mejor de todo, la mayoría de sus características interesantes son gratuitas y fáciles de usar.


You can use PowerShow. com to find and download example online PowerPoint ppt presentations on just about any topic you can imagine so you can learn how to improve your own slides and presentations for free. O utilizarlo para encontrar y descargar de alta calidad de cómo PowerPoint ppt presentaciones con diapositivas ilustradas o animadas que le enseñará a hacer algo nuevo, también de forma gratuita. O usarlo para cargar sus propias diapositivas de PowerPoint para que pueda compartirlas con sus profesores, clase, estudiantes, jefes, empleados, clientes, inversores potenciales o el mundo. Or use it to create really cool photo slideshows - with 2D and 3D transitions, animation, and your choice of music - that you can share with your Facebook friends or Google+ circles. That's all free as well!


For a small fee you can get the industry's best online privacy or publicly promote your presentations and slide shows with top rankings. But aside from that it's free. We'll even convert your presentations and slide shows into the universal Flash format with all their original multimedia glory, including animation, 2D and 3D transition effects, embedded music or other audio, or even video embedded in slides. Todo gratis. Most of the presentations and slideshows on PowerShow. com are free to view, many are even free to download. (You can choose whether to allow people to download your original PowerPoint presentations and photo slideshows for a fee or free or not at all.) Check out PowerShow. com today - for FREE. There is truly something for everyone!


presentations for free. O utilizarlo para encontrar y descargar de alta calidad de cómo PowerPoint ppt presentaciones con diapositivas ilustradas o animadas que le enseñará a hacer algo nuevo, también de forma gratuita. O usarlo para cargar sus propias diapositivas de PowerPoint para que pueda compartirlas con sus profesores, clase, estudiantes, jefes, empleados, clientes, inversores potenciales o el mundo. Or use it to create really cool photo slideshows - with 2D and 3D transitions, animation, and your choice of music - that you can share with your Facebook friends or Google+ circles. That's all free as well!


For a small fee you can get the industry's best online privacy or publicly promote your presentations and slide shows with top rankings. But aside from that it's free. We'll even convert your presentations and slide shows into the universal Flash format with all their original multimedia glory, including animation, 2D and 3D transition effects, embedded music or other audio, or even video embedded in slides. Todo gratis. Most of the presentations and slideshows on PowerShow. com are free to view, many are even free to download. (You can choose whether to allow people to download your original PowerPoint presentations and photo slideshows for a fee or free or not at all.) Check out PowerShow. com today - for FREE. There is truly something for everyone!


MSG Management Study Guide


Time Management - Meaning and its Importance


It is rightly said “Time and Tide wait for none”. An individual should understand the value of time for him to succeed in all aspects of life. People who waste time are the ones who fail to create an identity of their own.


What is Time Management ?


Time Management refers to managing time effectively so that the right time is allocated to the right activity.


Effective time management allows individuals to assign specific time slots to activities as per their importance.


Time Management refers to making the best use of time as time is always limited.


Ask yourself which activity is more important and how much time should be allocated to the same? Know which work should be done earlier and which can be done a little later.


Time Management plays a very important role not only in organizations but also in our personal lives.


Time Management includes:


Effective Planning


Setting goals and objectives


Setting deadlines


Delegation of responsibilities


Prioritizing activities as per their importance


Spending the right time on the right activity


Effective Planning


Plan your day well in advance. Prepare a To Do List or a “TASK PLAN”. Jot down the important activities that need to be done in a single day against the time that should be allocated to each activity. High Priority work should come on top followed by those which do not need much of your importance at the moment. Complete pending tasks one by one. Do not begin fresh work unless you have finished your previous task. Tick the ones you have already completed. Ensure you finish the tasks within the stipulated time frame.


Setting Goals and Objectives


Working without goals and targets in an organization would be similar to a situation where the captain of the ship loses his way in the sea. Yes, you would be lost. Set targets for yourself and make sure they are realistic ones and achievable.


Setting Deadlines


Set deadlines for yourself and strive hard to complete tasks ahead of the deadlines. Do not wait for your superiors to ask you everytime. Learn to take ownership of work. One person who can best set the deadlines is you yourself. Ask yourself how much time needs to be devoted to a particular task and for how many days. Use a planner to mark the important dates against the set deadlines.


Delegation of Responsibilities


Learn to say “NO” at workplace. Don’t do everything on your own. There are other people as well. One should not accept something which he knows is difficult for him. The roles and responsibilities must be delegated as per interest and specialization of employees for them to finish tasks within deadlines. A person who does not have knowledge about something needs more time than someone who knows the work well.


Prioritizing Tasks


Prioritize the tasks as per their importance and urgency. Know the difference between important and urgent work. Identify which tasks should be done within a day, which all should be done within a month and so on. Tasks which are most important should be done earlier.


Spending the right time on right activity


Develop the habit of doing the right thing at the right time. Work done at the wrong time is not of much use. Don’t waste a complete day on something which can be done in an hour or so. Also keep some time separate for your personal calls or checking updates on Facebook or Twitter. After all human being is not a machine.


For Effective Time Management one needs to be:


Organized - Avoid keeping stacks of file and heaps of paper at your workstation. Throw what all you don’t need. Put important documents in folders. Keep the files in their respective drawers with labels on top of each file. It saves time which goes on unnecessary searching.


Don’t misuse time - Do not kill time by loitering or gossiping around. Concentrate on your work and finish assignments on time. Remember your organization is not paying you for playing games on computer or peeping into other’s cubicles. First complete your work and then do whatever you feel like doing. Don’t wait till the last moment.


Be Focussed - One needs to be focused for effective time management.


Develop the habit of using planners, organizers, table top calendars for better time management. Set reminders on phones or your personal computers.


Learn management concepts & skills rapidly with easy to understand, richly illustrated self-paced learning modules & downloadable powerpoint presentations. Click below to view DEMO on “Time Management ”


Download DEMO Presentation Now.


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The Pros & Cons of a Forex Trading career


By admin | December 10, 2015


Some traders may follow a trading strategy in the currency market based on economic news, which includes various data and the decisions of central banks, global political and economic task and speeches, through watching our and followed her and make trades before or after or through the issuance of the news in order to take advantage of the price movement both in the bearishness or rookie and take advantage of the teams points between them, and you need this strategy to be cautious in their use due to the speed of price volatility during the period of the release of the news Valmtdaol professional is the one who can choose the right time to enter and exit from the market and catching the appropriate points in time, it has been named traders news in the market Forex Balguenasin, because they Aguetnson appropriate opportunities in periods of the issuance of the news, due to the seriousness of this strategy can not mastered some of the Forex traders.


The advantages of trading with news Big profit opportunity! The market is moving up and down a very large difference of points within seconds, we are talking here about the extent of tens of particular points when the news of the release, for example, is very important as the rate of interest, the big points difference is a golden opportunity to make a profit in a short period of time.


Oscillatory movement of the market has been serving the quick moves and analysts and trading experts to confirm their studies and research and the strength of the impact of the economic indicators and their relationship to the movement of the currency in that country, which has been serving the traders after the news of them.


Cons trading with news You do not have the same asking price due to the speed fluctuations in the trading market in the period of the release of the news, the difference between the asking price and the other price you got it not several points difference only, but has an estimated tens of points and this may spoil you the conduct of a private plan deliberative If you choose - sized deal.


Unlike movement it may be expected as a result of the impact of the news went most traders to make deals before the issuance of the news and that would affect the general movement of the market. You may not distinguish the market reaction if the issuance of the news or perhaps after a period of frequent fluctuations and the behavior of more than one direction, and you see yourself wandering in front of these waves and this may increase the tension that does not serve your best interest has Aoukek in a deliberative bad choices.


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Thursday December 03, 2015 14:39


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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. Este artículo es estrictamente para propósitos informativos solamente. No es una solicitud de realizar ningún intercambio en productos de metales preciosos, materias primas, valores u otros instrumentos financieros. Kitco Metals Inc. y el autor de este artículo no aceptan culpabilidad por pérdidas y / o daños derivados del uso de esta publicación.


Equivalent citations: RLW 2006 (2) Raj 1237


Author: G Mathur


JUDGMENT Govind Mathur, J.


1. The petitioner purchased two consignments of old unripped completely premutilated and fumigated original C. A.W. Woollen hosiery rage from M/s. Auckland Rag Co. Ltd. Kagans, Newzealand and one consignment of same goods from M/s. Compagnie Verdier-Dufor, Paris, France. The goods aforesaid were dispatched from respective foreign ports before 29.2.1992 and the payment too was made to foreign suppliers by State Bank of Bikaner and Jaipur through its foreign counter parts on or before 29.2.1992 in accordance with the procedure applicable.


2. The facts as averred in petition for writ, the petitioner, a company registered under Indian Companies Act purchased the consignment of woollen hosiery rags during currency of export and import policy of Government of India (hereinafter referred to as "Exim policy"), which remained in force from 1.4.1990 to 31.3.1993, according to which the "official rate" of foreign exchange conversion (hereinafter referred to as "forex conversion") was available to all the persons importing goods under open general license as well as actual users. At the time when the petitioner placed order for consignment concerned there was only one rate of forex conversion viz. the official rate. The petitioner understood that the import of all the woollen rags would be governed by official rate of forex conversion. The Government of India after presentation of union budget for the year 1992-93 created two different rates of forex conversion, known as official rate and market rate. The grievance of the petitioner is that the Collector of Customs, Mumbai assessed the value of the goods for purpose of levying the custom duty at the market rate of forex conversion which is quite higher than the official rates of forex conversion.


3. While giving challenge to the assessment of value of goods for the purpose of levying the custom duty at the market rate, the contention of counsel for the petitioner is that respondent Collector of Customs should be estopped from assessing the value of goods for levying custom duty as the entire transaction with regard to purchase of woollen rags by foreign suppliers was under the Exim policy of Government of India existing from 1.4.1990 to 31.3.1993 and in the said policy only official rates of forex conversion was available. The petitioner acted upon the representation made by Government of India under the Exim policy then existing with a belief that the assessment of value of goods shall be made on official rate for determining custom duty, therefore, respondent Collector of Customs by virtue of principles of promissory estoppel is required to be estopped to assess value of goods on market rate of forex conversion. It is also contended by counsel for the petitioner that entire transaction completed on or before 29.2.1992, therefore, the market rate of forex conversion which came in force on 1.4.1993 could not be applied while determining the value of goods for the purpose of charging custom duty. According to counsel for the petitioner the market rate came in force after presentation of union budget for the year 1992-93 i. e. w. e.f. 1.4.1993. The counsel has supported his contention by placing reliance on the decision of Hon'ble Supreme Court in the case of Indian Acrylics v. Union of India and Anr. wherein the Apex Court reversed decision of Division Bench of Punjab & Haryana High Court [Indian Acrylics Ltd. v. Union of India ]. Learned Division Bench of Punjab & Haryana High Court held that the value of importing goods for the purpose of charging custom duty is to be determined under the provisions of Customs Act. 1962 and the Exim policy of Central Government is nothing to do in such determination.


4. A reply to the writ petition is filed on behalf of Union of India and respondent Collector of Customs. The stand of the respondents is that Exim policy of Government of India is nothing to do with determination of custom duty which is required to be assessed according to the provisions of Customs Act. 1962. It is emphasised by the respondents that the provisions of Section 14 of the Customs Act, 1962 prescribes for valuation of goods for purpose of assessment. According to it a duty of custom is chargeable on any goods by reference to their value, the value of such goods shall be deemed to be the price at which such or like goods are ordinarily sold or offered for sale for delivery at the time and the place of importation or exportation, as the case may be, in the course of international trade where the seller and the buyers have no interest in the business of each other and the price is the sole consideration for sale or offer for sale. It further provides that the price of the goods shall be calculated with reference to the rate of exchange as in force on the date on which a bill of entry is presented under Section 46 or a shipping bill or bill of export, as case may be, presented under Section 50. The rate of exchange as prescribed under Section 14 of the Act of 1962 means the rate of exchange determined by Central Government or ascertained in such manner as the Central Government may direct for the conversion of Indian Currency into foreign currency or foreign currency into an Indian currency. According to counsel for the respondents the Collector of Customs made assessment of the value of goods imported by the petitioner on basis of forex conversion rate prescribed by the Central Government in accordance with Section 14 of the Act of 1962 as it was existing on the day a bill of entry was presented under Section 46 of the Act of 1962.


5. Heard counsel for the parties.


6. The contention of counsel for the petitioner is that the petitioner entered into the transaction for import or woollen rags with foreign suppliers in view of export and import policy existing from 1.4.1990 to 31.3.1993 according to which only one official rate of forex conversion was required to be applied for determining value of goods for the purpose of charging custom duty. On basis of Exim policy referred above counsel for the petitioner pressed for application of principles of promissory estoppel to estop respondent Collector of Customs, Mumbi from assessing value of imported goods by applying market rate of forex conversion. The determination of custom duty is required to be made in accordance with the provisions of Customs Act. 1962. Section 14 of the Act of 1962 pertains to valuation of goods for the purpose of assessment. Sub-sections (1) and (3) of Section 14 of the Act of 1962 which are relevant for adjudication of present controversy read as under:--


14. Valuation of goods for purposes of assessment.--(1) for the purposes of the [Customs Tariff Act. 1975], or any other law for the time being in force whereunder a duty of customs is chargeable on any goods by reference to their value, the value of such goods shall be deemed to be - the price at which such or like goods are ordinarily sold, or offered for sale, for delivery at the time and place of importation, as the case may be, in the course of international trade, where the seller and the buyer have no interest in the business of each other and the price is the sole consideration for the sale or offer for sale:


[provided that such price shall be calculated with reference to the rate of exchange as in force on the date on which a bill of entry is presented under Section 46. or a shipping bill or bill of export, as the case may be, is presented under Section 50 .].


3. For the purposes of this section--


(a) rate of exchange" means the rate of exchange--


(i) determined by the Central Government, or


(ii) ascertained in such manner as the Central Government may direct, for the conversion of Indian currency into foreign currency or foreign currency into Indian currency;


(b) "foreign currency" and "Indian currency" have the meanings respectively assigned to them in the Foreign Exchange Regulation Act. 1973.]


7. The valuation of goods for the purpose of determination of the duty of custom on any goods is required to be assessed under the Act of 1962 in accordance with the provisions of Section 14 and Exim policy is nothing to do in this regard. The valuation of such goods are required to be assessed on basis of forex conversion rate as in force on the date on which a bill of entry is presented before the Custom Commissioner in accordance with the provisions of Section 46 o the Act of 1962. The Central Government is having absolute powers to determine such forex rate.


8. In present case the Collector of Customs determined custom duty chargeable on the goods Imported for the petitioner by applying the forex rate in force on the date bill of entry was presented under Section 46 of the Act of 1962. No error, therefore, was at all committed by the respondents in assessing the value of goods for the purpose of determination of custom duty chargeable from the petitioner. The application of export and import policy in present set of facts is misconceived, therefore, the contention of counsel for the petitioner with regard to application of promissory estoppel is also having no worth. The export and import policy is having no role to play while assessing value of goods Imported and which is chargeable for duty of customs.


9. The second contention of counsel for the petitioner that the market value as adopted by the Collector of Customs came into force on 1.4.1990 to 31.3.1993 whereas the entire transaction completed on 29.2.1992 i. e. prior to coming into force the market rate of forex conversion and as such the same could not be made applicable in present controversy, is also not having any force in view of the fact that value of imported goods was assessed in accordance with the provisions of Section 14 of the Act of 1962 and not on basis of export and import policy. The day relevant for such calculation is the day on which bill of entry is presented under Section 46 of the Act of 9161.


10. The reliance placed by counsel for the petitioner on decision of Hon'ble Supreme Court in the case of Indian Acrylics (supra) is also of no consequence as the same is having no application in present controversy. It is true that Hon'ble Supreme Court in the case of Indian Acrylics (supra) reversed Division Bench judgment of Hon'ble Punjab & Haryana High Court wherein learned Punjab & Haryana High Court held that value of imported goods for the purpose of charging custom duty is to be determined under the provisions of Customs Act. 1962 and the export and import policy of the Central Government have nothing to do with regard to valuation of imported goods for the purpose of determination of custom duty. Before the Division Bench of Hon'ble Punjab & Haryana High Court a contention was also made by counsel for Indian Acrylics Ltd. that the rate of foreign exchange fixed by the Central Government under Section 14(3)(i) is arbitrary as the same is different from the rate of exchange fixed by the Reserve Bank of India.


11. The Division Bench of Punjab & Haryana High Court while negativating the aforesaid contention held that by ascertaining the value it cannot be said that determination of forex conversion rate by Central Government under Section 14(3)(i) perse would be arbitrary as the Central Government has to fix the rate of exchange under the provisions of Custom Act not for one person or for particular item. Such forex conversion rate is to be applied to all and different articles imported. The Division Bench of Punjab & Haryana High Court held that in absence of any other material brought on record it cannot be held that determination of rate of exchange by Central Government under Section 14(3) 0 ) is arbitrary. Hon'ble Supreme Court in the case of Indian Acrylics (supra) reversed Division Bench decision of Punjab & Haryana High Court only on the count that the Central Government had no good reason for prescribing higher forex conversion rates. The relevant portion of the judgment of Hon'ble Supreme Court in the case of Indian Acrylics (supra) reads as under: --


5. The counter filed by the respondent before the High Court, as also before this Court, does not indicate why the rate was fixed at Rs. 31.44. The affidavits do not indicate that the prevalent Reserve Bank of India rate had been taken into consideration. Strangely, the High Court, adverting to this contention, stated that adverting to this contention, stated that ". In the absence of any other material brought on record, it cannot be held that the rate of exchange by the Central Government under Section 14(3)(i) is arbitrary" and it said this after nothing the contention on behalf of the appellant that the Central Government rate was arbitrary being different from that fixed by Reserve Bank of India.


6. The exchange rate fixed by Reserve Bank of India is the accepted and determinative rate of exchange for foreign exchange transactions, if it is to be deviated from to the extent that the notification dated 27.3.1992 does, it must be shown that the Central Government had good reasons for doing so. Reserve Bank of India's rate, as we have pointed out, we Rs. 25.95, the rate fixed by the notification dated 27.3.1992 was Rs. 31.44, so that there was a difference of as much as Rs. 5.51. In the absence of any material placed on record by the respondents and in the absence of so much as a reason stated on affidavit in this behalf, the rate fixed by the notification dated 27.3.1992 must be held to be arbitrary.


7. Having regard to the lapse of time and the complications which might result, we refrain from striking down the said notification, but direct that so far as the appellants are concerned, the value of their consignment shall be calculated at the exchange rate of one US dollar equal to Rs. 25.95. This is what, in fact, has been paid.


12. Hon'ble Supreme Court in the case of Indian Acrylics (supra) not at all dealt with the issue with regard to assessment of value of imported goods for determination of the custom duty chargeable. In the instant writ petition no challenge is given by the petitioner to forex conversion rates fixed by the Government of India while exercising powers under Section 14(3)(i) of the Act of 1962.


13. In view of whatever discussed above. I am of the considered opinion that respondent Collector of Customs, Mumbai rightly assessed the value of goods for determination of custom duty chargeable. The writ petition, therefore, is having no merit and therefore, the same is dismissed.


Merci encore pour ton partage !


Je teste ta technique pour voir ce que ça donne entre mes mains


Je place aussi une remarque (du post. Scalping et day trading du 17 novembre 2014 ) dans ton journal pour y voir plus clair !


squale47 a écrit:


Maxifab a écrit: Hello Squale, j'ai regardé ta vidéo de vendredi, merci. Je crois que certains ont demandé comment tu réglais tes 2 indicateurs. (périodes). Tu ne prends position que quand tu as double signal ?


Bonne continuation en tout cas


Indicateurs sur 21 UT 1min Je prends position quand le premier des 2 me donne le signal que j'attends. Après chacun fixe ses limites


J'ai testé ta méthode avec succès. Je ne trade pas en automatique comme toi dès l'apparition d'un des 2 signaux. J'attends un break-out de la bougie sur laquelle le signal est généré. Et ce en regardant également l'UT supérieure. Si le signal est généré également sur l'UT supérieur c'est encore mieux. Je regarde également la forme des bougies. Ainsi que les bougies sur le Dow. Vivement demain pour continuer les tests. ce soir, je testerai sur le Dow.


par George Henry » 18 Nov 2014 08:54


Squale tu n'a pas peur que en partageant ta façon de trader, des lecteur anonyme l'utilise et que à force elle ne fonctionne plus ?


Sinon très bonne vidéo, j'aime ta façon de trader, mais je ne l'utiliserais pas même si tes PV sont belle, je n'aime pas recopier.


Trader: Et mangeur de nems


par squale47 » 18 Nov 2014 22:04


Salut George henry, je n ai vraiment plus beaucoup de temps pour trader donc je préfère partager Cette facon de trader fonctionne avec d autres indicateurs En ce moment je m intéresse au market profile afin de déterminer des zones possibles de retour des prix Lundi j avais annoncé 9350 puis 9450 dans les prochains jours.


Trader: Squalping DAX


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Bubble may need another poke to pop


We have discussed the 2008 banking crisis and resultant Great Recession in this Daily Republic column for a few weeks now and it seems like every time I present the facts, some right-winger gets irritated and gives us his opinion.


In response to my July 15 column, “Who are the bank regulators regulating?” a reader wrote a letter to the Daily Republic editor saying he thought Bill Clinton and the “Home Ownership and Equity Protection Act” were responsible for the housing crisis.


I wrote “The Home Ownership and Equity Protection Act instructed Fed chairman, Alan Greenspan, a conservative Ronald Reagan appointee, to write rules regulating the mortgage industry. He refused, feeling that a freer, less-regulated banking system would effectively police itself.”


Then last week, Earl Heal, a conservative guest columnist at the Daily Republic wrote:


“I was not aware that former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan refused to write rules regulating mortgage loans, but I am not concerned for many reasons. It should be up to our legislative, not executive, branch of government to write the rules; the Bush administration from 2001 to 2005 unsuccessfully and repeatedly asked the Congress to limit Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac policies, and The Wall Street Journal editorialized repeatedly for years against the Fannie/Freddie policies. The concerns were that the Home Ownership Act pressured banks to make unsound loans. This obviously disproves Mr. Kirchubel’s statement.”


I’m not sure how Mr. Heal’s opinion obviously disproves anything, except clarity of thought, but I am willing to cite further references for him to ignore.


Nonpartisan inquiries into the housing collapse such as the Government Accountability Office, the Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission, the Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies and the Federal Reserve, among others, point blame at lax banking regulations and have all disproved the right-wing argument that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were responsible for the proliferation of high-risk mortgages. The fact is that private lenders accounted for a vast majority of these sub-prime loans, which were then bundled and sold to other private parties, all without sufficient oversight.


From the Dec. 21, 2008, edition of The New York Times: “From his earliest days in office, Mr. Bush paired his belief that Americans do best when they own their own home with his conviction that markets do best when let alone. He pushed hard to expand homeownership, especially among minorities, an initiative that dovetailed with his ambition to expand the Republican tent – and with the business interests of some of his biggest donors. But his housing policies and hands-off approach to regulation encouraged lax lending standards.”


“Lawrence B. Lindsey, Mr. Bush’s first chief economic adviser, said there was little impetus to raise alarms about the proliferation of easy credit that was helping Mr. Bush meet housing goals. ‘No one wanted to stop that bubble,’ Mr. Lindsey said. ‘It would have conflicted with the president’s own policies.’ ”


In October 2005, the House of Representatives passed the Federal Housing Finance Reform Act, which provided more stringent regulations for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, but the Bush Administration opposed that legislation. According to the bill’s main author, Republican Rep. Mike Oxley, the White House gave the reform legislation “a one-finger salute.”


Republicans controlled both houses of Congress from 1995 to 2007 and the White House from 2001 to 2009. It is understandable that they would want to distance themselves and their policies from the vast destruction that befell our great land, but you only have to look at their present push to further deregulate the banking industry to understand the absurdity of that position.


Picture a wife-beater telling a cop he is innocent at the same time he is beating her.


Mike Kirchubel grew up in Fairfield and is the author of “Vile Acts of Evil – Banking in America.” He can be reached at [email protected]


LEAVE A COMMENT


Discussion | 78 comments


CD Brooks August 12, 2013 - 6:46 am


mike kirchubel August 12, 2013 - 7:20 am


DORIS DAY - I'M FOREVER BLOWING BUBBLES 1951 August 13, 2013 - 1:33 pm


Phillip Phillips - Gone, Gone, Gone (Lyrics) August 13, 2013 - 2:54 pm


Trouble is Gonna Burst Your Bubble August 13, 2013 - 2:38 pm


Lior - Burst Your Bubble August 13, 2013 - 2:43 pm


A guy with a pin to burst your bubble August 13, 2013 - 2:45 pm


rlw895 August 12, 2013 - 8:41 am


CD Brooks August 12, 2013 - 9:12 am


rlw895 August 12, 2013 - 9:22 am


Mike Kirchubel August 12, 2013 - 9:26 am


rlw895 August 12, 2013 - 11:46 am


mike kirchubel August 12, 2013 - 1:16 pm


rlw895 August 12, 2013 - 8:59 am


CD Brooks August 12, 2013 - 9:08 am


rlw895 August 12, 2013 - 9:09 am


rlw895 August 12, 2013 - 9:10 am


Mike Kirchubel August 12, 2013 - 4:14 pm


Mr. Smith August 12, 2013 - 4:44 pm


CD Brooks August 12, 2013 - 4:54 pm


mike kirchubel August 12, 2013 - 7:30 pm


Mr. Practical August 12, 2013 - 7:15 pm


The SugarJar August 12, 2013 - 7:31 pm


rlw895 August 13, 2013 - 7:34 am


The Bilderbergs to Blame? August 13, 2013 - 10:15 am


Continued. August 13, 2013 - 10:19 am


Democrats/Republicans Same Same August 13, 2013 - 10:27 am


For Example. August 13, 2013 - 10:32 am


I am being censored again? August 13, 2013 - 10:56 am


Wikipedia James Howard Hatfield August 13, 2013 - 10:59 am


Continued August 13, 2013 - 11:00 am


Part of the Just Say No to Evil Campaign August 13, 2013 - 11:11 am


Democrats/Republicans Same Same August 13, 2013 - 11:50 am


Hmmmmmm wikipedia. Dutch Royal Shell August 13, 2013 - 12:26 pm


rlw895 August 13, 2013 - 1:12 pm


Help August 13, 2013 - 1:21 pm


OK August 13, 2013 - 1:26 pm


NSD. This is not meant to be taken as a threat OK..just Comedy August 13, 2013 - 1:40 pm


Your theme song rlw. Pop goes the Weasel August 13, 2013 - 3:06 pm


lJack in the box/Pop goes the Weasel August 13, 2013 - 3:09 pm


rlw895 August 13, 2013 - 6:18 pm


Interesting Do not know how to interpret but Interesting August 15, 2013 - 9:34 pm


As the Bubbles Burst. A Republican/Democrat/NWO Soap Opera August 15, 2013 - 8:25 pm


Kirchubel's wrinkled T-shirt August 12, 2013 - 7:28 pm


mike kirchubel August 12, 2013 - 7:52 pm


Kirchubel's wrinkled T-shirt August 12, 2013 - 10:26 pm


@ G - Sinner August 12, 2013 - 9:31 pm


Bien. Mike Kirchubel. Mike Kirchubel August 12, 2013 - 9:45 pm


Today Monday on Infowars August 12, 2013 - 10:00 pm


Rudolph Madronich August 13, 2013 - 7:50 am


rlw895 August 13, 2013 - 8:30 am


mike kirchubel August 13, 2013 - 9:50 am


Rudolph Madronich August 13, 2013 - 11:19 am


Mike Kirchubel August 13, 2013 - 12:55 pm


I say this to - say that. IF ONLY WE STILL HAD THE TUESDAY EDITION OF THE DR August 13, 2013 - 3:24 pm


Today Tuesday on Infowars August 13, 2013 - 9:19 am


The Battle of New Orleans August 13, 2013 - 9:29 am


From Wikipedia August 13, 2013 - 9:37 am


From Wikipedia August 13, 2013 - 9:47 am


Timelines and relationships August 13, 2013 - 9:52 am


Continued. August 13, 2013 - 10:01 am


Google August 13, 2013 - 10:07 am


Google August 13, 2013 - 12:04 pm


Demons - Imagine Dragons August 13, 2013 - 2:57 pm


Today Wednesday on Infowars August 14, 2013 - 10:07 pm


Today Thursday on Infowars August 15, 2013 - 6:25 pm


OK let's educate ourselves about some of the Major Players August 15, 2013 - 6:48 pm


Some Interesting Projects August 15, 2013 - 6:59 pm


Some Interesting Projects August 15, 2013 - 7:03 pm


Who Killed Kennedy? August 15, 2013 - 7:29 pm


rlw895 August 15, 2013 - 7:46 pm


A Book that ties in with the Cancer Angle August 16, 2013 - 10:28 am


9/11 and Iran Stuff August 15, 2013 - 9:01 pm


9/11 Pentagon Attack - Behind the Smoke Curtain - Barbara Honegger August 15, 2013 - 9:15 pm


Post Please August 15, 2013 - 10:14 pm


Today Friday on Infowars August 16, 2013 - 10:19 am


The True Roots of American Slavery? August 16, 2013 - 3:02 pm


www. mnei. nl/schopenhauer/38-stratagems. htm August 18, 2013 - 7:05 pm


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¿Ganamos y ganaremos dinero con Larry Williams?


Este artículo es el primero de la categoría de Sistemas en análisis y he querido empezar con éste a raíz de otro artículo reciente de un compañero de Rankia, Jeromegekko titulado " Ganando dinero con Larry Williams ", cuando leí su post me pareció un sistema sencillo y según se desprendía de elevada efectividad en aciertos. Lo que me hizo pensar, bueno dará pocas entradas pero si son positivas con 2 ó 3 sistemas como éste podríamos obtener unos beneficios consistentes mensual o anualmente, o también podemos incrementar el número de contratos en cada potencial operación para obtener un mayor retorno o beneficio, pues bien para responder a estas cuestiones esta última semana me he dedicado a automatizarlo y probarlo con diferentes herramientas Visual Chart 4 y Ninja Trader 6.5.


Hoy explicaré las 2 versiones para Visual Chart 4, en barras diarias y barras de 60 minutos, pero antes quiero aclarar los criterios de entrada y salida de este sistema, con algunas diferencias a las descritas en el artículo del compañero, puesto encontré un artículo en inglés donde se describían con algo más de detalle: http://www. mrci. com/lwilliams. php


Larry Williams aplica este método al mismo índice SP500 (no confundir con el miniSP) de hecho el gráfico que él mismo expone como ejemplo es del día 17 de Abril del 2001 donde el sistema expuesto consigue 22,8 puntos de ganancia con 1 solo contrato.


Para abrir este instrumento en Visual Chart, hacer lo siguiente:


Y seleccionar el S&P 500 NDX CONTINUOUS


Criterios de entrada


El método propuesto consta del análisis de un patrón de 3 días cotizados y consecutivos, esto es 3 barras diarias consecutivas de la cotización del SP500:


1- El primer día debe ser un día positivo, esto es que la apertura sea menor en puntos al cierre del mismo día, o lo que es lo mismo que habríamos ganado si hubiésemos comprado al inicio de la sesión y vendido al fin de la misma.


2- El segundo día debe ser una “inside day” del primer día, esto es que el mínimo y el máximo del segundo día sea mayor y menor respectivamente, por lo que la barra del segundo día queda visualmente como si estuviera dentro de la del primer día, ver la barra señalada con una flecha en rojo en la siguiente imagen:


3- El segundo día además debe ser un lunes, un jueves o un viernes.


4- El tercer día debe abrir por debajo del máximo de los dos días anteriores, esto es que la cotización en la apertura del tercer día tiene que ser menor que el máximo del primer día y menor al máximo del segundo día, con que sea menor al máximo del segundo ya es suficiente.


5- La entrada se producirá cuando durante el tercer día se rompa el máximo del primer día, por lo tanto habrá que poner una orden stop de compra en el máximo del primer día.


Criterios de salida


Pues "casi" no hay. parece increíble pero el mismo Larry Williams nos dice en su artículo "The exit strategy is to get out on the first profitable open with a dollar risk stop" y esto significa:


1- Stop de 1$ (que es lo mismo que no ponerlo)


2- Salida en la primera apertura con beneficios


¿Por qué nos dice esto? pues bien según él mismo, este sistema ha dado un 100% de aciertos en todas las entradas que se han hecho, en el artículo dice de 27 entradas las 27 entradas son ganadoras.


Es muy atractivo, ¿no? lo mismo pensé y me puse manos a la obra para automatizarlo y analizarlo.


Proceso de automatización


Para tener una idea de cuántas entradas y cómo podía funcionar este sistema, realicé una automatización a partir de las cotizaciones históricas en barras diarias del SP500, es una primera aproximación a su automatización pues no es posible replicar todos los criterios de entrada con las cotizaciones diarias y para entender esto hay que entender primero cómo funcionan y trabajan las herramientas que nos permiten construir sistemas como son Visual Chart y Ninja Trader y que aclararé más detalladamente en posteriores artículos.


Cuando analizamos una barra en estas herramientas, las cotizaciones contenidas en esa barra ya son historia, ya son pasado, es decir en ese momento no podremos lanzar una orden al mercado, solo podemos lanzar una orden en la próxima barra, o sea, cualquier orden introducida desde una barra solo se ejecutará en la próxima.


Una imagen vale más que mil palabras:


La orden se ejecuta en la barra con la flecha azul identificada como una "C" de Compra y un "1" de 1 contrato, pero realmente esta orden se introduce en la herramienta desde la barra señalada con la flecha roja, esto debemos tenerlo siempre en mente pues determinará cómo procedemos a automatizar un sistema.


En cambio si operamos discrecionalmente (ejecutando órdenes manualmente), mientras se está dibujando una barra podemos lanzar una orden al mercado, en cambio con estas herramientas no es posible pero sí podemos minimizar el problema, el cómo lo veremos en otro artículo, aunque estoy seguro de que muchos de vosotros ya sabéis la solución o la podréis intuir después de leer este artículo.


En cuanto a la estrategia de salida, la lógica es salir de una operación que se halle en mercado en la apertura de la barra próxima barra diaria, es decir en la apertura del 4º día.


Resumiendo, en el sistema con barras diarias sólo podemos automatizar los criterios de entrada 1, 2 y 3 mientras que en las barras de 60 minutos podemos automatizarlos todos, por lo que el sistema que os proporciono al final del artículo está desarrollado y hay que aplicarlo a cotizaciones de 60 Minutos.


Vamos a ver los resultados para las barras diarias.


Automatización del Sistema Larry Williams en barras diarias para 1 contrato sobre el histórico 2000-2010 del SP500 :


Nota: estos resultados no incluyen las comisiones del bróker por operación ni el slipagge.


Hoy vamos a analizar 3 puntos (en otros artículos explicaremos la equity curve, Drawdown y otras medidas de resultados):


1) El primero se trata de la Ganancia total, como podéis ver en la imagen es de -9,3 puntos, sí! es negativo, después de 10 años de ejecutar este sistema según las pruebas o backtesting nos dice que hoy perderíamos 9,3 puntos por contrato.


2) El segundo es el total de operaciones "Nº Negocios", en diez años se han lanzado al mercado 36 operaciones que nos da una media de unas 3,6 operaciones al año, pero lo que es más importante es que de estas 36, 16 son ganadoras "Nº negocios positivos" y 20 son perdedoras "Nº negocios negativos", vaya! con lo optimista que había empezado.


3) El tercer punto es la fiabilidad del sistema, con un porcentaje del 44% de aciertos, que lo obtenemos dividiendo las operaciones ganadoras por el total de operaciones (16/36) y el profit factor que nos determinará la fiabilidad en las ganancias del sistema y se obtiene su resultado dividiendo el total de ganancias por el total de pérdidas (166,8/176,10)


El máximo DrawDown no lo voy a analizar pues este sistema carece de una estrategia de salida por lo que por ahora no le doy importancia, aunque es uno de los indicadores más importantes a la hora de analizar un sistema.


Conclusión: a primera vista ya descartaría este sistema, pues nos da más pérdidas que ganancias y su principal característica (una elevada tasa de aciertos) queda en entredicho pues obtenemos solo un 44% de aciertos.


Finalizada la primera prueba, que a más de uno hubiese hecho descartar este sistema, preferí desarrollarlo con una mayor granularidad para adaptarlo exactamente a la estrategia de entrada descrita (ver criterios de entrada), por lo que pasé a construirlo en barras de 60 Minutos. Vamos a ver sus resultados.


Automatización del Sistema Larry Williams en barras de 60M para 1 contrato sobre el histórico 2000-2010 del SP500 :


Nota: estos resultados no incluyen las comisiones del bróker por operación ni el slipagge.


1) Ganancia en 10 años para 1 contrato de 82,1 puntos. Esto nos da una media de 8,2 puntos por año para un solo contrato, no está mal para un sistema que lanza tan pocas operaciones, aunque si obtenemos la media de puntos por operación sale algo más de 3,5 puntos que tampoco se trata de la panacea.


2) De un total de 23 operaciones (2,3 de media por año), 11 son ganadoras y 12 perdedoras. vamos mal amigo Larry, seguimos sin cumplir con la alta efectividad anunciada.


3) El profit Factor de 2,58 es aceptable, a partir de 2 considero que hay que seguir estudiando y trabajando el sistema, puesto nos indica que de cada 2 puntos perdemos 1 y en el caso que nos ocupa de cada 2,58 puntos perdemos 1.


Vista la segunda prueba se nos despeja un poco más el cielo, aunque no es oro todo lo que reluce pues cuando pensábamos que estábamos ante un sistema de alta efectividad, nos encontramos con un sistema de baja tasa de aciertos pero que produce resultados positivos.


Si analizamos las 12 operaciones perdedoras podremos ver que en 8 de ellas podríamos haber salido tranquilamente con una ganancia mayor a 3 puntos que habría mejorado notablemente la efectividad (19 operaciones con ganancia/23 operaciones totales) hasta un 83%, aunque claro está seguramente también penalizaríamos las operaciones ganadoras.


Para ir terminando y no aburriendo al personal quiero concluir destacando que el sistema que nos ocupa es necesariamente mejorable en cuanto a los criterios de salida pero que mientras tanto se puede utilizar a modo discrecional y gestionando personalmente la salida, os proporciono una herramienta para vigilar las posibles entradas.


Para incluirlo en la futura cartera de sistemas automáticos (es uno de mis objetivos explicado en la presentación con su consiguiente seguimiento de resultados mensual, deberíamos ser capaces de mejorar la efectividad encontrando una estrategia de salida adecuada. Si de algo estoy bastante convencido es que uno de los aspectos más importantes de la inversión en los mercados es la estrategia de salida, yo lo equiparo a lanzar una moneda al aire, es decir, si lanzamos una operación al mercado, pueden ocurrir dos cosas en un determinado punto del tiempo futuro que suba o baje (no quiero ni hablar de que se quede como estaba) y esto lo podemos demostrar con el mismo sistema que hoy os he expuesto, la tasa de aciertos se aproxima al 50% (11 ganadoras por 12 perdedoras) por eso considero tan importante gestionar bien la salida en un sistema.


Como cuatro ojos ven más que dos, y un objetivo de este blog es que participéis y juntos consigamos encontrar sistemas que sean aceptables para ir construyendo una cartera, podéis solicitarme los dos archivos con los sistemas . los dos para Visual Chart (más adelante os pasaré la versión para Ninja Trader) que contienen:


- Fichero con el sistema de Larry Williams para la dimensión de 60 Minutos (Sistema_60M_larryWilliams1.vba y acordaros de seleccionar esta compresión al abrir el gráfico de las cotizaciones) y parámetros de entrada: el día de la semana a operar y el número de contratos, para que podáis trastear los diferentes resultados que nos daría probando diferentes combinaciones.


- Fichero con el Estudio para la dimensión de 1 día (Estudio_1D_LarryWilliams1.vba y acordaros de seleccionar esta compresión al abrir el gráfico de las cotizaciones) para este sistema, nos servirá para que el propio Visual Chart nos indique cuándo es posible que haya una potencial operación a la vista, y digo a la vista porque nos avisa que se cumplen las primeras 3 condiciones de entrada explicadas antes, por lo que el resto de criterios los aplicaremos en modo discrecional o manual.


Y ya para terminar os pongo la imagen sacada del día 17 de Abril del 2001 día del que tan satisfecho estuvo nuestro amigo Larry:


Nota: en la dimensión de 60M no se habría realizado esta operación, a ver si encontráis el porqué, espero vuestros comentarios, análisis, pruebas, propuestas, opiniones. Muchas gracias!.


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* присутствуют программы в demo или lite версиях, требующие покупки или активации для получения всех возможностей программы ** присутствуют программы с вшитыми кряками (установи и пользуйся) *** присутствуют программы с патчами или кряками отдельно (в 80% нужен ROOT и в 100% "прямые руки" =) √ Описание: Вы купили себе новенький планшет. Или наконец-то поняли что смартфон за тридцать тысяч предназначен чтоб не только оправлять смс-ки по WhatsApp и делать селфи в Инстаграмм. Но даже эти приложения нужно сначала установить. А как это сделать если вы впервые узнали что такое Android и на что он способен и к тому же у Вас нет Google аккаунта. В официальном магазине приложений Google Play Market сотни тысяч приложений, но как найти среди них именно то, что нужно и не попасть на фэйк, клон или вирус.… И так на помощь приходит «Сборник для Android’a by ProGmerVS». Проект, разрабатываемый всего одним человеком. Проект, который поможет вам разобраться в многочисленных программах и играх, и выбрать для себя только лучшее, только работоспособное и проверенное программное обеспечение для Android всех версий начиная с 2,1 и выше. Большая часть бесплатных приложений взята с официального магазина Google Play Market. Также в Сборнике присутствуют игры «взломанные на деньги» и другие приятные штуки. Ну и конечно есть «ломанные» программы, без которых не обходится ни один смартфон или планшет на Android. Сборник создан в удобном формате меню, где можно выбрать нужную вам программу или игру просто нажав на ее название, а также прочитать описание и узнать ее тип распространения (платно/бесплатно) в Play Магазине просто наведя мышкой на название. Многие игры после установки потребуют скачать КЕШ с Play Market’a, поэтому не забываем включать интернет. Для платных или взломанных игр кеш лежит внутри папки с игрой. Как воспользоваться сборником и как установить программу или игру на телефон или планшет под Android'ом: * Смонтировать образ и запустить меню Autorun * Нажать на кнопку выбора приложений * После чего запуститься WPI где нужно галочками отметить нужный Вам контент ** или просто нажать кнопку "Необходимое", программа выберет все за Вас (но игры придется выбрать в ручную) * Когда все галочки расставлены и Вы определились с выбором нажмите "Готово" * Произойдет копирование контента в папку "APK" на диске (C:\\APK) (игры будут в папке C:\\APK\\Games) * После того как ВСЕ скопируется, откроется папка APK. * Ее нужно перенести на ваше устройство (через дата-кабель, bluetooth или wi-fi) * Далее используя приложение Easy Installer, выделить все и установить приложения. PREGUNTAS MÁS FRECUENTES. Вопросы-Ответы Зачем нужен сборник, если все и так можно скачать с Play Market. 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Serena Williams Makes History


Serena Williams has been officially confirmed as the new world No 1, making history in the process. The American, 31, is the oldest player to hold the position, beating the previous record held by Chris Evert who was 30 years and 11 months when she was top of the rankings in November 1985.


Williams is back on top of the world for the first time in two-and-a-half years.


She was usurped by Caroline Wozniacki in October 2010 but her victory over Petra Kvitova at the Qatar Open in Doha on Friday ensured she took over from Victoria Azarenka.


Azarenka, who won the Australian Open and the Qatar Open – beating Williams in the final – drops to No 2.


Cannabis Culture | Marijuana Magazine


Letter to The Young Turks: Proof that Marijuana Smoking Does Not Lead to Lung Cancer


Dear Young Turks,


My name is David Malmo-Levine and I write for Cannabis Culture online magazine.


Recently, on your show. Cenk said, “if you smoke it very consistently for a long long period of time you can get lung disease … and maybe even lung cancer, as you would from smoking cigarettes.”


The facts say the opposite of this:


There are no epidemiological or aggregate clinical data suggesting that marijuana-only smokers develop lung cancer.


You’d think it would have been very big news in June 2005 when UCLA medical school professor Donald Tashkin reported that components of marijuana smoke – although they damage cells in respiratory tissue – somehow prevent them from becoming malignant. In other words, something in marijuana exerts an anti-cancer effect !


There has never been a documented case of lung cancer in a marijuana-only smoker, and recent studies show that pot use is not associated with any type of cancer .


I attended the 1st National Clinical Conference on Medical Marijuana in Iowa in 1998. Arguably the most learned man on the subject of the effects of smoke on the lungs is named Donald Tashkin, Professor of Medicine, Division of Pulmonary & Critical Care, at UCLA. He spoke for almost an hour at the Conference, showing slides of smoke-browned lungs. He showed how marijuana smoke seems to push pollutants towards the outer lining of the lungs.


His presentation did not portray marijuana smoke as harmless, but there was no solid evidence of disease associated with the browning of the lungs’ outer lining. Donald Tashkin has conducted the most extensive research involving the largest number of long-term marijuana-only smokers, as well as multi-drug smokers–marijuana, tobacco, cocaine, and other substances, for several decades. His critique of marijuana smoke was completely non-committal. (Considering the government is his largest source of funding, there is little doubt why his lecture at the first medical cannabis conference was short and unsupportive.)


When Dr. Tashkin finished his speech, he did not wait to answer questions. He grabbed his materials and bolted for the door. I raced after him and stopped him on the steps outside the conference hall. I showed him the passages I had written about his research in The New Prescription. I stood there and watched him read everything I had written about his work. He agreed that my synopsis was correct. Then I asked him the $64,000 question. I said, “Do you know of any cases of marijuana-only smokers who had lung cancer?” He said “Yes, there is one.” Then he smiled, explaining, “He was sixteen years old.” We both smiled, knowing a teenager could not possibly have sufficient exposure to marijuana smoke to cause lung cancer–his cancer was clearly due to some other cause.


The Single Most Inportant Fact: Not One Recorded Case of Lung Cancer Linked to Cannabis


We have interviewed Dr. Tashkin numerous times. In 1986 I asked him about an article he was preparing for submission to the New England Journal of Medicine, indicating that cannabis smoking caused as many or more pre-cancerous lesions as tobacco in “equal” ammounts.


Most people do not realize, nor are the media told, that a pre-cancerous lesion is any tissue abnormality; abrasion, eruption, or redness. Unlike the radioactive lesions caused by tobacco, the THC-related lesions contain no radioactivity.


We asked Tashkin how many people had gone on to get lung cancer in these studies — or any other studies on long-term smokers like Rastas, Coptics, etc.?


Dr. Tashkin, sitting his UCLA laboratory, looked at me and said, “Well, that’s the strange part. So far no one we’ve studied has gone on to get lung cancer.”


“Was this reported to the press in the article?”


“Well, it’s in the article,” Dr. Tashkin said in passing, “but no one in the press even asked. They just assumed the worst.” His answer to us was still that not one single case of lung cancer in someone who only smoked cannabis has ever been reported. It should be remembered that he and other doctors had predicted 20 years ago, their certainty that hundreds of thousands of marijuana smokers would by now (1997) have developed lung cancer.


I hope this evidence will compel Cenk to retract his statement about cannabis possibly causing lung cancer, or at least be factually correct about the issue in the future. If anything, the evidence shows that cannabis may protect people from lung cancer, not cause it.


Anonymous on March 31, 2012 4:53 am


Here is Why: The reason why it increases lung capacity is because as people exhale and inhale the hit to their maximum lung capacity, their lung is still releasing deoxygenated blood gasses into your lungs which are increasing the lung’s capacities by minuscule amounts slowly.


Over time this makes a big impact as social development of the habit continues.


As the marijuana user challenges their peers to pride their ego and see who can hold it the longest and who can inhale the most. There is a constant ritual among the marijuana smoking communities called “ghosting”. The longer they hold it, the higher chance they have of absorbing so much gas that they no longer see the smoke as they exhale, hence; ‘ghosting’.


These types of rituals are uncommon among tobacco smokers, these people enjoy smoking a pack a day on average, spending their time inhaling smoke more commonly and of a more dangerous nature.


Marijuana cannot cause lung cancer. It is contrary to all scientific evidence, as one piece of information look up run from the cure on google by Rick Simpson. Disfruta.


DML on March 30, 2012 10:50 am


“Now that we’re beyond that we can work to denounce so called decrim.”


I wrote this article:


¿Qué has hecho? When are you going to start your “work”?


“This is what losing a debate looks like. Cheap ad hominem, no point to it other than attack.”


I’m just honest about calling bullshit bullshit. Attacking the “person” would be to call you a bullshitter. When I hear bullshit I call it that – and I’m not afraid to say it was me, David Malmo-Levine – who feels that way. And pointing out your cowardice isn’t an attack, it’s just an observation. There are lots of people too scared to put their name to their critiques of others … it’s a common problem on the internet. Think of it as helpful advice from someone who wishes you to find your intestinal fortitude and come out of the closet as a cannabis activist. Someone as wise as yourself shouldn’t be ashamed or afraid to show the world how you feel about the way the movement should proceed. In fact, you should probably not limit your activism to giving advice in some reply section of my articles, but rather spring into action yourself and follow your own advice and carry out the tasks you are attempting to give me. “Lead by example”. I am sure that, once you locate your spine and grow a pair, the rest will be easy.


“The way you’re flying off your rocker, if you did know who I am you’d probably start harassing me at all hours.”


If I knew you I could better diagnose where your psychological problems originate.


“Nah you’d just cash your paycheck for writing bullshit, like you do now.”


I write for free. I make my modest income buying and selling artwork. ¿A qué se dedica? Or are you too scared to say?


“If you wrote what I do you’d be able to have some pride in your ability.”


If I wrote what you did I’d commit suicide immediately.


I’m just pointing out that both the dictionary definition of “potent” and the common usage applies to budder. I cited a half-dozen sources, Pete Brady being only one. You, so far, have provided exactly zero sources of your unique definition of potency, and are covering up that fact by pretending that my providing context is somehow “name dropping”. I’m quite certain that term does not mean what you think it means.


“Paper credentials can be in order but it doesn’t mean he’s an actual authority on the issue.”


So who is an authority on the issue. Please provide quotes in context, as I have.


“You judge that instead by the caliber of their body of work on that exact issue. I mentioned two people who are but did you bother to ask them or did you just go on the attack about anonymous chicken shits.”


I’m waiting for you to supply someone who has published on the matter. It’s one thing to hold an opinion in private, it’s another to put your name next to it in public.


Raising concerns is not the same as “making shit up”.


Exactamente. You’re making shit up about there being nothing about concentrates in RMLW – you just admitted to doing so when you wrote “But that clause is good news.” encima.


“But having a discussion with you is like having a discussion with an apple fanboy. No critical thought process at play, just fanaticism.”


Thanks … THAT was an example of an ad hominem attack. Here’s the difference between your actual attack and my observation. I have evidence you’re chickenshit – you refuse to reveal your identity. Your attack is subjective – it’s your opinion that I’ve provided no critical thought process … and yet I’ve responded directly to what you say, line by line, with evidence whenever the situation requires it. Your attack on me is baseless, and mine on you is justified.


“Its potency? You really think that’s impossible? 1. I know how to use search engines. 2. I could write one. 3. I could ghostwrite dozens of them.”


But you couldn’t make it look like it existed before this discussion we are having now. The evidence I’ve provided is dated and existed before we began this discussion.


“That’s where you jumped into the branson boat, in your attempt to defend that idiocy.”


Quote my actual words to me, so I know what you are talking about.


“Branson isn’t worried that people will blow themselves up or ingest adulterants in skunk, he’s saying that skunk is “something else” that’s dangerous because of its potent concentration of thc that makes it a deadly new drug. This is ignorant of reason. You get such concentrations just by vaporizing weaker drugs, or making various other concentrates that are illegal in canada.”


I’ve never called THC “dangerous”. I’ve said the process of making budder is dangerous. How you manage to confuse the two statements is beyond me … I suspect you know the difference and are trying to confuse others.


“But go ahead and kick and scream about not knowing my name some more.”


I’m not upset. I take great pleasure in pointing out all the people full of advice for braver folk to heed. You’re just one of about 100 people over the course of my career who knew better than me what to do but were just too frightened to do anything about it themselves.


“The one in proper context that doesn’t pervert the meaning via equivocation and anecdotal personal tolerance.”


You’re using the “Through The Looking Glass” definition:


“When I use a word,” Humpty Dumpty said, in a rather scornful tone, “it means just what I choose it to mean – neither more nor less.”


This is why you can’t bother providing an actual definition … 1) it doesn’t exist, and 2) it would allow others to critique your reasoning.


“Do you recall where you called yourself a “lightweight”.”


Yeah … but I wasn’t a lightweight in 2004, when I first tried budder.


Anonymous on March 30, 2012 8:10 am


‘I can see you haven’t bothered to read the initiative. The word “concentrates” indicates “all inclusive language”‘


You could have asked, I would have said the same. But that clause is good news. Now that we’re beyond that we can work to denounce so called decrim. reformers that speak such atrocities as skunk being a dangerous new drug. There is a difference when it comes from them versus some corrupt senator or NDP leader. Some people need to know better.


“What sort of chickenshit knows everyone at the BCMP and yet won’t put their name beside their insults and their snide remarks? Of course, if I wrote the bullshit you wrote I’d be ashamed to put my name on it too. & # 8221;


This is what losing a debate looks like. Cheap ad hominem, no point to it other than attack. The way you’re flying off your rocker, if you did know who I am you’d probably start harassing me at all hours.


“Of course, if I wrote the bullshit you wrote I’d be ashamed to put my name on it too. & # 8221;


Nah you’d just cash your paycheck for writing bullshit, like you do now. If you wrote what I do you’d be able to have some pride in your ability.


“Dr. Hornby wasn’t the only one to call it more potent. Pete Brady did too:”


Name dropping. Paper credentials can be in order but it doesn’t mean he’s an actual authority on the issue. You judge that instead by the caliber of their body of work on that exact issue. I mentioned two people who are but did you bother to ask them or did you just go on the attack about anonymous chicken shits.


“Pointing out you’re making shit up.”


Raising concerns is not the same as “making shit up”. But having a discussion with you is like having a discussion with an apple fanboy. No critical thought process at play, just fanaticism.


“In fact, I challenge you to provide an article about budder that doesn’t mention it’s potency”


Its potency? You really think that’s impossible? 1. I know how to use search engines. 2. I could write one. 3. I could ghostwrite dozens of them.


But that’s besides the point. There is a relation to potency with concentrates, but it’s not at all directly proportional, and the biggest variables have to do with things like tolerance and quality of material, various cannabinoid profiles. If you have a person with no real tolerance, than it might seem very potent, because they just smoked the equivalent of a whole ounce in a single drop.


If you have someone that can smoke a whole ounce unphased, the concentration of what they smoked will not get them any higher than could the profile of cannabinoids that was extracted.


The point is that the concentration doesn’t reach some magical purity where it becomes a dangerous new drug. The only actual dangers associated with budder are the methods used to make it, which you attempted to confuse in your futile effort to be right at all costs.


That’s where you jumped into the branson boat, in your attempt to defend that idiocy. Branson isn’t worried that people will blow themselves up or ingest adulterants in skunk, he’s saying that skunk is “something else” that’s dangerous because of its potent concentration of thc that makes it a deadly new drug. This is ignorant of reason. You get such concentrations just by vaporizing weaker drugs, or making various other concentrates that are illegal in canada.


You were very wrong to attempt to defend that with your backwards analogy of budder.


But go ahead and kick and scream about not knowing my name some more.


“I’m using the dictionary definition of potency … what definition are you using?”


The one in proper context that doesn’t pervert the meaning via equivocation and anecdotal personal tolerance.


“I was never so legless from a tiny dab of hash as I had been from a tiny dab of budder.”


Do you recall where you called yourself a “lightweight”. Of course you make the error of assuming both concentrates came from equal quality stock, or that even your method of smoking them was equivalent. You might like to know that there is a big different between holding a flame to a bowl of hash, and consequently burning off all the THC, vs doing a dab on a heated plate that doesn’t burn off all the THC. But lightweight are unaware of such things.


>Maybe you can put a ski mask on, take a photo of yourself and write a blog for CC anonymously.


DML on March 29, 2012 10:22 am


“If specific all inclusive language doesn’t exist in the proposed legislation, then by default it is legislation that only covers low potency, as is wine as the subset of a group that is alcohol.”


I can see you haven’t bothered to read the initiative. The word “concentrates” indicates “all inclusive language”:


“(a) This Act adopts the definitions of marijuana, concentrates, and THC as they presently exist in Health and Safety Code Sections 11018 and 11006.5. However, those definitions shall be broadly interpreted to include the species Cannabis Indica, Ruderalis, and Americana, as well as any plant part, form, derivative, interspecies hybrids or cross-breeds, and all non-genetically-modified strains of the Cannabis genus and plant.”


“”Just enough regulation” according to who?”


According to the majority of California voters polled repeatedly:


“You think because you threw them a bone they’ll be satisfied?”


Government can’t change the initiative with anything other than another initiative. They didn’t like Prop 215 but there was fuck all they could do about that initiative, either.


“Appeal to popularity. & # 8221;


Pointing out you’re making shit up.


“appeal to false authority”


Dr. Paul Hornby’s credentials are in order:


“You might want to talk to Greg and Al,…”


What sort of chickenshit knows everyone at the BCMP and yet won’t put their name beside their insults and their snide remarks? Of course, if I wrote the bullshit you wrote I’d be ashamed to put my name on it too.


Dr. Hornby wasn’t the only one to call it more potent. Pete Brady did too:


Multiple people in the discussion forums:


In fact, I challenge you to provide an article about budder that doesn’t mention it’s potency.


“… it’s obviously your nature to argue till last breath and most would avoid that.”


You’re the pothead calling the kettle black. I stop arguing when I’m proven wrong … I say “thank you for pointing that out” and quit. sorry but that just hasn’t happened yet in this discussion here.


“Note that you continue to advocate that THC becomes dangerous at X potency level,…”


The reason you don’t quote me is so you can put words in my mouth. Where did I use the word “dangerous” in relation to THC potency?


“Everybody who was ever made a concentration knows it doesn’t make it more potent before a very initial point,…”


I’m using the dictionary definition of potency … what definition are you using?


po·ten·cy/?p? tns?/ Noun: Power or influence. The strength of an intoxicant, as measured by the amount needed to produce a certain response: “the unexpected potency of the rum punch”.


I was never so legless from a tiny dab of hash as I had been from a tiny dab of budder.


“Frankly, it worries me that people so misinformed are advocating for anything, let alone anyone so willing to be right that they’re not above being so wrong.”


Until the know-it-alls such as yourself grow a pair, come out of the closet and start educating people to the truth, they’ll just have to settle for ignorant-old-me. Maybe you can put a ski mask on, take a photo of yourself and write a blog for CC anonymously. I’m sure if the quality of the information you provide is of the highest calibre people will overlook your cowardice.


Anonymous on March 29, 2012 9:12 am


“What does that have to do with over-regulation in the RMLW Act? If it existed you could point to it in the language … where is it?”


You’re committing the fallacy of “missing the point”.


I will say it one last time, not for you but others who would be fooled by you. Wine is a limited subset with a fixed intrinsic max potency. If specific all inclusive language doesn’t exist in the proposed legislation, then by default it is legislation that only covers low potency, as is wine as the subset of a group that is alcohol.


You’ve already admitted that you’re fine with that, and then you disagree that it’s even there. The fact that no mention of it is there means it is there, due to the intrinsic limit of wine.


“Yes. And RMLW is not “zero regulation”, nor is is “over-regulation”. Rather it’s “just enough regulation”. & # 8221;


Again you miss the point completely. “Just enough regulation” according to who? You think because you threw them a bone they’ll be satisfied? Those who are and have always been invested in increased restriction will thank you for the regulation you’ve gifted them with and use it as a stepping stone for more. That is an obvious result, it is the inevitable result. It is their nature.


That basic truth for abuse of power, and power seeking, by way of limiting others and removal of rights, is why there are things like the constitution and bill of rights, to stop it before it happens. If you lack the foresight to recognize a need for all inclusive language in order to limit further future encroachment, reverting towards prohibition in any form, then you’ve accomplished nothing. I know you will miss this point too, as you’ve made it a point to miss all others.


“You’re the first person in the world to make that distinction. Everyone else on planet earth considers it more potent, including people who – unlike yourself actually possess academic backgrounds and reputations.”


Appeal to popularity, appeal to false authority… yaaaaaaaaaawwwwn.


No I’m not. You might want to talk to Greg and Al, who find bubble hash to be every bit as “potent” as budder, even though it’s undeniably less concentrated. Whassat? Did I just hear something fizzle…


I might be the first to catch you on your wrong thinking however, or just to call you on it since it’s obviously your nature to argue till last breath and most would avoid that.


Note that you continue to advocate that THC becomes dangerous at X potency level, requiring government control. Not letting you off the hook on that one.


Finding a link that agrees with you doesn’t prove your point or lend it any weight in this discussion. Doctors and “scientists” have pumped out plenty of stupidity when it comes to this topic, and many others. You can find a pseudo expert opinion to support any point, just like how apparently the taser is non lethal and hasn’t yet been responsible for any deaths.


That’s to say that your schoolyard tactics of debate don’t impress, when your logic is so faulty. Everybody who was ever made a concentration knows it doesn’t make it more potent before a very initial point, and where potency is defined by how it affects you, NOT by how it measures in concentration.


It should be obvious even to you that concentration doesn’t mean diddly jack as to how it would affect you, vs the next guy, vs the next guy. Those who make concentrations like hash and budder, instead, know full well that the final result is only as good as the product you start with. That is why proper hash and oil making separates the wheat from the chaff, isolating the buds from the tops of the plant vs the popcorn from the bottom and so on. Like, are you … knew at this?


Frankly, it worries me that people so misinformed are advocating for anything, let alone anyone so willing to be right that they’re not above being so wrong.


“Quote me and then quote him so I know what the fuck you’re talking about”


Or you could just pay attention and, you know, keep up. It’s easier to keep track of what you say when you’re not just spouting off whatever the fuck and actually have some consistency in your convictions.


When you leverage what risks exist with budder, in order to justify heavier restriction on increased potency, you’re jumping into branson’s boat where skunk is a dangerous new super drug that needs to be banned because it is so potent. You lend that idiocy weight because you fear adulterants and so on. Politics of fear.


But you omitted the obvious fact that the concentration, which you mistake as a measure of potency, isn’t the parameter of budder that involves risk. Very faulty logic.


The only real danger to budder and oil concentrates that warrants concern is born of prohibition since people try to hide what they’re doing indoors while ill equipped to contend with the fumes. Regulated extraction centers are all that’s required, and that has nothing to do whatsoever with how potent or concentrated the end product ends up being. Flying loose with the facts as you’ve done would have honey oil at a max of 2% THC and no doubt still loaded with poisonous shit.


So you’re kind of making it up as you along at this point, kicking the goal posts around to get them across your immoveable ball.


“‘m sure the government will fuck it up. That’s why I’m helping to write the regulations ahead of time, such as in RMLW, or why CAMCD is writing standards ahead of time so that we can challenge the government’s shitty regulations and fight for reasonable regulations instead. & # 8221;


Muy bien entonces. Then heed my damn warning and ensure it’s fully inclusive of all strains, at all concentrations AND potency, and ensure that concentration isn’t proportionately conflated with potency.


Ensure that it’s written in such a way that it can’t be reinterpreted, and that the intent be made specific. “Regulate like wine” is just a fucking catch phrase for market value but to have such legislation realized verbatim would be a fatal flaw.


“as a debating partner you disappoint me. I wish there was someone around here that could help me break a sweat.”


You sweat enough already. But good for you, never admit defeat.


DML on March 28, 2012 9:48 pm


“They are BOTH ALCOHOL.”


Sí. What does that have to do with over-regulation in the RMLW Act? If it existed you could point to it in the language … ¿Dónde está?


“Well according you, zero regulation invites further regulation.”


Sí. And RMLW is not “zero regulation”, nor is is “over-regulation”. Rather it’s “just enough regulation”.


“LOL. They are super concentrated. They are no more potent. You don’t know the difference?”


You’re the first person in the world to make that distinction. Everyone else on planet earth considers it more potent, including people who – unlike yourself actually possess academic backgrounds and reputations:


“According to Dr Paul Hornby, a chemist and plant analyst who runs a company (www. hedron. ca) that tests cannabis products for purity and potency, “Budder is the cleanest, most potent cannabis product I’ve ever tested.””


“Did you know you’re a proponent of argument’s such as branson’s?”


Quote me and then quote him so I know what the fuck you’re talking about. In fact, if you’re going to refer to anything I’ve ever said (as you have done many times in your most recent post), provide a quote and a source, so I’ll know the context you’re yanking things out of.


“What makes you think the government is interested in or at all capable of doing it safely.”


I’m sure the government will fuck it up. That’s why I’m helping to write the regulations ahead of time, such as in RMLW, or why CAMCD is writing standards ahead of time so that we can challenge the government’s shitty regulations and fight for reasonable regulations instead.


“Whatever buddy… you disappoint me. As you were.”


And as a debating partner you disappoint me. I wish there was someone around here that could help me break a sweat.


Anonymous on March 28, 2012 12:27 pm


I have to say that you’re dreaming in technicolor in a number of ways. Like previously in commenting on RLW Vs no regulation, where you suggested if there were no regulations they would find cause to regulate it…. so let’s just regulate it and they’ll have no cause. As if because of some regulation they would not want more regulation? Yeah like that’s realistic.


“1) If you distill wine it no longer is wine – it’s brandy. & # 8221;


You do realize you just admitted to being willfully ignorant as to the flaw I mentioned with RLW as it pertains to only regulating lower potency. Brandy higher potency than wine. They are BOTH ALCOHOL.


“2) There is ZERO in the RMLW Act that involves over-regulation.”


Well according you, zero regulation invites further regulation. So which is it? If it’s not inclusive by design than it is exclusive by apparent incompetence.


“3) I think super-potent solvent-based extracts such as red oil and budder SHOULD be regulated, so that the process isn’t done in residential areas, so that only food-grade N butane is used and so that all materials are tested for contaminants and the test results are publicly available. & # 8221;


LOL. They are super concentrated. They are no more potent. You don’t know the difference? But if you’re ignorant of the problem in the argument you just made, then you’re a hopeless case in seeing in anywhere else. Did you know you’re a proponent of argument’s such as branson’s? You’re also a proponent of argument’s such as Health Canada…. “only save in industrial areas…. save the children and communities. Only government body heavy regulation can do it safely… only they can be trusted.”


That’s how far into the deep end you just went. Did you realize that? Or are you too blinded in your effort to be right to even care at this point.


What makes you think the government is interested in or at all capable of doing it safely. Are you familiar with the list of food product recalls? Are you familiar with the pharmaceutical recalls, shortages, tainted products… but you think they’ll succeed in budder, where they’ve failed everywhere else so perfectly.


Whatever buddy… you disappoint me. As you were.


Anonymous on March 28, 2012 12:27 pm


I have to say that you’re dreaming in technicolor in a number of ways. Like previously in commenting on RLW Vs no regulation, where you suggested if there were no regulations they would find cause to regulate it…. so let’s just regulate it and they’ll have no cause. As if because of some regulation they would not want more regulation? Yeah like that’s realistic.


“1) If you distill wine it no longer is wine – it’s brandy. & # 8221;


You do realize you just admitted to being willfully ignorant as to the flaw I mentioned with RLW as it pertains to only regulating lower potency. Brandy higher potency than wine. They are BOTH ALCOHOL.


“2) There is ZERO in the RMLW Act that involves over-regulation.”


Well according you, zero regulation invites further regulation. So which is it? If it’s not inclusive by design than it is exclusive by apparent incompetence.


“3) I think super-potent solvent-based extracts such as red oil and budder SHOULD be regulated, so that the process isn’t done in residential areas, so that only food-grade N butane is used and so that all materials are tested for contaminants and the test results are publicly available. & # 8221;


LOL. They are super concentrated. They are no more potent. You don’t know the difference? But if you’re ignorant of the problem in the argument you just made, then you’re a hopeless case in seeing in anywhere else. Did you know you’re a proponent of argument’s such as branson’s? You’re also a proponent of argument’s such as Health Canada…. “only save in industrial areas…. save the children and communities. Only government body heavy regulation can do it safely… only they can be trusted.”


That’s how far into the deep end you just went. Did you realize that? Or are you too blinded in your effort to be right to even care at this point.


What makes you think the government is interested in or at all capable of doing it safely. Are you familiar with the list of food product recalls? Are you familiar with the pharmaceutical recalls, shortages, tainted products… but you think they’ll succeed in budder, where they’ve failed everywhere else so perfectly.


Whatever buddy… you disappoint me. As you were.


DML on March 27, 2012 10:36 am


“The concern is that you were thus far ineffective in getting your retraction, and as such not having “the truth” reach as wide an audience as possible.”


Ya veo. If only I had waited longer for my private message to get to him I would have succeeded, but because I didn’t wait around for a week or two I failed.


Probablemente no. Probably he doesn’t have time to read all the mail he gets and now the truth is available to some of the people who saw his video whereas if I had waited less people would know the truth.


“That which is that wine, as I’m sure you well know, had a fixed maximum potency. To get beyond it distillation is required and that is regulated.”


1) If you distill wine it no longer is wine – it’s brandy. I don’t know of any brandy-producers complaining about over-regulation or being put out of business, never-mind the wine producers.


2) There is ZERO in the RMLW Act that involves over-regulation.


3) I think super-potent solvent-based extracts such as red oil and budder SHOULD be regulated, so that the process isn’t done in residential areas, so that only food-grade N butane is used and so that all materials are tested for contaminants and the test results are publicly available.


Like I said before, you’re just inventing problems that don’t exist so that you have something to complain about.


Anonymous on March 27, 2012 8:37 am


Nah, you’ve got that all wrong and are seeing what you want to see at this point. Let me set you straight again.


The concern is that you were thus far ineffective in getting your retraction, and as such not having “the truth” reach as wide an audience as possible.


I don’t actually personally give a shit or even some fraction thereof about his feelings. That doesn’t mean you can afford to be ignorant of them in the process of manipulating them.


A little professional courtesy amongst peers can go a long way in forming lasting bonds or barriers. You “had” an opportunity here…. tal vez.


Now you’re going to tell me “if you can do it better”. No, don’t get all defensive, this is not an attack. It’s an honest critic and I’m just telling you how I think you can do it better.


See that? I don’t actually give a shit about your feelings but I had to take them into account in manipulating you. Just joking…. tal vez.


Ostensibly I think RLW effort is probably not that bad, where the previous one was actually very bad.


But you can’t be ignorant of either the forces working to flank it, or the methods and avenues they’ll employ to do so.


There is undeniably the intrinsic limit to potency that I already discussed. That which is that wine, as I’m sure you well know, had a fixed maximum potency. To get beyond it distillation is required and that is regulated.


Next to that you have high level politicians and propagandists like US Senators, like Richard Branson as I’ve just shown you, and now Mulcair of the NDP, all breathing life into that absolute bullshit about super potent new age pot being super dangerous … the revival of old school reefer madness. They have already sewn those seeds decades ago and they’ve been cultivating them vigorously, globally, in recent times.


Taken together, you have the fabric for continued prohibition, while all that’s “regulated like wine”, is rope. You have to be blind not to see that comming, and asking for a “source” on your part doesn’t negate that cold reality. So you best start discussing it, I should think. Because if it’s being ignored, you are definitely being blindsided.


Otherwise, give me a single good reason, with “source”, as to exactly why the proposed RLW legislation doesn’t discuss the issue of potency, when given the current climate, it clearly needs to.


DML on March 26, 2012 3:42 am


Let’s see if I got this right.


Your focus is diplomacy, and sensitivity to egos, and protocol.


My focus is telling the truth and correcting misinformation.


You’re concerned about how Cenk might get his feelings hurt if I correct him in public.


My concern is that someone may believe Cenk and then repeat the bad information.


I just don’t believe that the emotional needs of one journalist outweigh the need of the entire community to have access to the truth.


As for Regulate Marijuana Like Wine …


You’re welcome to propose a better initiative … but be prepared to pay 30,000 dollars to pay for a poll to see how well your language is recieved by the California voting public, as we have done … and then may the best initiative get the funding for 2014. We poll at over 62% in 2011 and 2012, which is the highest any legalization initiative has ever polled in California.


Your concern over “hidden limit on potency” doesn’t exist anywhere in the world, and has nothing whatsoever to do with our initiative, which is probably why you don’t bother to quote any relevant passage in the initiative.


Anonymous on March 25, 2012 1:53 pm


“Hardly anyone bothers to communicate privately before reacting in public.”


Were that in fact the case, such an appeal to popularity doesn’t make it the correct approach. An initial private approach, even a strong one with included deadline to respond, and even listed consequences of a failure to do so, offers him the chance to correct himself and save face. It’s a professional kindness.


“Did you bother to attempt to contact me privately before you responded here? Of course you didn’t,”


False equivalence. I didn’t publish an article about it on a dedicated website. A proper juxtaposition would have been had you merely left comments on their youtube page and left it at that.


“we react to things all the time and rarely attempt to contact the person privately”


Normally what you’d react to would be considered opponents at war. You’re not in their Rolodex so to speak. As such a public reaction to them is the only recourse to counter their lies, which are, I think, knowingly intentional, and not innocent ignorance.


In this case we’re not dealing with such, but hopefully an ally, who is most likely innocently ignorant.


As per striking when the iron is hot. Why be striking an ally at all? I don’t think it a correct notion for this form of media either. Mostly because it’s not broadcast per se. Events don’t transpire in a fleeting moment. Do they get the majority of views the minute they release it? Or do they get them when cannabis culture links to it and discusses it, and people email it around and so forth. Traffic flow would likely take the shape of a bell curve, and so the iron as it were, would likely be hottest X time after the initial release, and slowly peter out, unless it went viral for some reason.


You raised the topic yourself and hold the ability to do so at a time of your choosing, so there’s no rush. That action affects the shape of the traffic flow curve. True success would have been to convince him to post an edit for his whole audience, not merely the fraction of it that’s shared with yours to see comments. That equates to preaching to the choir.


He probably doesn’t like being wrong anymore than you do, and it might take awhile for him to come to his senses. Maybe what was really required was a better way of reaching them.


“I’m sure he just wants the truth to be heard. & # 8221;


Much like yourself, and probably everyone else, he wants his version of truth to be heard. He’s sympathetic to marijuana, but it’s unclear if he’s really in the fight for it, or just against the drug war. It’s actually not an insignificant distinction. That’s to say that he’s not necessarily invested in your truth, and may be more invested in trying to seem moderate.


That tactic of attempting to seem moderate, objective, or reasonable, as you can see, leaves the window wide open for misinformation of the highest absurdity. It leaves common sense and strong opinion on the fence because “the research just isn’t all in yet”, “we can’t be quick to judgement”. It conflates the intent of keeping an open mind with having an empty one.


This is where Branson comes in. He is of some persuasion in the debate at this point, unfortunately. Those of his kind and position tend to argue on behalf of legalization or decriminalization from the strict perspective of doing it to eradicate the black market, as though that is the only conceivable ill born of prohibition. Laughable. It tends to call the bluff of the opposition, but that’s only good for a superficial nod while ignoring their underlying motivations. Bit of a pyrrhic victory that.


That also leaves them free to argue the absurd. When they say skunk is super dangerous … not like what we all smoked in the 60’s that didn’t kill anyone, and that it causes schizophrenia to “flare up”, like it’s a rash, and only if they have it anyway. Such broken logic could easily be shot to hell, but rather than debunk it, it’s entertained, if not reinforced. “If we legalize low potency weed… the dangerous super potency black market killer skunk will be eradicated”.


So on one hand you have people of his kin arguing that idiocy into the ears of high level politicians, and on the other hand you have “regulate like wine”… where as I already explained, has an inbuilt and potentially hidden limit on potency.


If I were branson, perhaps wanting to manufacture and sell weed, I wouldn’t be at all opposed to regulations that restricted quality to that of very low production standards, costs and effort. Then it’s simply a question of economies of scale.


Imagine if no music were allowed to be good music, and then imagine the measure of success was little more than the most production, or airplay, with the least overhead, or quality. Nickleback would reign supreme and legally there could be no better.


I feel like I ripped a piece out of you here…. not so much my intent, just that I’m very good at it and can’t help myself.


So I gift you with the following:


What’s the motivation of a knob like that, who currently has the ear of the UN on the matter, to be so… ignorant? Is it? Shocking wouldn’t you say? Is it possible he is actually that misinformed, or is he simply trying to seem… moderate. At what cost?


Do you actually think the truth can afford to have people begging for absurd regulation this way.


Cannabis4MSinBC on March 24, 2012 1:28 pm


Bisphenol A (BPA) is a chemical commonly found in plastic water bottles, both the disposable and hard nalgene variety. BPA has been proven to increase the likely hood of breast cancer in women. And when the hot smoke of a toke warms that old plastic water bottle, BPA is released.


It’s just like tin foil deaths. People try to smoke meth from a little folded slab of tin foil. That aluminum release fluorine gas when heated, a toxic chemical that kills very quickly.


Is it an absolute fact that marijuana doesn’t cause lung cancer? No, it’s not, but the science thus far indicates that it is highly, highly, highly unlikely that it does. All we can hope for is that science continues testing, furthering scientific knowledge, and maybe eventually arriving at the conclusion that it’s practically impossible to develop lung cancer from cannabis smoke.


Personally, I’ll continue to vaporize.


Cannabis4MSinBC on March 24, 2012 1:08 pm


“No matter how emphatic and insistent a person is, in my world extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.”


Lo suficientemente justo. The you must concede and accept/admit that God, Jesus, Heaven and Hell do not exist.


To claim the existence of an omnipotent being who created everything in just 6 days seems extraordinary. And if God is so powerful, why did he take so long.


To claim that the son of God, complete with super powers, came down to earth, cured the sick, healed the blind, water to wine and all that mojo witchcraft hocus pocus, but couldn’t conjure up an AR-16 assault rifle to dispatch some Roman thugs, that’s exceptionally extraordinary.


To claim the existence of a place between places called Heaven, immortal bliss, if you’ve been good and worshiped the right religion, a place nobody have ever seen, knows where it is, how to get there, that’s extraordinary.


To claim the absolution of Hell, a forever burning pit of smouldering sulpher where a nasty red man pokes at you with a pitch fork because you chose to believe one book of wives-tales and fables over another, that’s pretty extraordinary.


But when science runs tests, makes observation, collects figures, references other studies, arriving upon a conclusion of fact that can be reasonably and accurately duplicated under similar and or identical conditions, that preponderance of evidence is somehow just a deluded opinion?


Science has tried and succeeded in proving that smoking cannabis does not significantly (or even slightly) increase the possibility of developing lung cancer, OCPD or respiratory disease, that’s scientific fact.


Science has also tried to prove the existence of God (or a god of some sort), and thus far cannot find any evidence to support the possibility of there being an all powerful spirit in the sky.


Marijuana – 1 point Religion – 0 points


DML on March 24, 2012 10:03 am


“Standard ethics dictate you contact him privately and give him the chance to correct himself before taking the issue public. Did you do that?”


2) What “standards” are you talking about? Hardly anyone bothers to communicate privately before reacting in public. I know nobody has ever tried to correct me privately first. Did you bother to attempt to contact me privately before you responded here? Of course you didn’t, nor should you have had to. We have a comment section so you don’t have to, and we react to things all the time and rarely attempt to contact the person privately. In this case I did, but I was under no obligation to. Given how quickly issues die and how important it is to strike while the iron is hot and while the topic is raised and while it is fresh in people’s minds, it’s more important that journalists reply to each other publicly in a timely fashion rather than wait around for a reply in private. Why allow that misinformation to circulate unchallenged? So that his ego isn’t hurt? I’m sure he doesn’t care … I’m sure he just wants the truth to be heard.


“Branson: It’s a matter of public record, many times over, and you enjoy the same resources as I do. So I am not compelled to serve you a link to common and public knowledge that you can look up yourself just as easily as I. “I’m afraid I can’t help you”.”


I type in “Branson” and “marijuana” into Google and it doesn’t come up, so perhaps you could do what I do and provide a source for what you’re talking about. Unless you are here just to attack rather than to understand, in which case just keep doing what you are doing.


Clint on March 24, 2012 2:49 am


If you want to understand the science that proves that marijuana has anti-cancer properties read the book “Marijuana Gateway to Health: How Cannabis Protects Us From Cancer and Alzheimer’s Disease.”


Paul Pot on March 24, 2012 2:15 am


What I fund remarkable about this is that the use of home made plastic bongs does not appear to cause an increase in the incidence of cancer. The cannabis must suppress any cancer that might result from inhaling plastic fumes from a hot bong. Further proof of the medicinal power of the herb. Legalize! Apologize! Compensate!


Anonymous on March 23, 2012 11:15 pm


Standard ethics dictate you contact him privately and give him the chance to correct himself before taking the issue public. Did you do that?


Branson: It’s a matter of public record, many times over, and you enjoy the same resources as I do. So I am not compelled to serve you a link to common and public knowledge that you can look up yourself just as easily as I. “I’m afraid I can’t help you”.


If you do look into it though you’ll find it’s a common concession amongst groups who enjoy the government’s ear, of which branson is just one spokesperson. I find it’s intolerable to entertain such lies just to foster a pretend debate.


DML on March 23, 2012 10:54 am


I only wish to correct this journalist because he’s likely to make the same mistake in the future, and he’s very popular.


“The Young Turks is the largest online news show in the world, covering politics, pop culture and lifestyle. The TYT Network is one of the Top 50 You Tube Partners, with over 30 million views a month…” http://www. theyoungturks. com/pages/About_TYT. html


If you don’t understand the difference between a retraction and an apology I’m afraid I can’t help you.


Why don’t YOU correct Branson on his “killer kush” statements … or at least provide a link to what you’re talking about.


DML on March 23, 2012 10:50 am


& # 8230; or do you mean I get the last word in this comment section here?


Because if you ever speak about this in public again, you’ll have to do a much better job than you did here.


“No matter how emphatic and insistent a person is, in my world extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.”


The fact of the matter is that there have been no cases of a marijuana-only smoker going on to get lung cancer provided by the leading investigator into this area of science – Dr. Donald Tashkin – or anyone else. That’s extraordinary evidence. You would think, in a world of about 300 million people who smoke pot, about 30 million in the USA and about 3 million in Canada, there would be at least one case of a marijuana-only smoker going on to get lung cancer, if cannabis smoking caused cancer, there would be many examples handy, but there are zero examples. This stands in contrast to tobacco smoking:


Across the developed world, 91% of lung cancer deaths in men during the year 2000 were attributed to smoking (71% for women).[22] In the United States, smoking is estimated to account for 87% of lung cancer cases (90% in men and 85% in women).[23]


^ Peto, R; Lopez AD, Boreham J et al. (2006). Mortality from smoking in developed countries 1950–2000: Indirect estimates from National Vital Statistics. Oxford University Press. ISBN 0-19-262535-7. ^ Samet, JM; Wiggins CL, Humble CG, Pathak DR (May 1988). “Cigarette smoking and lung cancer in New Mexico”. American Review of Respiratory Disease 137 (5): 1110–1113. PMID 3264122. http://en. wikipedia. org/wiki/Lung_cancer#cite_note-Samet2-22


Multiple animal and preclinical studies, as well as a few case and/or pilot studies strongly suggest that cannabinoids are cancer fighting agents for a wide range of cancers, including breast carcinoma (Cafferal et al. 2010; Cafferal, Sarrió, Palacios, Guzmán, & Sánchez, 2006; De Petrocellis et al. 1998; Ligresti et al. 2006; McAllister, Christian, Horowitz, Garcia, & Desprez, 2007), prostate cancer (Mimeault, Pommery, Wattez, Bailly, & Hénichart, 2003; Ruiz, Miguel, & Diaz-Laviada, 1999; Sarfaraz, Afaq, Adhami, & Muhktar, 2005), pancreatic adenocarcinoma (Carracedo et al. 2006; Michalski et al. 2008), colorectal carcinoma (Patsos et al. 2005), skin carcinoma (Casanova et al. 2003), neuroblastoma (Guzmán, 2003), lung carcinoma (Guzmán, 2003; Preet, Ganju, & Groopman, 2008), uterus carcinoma (Guzmán, 2003), oral cancer (Whyte et al. 2010), cervical carcinoma (Ramer & Hinz, 2008), lymphoma (Gustafsson, Christensson, Sander, & Flygare, 2006; Gustafsson et al. 2008), gliomas (Blázquez et al. 2003; Blázquez et al. 2004; Galve-Roperh et al. 2000; Guzmán et al. 2006; Massi et al. 2004; Sánchez, Galve-Roperh, Canova, Brachet, & Guzmán, 1998), leukemia cells (Jia et al. 2006; Powles et al. 2005), and biliary tract cancers (Leelawat, Leelawat, Narong, & Matangkasombut, 2010). In fact, the evidence overwhelmingly demonstrates that the cannabinoids have anticancer properties, with hundreds of peer-reviewed studies to date demonstrating these effects (see http://www. cannabisscience. com/ for a list of over 800 peer-reviewed cannabis and cancer references).


“For you to claim to know the medical history of 300 million people is ridiculous. For you to not know that that is ridiculous is amazing.”


I do know that the synthetic fuel and medicine industries are worth billions and exert a huge force upon the mass media to produce horror stories about cannabis for them to justify the fuel and medicine monopolies that keep those billions of dollars rolling in. If there were actual cases of cannabis causing cancer – even just one single case – they would be splashed across the pages of every newspaper in the world. But there have been none … not because they’ve been overlooked, but because they don’t exist.


“This is obviously a waste of my time, …”


Yes, obviously, because I’m not willing to disregard the leading experts in the field and instead entertain the opinion of some guy named “Anonymous” instead … someone who not only has no evidence to back up what he says, but not enough faith in the validity of his own opinion to put his real name beside it.


“… and therefore you and I are done with this discussion. I have lost all hope of trying to draw you from your land of make believe where the facts are whatever you happen to say they are.”


You mean whatever Dr. Donald Tashkin, Dr. Lester Grinspoon, and all these other guys say that they are.:


Cannabis Smoking Not Linked To Lung Cancer, Case-Control Study Says http://norml. org/index. cfm? Group_ID=6912


No Association Between Pot Use And Oral Cancer, Large-Scale Population Study Says http://www. norml. org/index. cfm? Group_ID=6124


NORML REPORT: Cannabis Smoke and Cancer: Assessing the Risk


* Cannabis Smoke Versus Tobacco Smoke * Head, Neck and Lung Cancers * Childhood Cancers * Other Cancers


Vaporization A “Safe And Effective” Cannabinoid Delivery System, Study Says http://norml. org/index. cfm? Group_ID=6885


STUDY: Marijuana use is not associated with head, neck or lung cancer in adults younger than 55 years: Results of a case cohort study. http://www. nida. nih. gov/MeetSum/marijuanaabstracts. html


Finally, there’s Tashkin’s latest findings:


Marijuana Use and the Risk of Lung and Upper Aerodigestive Tract Cancers: Results of a Population-Based Case-Control Study Cancer Epidemiology Biomarkers & Prevention Vol. 15, 1829-1834, October 2006 http://cebp. aacrjournals. org/cgi/content/full/15/10/1829


For those who wish to compare the two studies, the 2006-study by Tashkin et. Alabama. which indicated no relationship between lung-cancer and cannabis can be read here: http://cebp. aacrjournals. org/cgi/content/full/15/10/1829


“The last word is yours.”


Return to this debate with evidence to refute the above evidence – or don’t return to this debate at all … here or anywhere else.


Anonymous on March 23, 2012 10:08 am


I’m not sure this was worthy of such a story. This guy doesn’t make a habit of being wrong or saying crazy shit. He’s got his head on right and he’s definitely making very relevant observations about things, the drug war included.


He is not a scientific authority on the issue however and his observations are common sense based, as they pertain to the information available to him.


He’s probably a healthy guy. If he’s ever used it at all, he probably did so infrequently, and speaks from that perspective that he can enjoy, where it’s just basic common sense not to over indulge in anything.


So maybe before picking an E-Fight with him, try contacting him and having a discussion before turning it into a big story like he owes you an apology or something.


Now if you really want to talk about someone who’s got their info all wrong, let’s discuss richard branson, who seems to find some benefit in disseminating the big danger of new age super skunk killer kush.


Anonymous on March 23, 2012 9:58 am


If the absurd becomes ordinary, then an extra ordinary claim doesn’t actually require extra ordinary evidence, but rather ordinary evidence. The burden of proof ultimately resides with the absurd to prove their absurd claims not only true, but relevant.


Thus, one may choose to personally err on the side of caution, but not dictate extra ordinary measures of caution unto others, for that becomes the absurd.


The standard air most city dwellers breath likely contains more toxins and carcinogens by orders of magnitude, under clear conditions, than we’re actually discussing even in heavy marijuana use. Your nonsensical bickery lacks all relativistic perspective, with purpose.


Anonymous on March 23, 2012 9:01 am


No matter how emphatic and insistent a person is, in my world extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence.


For you to claim to know the medical history of 300 million people is ridiculous. For you to not know that that is ridiculous is amazing.


This is obviously a waste of my time, and therefore you and I are done with this discussion. I have lost all hope of trying to draw you from your land of make believe where the facts are whatever you happen to say they are.


The last word is yours.


Anonymous on March 23, 2012 7:33 am


SPACE TIME THOUGHT CONSCIOUS MIND BODY MATRIX TEST IN ACTION. THE NEWS WILL TELL THE RESULTS. THE TEST IN TIME IS ON — WELCOME TO THE BIG SHOW.


DML on March 23, 2012 6:16 am


& # 8230; but I’m not afraid to draw conclusions on the evidence already available.


Let’s review that evidence.


Not one case of marijuana-only smokers getting lung cancer from smoking marijuana. Even excessive amounts of marijuana.


Size of sample? 300 million users worldwide.


And let’s put a time frame on that statistic: Ever.


What sort of evidence are you waiting for to “settle” the matter? Something tells me you wouldn’t consider the issue settled regardless of the evidence produced. But feel free to prove me wrong.


Anonymous on March 23, 2012 6:09 am


until the matter has been definitively settled, a person should rely on his or her own common sense and judgement.


That the matter is settled for you may just mean that you are more easily convinced. That’s your prerogative.


Anonymous on March 23, 2012 6:01 am


FEAR BECOMES ANGER. ANGER BECOMES BLOOD. BLOOD BECOMES WISDOM ETERNAL AS ALWAYS RIGHT!


DML on March 23, 2012 5:50 am


“Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof.”


Maybe your definition of “extraordinary” is different than everyone else’s. What part of


“Arguably the most learned man on the subject of the effects of smoke on the lungs is named Donald Tashkin…”


& # 8230; do you not understand?


DdC on March 23, 2012 5:31 am


Toking government schwag including leaves, stems and crushed seeds may do harm to lungs. They should not be toked, only buds. No cancer for thousands of years. Not from Chilum’s, Hooka’s or Peace Pipes. Not from joints smoked everyday since the 60’s as I and millions have done. Only mentioned since the low life’s started profiting on the prohibition and keeping competition off the market. Same Ad agency liars selling corporate lackey’s for Congress and Pharmaceuticals with most of the ad warning of side effects. No bacteria, quite the opposite as an antibiotic, with analgesic and anti-inflammation properties. As an expectorant it has been used safely by children in cough syrups. Same protection against traffic jams, corporate pollution and chemical cigarettes.


Vaporizing was first probably used by the Scythians placing buds on hot rocks in a colander inside a tapestry tent. Bathing in the vapor. Cannabis is more likely to reverse cancer so stop trying to appease the murdering swine. The entire war on cannabis, including hemp since Nixon. Is profit and nothing will ever change that. Adding theoretical hobgoblins can’t work without censorship hiding the facts. Even the government restrictions on medicinal research isn’t stopping research. Every decade or so yahoo’s try to reinvent the reefer madness. Or tweak it to fit the times. There may have been some validity to drug worriers of the past when much of the research was hidden or undiscovered. Easier to censor 3 TV channels than cable and the internet. Maybe they did care if the only side of the story they heard was yellow journalism and lies.


Today’s Ganja phobic are obvious liars and one must question their allegiance to the country and the citizens. Prohibitionists are for profit perpetuators. Their diversions and threats are the only cancerous associations to cannabis. Those who repeat the gossip are guilty of terrorizing sick people and caging healthy citizens in expensive private Koch Bros. prisons. Based on lies. Each day something new is added to the scales of justice. Sooner than later there will be too many products and remedies to lie away. The scales will finally tip toward truth. You and your blind minions sound utterly ridiculous Turk. You can’t compromise with reality. Ganja is and has always been a conglomeration of molecules with specific actions no propaganda can change, yet they still try. Time is well past due for Ganja and Hemp to be recognized as the unique miracle plant thousands of years has proven it to be. Then shackle and publicly flog the profiteers of misery ruining a million American lives while spending a trillion tax dollars in the process. Spotlight the liars!


MJ Like Chemicals Inhibit HIV in Late-State AIDS http://cannabisnews. com/news/thread26891.shtml Mount Sinai School of Medicine researchers have discovered that marijuana-like chemicals trigger receptors on human immune cells that can directly inhibit a type of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) found in late-stage AIDS, according to new findings published online in the journal PLoS ONE.


Medical marijuana is prescribed to treat pain, debilitating weight loss and appetite suppression, side effects that are common in advanced AIDS. This is the first study to reveal how the marijuana receptors found on immune cells — called cannabinoid receptors CB1 and CB2 — can influence the spread of the virus. Understanding the effect of these receptors on the virus could help scientists develop new drugs to slow the progression of AIDS.


If I learn of one more damn thing cannabis helps I’m gonna go out and get drunk!


Researchers Study Neuroprotective Properties in Cannabis http://cannabisculture. com/v2/content/2012/03/21/Researchers-Study-Neuroprotective-Properties-Cannabis With more states opting to legalize the sale of medical marijuana, researchers are taking a closer look at the use of cannabis to treat chronic illnesses.


Anonymous on March 23, 2012 4:49 am


Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof.


DML on March 23, 2012 4:02 am


“If a person is worried about cancer from smoking cannabis, then vaporization and using edibles are two obvious alternatives.”


If someone is worried about a problem for which there is zero evidence for it’s existance, then their problem goes beyond selecting a mode of administration – their problem is one of believing any bullshit that gets handed to them. The solution is for them to learn to do a bit of research first before deciding upon whether a solution is required or not. Your solution – to believe in the bullshit without investigating it first, just reinforces the problem.


“Whether or not there is evidence to back up DML’s claim is irrelevant, since there is also plenty of evidence to back up a billion other questionable claims.”


Actually, that’s not true. If it was true you could provide counter-evidence to the evidence I’ve provided … but so far you have not.


Where is your evidece that it’s the cannabis smoke – not the heat – doing the damage to the lungs? If there is “plenty” of evidence, surely you can provide some.


“So ultimately it boils down to what you implied – use your own judgement and common sense. Mine tells me that smoking anything in excess can have some negative effects, one of which may in fact be cancer.”


Your common sense is a bit out of whack if there are 300,000,000 cannabis smokers all over the world and not one recorded case of a marijuana-only smoker going on to get lung cancer.


Maybe the problem is your qualifier – “in excess” & # 8211; indicates that your solution – to stop smoking entirely – is unnecessary, when smoking less cannabis (of stronger cannabis or hashish) is all that is required.


Of course, there’s no evidence that smoking cannabis “in excess” will lead to cancer either so you should probably not attempt to foist stigma where none need exist, because unlike your concerns, stigma IS harmful … it sometimes leads to discrimination … and occasionally genocide.


Anonymous on March 23, 2012 3:47 am


If a person is worried about cancer from smoking cannabis, then vaporization and using edibles are two obvious alternatives. Whether or not there is evidence to back up DML’s claim is irrelevant, since there is also plenty of evidence to back up a billion other questionable claims. So ultimately it boils down to what you implied – use your own judgement and common sense. Mine tells me that smoking anything in excess can have some negative effects, one of which may in fact be cancer. Vaporization and edibles are not everyone’s first choice, but that doesn’t mean we should abandon common sense and our own judgement.


DML on March 23, 2012 1:25 am


& # 8230; but some people prefer the effects from smoking over vaporization and eating … and smoking is faster than eating so you can titrate/control your dose … and not everyone can afford to buy a vaporizer … and smoking a joint is less likely to be detected than any vaporizer – even the hand-held variety … and GOOD weed, well grown – or small amounts of hash – is not as hard on the luns as the shwag you’e obviously been smoking … and you didn’t bother to address the issues raised in my post above, so no, problem not solved.


Anonymous on March 22, 2012 9:42 pm


Vaporize or eat it. Smoke is hard on the lungs, even from your fireplace. Problem solved.


DML on March 22, 2012 9:39 pm


The study does not say whether it has identified the cannabis smoke or the heat from the smoke as the major factor causing the problems. Perhaps extracts through a triple-filter water pipe would cause less damage than just smoking fatties all day. As well, the study does not differentiate between organic cannabis and those grown in radioactive chemical fertilizers. The study does not differentiate between low-grade Mexican shwag and extra-sticky dank nugs, that you don’t have to smoke as much to get the same effect from.


Furthermore, you can’t say that people shouldn’t use cannabis daily. Some conditions – such as cancer, aids, glaucoma, epilepsy, and MS, require daily use, and some of these “daily use” conditions, such as depression, fatigue, stress, insomnia, are suffered by people we consider “healthy” or “recreational users”.


Anonymous on March 22, 2012 9:11 pm


It does cause increased incidence of lung infections, meaning bacterial. It’s really not a good idea to use Cannabis daily. Maybe on weekends. You get tolerant to it within a few days of regular use anyway. Like all good things, moderation is the key. I find it impossible to quit permanently. I can go for a few weeks and then I fall into a state close to depression. I guess you could just call it a lack of enthusiasm for life. If I then use a small amount it snaps me out of the malaise. It has a lot better effects when used infrequently too. So IMO it’s not completely harmless but if used occasionally it has benefits which seem to outweigh the negatives. It’s probably the best antidepressant available, and it doesn’t make you go on a killing spree like pharmaceutical antidepressants. The following is a quote about possible side effects. I guess using it in edibles would preclude all or most of these effects. It just takes so darn long to kick in.


“Habitual smoking of marijuana has a number of effects on the respiratory and immune systems that may be clinically relevant. These include alterations in lung function ranging from no to mild airflow obstruction without evidence of diffusion impairment, an increased prevalence of acute and chronic bronchitis, striking endoscopic findings of airway injury (erythema, edema, and increased secretions) that correlate with histopathological alterations in bronchial biopsies, and dysregulated growth of the bronchial epithelium associated with altered expression of nuclear and cytoplasmic proteins involved in the pathogenesis of bronchogenic carcinoma. Other consequences of regular marijuana use include ultrastructual abnormalities in human alveolar macrophages along with impairment of their cytokine production, antimicrobial activity, and tumoricidal function. Cannabinoid receptor expression is altered in leukocytes collected from the blood of chronic smokers, and experimental models support a role for delta9-tetrahydrocannabinol in suppressing T cell function and cell-mediated immunity. The potential for marijuana smoking to predispose to the development of respiratory malignancy is suggested by several lines of evidence, including the presence of potent carcinogens in marijuana smoke and their resulting deposition in the lung, the occurrence of premalignant changes in bronchial biopsies obtained from smokers of marijuana in the absence of tobacco, impairment of antitumor immune defenses by delta9-tetrahydrocannabinol, and several clinical case series in which marijuana smokers were disproportionately over represented among young individuals who developed upper or lower respiratory tract cancer. Additional well designed epidemiological and immune monitoring studies are required to determine the potential causal relationship between marijuana use and the development of respiratory infection and/or cancer.” jcp. sagepub. com/content/42/11_suppl/71S. abstract


Follow Cannabis Culture


404 significa que el archivo no se encuentra. Si ya ha subido el archivo, el nombre puede estar mal escrito o está en una carpeta diferente.


Otras posibles causas


Puede obtener un error 404 para las imágenes porque tiene Hot Link Protection activado y el dominio no está en la lista de dominios autorizados.


Si va a su url temporal (http: // ip /


Username /) y obtener este error, tal vez un problema con el conjunto de reglas almacenadas en un archivo. htaccess. Puede intentar cambiar el nombre de ese archivo a. htaccess-backup y actualizar el sitio para ver si se resuelve el problema.


También es posible que haya borrado su raíz de documento de forma inadvertida o que su cuenta tenga que ser recreada. De cualquier manera, póngase en contacto con HostGator inmediatamente a través de teléfono o chat en vivo para que podamos diagnosticar el problema.


¿Estás usando WordPress? Consulte la Sección sobre errores 404 después de hacer clic en un enlace de WordPress.


Archivos perdidos o rotos


Cuando obtenga un error 404 asegúrese de comprobar la URL que está intentando utilizar en su navegador. Esto le dice al servidor qué recurso debe intentar solicitar.


En este ejemplo, el archivo debe estar en public_html / example / Example /


Observe que el CaSe es importante en este ejemplo. En plataformas que hacen cumplir la sensibilidad de mayúsculas y minúsculas y E xample no son las mismas ubicaciones.


Para los dominios addon, el archivo debe estar en public_html / addondomain. com / example / Example / y los nombres distinguen entre mayúsculas y minúsculas.


Broken Image


Cuando usted tiene una imagen que falta en su sitio usted puede ver una caja en su página con con una X roja donde la imagen falta. Haga clic derecho en la X y elija Propiedades. Las propiedades le dirán la ruta y el nombre de archivo que no se pueden encontrar.


Esto varía según el navegador, si no ves una casilla en tu página con una X roja, haz clic derecho en la página, luego selecciona Ver información de la página y ve a la pestaña Medios.


En este ejemplo, el archivo de imagen debe estar en public_html / images /


Observe que el CaSe es importante en este ejemplo. En plataformas que imponen la sensibilidad de mayúsculas y minúsculas PNG y png no son las mismas ubicaciones.


Al trabajar con WordPress, 404 Page Not Found los errores a menudo pueden ocurrir cuando un nuevo tema ha sido activado o cuando las reglas de reescritura en el archivo. Htaccess se han alterado.


When you encounter a 404 error in WordPress, you have two options for correcting it.


Option 1: Correct the Permalinks


Log in to WordPress.


From the left-hand navigation menu in WordPress, click Settings > Permalinks (Note the current setting. If you are using a custom structure, copy or save the custom structure somewhere.)


Select Default .


Click Save Settings .


Change the settings back to the previous configuration (before you selected Default). Put the custom structure back if you had one.


Click Save Settings .


This will reset the permalinks and fix the issue in many cases. If this doesn't work, you may need to edit your. htaccess file directly.


Option 2: Modify the. htaccess File


Add the following snippet of code to the top of your. htaccess file:


# BEGIN WordPress <IfModule mod_rewrite. c> RewriteEngine On RewriteBase / RewriteRule ^index. php$ - [L] RewriteCond % !-f RewriteCond % !-d RewriteRule. /index. php [L] </IfModule> # End WordPress


If your blog is showing the wrong domain name in links, redirecting to another site, or is missing images and style, these are all usually related to the same problem: you have the wrong domain name configured in your WordPress blog.


The. htaccess file contains directives (instructions) that tell the server how to behave in certain scenarios and directly affect how your website functions.


Redirects and rewriting URLs are two very common directives found in a. htaccess file, and many scripts such as WordPress, Drupal, Joomla and Magento add directives to the. htaccess so those scripts can function.


It is possible that you may need to edit the. htaccess file at some point, for various reasons. This section covers how to edit the file in cPanel, but not what may need to be changed.(You may need to consult other articles and resources for that information.)


There are Many Ways to Edit a. htaccess File


Edit the file on your computer and upload it to the server via FTP


Use an FTP program's Edit Mode


Use SSH and a text editor


Use the File Manager in cPanel


The easiest way to edit a. htaccess file for most people is through the File Manager in cPanel.


Cómo editar archivos. htaccess en el Administrador de Archivos de cPanel


Before you do anything, it is suggested that you backup your website so that you can revert back to a previous version if something goes wrong.


Open the File Manager


Log into cPanel.


In the Files section, click on the File Manager icon.


Check the box for Document Root for and select the domain name you wish to access from the drop-down menu.


Make sure Show Hidden Files (dotfiles) " is checked.


Click Go . The File Manager will open in a new tab or window.


Look for the. htaccess file in the list of files. You may need to scroll to find it.


To Edit the. htaccess File


Right click on the. htaccess file and click Code Edit from the menu. Alternatively, you can click on the icon for the. htaccess file and then click on the Code Editor icon at the top of the page.


A dialogue box may appear asking you about encoding. Just click Edit to continue. El editor se abrirá en una nueva ventana.


Edit the file as needed.


Click Save Changes in the upper right hand corner when done. The changes will be saved.


Test your website to make sure your changes were successfully saved. If not, correct the error or revert back to the previous version until your site works again.


Once complete, you can click Close to close the File Manager window.


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September 18, 2015 | Beth Finke views | 5 comentarios


The U. S. Supreme Court’s historic ruling upholding affordable care subsidies is an enormous win for people with disabilities. Had the plaintiffs in King v. Burwell prevailed, as many as 6.4 million Americans would have been in danger of losing the federal tax credits they need to pay insurance premiums under the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (ACA). Of vital importance is.


June 26, 2015 | Randall Rutta, President and CEO views | 0 comentarios


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April 7, 2014 | Beth Finke views | 63 comments


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A librarian recommends children's stories in which the character with the disability tells the story.


These clever moms were inspired by their kids to invent products and programs that change lives for the better.


Autism and employment as an issue in the 2016 election.


In the spring of 1934, we launched our first Easter “seals” campaign to raise money for our services. The seals were stickers about the same size as postage stamps, and donors placed them on envelopes and letters to show their support.


The great outdoors — inspired by Charlie


Posted on January 5th, 2010 by Patricia


A blogger I follow (and really like) is Kristina Chew. Dr. Chew is a Classics professor and the mother of a 12-year-old with autism. She blogged at My Son Has Autism/Autismland from 2006 to 2008, at Autismvox from 2006 to 2008, at Change. org from 2008 to 2009, and now she’s at We Go With Him .


And so, okay, she’s moved around a lot the past few years, but trust me, she’s worth keeping up with! Her willingness to provide a glimpse into her family is very generous, and her posts are typically insightful, sometimes heart breaking and always well written.


Dr. Chew frequently shares that her son Charlie has a great appreciation for the outdoors. For example, here’s a bit from a post she wrote for Change. org :


I like the idea of Charlie working on a farm. He likes being outdoors and the kind of work one does when gardening strikes me as combining many of the things he’s drawn to do.


And here’s one from a post she wrote for We Go With Him :


The ocean is the great equalizer for Charlie — he’s a 12-year-old boy first and foremost, diagnosed and diagnosis-less, straining for his independence and annoyed to no end to hear his parents placing limits and saying “be safe.”


Charlie is taller (far taller) than most of the children on the beach. When I see them, I can’t help thinking of my boy when he was all skinny limbs and clamored for us (both of us — this was when he was 6 and under) to carry him. Charlie was fascinated, absorbed, obsessed with the waves and quite reluctant to venture into them without Jim and me supporting him. Then we thought it’d be enough if Charlie could learn to hold onto his board and stay atop it. We knew we’d feel beyond joyous if could learn to swim so he could jump and splash in the waves like the other laughing kids around us.


Charlie did learn to swim, and that post features a photo of Charlie out in the waves while his mom and dad watch from the shore.


Outdoor activities can include kayaking, bike riding and the beach, to mention just a few. From my days as a classroom teacher, I remember well many students who really appreciated their time outside of the classroom. Kristina Chew’s posts about Charlie’s love of nature have inspired me to do some research on organizations who have gone out of their way to meet the unique needs of individuals with autism — even in the great outdoors.


Look for my next post to find out about a forestry organization that has partnered with the Autism Society of North Carolina to increase the accessibility of their programs. ¡Manténganse al tanto!


Comments may not reflect Easter Seals' policies or positions.


June 14th, 2014 at 1:20 pm


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all dear, meet the following with same interest.


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Hi there Guys! I’ve by no means been part of a message board prior to, I am hoping that I’ll be able to give as well as receive suggestions in the following. Thanks in advance!


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Tam – Surfers healing is great. Thanks for providing the link. Surfing is an amazing experience, for those with autism, for anyone who is fortunate to have the opportunity to enjoy the experience. I had had the pleasure of living in Hawaii for several years. Was able to particicpate in Surfers Healing events there. Unfortunately my current homeland of Chicago doesn’t see much surf.


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Man Utd Fans’ Green-And-Gold Anti-Glazer Protest – Nice Idea But It Won’t Work


29th, January 2010


No, Norwich City fans have not taken over at Old Trafford. Disgruntled Man Utd fans have adopted their club’s original, Newton Heath colours – green and gold – as a way of protesting against Malcom Glazer’s debt-happy ownership.


It’s a high-visibility strategy, but let’s be honest, not one that is likely to make much of an impact. Surely if United fans were serious about forcing the current owners out, it would be far better to boycott United’s home games – and the club megastore – until the Glazers are forced to sell up and move on. Of course, organising such a large-scale boycott is easier said than done.


It’s rather a cruel irony that football fans are some of the most passionate and militant people, yet ultimately we have so little power over how our beloved clubs are run.


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Lähes joka kolmas suomalainen säästää tai sijoittaa rahastoihin, selviää Finanssialan Keskusliiton (FK) teettämästä tutkimuksesta.


Rahasto-osuuksia hankitaan yleensä säästämisen vuoksi, ja rahastosäästäminen on säännöllistä: säästämisellä varaudutaan pahan päivän varalle ja tavoitellaan myös tuottoa. Kertasijoitukset ovat harvinaisempia.


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Suosituimpia olivat yhdistelmärahastot, niissä oli rahaa 66 prosentilla vastaajista. Seuraavaksi eniten omistettiin osakerahastoja, 38 prosenttia. Yli kolmannes kertoi myös aikovansa sijoittaa varmasti lisää rahastoihin seuraavan vuoden aikana ja lähes yhtä moni luultavasti.


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Yli puolet vastaajista (56 prosenttia) kertoi säästävänsä rahastoihin säännöllisesti, esimerkiksi joka kuukausi tietyllä summalla. Pääsääntöisesti kertasijoituksia teki puolestaan 38 prosenttia vastaajista. Muut kohteet olivat yleisimmin pankkitilit ja oma asunto. Pörssiosakkeisiin on sijoittanut 38 prosenttia, säästö - ja sijoitusvakuutuksiin 27 prosentilla ja eläkevakuutus on 24 prosentilla vastaajista.


Rahastosäästäjä säästää tyypillisesti pahan päivän varalle. Yli puolet vastaajista piti tätä ensisijaisena motiivinaan. yhtä merkittävä syy sijoittamiseen oli myös tuoton tavoittelu. Molempien motiivien osuus on kasvanut vuodesta 2010. Sen sijaan eläkeaikoja varten kertoi säästävänsä aiempaa pienempi osuus vastaajista. viimeksi lähes 40 prosenttia kertoi tämän motiivikseen.


Rahastosijoittajien tietotaso on parantunut vuoteen 2010 verrattuna.


”Yhä useampi tunnisti muun muassa rahastoyhtiöiden perimiä palkkioita. Silti tietotasossa on vielä paljon parantamisen varaa, sillä 84 prosenttia vastaajista ei osannut arvioida palkkioiden suuruutta”, FK:n analyytikko Valtteri Vuorio sanoo.


Sterling Construction Company, Inc. 61.7% Potential Upside Indicated by Maxim Group


Posted by: Ruth Bannister 28th May 2015


Sterling Construction Company, Inc. with TICKER NASDAQ:STRL has had its stock rating noted as ‘Coverage Initiated’ with the recommendation being set at ‘BUY’ this morning by analysts at Maxim Group. Sterling Construction Company, Inc. are listed in the Basic Industries sector within NASDAQ. Maxim Group have set their target price at 6 USD on its stock. This would imply the analyst believes there is a potential upside of 61.7% from the opening price of 3.71 USD. Sterling Construction Company, Inc. NASDAQ:STRL has a 50 day moving average of 4.33 USD and the 200 Day Moving Average price is recorded at 5.89 USD. The 1 year high for the share price is 10.01 USD while the year low share price is currently 2.23 USD.


Sterling Construction Company, Inc. NASDAQ:STRL (Sterling), is a heavy civil construction company in the building and reconstruction of transportation and water infrastructure projects in Texas, Utah, Nevada, Arizona, California, Hawaii and other states. The Company’s transportation infrastructure projects include highways, roads, bridges and light rail and its water infrastructure projects include water, wastewater and storm drainage systems. Sterling performs the majority of the work required by its contracts with its own crews and equipment. The Company, with acquisition of RLW, JBC and Myers expanded further in Utah, Arizona and California, which extended Sterling’s service profiles.


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Sample translation by Hugh Aplin


AN ENUMERATION OF REASONS


At Vnukovo, the scriptwriter Sergei Spiridov, who was flying to the Crimea for a children’s film festival with the picture The Little Miracle, was detained at the border.


Spiridov said hello to the genial blonde border official, proffered his overseas passport to her (he could have gone on his internal one, but Sviridov liked to think he was showing work abroad) and prepared to wait. The procedure usually took no more than a minute. However, the blonde peered at the document, checked with a weighty Talmud and then with two lists in polythene folders, and then made a telephone call to someone and read out Sviridov’s details. It wasn’t this that alarmed Sviridov, but the look she fixed upon him after these procedures. Usually in the case of an unforeseen hold-up – it could be anything, maybe your surname matched one that was under suspicion – the border officials looked sheepish: we’re all friends, it’s a formality. But now Sviridov was being looked at with an expression that was only too familiar to his genetic memory: ‘Are we going to confess, or carry on deceiving the security services?’


‘Is something the matter?’ Sviridov asked with a repulsive ingratiating intonation.


‘Everything will be explained,’ replied the official, whose geniality had evaporated in an instant. Sviridov was well aware of the way this could happen. Nice people weren’t employed in such posts, nor would they themselves go for them.


‘But what is it?’ he asked, still equably. ‘Is there something wrong with my document?’


‘Move aside and wait,’ she said, already with irritation. ‘They’ll ring back in five minutes and you’ll be through.’


‘And who is it that has to ring you back?’


‘Stop getting in people’s way!’ she said, raising her voice.


Sviridov stepped aside, letting a sweaty mum with a sluggish little boy of about three go by. The scriptwriter’s helplessly spread-eagled passport stayed lying in front of the official. It was clear that there was no getting away from it for Sviridov now, he was going to remain standing aside. He was tied to his passport. Thank God he wasn’t flying with the rest of the group: there would have been no end to the taunts. ‘I always knew Sery was untrustworthy; He’s got drugs in his belly, miss, check his belly!’ The film critic Losev went by, an unpleasant man with a past in NTV. He had presented a cinema news programme on the old NTV called Where to Go, a title he himself had made jokes about tirelessly. He was a slippery type – one of those who are always criticising the authorities, but who never get into trouble for it. After NTV was broken up, he quietly got himself a job on Central TV, but continued to go around in the halo of a victim of persecution.


‘What’s wrong, Seryozha,’ he said sympathetically, ‘won’t they let you out of the country?’


‘As you see,’ Sviridov replied vaguely, not wanting to be candid.


‘What, don’t you know who he is, miss?’ Losev asked the border official. ‘He’s the most trustworthy chap, scriptwriter for the series The Ruin of the Fatherland. Didn’t you watch it?’


‘Go on through,’ the official told Losev ungraciously, firmly stamping his passport, plump from the visas that were stuck in it. Losev was never away from international festivals, the bloody aesthete.


‘OK then,’ Losev pronounced with concealed triumph, gave Sviridov a wave and went by.


Two more people went by, and one of them caught Sviridov with a heavy suitcase – of course, he could do that now…


‘Miss,’ Sviridov gave a timid reminder of himself, ‘my flight’s in half an hour. The gate will be closing soon.’


‘You should get here earlier,’ the official predictably replied without looking at him.


‘But can I know what this is all about?’ asked Sviridov in exasperation.


‘You’ll be told,’ she repeated.


‘What, may I not be able to leave at all?’


‘That’s right,’ she replied calmly. ‘That’s what I’m here for.’


‘For checking. Clear out of the way, citizen.’


So then, it’s ‘citizen’ now as well. Sviridov grew angry. Fear began to be supplanted by irritation: ultimately, he didn’t know of anything he had done wrong. Why should he have to answer for idiotic failures in their system? They can’t catch Ulman, but a scriptwriter they can!


‘If I fail to leave for the festival, you’ll be personally responsible for it,’ he threatened. The official didn’t do him the honour of replying.


‘Do you hear me?’ preguntó.


She picked up her telephone and dialled a three-figure number.


‘Number five?’ ella dijo. ‘I’ve got a man here threatening me. I’ll be responsible for something, he says. Yes, kicking up a row. Come and explain who’ll be responsible for what. Because he’s being a bit, you know. Sí. Good.’


She hung up and raised a triumphant gaze to Sviridov.


‘You’ll have all the answers in a minute,’ ella dijo. ‘The major will come and give you all the answers.’


A major of some unknown service in a white summer uniform was already heading towards Sviridov. He had leapt out like a devil from a snuffbox through a concealed door under a staircase – from a slit through which the untrustworthy inconspicuously fall; behind the door there could be a communal cell, a torture chamber, anything.


‘This one?’ he asked the official through the glass wall of the cubicle, indicating Sviridov and not doing him the honour of addressing him. The fat girl nodded gleefully.


‘Through there,’ said the major, pointing to the door.


‘But why, exactly…’


‘Shall I call for the guards?’ the major asked in a bored voice. Sviridov realised that the joking was over. He shrugged his shoulders and followed the major through the inconspicuous door.


There was nothing awful there – a workspace, a chair, a desk, a little couch. The only thing reminiscent of a torture chamber was the standard murky carafe of yellow water that was evidently metallic in flavour. It’s the only kind torturers refresh themselves with – no other restores their torturing powers.


‘Take a seat,’ said the major, who himself sat down at the desk and returned to solving the crossword in the newspaper Son-in-law.


‘May I know what my problem is?’ asked Sviridov after a minute’s pause. They would be making an announcement about boarding at any moment.


The major raised his pale eyes to him and looked at him from under his brows in silence for a time, expecting that the victim would fail to withstand the hypnosis, would feel ashamed, would cast his eyes downwards and sink into remorse. But Sviridov looked straight ahead, defiantly, and the major was compelled to break the silence.


‘You’ll have it explained to you.’


‘The people concerned.’


‘Do you understand, I have to leave today…’


‘We understand you have to. We have to and you have to. A check’s being carried out. Depending on the results of the check you’ll either leave or…’ The major paused. Sviridov froze. ‘Or you won’t.’


Sviridov had guessed even before that these people had much greater control over his plans than he himself had. No shake-ups or changes of name could strip this service, instantly identifiable by the intonations, of even a tad of its rights. The major continued with his storming of the crossword. After five minutes or so he raised his rather pale eyes to Sviridov once more and asked:


‘Soviet Russian writer, author of the story “The Exchange”. Eight letters.’


‘Trifonov,’ Sviridov answered obligingly. The major nodded, as though the question were a part of the check. Strange, thought Sviridov. Maybe he’s giving me to understand that he doesn’t consider me an enemy? Would they think of asking an enemy who the author of the story “The Exchange” was? An enemy would be sure to mislead them. But maybe my having read Trifonov is a crime in itself? Maybe this is a Cheka agent’s special test crossword? Seven-letter explosive beginning with ‘h’. Hexogen. Right, come this way. Even in the present difficult circumstances his head continued to generate plots. Suspicious people of an anxiously mistrustful stamp make the very best scriptwriters – they’re forever busy with the scripts of the imagined intrigues being woven against them.


At this point the telephone on the major’s desk rang and there was a lengthy interruption to the solving of the test crossword. The major drew complicated zigzags on the newspaper, listened with indifference and from time to time nodded.


‘Aha,’ él dijo. ‘Good. Aha. No, here. Quietly. No, doesn’t look like it. Muy bien. Ya veo. Green. No, yesterday. From the west. Forty-seven. Fourteen. Aha. Bueno. Aha.’


It goes without saying that Sviridov listened to all these rejoinders with special attention, hoping to discern in them the solution to his fate, but not the colours, nor the figures, nor the parts of the world had anything at all to do with him. ‘Aha, a spy from the west, looks forty-seven, green with fear, the bag weighs fourteen, aha, put him away for good, aha,’ he reconstructed mechanically, astonished at his own calmness. The horror of the situation hadn’t sunk in properly yet.


‘You’re free to fly,’ said the major lazily, hanging up, but still looking at Sviridov, as though restraining him with his gaze. He was doubtless waiting for a question.


‘And what was all that?’ asked Sviridov.


‘A pre-planned check,’ said the major.


‘Following what line?’


‘Our one,’ the major replied defiantly. Sviridov was evidently allowed to know about this now.


‘And what was found out?’


‘That everything’s in order,’ said the major, turning his eyes away. Everything was clearly not in order, and he wanted to leave a poisoned spine in the victim’s body. A festering victim would be tastier.


‘And specifically?’ Sviridov insisted. He knew that such situations had to be scraped out, scooped out in full, the way a wound is scraped out: the least ambiguity could poison everything, produce roots, shoots, and turn into a huge episode involving detention.


‘And more specifically,’ the major replied with the same defiance, ‘you’re on the list. And so you’re subject to additional checking.’


‘On what list?’ Sviridov asked uncomprehendingly.


‘Now that I can’t tell you. It’s beyond my authority. Go, the plane will be leaving.’


Sviridov rose, picked up his suitcase and laptop and ran to the border official’s box. His passport lay in front of her as before, and she was already stamping it.


‘Well?’ she said with her former geniality. ‘And what was the point of being rowdy?’


‘I wasn’t rowdy,’ said Sviridov. It was important to sweep the false formulations aside here too, otherwise, somewhere deep in his dossier, which was certainly being kept at some white-uniformed level of authority, the entry would remain: behaved rowdily at the airport. And that’s suspicious, especially if he was behaving rowdily when sober. ‘Choose your words carefully, please.’


The official was silent. Such minor pinpricks didn’t affect her. She proffered him the stamped passport.


‘And what list am I on, may I know?’ Sviridov articulated, less confidently than he would have liked.


‘Are you starting again, citizen?’ the plump girl asked, threateningly now, and took hold of the telephone receiver, but Sviridov didn’t wait for the major to make a second appearance, and slipped headlong into no man’s land.


A SCHEDULE OF PROPERTY


We all find ourselves on the list. Its objective and origin are unknown to us. In order to survive in this situation, the best thing is for us to stick together. Would all who have already been informed of their inclusion please respond. Our plea to others is not to register. It is very important for us to reconstruct the list in its entirety, for that will allow us to guess at its true objective. Leave your name and contact details below. Do indicate your age, that is important. The list’s first meeting is planned for the last ten days of July. Look for news in the ‘News’ sección.


Svetlana Viktorovna Bodrova, contact telephone number…’


Karnaukhov, Igor Vladimirovich, b. 1967


Semyonova, Nadezhda Grigoryevna, 1958


Salomatin, Nikolai Mikhailovich, 1941


Golyshev, Kirill, 1990


Burtseva, Yelena Danilovna, 1972


Matveyeva, Irina, aged 16


Sergei Shevchenko, 23


Svyatoslav Vladimirovich Mirsky, 1955


Lurye, Grigory Naumovich, 1959


Krotov, Konstantin Mikhailovich, 1948


Noskevich, Galina, 19…


There was no obvious pattern.


Sviridov gave a deep sigh, and in the white box at the bottom he rattled off: ‘Sviridov, Sergei Vladimirovich, 1979’.


Of the fifty-seven people who had registered, he found one of his own age – Paramonova, Yelena Maximovna. A good thing it was a girl. The list was probably drawn up with the aim of finding everyone an ideal partner. Of crossing the forty-eight-year-old Semite Lurye – probably a bald patch, a moustache, a pipe, scepticism – with the fair-haired Belorussian Noskevich, 19. To all appearances shy, unexpectedly passionate in bed, jealous, cooks, does the laundry. Lurye has a Moscow residence permit, Noskevich an inexhaustible capacity for childbearing, their offspring are bald, passionate, sceptical, do the laundry. And for me, the girl of my own age, Paramonova, I always liked girls of my own age. He was slow moving the cursor over to the word ‘Add’ to the right of the white box. Including yourself in a list, even for a reservation at the cinema, is always a bit scary: one click – and someone else’s laws have started applying to you. More than anything, Bodrova’s list was reminiscent of the awful listings of the executed that were published in the Moscow evening paper by the society ‘Memorial’ at the beginning of the nineties, or of accounts of German punitive operations – but in any list there is a sense of doom: identified, calculated, noted. If the listing of goods in an Internet store simply breathes satiety and prosperity – pick whoever you want, everyone’s happy to offer themselves for sale – any human inventory, even a list of accepted university applicants, smells of chlorine. It’s the animation that’s terrible. But there’s nothing to be done, everyone’s on lists from birth. He clicked, and added himself as number fifty-eight.


He wasn’t destined, however, to do any work. No sooner had he sat down at the PC than his mobile started trilling.


‘Is zat Mr Sviritov?’ asked a German female voice, flattening the consonants in such caricature fashion that Sviridov decided at once: it’s a practical joke.


‘Zat is,’ he confirmed with a grin. ‘And you who are?’


‘I am Tessa Gombrowitz, Münchener Zeitung correspontent. Mr Sviritov, you speak English?’


‘A bit,’ said Sviridov.


‘Oh, great. So listen.’ Sviridov’s understanding of what followed was haphazard – the telephone, the accent, his want of practice translating the spoken language – but for some reason Tessa Gombrowitz had become interested in his work and wanted to do an interview with him that very day, as she needed at all costs to be in time for the edition the day after tomorrow. She wouldn’t entertain so much as the idea of a refusal, and merely wanted to clarify whether he was prepared to come to her office or wanted to receive her at his place.


‘But I’m at the dacha,’ Sviridov attempted to wriggle out of it. ‘At my dacha.’


‘It’s not problem, I’ll be there. I have a car with a driver, please tell him how to rich…’


‘Hello,’ a man’s deep bass rang out in the receiver at once. ‘How do we get to you, which highway?’


‘There’s no need, I’m already getting ready to go home,’ said Sviridov, retreating before the pressure. ‘Come to Profsoyuznaya in three hours’ time,’ and he gave the address.


So, he thought, it’s all going to script. Everyone wants a piece of the action. First thing the locals, by evening non-locals. The driver’s sure to be a KGB man, and she’s sure to be in on it. A joint agreement: she writes for the Münchener or whatever it is Zeitung, he makes those she visits known and keeps track of them. Everyone’s happy. But it would be a pity to die just like that – at least let the West know what’s going on. What have I actually got to lose? Officially there’s no ban for the moment on contact with foreign correspondents. Come on, let’s see who this Tessa is.


He got himself ready to work again: in spite of everything, he would at least get a couple of pages done in the three hours that remained until the appearance of the correspondent and the KGB man – but the mobile began its demanding trilling once more, and Sviridov identified the number of Orlikov’s secretary’s office. This is the end, he realised. Now we lose everything.


‘Sergei Vladimirovich?’ inquired the pederastic voice of the secretary. Orlikov employed only pederasts as secretaries – not because he himself belonged to that stylish caste, but because women didn’t know how to be as servile when replying ‘Vyacheslav Petrovich is busy’ or ‘How should I announce you?’. Orlikov’s secretary worked seven days a week, lived at his cottage in the capacity of a servant and didn’t balk at doing work in the garden. ‘Vyacheslav Petrovich would like to speak to you. Are you free?’


‘Yes, of course,’ Sviridov replied brightly. A healthy rage was coming to the boil inside him. This was the best state to be in for conversations with Orlikov.


‘Seryozh,’ he heard Orlikov’s soft, domineeringly democratic bass. ‘Now what on earth are you doing.’


‘Yes, Vyacheslav Petrovich,’ Sviridov repeated the question, ‘what am I doing?’


‘Well, as if you didn’t know. What on earth is it you’re joining? They had me on the carpet yesterday over Delyagin, and now you.’


‘And what is it I’m joining, Vyacheslav Petrovich?’ Sviridov asked innocently.


‘Listen, stop it!’ Orlikov grew angry. ‘Stop this idiotic pretence. Do you know who I had a call from today? I had a call from the TV channel. And they’re already getting close to the point there where it’s either you or the programme.’


‘Well, if the question’s already being put like that…’ Sviridov drawled.


‘Can’t you understand?’ Orlikov didn’t find it easy to drop the image of a democrat. ‘I don’t want to lose a capable man, I’m not one of those who, at the very first signal…’


‘Vyacheslav Petrovich,’ said Sviridov, lowering his voice meaningfully. ‘You do realise that such questions aren’t discussed over the phone.’


‘Mine isn’t tapped,’ Orlikov replied, but he was now audibly on his guard.


‘Well, that’s yours that isn’t tapped,’ Sviridov continued. ‘So I can’t tell you everything, but generally speaking, having known me for some years, you might be able to guess with whose blessing I find myself on this list.’


‘What’s the matter with them there,’ he grumbled. ‘Can’t they let people know beforehand?’


‘Vyacheslav Petrovich,;’ said Sviridov reproachfully, ‘can you picture with whose blessing the scriptwriter of Special Forces gets onto such lists?’


‘But you’ve left Special Forces,’ Orlikov reminded him.


‘And can’t you guess why?’


‘Yes, I can,’ Orlikov growled, although he didn’t have a clue.


‘Well, then. And if I’m there and I’m trusted – can’t you guess why that’s necessary, no? I hope we won’t be coming back to this conversation?’


‘Anyway, get them to call the channel,’ Orlikov requested after a pause. ‘People there don’t know what’s going on…’


‘Oh yes,’ said Sviridov. ‘Vladislav Yuryevich’ll drop everything at once and ring the channel’s management: forgive me, you’ve got this man Sviridov working there as a scriptwriter on The Relatives, well then, he’s been put on the list deliberately, he’s my informant, pass it on to everyone. That’ll be interesting, won’t it?’


‘Yes, that’s true,’ Orlikov admitted. ‘Well, some document at least…’


‘What, are you kidding?!’ Sviridov exclaimed, squealing like a woman. ‘How do you picture it. Stalin writes to Hitler: please don’t go being nasty to my little chap, Stirlitz is the name?’


‘All right, get on with your work,’ Orlikov gave his permission and hung up.


Sviridov took some time to recover himself. Thanks to a sudden inspiration he had just beaten off the latest assault and saved his income – whether for long or not was uncertain. One thing was evident – the idiocy of what was happening. It turned out that it could be exploited. That gave him a chance. Everyone was working through the play in slipshod fashion, rejoicing at the first opportunity of getting out of the worst bits of their roles. Comrades, can I not strangle Desdemona today? Here’s my medical certificate, I’ve got high blood pressure. Sod you, don’t strangle her, give her a kick and she’ll keel over by herself. As a matter of fact, she has high blood pressure too. The lion goes round to all the animals with a list: antelope, you come to me for breakfast tomorrow, capybara, you’re nice and fat, you’ll be for lunch, and you, hare, you’ll be a light supper, so I don’t have nightmares. The hare: can I not come? All right, I’ll cross you off.


The right approach on the list was evidently to behave brazenly: I’ve been included not because I’ve been rejected and cursed, but because I’m allowed. Generally, you ought to behave here as though everything were allowed, because an inverse relationship develops, and everything really will be allowed. I assume that a brazen trio like ‘Glory to Russia’ was guided by the same principle. The most important local law is that they really don’t bear you any ill-feeling, they don’t have any grievances against you on principle, as long as you don’t make too much of a fuss, and you’re not a Georgian or a Jew. Consequently, they shape their attitude to you not a priori but on the basis of your behaviour: if, having been cast into the list like everyone else, you behave in a bossy way, like the boss of this ghetto, as if you’re quite at home in the stinking cattle-pen into which everyone is squeezed by their decision – then you will indeed be the boss, they’ll make you the kapo, they’ll give you a whip with a blue handle (they themselves have red-handled ones, you can’t earn them, they’re issued by birthright). From this there followed some entertaining moves applicable to The Island, and Sviridov again tried to work, but Tessa arrived quicker than she had said she would.


She was about forty-five and looked like Ellen Burstyn at the time of Alice. She was wearing a light-blue, short-sleeved dress which set off her evenly dark complexion. In her youth she must have been pretty, sturdy and dimpled, but now she was stretched. She had been to Afghanistan, Chechnya, Iraq, had interviewed senators, had won the Prize of the Union of German Towns for a book of interviews with Turkish Gastarbeiter, entitled Aliens, but Still People. The film of the book had been shown at the Berlin Film Festival within the framework of the programme ‘Getting to Know our Eastern Neighbour’. Following her closely was the panting driver (no surprise, he had the appearance of an executioner – a potato of a nose, a beer-drinker’s neck). He was lugging a heavy canvas sack with sharp corners poking out of it. Tessa probably went to do interviews with all her things, afraid to leave equipment at the office: they’d nick it, the barbarians.


Gombrowitz radiated positive energy. It suddenly occurred to Sviridov that it would be a good thing to ask her to wash the floor, because, you know, he never found the time – that would be useful. She would have done it for the sake of a colourful detail for her future sketch – but he restrained himself.


‘I found out about you from ze newspapers,’ she instantly adopted an informal tone. ‘May I continue in English?’


‘Yes, of course.’


Her English was not much better than her Russian. She had read about the list in a newspaper. She was interested in all the people on the list, and she was hoping for Sviridov’s help in establishing contacts. It was clear to her that the government had driven itself into a blind alley and now faced the direct need for mass repressions, because discontent in society was ripening. She was interested in understanding the mechanism for the formation of the list, and she had grounds for assuming that these were discontented people who had been incautious enough to ‘speak out heaven knows where,’ she explained in Russian. Her personal friend, a Bundestag Deputy from the State of Rheinland-Pfalz, had informed her confidentially that the list had been compiled long ago, but had come to the surface only now, and had some very high-ranking people on it, ja, ja. So that Sviridov wasn’t alone. And, it goes without saying, thanks to the Eenternet? she had familiarised herself with some of his publications, with his film reviews, she had watched one episode of Special Forces, had noted that the critics detected social criticism in his works, and thus she saw no particular reason to be surprised. It was all standard, it should have been expected long ago.


‘I did expect it,’ Sviridov blurted out.


‘Oh! You had reason?’


Reluctantly, hating himself for the vulgar desire to conform to other people’s clichés, he talked about the inevitability of a ‘whoa’ after every ‘go’, about the alternation of thaws and freezes as Russia’s most important law – and it was all so tedious and oft-repeated that he lost the thread and omitted entire links: so be it, it didn’t matter. All in all, something of the sort should have happened long ago. But why the list had been compiled specifically the way it had, by what criterion they had all been selected – he had no idea, and he was relying on her perspicacity.


‘But it’s exactly as then!’ Tessa exclaimed. ‘It was exactly the same then, and no one understood why! But they were all people who weren’t prepared to repeat things after everyone else, who were better than everyone else by perhaps just a tiny little bit, but it was that little bit that was decisive! Look, they’re all ordinary people, aren’t they, or else very high-ranking bosses, but the middle class of the bureaucracy is quite untouched, as then! The enforcer is the same. Then too, it was either some part at the top that suffered, or else the helpless at the very bottom. You just have to understand who compiled the list, and I’m in almost no doubt which organisation alone can do that here. Yes?’


She winked, and Sviridov immediately felt himself to be complicit in an anti-Russian conspiracy. After what had happened in the morning, however, it was all the same to him. All attempts to be loyal end the same way, but if you were rude out loud and friendly with foreign correspondents, they might take fright and not touch you.


‘I’ve brought a contract, and this is what I’m asking,’ she continued, smiling and shaking her wheaten hair; in her white-teethed youth this manner was probably even charming. Tessa was indefinably and inexorably reminiscent of the PR woman at the children’s centre who had forbidden Sviridov to go out onto the stage to collect his prize. They were the same age, weren’t they, they might have holidayed together at the same centre then exchanged pointless letters. And both of them lied all the time, every second, and that was why the dimples had gone. ‘I’m asking you to write a sort of diary. About how you’re on the list, about how today they didn’t allow you here, shut you in there, how you were subjected to this and that. It’ll be a diary from inside the list. You’re the one person in the list with literature, with talented literature, I want to draw up the contract. We’ll make transfers to your account, the money’s good.’


‘Actually,’ said Sviridov gloomily, ‘this could make my position worse.’


‘Oh, no!’ she began shaking her hair decisively. ‘Then too everyone thought that contact could make the position worse. But nothing could have made their position worse, it had been decided when they had appeared on the list. It doesn’t matter which one: then it was that one, now it’s a different one. And then too people knew that they were on the list, and they were left at large to see how they’d behave. And nobody rebelled, fled, they were all prepared. I want you to tell what it’s like living on the list.’


‘You think my fate is decided? And everyone else’s too?’ Sviridov had taken fright and for that reason grown angry. Tessa stroked his hand with the lightest of European touches – that was doubtless the way she stroked the skeletal children of Africa, suggesting they talk in detail for a news report about the hunger pangs in their stomachs.


‘I don’t know what your fate is. I know that for the moment it can still be altered. If you tell of it for everyone, perhaps it will be easier for all, for the whole list.’


Aha, we already know the psychology of the natives so well that we’re putting our trust in their ineradicable collectivism.


‘I’ll try,’ said Sviridov. ‘But I need guarantees.’


‘Copyright?’ asked silly Tessa.


‘I need guarantees in the event of my position getting worse. If, after publication, I become the object of a witch hunt, or start getting called in to a certain place, or my position gets worse – you have to help me leave. Political asylum or something, I don’t know.’


‘Oh, I’ll do that, of course!’ exclaimed Tessa. ‘Of course I’ll give it a try! It’s very difficult for us now because of problem migration, you know, but my Deputy acquaintance in Bundestag helped, naturalisation for Turkish, Kurdish, perhaps Jewish line too… You not have Jewish line?’


‘No,’ snapped Sviridov.


‘Well, that can be resolved. As a whole that can be resolved. We’ll take a look at it. And then look, I know you have – that everyone has – a problem with work. Here, to tide you over, simply from I and the newspaper. It’ll be like an advance.’


She indicated the sack. The driver, who had all this time been sitting vacantly on Sviridov’s couch, untied it and displayed to Sviridov the rich interior of the gift. There was a very great deal of wurst in polythene packs, cans of minced meat, packets of cocoa powder – a month’s dry rations for Gargantua.


‘I can’t take this,’ Sviridov fretted. ‘I’m not starving, and I’ve still got a job…’


‘Well, you can understand for yourself what will happen with job,’ she smiled more enchantingly than ever, and Sviridov realised that his final dismissal was extremely desirable for her as a topic. It would be a good thing too if he were murdered like Litvinenko, preferably in such a way that he took quite a long time to die, for a good series of news reports. Thallium, beryllium, I don’t know, bernoullium. Of course Tessa Gombrowitz didn’t like him. She sincerely wanted him to die, in poverty and torment. But she needed him, and he could see no grounds for scorning the conjuncture. He couldn’t rely on people who liked him now. The people who liked him were few and powerless. He needed to cling on to Tessa, her Deputy from the State of Fuffel-Pferd, her food sacks of wurst. The listed have no right to be liked, that was a gift from the gods, above and beyond the price-list. You had to count on the people who needed you as a scarecrow. And the fact that I’m needed as a scarecrow in the unsightly games of the unsightly Tessa – well, sorry, Homeland. I didn’t do anything to you, you started it, so don’t be offended now.


They agreed on the following Thursday. By Thursday Sviridov would have stocked up on impressions and written two thousand words about the first weeks of being on the list. The money would go into a foreign currency account. Tessa planted a noisy kiss on his cheek in parting and flitted off, without ever ceasing her little conspiratorial laughs. She was followed by the driver, ideally enigmatic, who had not uttered a single word in an hour. Sviridov opened a can of mince, fried it up in the frying-pan and sat down to dinner. Home delivery, well I never!


But he wasn’t destined to have a quiet dinner either – sumptuous surprises just kept on raining down. It was as if the list were recompensing him for the black patch, displaying its unexpected advantages. His mobile trilled again, and Sviridov heard the velvety, mysteriously self-important voice of a man who was clearly ringing on a serious matter: such a man wouldn’t exert himself over one that wasn’t. This was doubtless the way Professor Vyshinsky spoke.


‘Kindly forgive me,’ came the stranger’s bass, ‘could I possibly have a word with Sergei Vladimirovich Sviridov?’


‘Speaking.’ Who else had he expected to happen upon using his mobile?


‘It’s very, very good to talk to you. Vasily Borisovich Antonov recommended you to me, you doubtless remember him.’


Sviridov had heard something about Vasily Antonov, and not long ago either, but he had no idea where. A frightened man’s memory deteriorates – his brain has narrowed, focused on danger, it has no interest in anyone.


‘Could you remind me who he is?’


‘He was linked with you in a common project, it’s not important.’ The stranger said ‘pruject’. ‘He gave you the most positive recommendations. If you have the time at your disposal, you see, I’ll briefly explain…’


‘I have,’ Sviridov sighed.


‘Excellent, excellent.’ His voice was resonant, fruity, ripe. ‘To begin with, allow me to introduce myself: my name is Fishchinsky, Albert Mikhailovich. I’m now working – it’s not my fundamental business, in my fundamental line of business, so to speak, I am a financier…’


He spoke for a long time, mellifluously, magniloquently. His ‘pruject’ boiled down to a cycle of informative lectures on Russian history – ‘In the light of new conceptions, you understand…’ Vasily Borisovich Antonov, whom Albert Mikhailovich Fishchinsky knew from the very best angle from their having worked together (he had this verbal excess in everything, it was as if he became satiated with his own rumblings), had characterised Sergei Vladimirovich as an exceptionally gifted worker, capable of imparting dynamism and so on, you understand. It would be desirable to meet tomorrow, although the sooner, as you can appreciate, the better: it should all have been, so to speak, yesterday. Particularly since, as far as Albert Mikhailovich was aware, Sergei Vladimirovich was invited the day after tomorrow to a certain undertaking, to miss which was, of course, undesirable for him, and for that reason he did not dare, under no circumstances whatsoever did he dare to lay claim to his time. Tomorrow, then? ¿Convenido? Excellent, excellent.


Sviridov had no recollection of any event, and wasn’t planning anything for the next day, but at that point it struck him. Good Lord, on the twenty-ninth of July he was invited to a meeting for veterans of the special services, to a round table in the ‘October’ ciné centrar. Here was the invitation, in the desk drawer: shoulder, o Lord, to shoulder. How did Fishchinsky know about shoulder to shoulder? ‘Undertaking’ – that was clearly out of their lexicon. So am I included in a list for work on a series about national history? But what was Klementyev doing on it – writing an episode about the history of the Russian railways? And Bodrova? Nonsense. And in order to work on a historical series, did I absolutely have to be on a list, so that I could experience for myself all the joy of Russian history? That was, after all, how it had basically been made – with lists, and with subsequent dismissals. Not a bad method, like the way Mikhalkov locked everyone up on an estate for a week, and then, when they had all come to hate one another enough, shot An Unfinished Piece. Maybe that’s a lie, but if non e vero, then ben trovato.


He sat vacantly for some time yet in front of the switched-on computer, visited the list’s site – nothing new – looked at the news, all the time expecting something. Perhaps one more call. There it is: fear has made expectors of us all. Mandelstam, I think. It makes sense now. ¿Por qué? Because fear moves you into a special category of weightless people, borne on the wind, whose lives depend on every call. You start doing something, but then there’s a call, and you don’t have to do it any more. The contract’s annulled, you’re dismissed. And in general, it’s a wounded, painful condition, in which you long passionately for sympathy. Someone will call – and console you, it’s a human voice, after all. Or, on the contrary, they’ll say the most terrible thing – but then at least you won’t have to wait for it.


Fishchinsky proved to be like his voice – huge, velvety, imposing; he wore gold spectacles and a tie with a fish design. There was probably an ironic diminution there, an allusion to his surname – you know, don’t be afraid, I’m not so frightening. He had large hands with gingery little hairs on the fingers, pale-ginger hair, combed over his bald patch, and long flews.


‘Hello, good sir,’ he boomed, smiling broadly, ‘Viktor Maximovich, if you’re here, then I assume you’re entirely satisfied by your initial contact with Sergei Vladimirovich?’


‘We weren’t wrong about Sergei Vladimirovich,’ Ferapontov nodded.


‘Well, excellent, excellent. Dearest Sergei Vladimirovich, we’re turning to you because the most complimentary recommendations, so to speak, well, and – you understand. It’s a matter of great responsibility. I’ll begin with the fact that our corporation has already been in existence for a decade or so, and deals in the purchase of sports equipment, and we haven’t, up until the present time, suffered, so to speak, any reprimands…’


Fishchinsky’s speech murmured, the conditioning was scarcely whispering, and Sviridov’s imprehension of Murchinsky’s fishmuring speech was comperfect. He needed to pull himself together, but Fishchinsky hadn’t yet murmured to the point, and so Sviridov relaxed a little. Through the drowsiness which had replaced painful tension at a stroke, he understood one thing: Fishchinsky was a big cheese, and now he was experiencing some unpleasantness. In the accursed nineties he had exploited contacts from his first workplace, in the Ministry of Foreign Trade, and had bitten off a big piece of the pie. In addition, he owned a fencing club where top people gathered to fence, and this club was housed in superb accommodation out of town, where previously, can you believe it, there had been a rubbish dump, an ordinary rubbish dump, but he had cultivated and recultivated the soil and made a little corner of heaven on earth for the weary directors of men’s destinies. However, it had now come about that distinct storm-clouds had begun thickening over Fishchinsky. His business had begun to be subjected to checks. His patrons had become evasive. In addition, the brother of an important official in the mayor’s office – you understand, of course, whom I have in mind – was laying claim to this plot of land, attacking directly like a raider, sending down inspections, provoking the security men, and generally, in essence, robbright downery, robbright! Naturally, Albert Mikhailovich still retained certain contacts, you understand where, including the very top, and had enlisted the support of people there, you understand, oh yes. But it had been hinted in response there that Albert Mikhailovich ought to prove, to show, and not just in financial form, because these days, you understand, that form no longer served as proof of anything. But needed to prove specifically his readiness and his profound understanding of the processes taking place, and generally somehow to demonstrate not even loyalty, but readiness, you understand, I can’t say entirely and conclusively, but to demonstrate it in a definite way.


Here Sviridov ceased to understand anything.


‘What precisely can I do?’ he asked finally.


‘That’s a businesslike approach,’ Fishchinsky nodded joyfully. ‘We’re in favour of a businesslike approach too. As you appreciate, the country is today in need of nationally orientated scholarship. And I think that if I make certain efforts, then this will be my contribution, so to speak, to its organisation. I should like to present to Russia today something which depends realistically upon me and to participate in the creation of a history textbook which could be read simultaneously by children and adults, you understand, like Ishimova’s stories for children or the unattainable model of Karamzin. I should like to achieve, with the aid of a body of authors, a textbook which could be absorbing reading and at the same time an example of the correct view, executed with talent. And so,’ Fishchinsky smiled broadly, ‘I would count on enlisting you as the author and, after agreeing appropriate recompense, commissioning to begin with a conception of five or six pages, after discussion of which we could make a start.’


Sviridov ceased to understand which world he was in.


‘You want to commission a history textbook from me?’ preguntó.


‘Yes, yes, absolutely so,’ Fishchinsky began to nod, rejoicing at his quickness to understand.


‘Precisely,’ Ferapontov concurred.


‘But I’m not a historian,’ said Sviridov, ‘I’ve never written any textbooks. I don’t know how to write for children.’


‘That’s utterly unimportant,’ Fishchinsky kept repeating. ‘We’ve had recommendations… from Mr Antonov…’


‘But I don’t remember Mr Antonov!’


‘Well, you didn’t work with him directly. He was one of the sponsors of the cartoon series Tales of Gorynych…’


‘I wrote dialogues for two tales, but that’s all rubbish for kids,’ Sviridov continued to try and get out of it. ‘You must understand, it’s another thing altogether… Have you at least seen Gorynych?’


‘Dear Sergei Vladimirovich,’ Fishchinsky’s voice was full of emotion. ‘Your modesty is praiseworthy. But we know the most important thing too. We know that you are on the list of the nationally orientated elite which is well-known there,’ he raised a finger meaningfully. ‘As you know, that list does not include just any old people. That is completely out of the question, completely. And for that reason, dear Sergei Vladimirovich, your participation is exceptionally important, with you having every right to enlist any historian you consider worthy…’


This finished Sviridov off. The list hadn’t presented him with surprises such as this before.


‘Are you sure that it’s a list of the nationally orientated elite?’ preguntó.


‘There can be no doubt about it.’


‘I will write for you,’ said Sviridov firmly. ‘A devil, a demon, a history textbook, the chronicles of Narnia… How much is the synopsis?’


‘What?’ Fishchinsky queried.


‘The plan of the textbook. You know, those five pages.’


‘I think that three thousand dollars as a starting figure might…’


‘Fine,’ said Sviridov. ‘When do you need it? Do you have three weeks?’


‘Two would be desirable, but in principle…’


‘No, I need three. I need to read through a whole heap of stuff. I am, of course, the nationally orientated elite, but there’s a lot I simply don’t remember. All right, thank you. May I ask a final question?’


‘Yes, of course,’ Fishchinsky nodded graciously.


‘How did you find out about the list?’


Fishchinsky’s smile was even broader and he spread his hands.


‘Trusted people told me. People who are also there. You can appreciate for yourself, I can’t doubt them.’


‘Magnificent,’ said Sviridov. ‘Thank you. I’ll ring you in three weeks.’


Fishchinsky ceremoniously handed him a stiff, yellow, gold-embossed business card, and Ferapontov saw him deferentially to the doors.


All this needed to be thought through. Thought through, talked through. Pity there was no one to do it with. The damnedest thing. Get well away from here and quickly. What have I just signed up to? Good Lord, the rubbish you won’t do out of happiness. Although most likely they won’t ring back…But if they do, it’ll make up for any Special Forces for me. I’ll write them a textbook, whatever they like. Where did they get that about a list of the national elite? Still, if it’s really the case…


He felt enormous, shameful relief. To have just been feeling oneself leprous – and all of a sudden to realise it’s not leprosy, but a mark of distinction, the exalted sickness of the untouchables, a gift for moving objects and conjuring up mist! He should tell his mother quickly. No, it was too soon. He went into a coffee-house and ordered a double espresso. Coffee always intensifies the mood in which you drink it. I’m shamefully happy – let it intensify the shame and the happiness.


Alya’s work is in full swing at this hour, but he felt like giving her a call. A list of the nationally orientated elite. Good God! She didn’t pick up for a long time, but finally responded.


‘Alka.’ He could barely contain the happy chuckling that was bursting out of him. ‘Do you know what that list was?’


‘Still on about that, are you?’


‘What do you mean, how could I not be! Amazing things are coming to light. It’s a list of the nationally orientated elite, do you hear?’


‘Oh yeah,’ she said without enthusiasm.


‘I’m not interrupting anything, am I?’


‘You are, but that’s all right.’


The piercing cries of children made up the background in the receiver.


‘No, I’m not interrupting anything, you’re walking down the street, there are kids yelling.’


‘Yes, yes. But I’m on business.’


‘In brief, I had a call from a big shot exporter of sports equipment who commissioned an ideologically correct textbook of Russian history for any sum of money. So that in return for the textbook he’d be forgiven. He’s under pressure from above, so as proof of loyalty he wants the textbook. It’s a wonderful sort of sign of the times, I’ve not read about anything like it.’


‘And you agreed to it?’


‘Well, what do I have to lose? He says he has reliable people on this list, the nationally orientated elite the lot of them. I’m just wondering why they didn’t let me go abroad? Is it that they don’t want the elite abandoning the nation?’


‘It was a mistake agreeing to it,’ ella dijo. ‘You won’t be able to do it.’


‘I’m not going to write anything! I just thought you’d be pleased.’


‘Aha,’ ella dijo. ‘Consider me pleased. What are you doing this evening – writing the textbook?’


‘No, I’ve been invited by this… some sort of developer, in property. Probably a history textbook too.’


‘Going to the cinema would be better,’ ella dijo.


‘Well, if it’s not too late when they let me go…’


‘All right, ring me.’


He ordered a Caesar salad and gobbled it down instantly. Opposite sat a girl of school-leaving age, alone, without boyfriends or girlfriends: she was reading something solid and serious, a pity she was unattractive, he could have… He noticed her throwing stealthy glances at him, tearing herself away from her book, summoning up her resolve and smiling. Sviridov smiled in reply. She immediately set the book aside and made her way towards him.


‘Oh God, do excuse me. I never bother people in cafes. Are you Sviridov?’


‘I read about you in The Depths, you see. The Lower Depths. You’re just such a hero!’


‘Oh, come on,’ said Sviridov carelessly.


‘No, really. They’re saying terrible things about this list at our institute.’


Sviridov tensed again. One of the boyars in the time of Ivan the Terrible was executed by having first boiling, and then icy water poured over him – the skin soon peeled off him like a stocking.


‘The Law Academy. We’ve got people there whose parents, you see, are from the very top. They say it’s a list for something awful. Practically public persecution and all that sort of thing. But you’re not afraid of anything, sitting casually like this. I thought you’d already gone and hidden somewhere.’


‘And where on earth am I to hide?’ He was still putting on a brave face. ‘And who are these people who are saying things?’


‘Oh, it’s…’ she brushed the matter aside. ‘New Russians, there are always loads of them. You can’t go asking questions. Oh, what am I doing frightening you? Maybe they’re all lying.’


‘Why don’t you sit down,’ said Sviridov.


‘No, no, I’ll be running along. Why should I be worrying you? Just be aware that we’re all watching. And we’re full of admiration.’


‘But what is there to admire, young lady? What’s your name, by the way?’


‘Alyona, but that’s not my reason. It wasn’t to introduce myself, or else you’ll be thinking I don’t know what. It was just so that you’d know. And be strong.’


‘I will, I will. But at least leave me your phone number!’


She grew embarrassed.


‘No, I mean, why… It wasn’t to… that I…’


‘Well it wasn’t to that I either. Simply – we could maybe go to the cinema.’


She was wavering.


‘Oh, no, you know… It’s better for you. Better not.’


She was actually scared, he realised. She was scared of someone from the list. Going up and expressing sympathy – that was fine, but giving your phone number – that was to become infected.


‘All right then,’ said Sviridov. ‘Run along, study law.’


‘Yes, yes,’ she said with huge relief, which was just as shameful as his own porcine squeal half an hour before. ‘Yes, thank you. ’Bye.’


And off she ran, while Sviridov ordered a hundred grams of vodka. So there’s the nationally orientated elite for you. He simply realised that I’m on the list, and so I’ve got no way out. And now I’ll write a nationally orientated textbook for him, and he’ll pay me like a black. Just wait, you’ll get a textbook, such a textbook that, after it, they’ll take away all of your fencing entirely. What sort of a country has this become, Lord God, everyone’s insides have turned to water. I’m not a monster, at the end of the day, not an old man – so why’s she running away, the scum, as though from some infection? But then I am a leper, that’s enough illusions.


At that second the mobile rang.


‘Hello,’ said a demanding male voice. ‘It’s Valya Lomakin.’


‘Go ahead,’ Sviridov replied sourly.


‘Having a drop of coffee, are we?’


Sviridov was taken aback.


‘Are you here, or something?’


Lomakin roared with laughter.


‘It’s a super-gadget!’ he exclaimed. ‘The G-3 Navigator phone, works via Russian satellites, the latest model. It’ll be on general sale from January, but I’ve already got one. I’m building a block for the President’s Governmental Communication and Information Agency on Cherkizovsky, in place of the market. I call you up, and I can see you’re at the ‘Airport’ metro in a coffee-house, shitty but with wi-fi. You’ll be picked up from there in twenty minutes’ time, don’t go anywhere. If you do, I’ll find you all the same,’ and once again he burst out laughing and disconnected.


Why so much attention to one scriptwriter? Was there absolutely no one else left now – to navigate to him?


A black A6 Audi arrived after a quarter of an hour. Sviridov was smoking in front of the entrance to the coffee-house. The driver jumped out and threw the rear door open for him. Throughout the entire time of the journey – about ten minutes on the third ring road – he uttered not one word. They sped along quickly, noiselessly and brashly.


Sviridov had never before been near the cable-stayed bridge by the Moscow Ring Road. It was a magnificent construction, in the neo-imperial, nanotechnological style. Many a quill was bitten down subsequently in the attempt to provide a definition for this style, simultaneously inspiring and helpless: all the constructions of the noughties were executed with blatant luxury, as though insisting: ‘We still have it in us!’, but were at the same time defiantly unfunctional, even though pragmatism was proclaimed as the banner of the age. The supreme pragmatism was precisely unfunctionality, the passionate aspiration to convince everyone that they were prepared to do a great deal to please the invisible deity who set devotion above any benefit. The cable-stayed bridge was taller, thicker, wider than it needed to be; at the summits of the towers there were viewing platforms. In spite of all this excess, it looked awkward and, most importantly, false: it seemed doomed – not to a fall, not to an accident, God forbid, but to the belated taunts of posterity. To the right of the approach to the bridge there towered an unfinished thirty-storey building – one of the top floors was brightly lit, and festivities were evidently beginning there. Sviridov could hear from down below that a live orchestra was playing classical music. Guests were being led up to hoists, handed helmets, and conveyed to the top. After setting Sviridov down, the driver drove off for the next guest, and now female serving staff looking like models took the scriptwriter into their solicitous hands: the girls too were pointlessly tall, vacantly luxurious, brainlessly technological – in a word, nanotechnological, for all their megadimensions. A nanotechnological hoist bore Sviridov up into the darkening blue of evening, from where the nano-anthill of Moscow seemed like cosy, inoffensive chaos.


Sviridov went to parties, of course, but this was the first time he had been borne so high in every respect. There were people who nodded to him, there were people he recognised, but it was categorically impossible to understand what they were all doing together. For the business community, grouped together in the corners, there must have been some sense in it all – to come to agreements, hammer things out, put in an appearance – but their faces all looked lost; really serious people didn’t go to dos. Everybody was assiduously going through the motions of having fun, that is, they were moving in various directions, kissing furiously, laughing loudly – there must have been some sense in all of it, some plan and dress-code (Sviridov had demonstratively appeared in a casual checked shirt, after all, he wasn’t going to wear a dinner jacket to Serebryanny Bor), but for the detached observer the picture held no more sense than a chess tournament did for a savage, or a savage’s dance did for a chess-player. It’s only that the chess-player watches with benevolent curiosity, while the savage does so with inveterate hatred, though that’s not because he’s better, but because he’s more straightforward.


Sviridov mixed in amongst the squealing and kissing girls, ate something from trays that was very dietetic, crunchy and completely tasteless, drank sour champagne – doubtless exceptionally expensive – and categorically failed to understand why he was there. Then there was a wave of gasps and sighs, there seemed to be a smell of sulphur – and moving determinedly straight towards him before everyone’s eyes was the huge Lomakin, who had emerged from a concealed door or descended on an invisible hoist. He made specifically for Sviridov, clasped him in a close embrace, and under the admiring gaze of everyone present drew him off into a secret, secluded corner. There stood a low table with fruit and champagne. Lomakin extracted a remote control from his pocket, clicked it, and two sofas floated out from the walls.


‘It’s an intelligent building,’ said the developer. ‘I’ve got my office here for the time being. It’ll be on the seventieth floor later on, but that’s in about a year and a half.’


Sviridov nodded weightily, as if he had seen many an intelligent building before, though this one was, of course, the most intelligent.


‘Everything’s boring somehow,’ said Lomakin. ‘I can do anything.’


Sviridov nodded again, as though he had already managed to satisfy himself of it. There were a lot of people like Valya at that time. When what happened to them finally did happen to them – they simply didn’t have time to understand anything and were even seemingly pleased: what they hadn’t been able to provide for themselves had finally befallen them – you must agree, when it’s you shutting yourself away without food on an uninhabited island, it’s far from the same as adventure tourism.


‘Over the past period the “Forex” corporation has built on three million square metres,’ said Lomakin. ‘We employ building technologies such as no one else does.’


Sviridov had already listened to Fishchinsky’s report on his business successes that day and prepared to be bored. He didn’t understand why all these people were continually making reports to him. He didn’t yet have the intuition to realise that they were reporting not to him, but to anyone at all, hoping to deflect the coming blow which everyone was expecting. When a scriptwriter came to hand, he served the purpose too. ‘In five years we’ve grown from a small enterprise to be the leader of European high-tech construction. Among our plans is the construction of a revolving building in Moscow which will alter its configuration with the wind,’ Lomakin continued.


‘Will the government be housed there?’ asked Sviridov. ‘Or the main media?’


Lomakin gave a forced chuckle.


‘I see you’re a quick fellow,’ él dijo. ‘I can do anything. I was in the jungle, hacking out a path for myself and the lads – and I finished it. I’m preparing now for a space flight. I’m writing a book, How to Become Me. But none of that’s really the thing, you understand?’


‘You could go into film,’ Sviridov suggested cautiously.


‘Right!’ exclaimed Lomakin. ‘And I want you to write that film. But!’


‘Why me specifically?’ asked Sviridov. There are lots of scriptwriters.’


‘Don’t you want to, then?’


‘Yes, I do, but first I need to understand why me…’


‘Because,’ Lomakin winked. ‘Because I’ve had reports that you know Lala Grafova.’


Sviridov did indeed know Lala Grafova, and more besides. She was extraordinarily good-looking – a spirit can sometimes be at odds with a body, but here the body was at odds with the spirit, the clever, ever youthful, ardent body of a nymphet, origins in Kemerovo, utter vacancy, not a hint of a spiritual analogue for that magical carnal sensitivity with which she responded to every desire; but Sviridov had been without prospects, and in addition had caught her out in repeated lies. The idiot had been in Hollywood for a long time now, getting non-speaking parts in films as a waitress in Russian mafia-owned restaurants. It was amazing that Lomakin remembered Lala Grafova.


‘I saw her in Silver Dust,’ the developer confided. ‘And I said to myself then: the day will come when Lala Grafova will be in a picture of mine, and I’ll be the sponsor of that picture, and I’ll have a part in it. I want you to write a script for Lala Grafova and bring Lala Grafova here. I’ve been told she’ll come to you.’


‘That was ages ago,’ said Sviridov, ‘and she’s been in the States for a long time.’


‘I know,’ said Lomakin. ‘She’s already been found for me there. And there’ve been talks with her. And she said that if Sviridov wrote it, then she’d come.’


At this point Sviridov got it, and he realised the full measure of Lala Grafova’s perfidy. Lala remembered him, and how he had turned her out of his apartment for whoring and lying, and now she wanted to give herself to Lomakin before Sviridov’s eyes, while Sviridov rewrote her monologues immediately upon demand. There would, Sviridov realised, be a lot of demands.


‘Actually, I’m not going to work with Lala Grafova any more,’ he said proudly.


‘You are,’ Lomakin pronounced calmly. ‘You must.’


All of a sudden it dawned on Sviridov.


‘Listen, Valya,’ él dijo. ‘You say you can do anything?’


‘Anything,’ Valya confirmed, without adding ‘almost’ or ‘practically’.


‘Well, look then,’ said Sviridov persuasively. ‘I’m prepared to work with you and write anything you like for Lala Grafova. I’ll write a cool part for you with product placement for your development. I won’t even take a particularly large sum of money off you. But I have a big, serious favour to ask of you. I’ve got into something incomprehensible, Valya. I find myself on some kind of list. Some tell me it’s a list of the national elite, and others that it’s a list of enemies of the people. If you can do anything, then get me off this list, and I’ll work for you free of charge.’


‘Done,’ Valya nodded. ‘It’s two phone calls. Or one. Do you want to be there when I call?’


‘No, I’d rather not. Some time without me. But if you can, I’ll be really grateful to you.’


‘All right,’ said Lomakin. ‘But you must understand one thing. To pour into the glass, you have to pour out of the glass, that’s Lomakin’s fifth law. Do you know Lomakin’s first four laws?’


‘No,’ Sviridov replied in a distressed tone, as though he couldn’t wait to learn Lomakin’s laws. Valya extracted a narrow black pamphlet from a pocket of his wide, white silk trousers, ‘The “Forex” Codex’.


‘All of my people know this, from the board of directors to the cleaner. Wake them up in the night and they’ll tell you the Forex Codex. I’ll tell you it, Sery, and you’ll reflect it. You must understand, I can’t play just any old thing. It shouldn’t be a superman, because a superman would have built fuck all of what I do. It should be a hero who grows telescopically. Do you know what sort of building I’m going to put up in Nizhny Novgorod for Gazprom?’


‘I’ve not heard.’


‘No one’s heard yet,’ Valya said triumphantly. ‘It’s an exclusive project. There’s nothing of the sort anywhere in the world. It’s going to reflect gas prices. The tower’s going to grow, sliding out telescopically. If the price drops, the tower’ll close up. But the price won’t fall for long.’


‘And if they come up with an alternative fuel,’ said Sviridov, ‘the tower’ll collapse, will it?’


Lomakin burst out laughing.


‘You’ve got speed,’ he said condescendingly. ‘Remember, Sery, Lomakin’s first law is speed. The second is quickness. Speed and quickness aren’t the same thing at all. Speed is swiftness of action, while quickness is efficient decision-taking. The third law is pressure. The fourth is intuition, because without intuition there can’t be anything. If you don’t sense it when you’re about to be struck by a meteorite, you can’t do business. And you won’t. I’m standing here with you and sensing that a worker has just fallen ill in the Emirates where I’m building a tower, the Mast. Shall we check?’ He took out a communicator and quickly punched something in. ‘Oleg? Saludos. Have you had someone taken ill at the site there? A cold? Say I rang and that I advise Fervex. Fer-vex. Sí. Yes, everything’s all right here. Keep well.’


He looked at Sviridov as if he were God, and had just divided the light from the darkness in front of him, while incidentally using a little finger to flick away the fallen angel who had been constantly striving to mix them up. Sviridov realised there would certainly be something to write a script about. Though, true, it was unlikely to please Valya Lomakin and his intuition.


‘But the main thing,’ Lomakin continued, ‘is to be open to new things. ¿Entender? The fifth law is that you need to pour something out of the glass to be able to fill it up with something else. And I want you to pour everything superfluous out of your life to fill it with Forex and me. You’ll fly with me to go bear-hunting. You’ll be on my board of directors. You’ll fly to my hotel in Vietnam.’


‘Can I bring a girl?’ Sviridov asked quickly.


‘No,’ snapped Lomakin. ‘You have to be thinking about the script, not about a girl. If you get the need, we’ll buy you one there.’


‘All right,’ Sviridov nodded.


‘You’ll have to forget everything you know. You’ll have to get used to a different scale of person. You’ll have to see people such as you’ve never seen before. It’ll have to be… a saga, you understand? I’m trying to be understood, you see. And I hope I will be.’


Sviridov understood that Lomakin had memorised the word ‘saga’ – had probably read it on the Internet applied to The Team.


‘But why don’t you want to write it yourself?’ he asked ingratiatingly. ‘You’d do it well, it seems to me.’


‘I had problems with Russian at school,’ él dijo. ‘My marks barely stretched to satisfactory. It’s because I think quicker than I write. People who get poor marks are more successful in business. Those who get top marks think they already know it all, but someone with poor marks has an incentive to grow. Someone with top marks is full, like a glass, and doesn’t know how to pour anything out. I’ve jotted something down for the script for you here, you’ll write it up later on. Here.’


Lomakin pressed a button on the communicator. In ran a servile, stooping clerk with a file, as if he had been waiting just outside the door.


‘Read,’ said Lomakin. He liked speed.


In the file was one sheet of paper with three paragraphs of text. Sviridov ran his eyes over the first one. ‘Take-off! Beyond, beyond, beyond and more. The five laws are the five fundamentals on which it stands. Intuition! But pour out. A shame to abandon – a suitcase without a handle. Pressure? But make sense of it! A penalty shot in ice-hockey. One of 16, many of 15. No seconds. Too little aspiration. But nowhere without aspiration. Solar flares. It was in Malaysia almost died head wind 37 k. p.h. got out of it because of pressure. And with women the same but not the same. Length of eyebrows. Need one woman, but one ready anything, anywhere. Otherwise crap. Complete understanding! Sin límites. In the future, space.’


Sviridov imagined the monologue he would write for the hero and could barely keep from happy chuckling. Let him pull me off the list, and I’ll give him super-super.


‘I get it,’ he nodded. ‘I can work with this. Not immediately, it’s true, I’ve got one other job at the moment,’ he remembered about the textbook.


‘There’s this site,’ said Lomakin. ‘So good, it’s magic. Here in Moscow. This arsehole has a fencing club, but I’ll squeeze him out. He’s not got much more fencing left there. There’ll be an amusement park there. Disneyland sucks. There’s nothing like it anywhere, not in Dubai, not in Shanghai. It’ll be a Ferris wheel higher than Ostankino. I want a scene on the Ferris wheel, and there’ll be American roller coasters too. We have to give them back their name – the Americans call them Russian roller coasters, do you know about that? After this, no one will call them anything but Russian roller coasters.’


Russian roller coasters, yes. I don’t envy Fishchinsky, thought Sviridov. This seems to mean that I won’t have to write a nationally orientated textbook. Pity I didn’t take an advance from him. But this guy really does have intuition. No sooner had I thought of Fishchinsky than he at once revealed his fate to me. What a good thing I was a child in the nineties and wasn’t in time to bite off a fencing club. I’d have had to pour out a very, very great deal now, and it was another question whether they’d have forgiven me or swallowed me up.


‘Go now,’ said Lomakin. He was releasing him graciously, understandingly: you shouldn’t encounter too much greatness.


Sviridov went outside, taking an apple with him. The party was running its course: two entirely naked girls with wings made out of goose feathers were conducting a charity auction in aid of children with leukaemia. Photographs of bald children were being projected directly onto the auctioneers’ cuerpos. So as to give a more graphic impression of blood cancer, Bloody Marys and crabs were being passed around. The elite was selling off handmade plasticine angels.


‘Another life saved!’ cried an invisible Andrei Malakhov.


Sviridov hung out for another ten minutes or so, stocking up on impressions, then went over to a hoist. Down below, he was tangled up for some time in the chaos of planks and beams before he found a gap in the fence. There was no Audi beside the gap: he had doubtless missed the correct way out. He needed to try and stop a car, but there were no cars, and he roamed amongst abandoned five-storey apartment blocks, doomed to demolition, amongst the ghosts of the former Moscow, now being demolished whole blocks at a time, and he remembered how he used to return home from school amongst buildings just such as these. What had they taught him there, and why? In the old teachers, repeating copy-book maxims that no one needed, he had sometimes sensed a mood of doom: today you hate us, they had seemed to be saying, and tomorrow we won’t be able to save you from anything. How quickly everything they had taught had disappeared, leaving no trace – how amazing that was.


He finally stopped a car with an elderly driver from the Caucasus, who complained all the way about the high price of petrol in the hope that Sviridov would give him something extra. They were already approaching Profsoyuznaya when his mobile started chirping.


‘Hello,’ said a sad, deep voice, which Sviridov did not recognise at once as Lomakin’s. ‘You’re going down Nakhimovsky?’


‘Something like that. I live on Profsoyuznaya.’


‘It’s a good area, only the building’s bad,’ Lomakin said, and then fell silent for a long time. Sviridov was afraid he would now be turned around and sent back – to listen to the sixth law of the Forex Codex. That was Valya’s sort of thing.


‘I’m sorry,’ said Lomakin. ‘There is room for me to grow.’


‘In what sense?’


‘In the sense that I can’t do everything. I can’t get you taken off the list.’


In Lomakin’s voice Sviridov detected perhaps penitential, perhaps, terrible to think it, respectful notes. I’m not to be a part of the elite, I’m not to eat crabs with blood. What’s the matter with you, Lomakin, what is this thing I’m on, Lomakin…


‘No possible way whatever?’ asked Sviridov.


‘None,’ Valya replied simply. ‘Sorry. Well, and accordingly, no script needed. I’ll tell Lala.’


‘I understand, of course.’


‘You see,’ said Valya, ‘it’s just that, as there’s this list, I don’t suppose I’ll be able to take you everywhere, and generally they won’t let you through.’


‘And what is this list?’ asked Sviridov.


‘If they’d said,’ said Valya, ‘then I could have done something. But they don’t say. See you.’


Sviridov settled up and got out of the car. He felt a strange peace, almost bliss. Everything was correct. Amazing, the way the Lord was now directing his fate: no need to write either the textbook, or the script. True, they hadn’t given him any advances, but that was even for the best. It was good to spend time in two mutually exclusive, into the bargain inimical, and equally alien spheres in the one day – and to realise you weren’t needed in either of them.


Russian roller coasters, yes. But on the other hand he now knew what to write the first column about for Tessa. Ours is a splendid profession – when you can’t live, there’s something to write about, and vice versa.


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PENSUM ENTRENAMIENTO PRESENCIAL


Bachilleres, Profesionales y Egresados de toda carrera profesional, interesados en aprender cГіmo funciona y cГіmo manejar e invertir el dinero tanto a nivel personal como empresarial.


Capacitar integralmente al participante a travГ©s de una formaciГіn Г©tica y financiera, para desarrollar sus destrezas y habilidades en la AdministraciГіn de las Inversiones a nivel nacional e internacional.


Poner al alcance del participante, las herramientas necesarias para ayudarlos en sus tareas y pronГіsticos de situaciones financieras, soluciГіn de problemas de interГ©s y evaluaciГіn de portafolios de InversiГіn nacionales e internacionales bajo condiciones de inflaciГіn y de riesgo.


Adquiera los principales conceptos de mercado bursГЎtil internacional y su aplicaciГіn en el sector financiero a nivel mundial.


CapacГ­tese integralmente para operar toda clase de instrumentos financieros como Divisas, Comodities, ГЌndices y Acciones, en las Bolsas de Valores de Nueva York, Londres, Tokio y SГ­dney.


Conozca las herramientas necesarias para saber invertir en instrumentos financieros de renta fija y renta variable, convirtiГ©ndose Usted en un Profesional de las Finanzas Independiente, con capacidad para tomar decisiones de InversiГіn a nivel personal y empresarial.


вњ“В Como descargar una plataforma.


вњ“В Como cambiar el idioma a la plataforma.


вњ“В Como solicitar una cuenta demo.


вњ“В Como cambiar la contraseГ±a.


вњ“В Como cambiar el idioma.


вњ“В Como salir de la plataforma.


PersonalizaciГіn de la EstaciГіn de Operaciones FXCM.


вњ“В Como ingresar a la plataforma.


вњ“В Como cambiar los colores de la estaciГіn de operaciones.


вњ“В Como desconectar la plataforma.


вњ“В Como reingresar a la plataforma.


вњ“В Como suprimir ventanas de la estaciГіn de operaciones.


вњ“В Como colocar el balance en la estaciГіn de operaciones.


вњ“В Como cambiar en la estaciГіn de operaciones la zona horaria a local.


PersonalizaciГіn de MarketscopeВ FXCM.


вњ“В Como ingresar al grГЎfico.


вњ“В Como remover indicadores.


вњ“В Como cambiar el color al fondo del grГЎfico.


вњ“В Como borrar pestaГ±as.


вњ“В Como cambiar el color de la lГ­nea del precio del mercado.


вњ“В Como cambiar el estilo de la lГ­nea de precio del mercado.


вњ“В Como cambiar la amplitud de la lГ­nea de precio del mercado.


вњ“В Como colocarle color al puntero del mouse.


вњ“В Como ampliar o disminuir grГЎfico usando el mouse.


вњ“В Como borrar pestaГ±as.


вњ“В CuГЎles son los instrumentos financieros que se pueden negociar.


вњ“В Como ubicar los instrumentos financieros no disponibles para operar.


вњ“В Como ubicar los instrumentos financieros disponibles para operar.


вњ“В Como desactivar instrumentos financieros.


вњ“В Como activar instrumentos financieros para operar.


вњ“В Como guardar el perfil desde la estaciГіn de operaciones.


вњ“В Como verificar si realmente el perfil quedo guardado.


вњ“В Como recuperar el perfil guardado.


вњ“В Como identificar cual es el perfil guardado, e ingresar.


вњ“В Como identificar los nombres de los instrumentos financieros.


вњ“В ExplicaciГіn de cada uno de los instrumentos financieros de acuerdo a la norma internacional.


вњ“В Significado del precio del mercado.


вњ“В Lectura correcta de cada uno de los pares.


вњ“В Como identificar los marcos de tiempo.


Marcos de Tiempo y AnГЎlisis de Velas.


вњ“В Que son los marcos de tiempo.


вњ“В Comportamiento de losВ pares en los diferentes marcos de tiempo.


вњ“В Estudio de la apertura y cierre de las velas en cada par.


вњ“В AnГЎlisis detallado de las velas dependiendo del color.


вњ“В Cotizaciones avanzadas.


вњ“В Cotizaciones simples.


ВїCГіmo Comprar y cГіmo Vender?


вњ“В Como comprar y como vender.


вњ“В Como dar una orden de mercado.


вњ“В ExplicaciГіn de los iconos: tiquete, cuenta, sГ­mbolo, monto, c/v, abierto, cerrar, G/P, G/P Bruta, hora.


вњ“В Ejercicios de aplicaciГіn de cГіmo comprar y como vender.


Claves para tenerВ Г‰xito en el Trading.


✓ “Nunca piense en ganar. Piense en hacer las cosas bien”.


✓ “El Miedo o la Avaricia son los factores por los cuales se pierde dinero. ”


✓ “No tema perder y no se emocione por ganar; este es lo más difícil de controlar pero debe ser consciente que ambos hacen parte de la rutina de esta profesión”.


Ejercicio de cГіmo comprar y cГіmo vender.


вњ“В AnГЎlisis detalladoВ de cada una de las posiciones abiertas.


вњ“В Como cerrar la posiciГіn desde la estaciГіn de operaciones.


вњ“В Como se cierra una posiciГіn desde el grГЎfico.


вњ“В Ejercicios de aplicaciГіn de cГіmo comprar y como vender.


вњ“В Como cambiar el color del texto y del fondo de la etiqueta de la orden en el grГЎfico.


вњ“В Como arrastrar manualmente la etiqueta de la orden.


вњ“В AnГЎlisis movimiento de la lГ­nea de precio de mercado hacia el lГ­mite o el stop.


вњ“В AnГЎlisis de la repercusiГіn en el balance deВ las posiciones cerradas en la estaciГіn de operaciones.


вњ“В Como colocar lГ­mite y stop desde la estaciГіn de operaciones.


вњ“В Como programar lГ­mite y stop simultГЎneamente desde la estaciГіn de operaciones.


вњ“В Diferencia entre un lГ­mite y un stop.


вњ“В AnГЎlisis en la grГЎfica de las cuatro lГ­neas: precio de mercado, orden, lГ­mite y stop.


вњ“В Como colocar lГ­mite y stop desde el grafico.


вњ“В Como dar una orden, programar lГ­mite y stop simultГЎneamente desde el grafico.


вњ“В Como mover el stop manualmente.


вњ“В Como cambiar el stop.


вњ“В Estudio de las diferentes formas de stop.


вњ“В Que es un stop dinГЎmico.


вњ“В CГіmo funciona el stop dinГЎmico.


вњ“В CГіmo funciona el stop fijado.


вњ“В Como mover el lГ­mite manualmente.


AnГЎlisis de las Ventanas de la EstaciГіn de Operaciones.


вњ“В ExplicaciГіn detallada de cada una de las pestaГ±as de la estaciГіn de operaciones.


вњ“В CГіmo funcionan los iconos de BID Y ASK precio de venta y precio de compra.


вњ“В Como se ubica la orden de mercado de acuerdo a la activaciГіn del icono BID o ASK.


вњ“В ExplicaciГіn detallada de los siguientes Г­conos del grГЎfico: zoom de las velas, zoom para el mouse, lupa, casilla de informaciГіn, regla, aГ±adir lГ­neas.


вњ“В Como dibujar lГ­neas horizontales, inclinadas y verticales.


вњ“В Como cambiar el color, estilo y grosor de las lГ­neas dibujadas.


вњ“В Como dibujar un canal equidistante de tendencia.


вњ“В Como mover manualmente las lГ­neas, y el canal equidistante.


Como Exportar e Importar un Perfil.


вњ“В Como guardar y exportar un perfil al computador.


вњ“В Como importar un perfilВ a la plataforma.


AnГЎlisis del Reporte de Operaciones.


вњ“В Como descargar el reporte.


вњ“В Como leer un reporte.


вњ“В ExplicaciГіn de cada uno de los datos que muestra el reporte.


вњ“В AnГЎlisis del reporte con todas las posiciones cerradas.


вњ“В Como identificar si se realizГі una compra o una venta en el reporte.


вњ“В Significado de las letras que presenta en el reporte la casilla de condiciГіn.


Claves para tenerВ Г‰xito en el Trading.


✓ “Nunca invierta dinero que necesite”.


✓ “Usted debe tener una rutina de entrenamiento”.


ExplicaciГіn de la pestaГ±a de Cuenta.


вњ“В AnГЎlisis del cambio deВ estilo de lГ­nea de la orden, el lГ­mite y el stop, para determinar el momento exacto en В el que se dio la orden


вњ“В Como cerrar desde la estaciГіn de operaciones todas las ordenes simultГЎneamente.


вњ“В ExplicaciГіn de cada casilla de la estaciГіn de operaciones: cuenta, balance, valor lГ­quido, G/P del dГ­a.


Margen Usado y Margen Libre.


вњ“В Que es el margen usado.


вњ“В Que es el margen libre.


вњ“В Ejercicios de aplicaciГіn de compra y venta para analizar la diferencia deВ margen usado dependiendo del monto.


вњ“В Como cerrar parcialmente una orden ya sea positiva o negativa.


вњ“В Que es laВ llamada al margen.


Los Pips y su Lectura.


вњ“В Que es un pip.


вњ“В Como leer la escala de acuerdo a las cifras decimales.


вњ“В Como medir los pip con la regla.


вњ“В ExplicaciГіn de los tres datos arrojados al medir con la regla los pips.


вњ“В Como leer los pip si la escala tiene no tiene cifras decimales.


вњ“В Como leer los pip si la escala tiene dos cifras decimales.


вњ“В Como leer los pip si la escala tiene cuatro cifras decimales.


ProgramaciГіn de Ordenes en Pips.


вњ“В Importancia del pip para programar la utilidad.


вњ“В Como programar una orden de mercado con stop y limite en pips.


вњ“В Como leer los pips desde la estaciГіn de operaciones.


вњ“В Ejercicios de aplicaciГіn de programaciГіn simultanea de una orden, lГ­mite y stop en pips.


вњ“В ExplicaciГіn de la pestaГ±a G/P Bruta, y su relaciГіn con los pips.


Claves para tenerВ Г‰xito en el Trading.


✓ “Nunca deje de hacer Backtesting, mientras más haga mejorará su habilidad y afinará su probabilidad de éxito”.


вњ“В Que es una orden de entrada.


вњ“В Como programar una orden de entrada de compra y venta, desde el grГЎfico.


вњ“В Como aГ±adir stop y limite a una orden de entrada desde el grГЎfico.


вњ“В Como identificar en la etiqueta de la orden de entrada si es una compra o una venta.


вњ“В Como visualizar las ordenes de entrada en la estaciГіn de operaciones.


вњ“В ExplicaciГіn de cada uno de los datos mostrados en la pestaГ±a de Гіrdenes.


вњ“В Como eliminar unaВ orden de entrada desde la estaciГіn de operaciones.


вњ“В Como cancelar una orden de entrada desde el grГЎfico.


ConfiguraciГіn de las Гіrdenes de Entrada.


вњ“В Cuando se convierte una orden de entrada, en una orden de mercado.


вњ“В Como mover manualmente el lГ­mite y stop en las ordenes de entrada.


вњ“В Como cambiar el tipo de stop para Гіrdenes de entrada.


Utilidad por medio de Pips.


вњ“В Que es un pip y para quГ© sirve.


вњ“В AnГЎlisis y cГЎlculo de la utilidad por medio de la lectura de pips.


Claves para tenerВ Г‰xito en el Trading.


вњ“В Tenga una buena estrategia de GestiГіn del Dinero, no importa cuГЎl sea la manera de hacerlo, siempre y cuando los resultados sean Ganancia.


✓ “Si entra al mercado, que su salida sea con el Stop loss o el Take  Profit”.


✓ “Use Stop loss Cortos y Take Profit Largos, esto disminuirá su probabilidad de pérdida y aumentará su probabilidad de ganancia. ”


✓ “Nunca opere si su estado de ánimo no es Tranquilo”.


✓ “No discuta con el mercado que usted está observando, y sobre todo, no intente combatirlo. ”


BrГіkeres regulados, Monto requerido para operar.


вњ“В DefiniciГіn de brГіker.


вњ“В BrГіkeres Regulados de Forex.


вњ“В QuГ© y cuГЎnto se necesita para Operar en los Mercados.


Spread, Lote, Cuentas micro, mini y estГЎndar.


вњ“В Que es el Spread.


вњ“В Que es un Lote.


вњ“В Que es una cuenta micro, mini y estГЎndar.


Ventajas de operar en Acciones y/ o Divisas.


вњ“В Es un mercado lГ­quido.


вњ“В Opera durante 24 horas.


вњ“В Es bidireccional.


вњ“В Sin plazos Forzosos.


вњ“В Alta rentabilidad.


вњ“В Practica real antes de invertir.


вњ“В Alto nivel de apalancamiento.


вњ“В Libertad Financiera.


Media ExponencialВ (EMA).


вњ“В Que es una EMA (Promedio mГіvil exponencial ponderado).


вњ“В Como crear un nueva pestaГ±a en el grГЎfico.


вњ“В Como enlazar diferentes pestaГ±as.


вњ“В Como descargarВ una EMA.


вњ“В Diferencia entre la MVA y la EMA.


вњ“В Cruce de EMAS, 4, 9, 18.


ГЌndice de Fuerza Relativa (RSI).


вњ“В Como graficar elВ RSI.


вњ“В CГіmo operar conВ el indicador RSI.


вњ“В Oportunidades para operar con el RSI.


вњ“В Como trazar una lГ­nea de tendencia sobre el oscilador RSI.


GrГЎfica Heikin-Ashi (HA)-Indicador de tendencia.


вњ“В Como operar conВ el indicador HA.


вњ“В ComparaciГіn del indicador HA con las velas reales.


PrГЎctica indicadores EMA, RSI y HA.


вњ“В Como cambiar el orden de las pestaГ±as.


Indicador de Soporte/Resistencia –Pivote.


вњ“В Como operar con el indicador PIVOTE.


Claves para tenerВ Г‰xito en el Trading.


✓ “El trading es personal, lo que otro hace es porque tiene tiempo distinto, perspectiva distinta y experiencia distinta a la suya.


✓ “Aprenda de sus errores: Guarde las notas y analice cada inversión”.


Indicador de tendencia - (REGRESIГ“N).


вњ“В Como operar con el indicador REGRESION.


вњ“В Como crear un nuevo perfil, para guardar unaВ estrategia.


Indicador de Tendencia - Tiempo ParabГіlico (SAR).


Claves para tenerВ Г‰xito en el Trading.


✓ “No esté impaciente por operar. Espere la confirmación del mercado antes de que usted ponga su orden”.


✓ “Lo primero que debe hacer es comprobar la dirección del Mercado. ” "Nunca, nunca compre una acción o divisa si el mercado está en tendencia bajista, y Nunca compre o venda una acción o divisa que esté en rango.


вњ“В Siempre sigue la tendencia, pero primero aprende a relacionar los 3 estados del mercado (Tendencia, Retroceso, ConsolidaciГіn).


вњ“В El precio tiene memoria, esto es clave y debe llevarlo presente siempre antes de operar, el precio sabe siempre donde hizo cada retroceso y rompimiento y sobre esto determina sus prГіximos movimientos.


✓ “No intente anticipar lo que hará el mercado en el futuro, simplemente vaya con la evidencia de lo que le está diciendo el mercado a usted. ”


Indicador de Bill Williams - Fractal.


Indicador de Bollinger-В Banda Bollinger (BB).


вњ“В Banda Bollinger.


Indicadores de Fuerza de Tendencia-В ГЌndice de Promedio Direccional (ADX) e ГЌndice de Movimiento Direccional (DMI).


Oscilador - %R Larry Williams (RLW).


Oscilador - ГЌndice del Canal de Materias Primas (CCI).


Oscilador – Convergencia-Divergencia Medias Móviles (MACD).


Divergencia Medias MГіviles (MACD): Normales y ocultas.


вњ“В Divergencias Ocultas: Alcista y bajista.


Claves para tenerВ Г‰xito en el Trading.


✓ “Un trader debe aprender y practicar el control emocional”.


вњ“В El RIESGO. В Sea consiente que toda estrategia financiera encaminada a obtener ganancias implica un riesgo, y el estar preocupado por ese riesgo significa que Usted es una persona sana y le ayuda a conservar la prudencia. Recuerde: entre mayor seguridad, menores serГЎn normalmente los rendimientos.


✓ “No existe un buen par o una buena acción. Simplemente hay pares o acciones que hacen dinero. ”


Principales errores en un buen AnГЎlisis de InversiГіn.


вњ“В Invertir al Azar.


вњ“В Invertir con base a emociones.


вњ“В Violar la estrategia para resolver problemas.


Oscilador de Volatilidad-Promedio del rango real (ATR).


InterpretaciГіn de Velas Japonesas.


Claves para tenerВ Г‰xito en el Trading.


вњ“В LA ESPERANZA . Si la inversiГіn no estГЎ resultando como esperaba, si el negocio ha dejado de ser negocio, es hora de dejarlo atrГЎs y emprender otro proyecto en vez de mantenerlo inyectГЎndole nuevos recursos con la esperanza de que algГєn dГ­a las cosas mejoraran.


вњ“В LOS PRONOSTICOS . No se puede predecir la conducta humana, en la cual se basan el comercio y los В В mercados financieros. Por tanto, no base sus decisiones en lo que supuestamente va a pasar debido a predicciones que ha escuchado o leГ­do, sino por el contrario. Basa sus decisiones en observaciones objetivas sobre lo que realmente estГЎ pasando.


вњ“В El OPTIMISMO . Ser optimista significa esperar lo mejor, pero la confianza se basa en saber cГіmo se manejarГЎ lo peor. Por ello nunca participe en una inversiГіn simplemente porque se siente optimista: es fГЎcil terminar desilusionado, y sin un peso en la bolsa.


вњ“В AnГЎlisis fundamental, pГЎginas recomendadas.


вњ“В InterpretaciГіn de las noticias.


Claves para tenerВ Г‰xito en el Trading.


вњ“В LA TERQUEDAD. В No hay que confundir la terquedad con la perseverancia. En muchas ocasiones ocurre que realizamos una inversiГіn, o nos mantenemos en ella, porque afirmamos queВ tiene que funcionar. Realmente noВ tiene por quГ© hacerlo, de forma que una vez mГЎs lo recomendable es ser objetivos para evitar caer vГ­ctimas de nuestros propios caprichos.


вњ“В LГ­neas de Tendencia.


Revestimiento de precio.


вњ“В Revestimiento de precio.


Canales de Tendencia, Soportes y Resistencias.


вњ“В Canales de Tendencia.


вњ“В Soportes y Resistencias.


DefiniciГіn de la Talla de la PosiciГіn.


вњ“В Una Unidad por Cantidad Fija de Capital. (Para Scalping).


вњ“В Modelo de una Unidad Fija de Capital. (Divisas).


вњ“В Modelo de Porcentaje de Volatilidad.


Retrocesos de Fibonacci.


вњ“В Retrocesos de Fibonacci.


ExpansiГіn de Fibonacci.


вњ“В ExpansiГіn de Fibonacci.


вњ“В Siguiendo la Tendencia.


вњ“В Utilizando Indicadores.


вњ“В Utilizando Osciladores.


вњ“В Por patrones de velas.


вњ“В Agotamiento de Tendencia.


вњ“В A travГ©s del anГЎlisis fundamental.


вњ“В Sistema Scalping.


вњ“В Por porcentaje de capital.


вњ“В Por ruptura de canal.


вњ“В Por soporte/resistencia.


вњ“В Por volatilidad.


Tipos de Traders: EstiloВ Scalping.


вњ“В Estilo Scalping.


Tipos de Traders: EstiloВ Day Trading.


вњ“В Estilo Day trading.


Tipos de Day Trading.


вњ“В Trading tendencial.


вњ“В Trading contra tendencia o de ruptura.


Tipos de Traders: EstiloВ swing trading.


вњ“В Estilo swing trading.


Tipos de Traders: EstiloВ posicion trading.


вњ“В Estilo posicion trading.


ВїCГіmo Recoger Beneficios?


вњ“В Regla de oro del trading.


Tenga su propio Plan de Trading.


вњ“В Defina quГ© tipo de trading va a hacer.


вњ“В Meta personal.


вњ“В Capital disponible.


вњ“В Determine su porcentaje de Riesgo.


вњ“В Determine el nГєmero de posiciones abiertas simultГЎneas.


вњ“В Tenga a mano el calendario de noticias.


вњ“В Defina el estado del mercado.


вњ“В Observe posibles patrones de velas.


вњ“В Defina su estrategia con Indicadores y osciladores.


вњ“В Analice los retrocesos de Fibonacci o expansiones de Fibonacci.


✓ Calcule el Riesgo – Beneficio.


вњ“В De la orden.


вњ“В Coloque el lГ­mite y stop.


✓ Por último cumpla sin discusión la “REGLA DE ORO DEL TRADING”


ВїCГіmo distinguir una Plataforma Real de una Demo?


вњ“В Como distinguir una plataforma Real de una Demo.


Plataforma MetaTrader 4.


вњ“В Como descargar la plataforma MetaTrader 4.


AnГЎlisis de los Г­conos de la Plataforma MetaTrader 4.


вњ“В ExplicaciГіn de cada uno de los Г­conos de la plataforma.


ВїCГіmo Comprar y como Vender en MetaTrader 4?


вњ“В Como comprar y como vender en MetaTrader 4.


Uso de Herramientas en MetaTrader 4.


вњ“В Como dibujar un canal en MetaTrader.


вњ“В Como colocar lГ­mite y stop simultГЎneamente en MetaTrader y en FXCM.


вњ“В ComparaciГіn de la diferencia deВ informaciГіn que presenta MetaTrader 4 respecto aВ FXCM.


PersonalizaciГіn y Tipos de Stop en MetaTrader 4. r


вњ“В Como colocar un stop fijado en MetaTrader.


вњ“В Como bajar indicadores y cambiar sus propiedades en MetaTrader 4.


вњ“В CГіmo Descargar la Plataforma.


вњ“В CГіmo Abrir una Cuenta Demo.


вњ“В CГіmo Personalizar la Plataforma.


вњ“В CatГЎlogo de Instrumentos.


вњ“В CГіmo Personalizar la Tabla de Instrumentos.


вњ“В CГіmo Medir los Pips.


вњ“В CГіmo Abrir y Cerrar una PosiciГіn.


вњ“В CГіmo colocar un Stop y un LГ­mite.


вњ“В ГЌconos EstaciГіn de Operaciones.


вњ“В CГіmo Agregar una MVA.


вњ“В CГіmo Guardar un Perfil.


вњ“В CГіmo Abrir y Cerrar la Plataforma.


вњ“В CГіmo Obtener un Reporte de Operaciones.


Registro de una Cuenta Real.


Es un entrenamiento con una duraciГіn de 60 horas para aprender a operar en las bolsas de New York, Londres, Tokio y SГ­dney. Es totalmente personalizado en cualquier ciudad de Colombia con un mГ­nimo de 3 alumnos y un mГЎximo de 6 simultГЎneamente.


Horario: Dos clases semanales de hora y media cada una. El horario se programa de comГєn acuerdo con todos los participantes.


Valor de la inversiГіn: El valor de la inversiГіn en este entrenamiento es de 2.500 USD.


Forma de pago: El 40% del valor para iniciar el entrenamiento y dos cuotas de 30% del valor a los 30 y 60 dГ­as.


Descuento del 20% para grupos de 5 personas o mГЎs.


Se requiere portГЎtil durante todo el entrenamientoВ teniendo en cuenta que el entrenamientoВ es totalmente prГЎctico.


El pago de la InversiГіn se podrГЎ realizar de la siguiente manera:


Por efecty a nombre de: Alfredo Pinto JimГ©nez В В В В В В В В В C. C. No 13.843.751


ConsignaciГіn o transferencia bancaria nombre de:


Global Marketing Col SAS. В Cuenta de ahorros No 0-721-3999289-1 Bancolombia.


Una vez realizada la consignaciГіn escanearla y enviarla al correo Esta direcciГіn de correo electrГіnico estГЎ siendo protegida contra los robots de spam. Necesita tener JavaScript habilitado para poder verlo.


Una vez recibida la transferencia le serГЎ enviado el formulario de inscripciГіn y a la direcciГіn que registre en dicho formulario le serГЎ enviada la correspondiente factura de pago.


Commercial Photography Bid Example


El juego es de gran calidad en comparación con otros juegos de billar que he jugado hasta ahora.


La idea es grande pero no es muy robusta en la forma en que se analiza los archivos de Cabrillo. Tenía que hacerlo.


Trabajador amistoso, uno puede utilizarlo bien. Como estudiante, me ha ayudado.


Esta es la mejor aplicación para Outlook Express para convertir datos DBX en archivos PST.


Utilicé este software en modo dos, era bueno. Ahora voy a probarlo en Windows. Espero que lo haga.


Excelente, funciona también en Windows, Muy eficiente cuando hablas con tus jugadores


Es mejor que cualquier otro software que utilicé. A debe tener el software védico de la astrología para cada uno.


Me salvó la vida. Un oficial de personal no puede vivir sin esta herramienta. Por favor continúe desarrollando


Buen programa por favor manténgalo y actualizarlo para la próxima vez.


Mi inglés es muy débil por lo que es una aplicación muy útil para mí, ya que puedo ver el significado de las palabras.


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PENSUM ENTRENAMIENTO EN VIDEOS


Bachilleres, Profesionales y Egresados de toda carrera profesional, interesados en aprender cГіmo funciona y cГіmo manejar e invertir el dinero tanto a nivel personal como empresarial.


Capacitar integralmente al participante a travГ©s de una formaciГіn Г©tica y financiera, para desarrollar sus destrezas y habilidades en la AdministraciГіn de las Inversiones a nivel nacional e internacional.


Poner al alcance del participante, las herramientas necesarias para ayudarlos en sus tareas y pronГіsticos de situaciones financieras, soluciГіn de problemas de interГ©s y evaluaciГіn de portafolios de InversiГіn nacionales e internacionales bajo condiciones de inflaciГіn y de riesgo.


Adquiera los principales conceptos de mercado bursГЎtil internacional y su aplicaciГіn en el sector financiero a nivel mundial.


CapacГ­tese integralmente para operar toda clase de instrumentos financieros como Divisas, Comodities, ГЌndices y Acciones, en las Bolsas de Valores de Nueva York, Londres, Tokio y SГ­dney.


вњ“В Como descargar una plataforma.


вњ“В Como cambiar el idioma a la plataforma.


вњ“В Como solicitar una cuenta demo.


вњ“В Como cambiar la contraseГ±a.


вњ“В Como cambiar el idioma.


вњ“В Como salir de la plataforma.


PersonalizaciГіn de la EstaciГіn de Operaciones FXCM.


вњ“В Como ingresar a la plataforma.


вњ“В Como cambiar los colores de la estaciГіn de operaciones.


вњ“В Como desconectar la plataforma.


вњ“В Como reingresar a la plataforma.


вњ“В Como suprimir ventanas de la estaciГіn de operaciones.


вњ“В Como colocar el balance en la estaciГіn de operaciones.


вњ“В Como cambiar en la estaciГіn de operaciones la zona horaria a local.


PersonalizaciГіn de MarketscopeВ FXCM.


вњ“В Como ingresar al grГЎfico.


вњ“В Como remover indicadores.


вњ“В Como cambiar el color al fondo del grГЎfico.


вњ“В Como borrar pestaГ±as.


вњ“В Como cambiar el color de la lГ­nea del precio del mercado.


вњ“В Como cambiar el estilo de la lГ­nea de precio del mercado.


вњ“В Como cambiar la amplitud de la lГ­nea de precio del mercado.


вњ“В Como colocarle color al puntero del mouse.


вњ“В Como ampliar o disminuir grГЎfico usando el mouse.


вњ“В Como borrar pestaГ±as.


вњ“В CuГЎles son los instrumentos financieros que se pueden negociar.


вњ“В Como ubicar los instrumentos financieros no disponibles para operar.


вњ“В Como ubicar los instrumentos financieros disponibles para operar.


вњ“В Como desactivar instrumentos financieros.


вњ“В Como activar instrumentos financieros para operar.


вњ“В Como guardar el perfil desde la estaciГіn de operaciones.


вњ“В Como verificar si realmente el perfil quedo guardado.


вњ“В Como recuperar el perfil guardado.


вњ“В Como identificar cual es el perfil guardado, e ingresar.


вњ“В Como identificar los nombres de los instrumentos financieros.


вњ“В ExplicaciГіn de cada uno de los instrumentos financieros de acuerdo a la norma internacional.


вњ“В Significado del precio del mercado.


вњ“В Lectura correcta de cada uno de los pares.


вњ“В Como identificar los marcos de tiempo.


Marcos de Tiempo y AnГЎlisis de Velas.


вњ“В Que son los marcos de tiempo.


вњ“В Comportamiento de losВ pares en los diferentes marcos de tiempo.


вњ“В Estudio de la apertura y cierre de las velas en cada par.


вњ“В AnГЎlisis detallado de las velas dependiendo del color.


вњ“В Cotizaciones avanzadas.


вњ“В Cotizaciones simples.


ВїCГіmo Comprar y cГіmo Vender?


вњ“В Como comprar y como vender.


вњ“В Como dar una orden de mercado.


вњ“В ExplicaciГіn de los iconos: tiquete, cuenta, sГ­mbolo, monto, c/v, abierto, cerrar, G/P, G/P Bruta, hora.


вњ“В Ejercicios de aplicaciГіn de cГіmo comprar y como vender.


Claves para tenerВ Г‰xito en el Trading.


✓ “Nunca piense en ganar. Piense en hacer las cosas bien”.


✓ “El Miedo o la Avaricia son los factores por los cuales se pierde dinero. ”


✓ “No tema perder y no se emocione por ganar; este es lo más difícil de controlar pero debe ser consciente que ambos hacen parte de la rutina de esta profesión”.


Ejercicio de cГіmo comprar y cГіmo vender.


вњ“В AnГЎlisis detalladoВ de cada una de las posiciones abiertas.


вњ“В Como cerrar la posiciГіn desde la estaciГіn de operaciones.


вњ“В Como se cierra una posiciГіn desde el grГЎfico.


вњ“В Ejercicios de aplicaciГіn de cГіmo comprar y como vender.


вњ“В Como cambiar el color del texto y del fondo de la etiqueta de la orden en el grГЎfico.


вњ“В Como arrastrar manualmente la etiqueta de la orden.


вњ“В AnГЎlisis movimiento de la lГ­nea de precio de mercado hacia el lГ­mite o el stop.


вњ“В AnГЎlisis de la repercusiГіn en el balance deВ las posiciones cerradas en la estaciГіn de operaciones.


вњ“В Como colocar lГ­mite y stop desde la estaciГіn de operaciones.


вњ“В Como programar lГ­mite y stop simultГЎneamente desde la estaciГіn de operaciones.


вњ“В Diferencia entre un lГ­mite y un stop.


вњ“В AnГЎlisis en la grГЎfica de las cuatro lГ­neas: precio de mercado, orden, lГ­mite y stop.


вњ“В Como colocar lГ­mite y stop desde el grafico.


вњ“В Como dar una orden, programar lГ­mite y stop simultГЎneamente desde el grafico.


вњ“В Como mover el stop manualmente.


вњ“В Como cambiar el stop.


вњ“В Estudio de las diferentes formas de stop.


вњ“В Que es un stop dinГЎmico.


вњ“В CГіmo funciona el stop dinГЎmico.


вњ“В CГіmo funciona el stop fijado.


вњ“В Como mover el lГ­mite manualmente.


AnГЎlisis de las Ventanas de la EstaciГіn de Operaciones.


вњ“В ExplicaciГіn detallada de cada una de las pestaГ±as de la estaciГіn de operaciones.


вњ“В CГіmo funcionan los iconos de BID Y ASK precio de venta y precio de compra.


вњ“В Como se ubica la orden de mercado de acuerdo a la activaciГіn del icono BID o ASK.


вњ“В ExplicaciГіn detallada de los siguientes Г­conos del grГЎfico: zoom de las velas, zoom para el mouse, lupa, casilla de informaciГіn, regla, aГ±adir lГ­neas.


вњ“В Como dibujar lГ­neas horizontales, inclinadas y verticales.


вњ“В Como cambiar el color, estilo y grosor de las lГ­neas dibujadas.


вњ“В Como dibujar un canal equidistante de tendencia.


вњ“В Como mover manualmente las lГ­neas, y el canal equidistante.


Como Exportar e Importar un Perfil.


вњ“В Como guardar y exportar un perfil al computador.


вњ“В Como importar un perfilВ a la plataforma.


AnГЎlisis del Reporte de Operaciones.


вњ“В Como descargar el reporte.


вњ“В Como leer un reporte.


вњ“В ExplicaciГіn de cada uno de los datos que muestra el reporte.


вњ“В AnГЎlisis del reporte con todas las posiciones cerradas.


вњ“В Como identificar si se realizГі una compra o una venta en el reporte.


вњ“В Significado de las letras que presenta en el reporte la casilla de condiciГіn.


Claves para tenerВ Г‰xito en el Trading.


✓ “Nunca invierta dinero que necesite”.


✓ “Usted debe tener una rutina de entrenamiento”.


ExplicaciГіn de la pestaГ±a de Cuenta.


вњ“В AnГЎlisis del cambio deВ estilo de lГ­nea de la orden, el lГ­mite y el stop, para determinar el momento exacto en В el que se dio la orden


вњ“В Como cerrar desde la estaciГіn de operaciones todas las ordenes simultГЎneamente.


вњ“В ExplicaciГіn de cada casilla de la estaciГіn de operaciones: cuenta, balance, valor lГ­quido, G/P del dГ­a.


Margen Usado y Margen Libre.


вњ“В Que es el margen usado.


вњ“В Que es el margen libre.


вњ“В Ejercicios de aplicaciГіn de compra y venta para analizar la diferencia deВ margen usado dependiendo del monto.


вњ“В Como cerrar parcialmente una orden ya sea positiva o negativa.


вњ“В Que es laВ llamada al margen.


Los Pips y su Lectura.


вњ“В Que es un pip.


вњ“В Como leer la escala de acuerdo a las cifras decimales.


вњ“В Como medir los pip con la regla.


вњ“В ExplicaciГіn de los tres datos arrojados al medir con la regla los pips.


вњ“В Como leer los pip si la escala tiene no tiene cifras decimales.


вњ“В Como leer los pip si la escala tiene dos cifras decimales.


вњ“В Como leer los pip si la escala tiene cuatro cifras decimales.


ProgramaciГіn de Ordenes en Pips.


вњ“В Importancia del pip para programar la utilidad.


вњ“В Como programar una orden de mercado con stop y limite en pips.


вњ“В Como leer los pips desde la estaciГіn de operaciones.


вњ“В Ejercicios de aplicaciГіn de programaciГіn simultanea de una orden, lГ­mite y stop en pips.


вњ“В ExplicaciГіn de la pestaГ±a G/P Bruta, y su relaciГіn con los pips.


Claves para tenerВ Г‰xito en el Trading.


✓ “Nunca deje de hacer Backtesting, mientras más haga mejorará su habilidad y afinará su probabilidad de éxito”.


вњ“В Que es una orden de entrada.


вњ“В Como programar una orden de entrada de compra y venta, desde el grГЎfico.


вњ“В Como aГ±adir stop y limite a una orden de entrada desde el grГЎfico.


вњ“В Como identificar en la etiqueta de la orden de entrada si es una compra o una venta.


вњ“В Como visualizar las ordenes de entrada en la estaciГіn de operaciones.


вњ“В ExplicaciГіn de cada uno de los datos mostrados en la pestaГ±a de Гіrdenes.


вњ“В Como eliminar unaВ orden de entrada desde la estaciГіn de operaciones.


вњ“В Como cancelar una orden de entrada desde el grГЎfico.


ConfiguraciГіn de las Гіrdenes de Entrada.


вњ“В Cuando se convierte una orden de entrada, en una orden de mercado.


вњ“В Como mover manualmente el lГ­mite y stop en las ordenes de entrada.


вњ“В Como cambiar el tipo de stop para Гіrdenes de entrada.


Utilidad por medio de Pips.


вњ“В Que es un pip y para quГ© sirve.


вњ“В AnГЎlisis y cГЎlculo de la utilidad por medio de la lectura de pips.


Claves para tenerВ Г‰xito en el Trading.


вњ“В Tenga una buena estrategia de GestiГіn del Dinero, no importa cuГЎl sea la manera de hacerlo, siempre y cuando los resultados sean Ganancia.


✓ “Si entra al mercado, que su salida sea con el Stop loss o el Take  Profit”.


✓ “Use Stop loss Cortos y Take Profit Largos, esto disminuirá su probabilidad de pérdida y aumentará su probabilidad de ganancia. ”


✓ “Nunca opere si su estado de ánimo no es Tranquilo”.


✓ “No discuta con el mercado que usted está observando, y sobre todo, no intente combatirlo. ”


BrГіkeres regulados, Monto requerido para operar.


вњ“В DefiniciГіn de brГіker.


вњ“В BrГіkeres Regulados de Forex.


вњ“В QuГ© y cuГЎnto se necesita para Operar en los Mercados.


Spread, Lote, Cuentas micro, mini y estГЎndar.


вњ“В Que es el Spread.


вњ“В Que es un Lote.


вњ“В Que es una cuenta micro, mini y estГЎndar.


Ventajas de operar en Acciones y/ o Divisas.


вњ“В Es un mercado lГ­quido.


вњ“В Opera durante 24 horas.


вњ“В Es bidireccional.


вњ“В Sin plazos Forzosos.


вњ“В Alta rentabilidad.


вњ“В Practica real antes de invertir.


вњ“В Alto nivel de apalancamiento.


вњ“В Libertad Financiera.


Media ExponencialВ (EMA).


вњ“В Que es una EMA (Promedio mГіvil exponencial ponderado).


вњ“В Como crear un nueva pestaГ±a en el grГЎfico.


вњ“В Como enlazar diferentes pestaГ±as.


вњ“В Como descargarВ una EMA.


вњ“В Diferencia entre la MVA y la EMA.


вњ“В Cruce de EMAS, 4, 9, 18.


ГЌndice de Fuerza Relativa (RSI).


вњ“В Como graficar elВ RSI.


вњ“В CГіmo operar conВ el indicador RSI.


вњ“В Oportunidades para operar con el RSI.


вњ“В Como trazar una lГ­nea de tendencia sobre el oscilador RSI.


GrГЎfica Heikin-Ashi (HA)-Indicador de tendencia.


вњ“В Como operar conВ el indicador HA.


вњ“В ComparaciГіn del indicador HA con las velas reales.


PrГЎctica indicadores EMA, RSI y HA.


вњ“В Como cambiar el orden de las pestaГ±as.


Indicador de Soporte/Resistencia –Pivote.


вњ“В Como operar con el indicador PIVOTE.


Claves para tenerВ Г‰xito en el Trading.


✓ “El trading es personal, lo que otro hace es porque tiene tiempo distinto, perspectiva distinta y experiencia distinta a la suya.


✓ “Aprenda de sus errores: Guarde las notas y analice cada inversión”.


Indicador de tendencia - (REGRESIГ“N).


вњ“В Como operar con el indicador REGRESION.


вњ“В Como crear un nuevo perfil, para guardar unaВ estrategia.


Indicador de Tendencia - Tiempo ParabГіlico (SAR).


Claves para tenerВ Г‰xito en el Trading.


✓ “No esté impaciente por operar. Espere la confirmación del mercado antes de que usted ponga su orden”.


✓ “Lo primero que debe hacer es comprobar la dirección del Mercado. ” "Nunca, nunca compre una acción o divisa si el mercado está en tendencia bajista, y Nunca compre o venda una acción o divisa que esté en rango.


вњ“В Siempre sigue la tendencia, pero primero aprende a relacionar los 3 estados del mercado (Tendencia, Retroceso, ConsolidaciГіn).


вњ“В El precio tiene memoria, esto es clave y debe llevarlo presente siempre antes de operar, el precio sabe siempre donde hizo cada retroceso y rompimiento y sobre esto determina sus prГіximos movimientos.


✓ “No intente anticipar lo que hará el mercado en el futuro, simplemente vaya con la evidencia de lo que le está diciendo el mercado a usted. ”


Indicador de Bill Williams - Fractal.


Indicador de Bollinger-В Banda Bollinger (BB).


вњ“В Banda Bollinger.


Indicadores de Fuerza de Tendencia-В ГЌndice de Promedio Direccional (ADX) e ГЌndice de Movimiento Direccional (DMI).


Oscilador - %R Larry Williams (RLW).


Oscilador - ГЌndice del Canal de Materias Primas (CCI).


Oscilador – Convergencia-Divergencia Medias Móviles (MACD).


Divergencia Medias MГіviles (MACD): Normales y ocultas.


вњ“В Divergencias Ocultas: Alcista y bajista.


Claves para tenerВ Г‰xito en el Trading.


✓ “Un trader debe aprender y practicar el control emocional”.


вњ“В El RIESGO. В Sea consiente que toda estrategia financiera encaminada a obtener ganancias implica un riesgo, y el estar preocupado por ese riesgo significa que Usted es una persona sana y le ayuda a conservar la prudencia. Recuerde: entre mayor seguridad, menores serГЎn normalmente los rendimientos.


✓ “No existe un buen par o una buena acción. Simplemente hay pares o acciones que hacen dinero. ”


Principales errores en un buen AnГЎlisis de InversiГіn.


вњ“В Invertir al Azar.


вњ“В Invertir con base a emociones.


вњ“В Violar la estrategia para resolver problemas.


Oscilador de Volatilidad-Promedio del rango real (ATR).


InterpretaciГіn de Velas Japonesas.


Claves para tenerВ Г‰xito en el Trading.


вњ“В LA ESPERANZA . Si la inversiГіn no estГЎ resultando como esperaba, si el negocio ha dejado de ser negocio, es hora de dejarlo atrГЎs y emprender otro proyecto en vez de mantenerlo inyectГЎndole nuevos recursos con la esperanza de que algГєn dГ­a las cosas mejoraran.


вњ“В LOS PRONOSTICOS . No se puede predecir la conducta humana, en la cual se basan el comercio y los В В mercados financieros. Por tanto, no base sus decisiones en lo que supuestamente va a pasar debido a predicciones que ha escuchado o leГ­do, sino por el contrario. Basa sus decisiones en observaciones objetivas sobre lo que realmente estГЎ pasando.


вњ“В El OPTIMISMO . Ser optimista significa esperar lo mejor, pero la confianza se basa en saber cГіmo se manejarГЎ lo peor. Por ello nunca participe en una inversiГіn simplemente porque se siente optimista: es fГЎcil terminar desilusionado, y sin un peso en la bolsa.


вњ“В AnГЎlisis fundamental, pГЎginas recomendadas.


вњ“В InterpretaciГіn de las noticias.


вњ“В LГ­neas de Tendencia.


Revestimiento de precio.


вњ“В Revestimiento de precio.


Canales de Tendencia, Soportes y Resistencias.


вњ“В Canales de Tendencia.


вњ“В Soportes y Resistencias.


DefiniciГіn de la Talla de la PosiciГіn.


вњ“В Una Unidad por Cantidad Fija de Capital. (Para Scalping).


вњ“В Modelo de una Unidad Fija de Capital. (Divisas).


вњ“В Modelo de Porcentaje de Volatilidad.


В Retrocesos de Fibonacci.


вњ“В Retrocesos de Fibonacci.


ExpansiГіn de Fibonacci.


вњ“В ExpansiГіn de Fibonacci.


вњ“В Siguiendo la Tendencia.


вњ“В Utilizando Indicadores.


вњ“В Utilizando Osciladores.


вњ“В Por patrones de velas.


вњ“В Agotamiento de Tendencia.


вњ“В A travГ©s del anГЎlisis fundamental.


вњ“В Sistema Scalping.


вњ“В Por porcentaje de capital.


вњ“В Por ruptura de canal.


вњ“В Por soporte/resistencia.


вњ“В Por volatilidad.


Tipos de Traders: EstiloВ Scalping.


вњ“В Estilo Scalping.


Tipos de Traders: EstiloВ Day Trading.


вњ“В Estilo Day trading.


Tipos de Day Trading.


вњ“В Trading tendencial.


вњ“В Trading contra tendencia o de ruptura.


Tipos de Traders: EstiloВ swing trading.


вњ“В Estilo swing trading.


Tipos de Traders: EstiloВ posicion trading.


вњ“В Estilo posicion trading.


ВїCГіmo Recoger Beneficios?


вњ“В Regla de oro del trading.


Tenga su propio Plan de Trading.


вњ“В Defina quГ© tipo de trading va a hacer.


вњ“В Meta personal.


вњ“В Capital disponible.


вњ“В Determine su porcentaje de Riesgo.


вњ“В Determine el nГєmero de posiciones abiertas simultГЎneas.


вњ“В Tenga a mano el calendario de noticias.


вњ“В Defina el estado del mercado.


вњ“В Observe posibles patrones de velas.


вњ“В Defina su estrategia con Indicadores y osciladores.


вњ“В Analice los retrocesos de Fibonacci o expansiones de Fibonacci.


✓ Calcule el Riesgo – Beneficio.


вњ“В De la orden.


вњ“В Coloque el lГ­mite y stop.


✓ Por último cumpla sin discusión la “REGLA DE ORO DEL TRADING”


ВїCГіmo distinguir una Plataforma Real de una Demo?


вњ“В Como distinguir una plataforma Real de una Demo.


Plataforma MetaTrader 4.


вњ“В Como descargar la plataforma MetaTrader 4.


AnГЎlisis de los Г­conos de la Plataforma MetaTrader 4.


вњ“В ExplicaciГіn de cada uno de los Г­conos de la plataforma.


ВїCГіmo Comprar y como Vender en MetaTrader 4?


вњ“В Como comprar y como vender en MetaTrader 4.


Uso de Herramientas en MetaTrader 4.


вњ“В Como dibujar un canal en MetaTrader.


вњ“В Como colocar lГ­mite y stop simultГЎneamente en MetaTrader y en FXCM.


вњ“В ComparaciГіn de la diferencia deВ informaciГіn que presenta MetaTrader 4 respecto aВ FXCM.


PersonalizaciГіn y Tipos de Stop en MetaTrader 4. r


вњ“В Como colocar un stop fijado en MetaTrader.


вњ“В Como bajar indicadores y cambiar sus propiedades en MetaTrader 4.


Registro de una Cuenta Real.


Este entrenamiento consta de 110 lecciones en video para aprender a operar en las bolsas de New York, Londres, Tokio y SГ­dney. Todos los videos estГЎn en espaГ±ol y subtitulados en inglГ©s.


Horario: Los puede estudiar desde la comodidad de su hogar en el horario que Usted desee.


Valor de la inversiГіn: El valor de la inversiГіn en este entrenamientoВ es ciento ochenta dolaresВ (US$ 180) el aГ±o.


Se requiere portГЎtil durante todo el entrenamientoВ teniendo en cuenta que el entrenamientoВ es totalmente prГЎctico.


El pago de la InversiГіn se podrГЎ realizar de la siguiente manera:


Por efecty a nombre de: Alfredo Pinto JimГ©nez В В В В В В В В В C. C. No 13.843.751


ConsignaciГіn o transferencia bancaria nombre de:


Global Marketing Col SAS. В Cuenta de ahorros No. 0-721-3999289-1 Bancolombia.


Una vez realizada la consignaciГіn escanearla y enviarla al correo Esta direcciГіn de correo electrГіnico estГЎ siendo protegida contra los robots de spam. Necesita tener JavaScript habilitado para poder verlo.


Una vez recibida la transferencia le serГЎ enviado un usuario y una contraseГ±a para acceder a los 110 videos. Esta contraseГ±a estarГЎ activa mientras Usted estГ© al dГ­a en el pago mensual. Si cancelГі el aГ±o la contraseГ±a estarГЎ activa durante un aГ±o.


November 7, 2012


Earn Instant $4.83 In your Liberty reserve Thru Currency Exchange. Exchange earnings


Break into your Financial Freedom do not pay any one to teach about online business. i have paid heavily to so many brokers and Forex marketers but got nothing and I am. unveiling this here for free do not pay any one to get this, start making you own earnings. online its free, All you need do, is just to get your calculator and follow me carefully. as I outline the (steps) below.


November 7, 2012


Earn Instant $4.83 In your Liberty reserve Thru Currency Exchange. Exchange earnings


Break into your Financial Freedom do not pay any one to teach about online business. i have paid heavily to so many brokers and Forex marketers but got nothing and I am. unveiling this here for free do not pay any one to get this, start making you own earnings. online its free, All you need do, is just to get your calculator and follow me carefully. as I outline the (steps) below.


November 7, 2012


It is official, without street credibility you are not commercially successful as an artist, if you are really talented musical artist with a good song that become a big commercial hit for info on music marketing promotions nationwide on alaba mix tapes circulating from alaba international market to clubs and streets nationwide or marketing awareness to hype possible album release and marketing, printing of posters, internet publicity, radio, tv, media hype or you need a plan to set up your record label general grassroots company advert call Nigerians biggest name in grassroots promotions on +2348085088437 add bye pin 236629ef office address ub 142 ubakason plaza alaba international market ojo Lagos Nigeria pls call for direction if you have an appointment with us kindly follow @Dannyalaba on twitter for music marketing and mix tapes info.


November 7, 2012


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November 9, 2012


Olamide – Baddo (Freestyle) + MSarewole


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Worldwide law has had centuries in order to evolve however could very easily fall target to energy if reason doesn't evolve it's journey using the changed conditions. It is essential for internationalists to understand the implications of "change" launched by rising subjects associated with international regulation. Responses which have familiarity along with reality might avoid misconstruing the actual purposes associated with international regulation. healthfreedomlaw. net


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Photos Of Nigerians Abroad Protesting CBN’s Naira Debit/Credit Card Ban


By Chisom / Sunday, 27 Dec 2015 03:30PM


Nigerians abroad, mostly students, yesterday took to the streets to protest CBN’s proposed ban on naira-denominated debit/credit cards for dollar-denominated transactions.


The ban is to take effect from January 1, 2016. Nigerian banks will not allow their customers use naira-denominated debit/credit cards for transactions denominated in Forex. This means also that bank customers will not be able to use their cards to buy products from foreign e-commerce sites like e-bay and amazon. com in which payments are made in Forex.


Different photos of placard-carrying protesters had gone viral on the Internet on Saturday, in which the youths stated that they needed the payment cards to survive.


See the photos below:


Senator Ben Murray Bruce also took to his Facebook page to share his thoughts on the ban. See his post below:


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Android'a by ProGmerVS v.15.1 build 25 (2015/RUS/ENG) (5.1.2015)


Android'a by ProGmerVS v.15.1 build 25 (2015/RUS/ENG) Size: 10,1 GB


You bought yourself a brand new tablet. Or finally understood that the smartphone for thirty thousand intended not only to straighten SMSes on WhatsApp and do a self Instargam. But even these applications, you must first install. And how to do this if you first learned what Android and what it can do and besides, you do not have Google account. The official app store Google Play Market hundreds of thousands of applications, but how to find among them exactly what you need and do not get to the fake clone or a virus. And so it comes to the rescue "Collection for Android'a by ProGmerVS. The project, developed by just one person. The project, which will help you understand the many programs and games, and choose for themselves only the best, but workable and proven software for Android all versions starting from 2.1 and above. B0lshaya of the free applications taken from the official store Google Play Market. Also present in the Collection of the game "hacked for money" and other nice things. And of course there is "broken" program, without which it can not do any smartphone or tablet on Android. Collection is created in a convenient format menu where you can select the desired program or game by simply clicking on its name, and read the description and know the type of distribution (paid / free) in the Play Store, just move your mouse to the name. Many games require download after installation with CASH Play Market'a, so do not forget to include the Internet. For paid or hacked games cache is inside the game folder.


Crack - There are programs in the demo or lite versions, requiring the purchase or activation for all features of the program - Present a program with stitched crack (install and use) - Present a program with a patch or crack alone (80% need ROOT and 100% "straight arm"


How to use the collection and how to install a program or game on your phone or tablet under Android'om: - Mount image and run the Autorun menu - Press the button to select the applications - Then run the WPI where you tick mark your desired content or simply click the "Required", the program will select all for you (but the game will have to choose manually) - When all the checkboxes placed and you undecided click "Finish" - There will be a copy of the content in the folder "APK" on the disk (C: APK) (the game will be in the folder C: APK Games) - Once all copied to display the APK. - It needs to be transferred to your device (via data cable, bluetooth or wi-fi) - Next, using the app Easy Installer, select all and install the application.


what's new - Fixed minor errors and omissions in the WPI - All programs are updated to the newest versions (for the period 01.01 - 04.01) - All games are updated to the newest versions (for the period 01.01 - 04.01)


list of programs Audio-video PlayerPro Music Player v.2.95 Poweramp Music Player FULL v2.0.10.569 MX Player Pro v1.7.35 VPlayer Video Player FULL v3.2.6 Spirit FM Radio v2014_12_16 Equalizer FULL v.4.0.5 Music Folder Player Full 1.5.9 Winamp Pro 2.0.1147 TuneIn Radio Pro 12.9.2 Shazam Encore 5.1.1 SoundHound Infinity v6.4.1


Motorists and pedestrians Am. Ru 3.2.3 Fuel Manager 6.10 JapanCar 2.0 RRoadar 1.5.0 Smart Transport 1.1.6 Starline 2.1.7 TAXI. MAXIM 2.6 AntiGAI SDA + 14.0


security Dr. Web 9.00.1 Pro Life Licence Kaspersky Internet Security 11.6.4 Avast Premium 4.0.78 AirPush Detector 3.2


Widgets Battery Widget Reborn Pro 2.1.1 LED HD Flashlight v1.75 Balance By 6.0 HD Widgets v4.1.1 Circle Launcher 3.2 Zooper Widget 2.58 Maximus Whatch 1.1.0


Calls and Contacts BIG! caller ID Pro 3.4.4 Full Screen Caller ID PRO 10.1.1 Call Recorder 1.4.8 PixelPhone Pro


The Internet browsers Dolphin Browser 11.3.6 Google Chrome 39.0 Mozilla Firefox 34.0.1 Opera Mini 8.0.1 UC Browser 10.0.2 UC Browser HD 3.4.30 Maxthon Web Browser 4.3


video chats ooVoo Video Call Text & Voice v.2.2.6 Skype 5.1 Viber 5.1


Downloads and Torrents ??Torrent? 2.25 BitTorrent? 2.101 DVGet 4.0.3


traffic control 3G Watchdog Pro v1.26.6 Mobile Counter Pro 3G, WIFI v3.6


banking cards Visa QIWI Wallet 2.15 WebMoney Keeper Mobile 3.0.21 Alfa-Bank 5.5.4 Mobile VTB24 4.2.8 Sberbank OnLyn 5.2.1


Movies about KinoPoisk 3.4.3 Cinema ivi. ru Movies Online 4.8 MEGOGO. NET - online cinema 2.4.0 Peers. TV 6.1.4


Google Services Google Analytics Google Authenticator Google Goggles Google Play Books Google Play Movies Google Media Google Calendar Google Maps Google Translate Street View on Google Maps


Services Yandex Yandex. Auto Yandex Yandex Yandeks. Kinoafisha of Yandex. Market Yandex. Metro Yandex. News Yandex. Weather Yandeks. Poisk Yandeks. Pochta Yandeks. Taksi Yandeks. Fotki Yandex. Trains


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Interactive currency-comparison tool


THE Big Mac index was invented by The Economist in 1986 as a lighthearted guide to whether currencies are at their “correct” nivel. It is based on the theory of purchasing-power parity (PPP), the notion that in the long run exchange rates should move towards the rate that would equalise the prices of an identical basket of goods and services (in this case, a burger) in any two countries. For example, the average price of a Big Mac in America in July 2014 was $4.80; in China it was only $2.73 at market exchange rates. So the "raw" Big Mac index says that the yuan was undervalued by 43% at that time.


Burgernomics was never intended as a precise gauge of currency misalignment, merely a tool to make exchange-rate theory more digestible. Yet the Big Mac index has become a global standard, included in several economic textbooks and the subject of at least 20 academic studies. For those who take their fast food more seriously, we have also calculated a gourmet version of the index.


This adjusted index addresses the criticism that you would expect average burger prices to be cheaper in poor countries than in rich ones because labour costs are lower. PPP signals where exchange rates should be heading in the long run, as a country like China gets richer, but it says little about today's equilibrium rate. The relationship between prices and GDP per person may be a better guide to the current fair value of a currency. The adjusted index uses the “line of best fit” between Big Mac prices and GDP per person for 48 countries (plus the euro area). The difference between the price predicted by the red line for each country, given its income per person, and its actual price gives a supersized measure of currency under - and over-valuation.


The 'Select base currency' button allows you to choose from five base currencies: the yuan, the euro, the yen, sterling and the US dollar. You can also choose to see the index in its original 'raw' form, or adjusted for GDP per person. By default, the panel at the bottom displays a scatter chart plotting the local price of a Big Mac (expressed in the current base currency) against GDP per person in that country. Select individual points for details.


As you explore the map, the scatter chart will be replaced by a line chart plotting the highlighted country's under - or over-valuation against the current base currency over time. You can select a country on the map to 'freeze' it (with the exception of Internet Explorer), allowing you to mouse over/tap the line chart and see detailed indicators for your selection over time. To 'unfreeze' the map, click/tap on the highlighted country again


NOTE: As of January 2014, the Big Mac index has been adapted to include Latvia as part of the euro area. South Africa’s Big Mac price has been revised.


El índice Big Mac


Los tipos de cambio globales, para ir


24 DE JULIO 2014, POR DH & RLW


El índice Big Mac fue inventado por The Economist en 1986 como una guía alegre de si las monedas están en su nivel "correcto". Se basa en la teoría de la paridad del poder adquisitivo (PPA), la noción de que en los tipos de cambio a largo plazo deben avanzar hacia la tasa que igualar los precios de una canasta idéntica de bienes y servicios (en este caso, una hamburguesa) en cualquiera de los dos países. Por ejemplo, el precio promedio de un Big Mac en los Estados Unidos en julio de 2014 fue de $ 4,80; en China fue sólo 2,73 dólares al tipo de cambio de mercado. Así que la "prima" índice Big Mac dice que el yuan estaba subvaluado en un 43% en ese momento. burgernomics nunca fue pensado como un indicador preciso de la desalineación de divisas, más que una herramienta para hacer la teoría de tipos de cambio más digerible. Sin embargo, el índice Big Mac se ha convertido en un estándar global, incluido en varios libros de texto económicos y el tema de por lo menos 20 estudios académicos. Para aquellos que toman su comida rápida es más grave, también hemos calculado una versión gourmet del índice. Este índice ajustado se refiere a la crítica de que era de esperar los precios promedio de la hamburguesa a ser más barato en los países pobres que en los ricos porque los costos laborales son menores. Señales de PPP, donde las tasas de cambio deben encaminarse en el largo plazo, ya que un país como China se hace más rica, pero dice poco acerca de la tasa de equilibrio de hoy. La relación entre los precios y el PIB por persona puede ser una mejor guía al valor razonable actual de una moneda. El índice ajustado utiliza la "línea de mejor ajuste" entre los precios del Big Mac y el PIB por persona para 48 países (además de la zona del euro). La diferencia entre el precio previsto por la línea roja para cada país, dado su ingreso por persona, y su precio real da una medida de la moneda tamaño gigante sub y sobre-valoración.


El botón 'Select moneda base "le permite elegir entre cinco monedas base: el yuan, el euro, el yen, la libra esterlina y el dólar de EE. UU. También puede optar por ver el índice en su forma original "en bruto", o ajustarse para el PIB por persona. Por defecto, el panel de la parte inferior muestra un gráfico de dispersión trazando el precio local de un Big Mac (expresado en la moneda base actual) contra el PIB por persona en ese país. Seleccionar puntos individuales para obtener detalles.


Al explorar el mapa, el gráfico de dispersión será sustituido por un gráfico de líneas de trazado de la moneda de cuenta corriente del país destacó sub o sobre-valuación contra el paso del tiempo. Es posible seleccionar un país en el mapa de "congelar" (con la excepción de Internet Explorer), lo que le permite ratón sobre / toque en el gráfico de líneas y ver indicadores detallados para su selección en el tiempo. Para 'descongelar' el mapa, haga clic en / golpecito en el país resaltado de nuevo.


Descargue el conjunto de datos completo aquí


NOTA: A partir de enero de 2014, el índice Big Mac se ha adaptado para incluir Letonia como parte de la zona del euro. Precio del Big Mac de Sudáfrica ha sido revisado.


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miércoles, septiembre 27, 2006


JORGE ENRIQUE ABELLO


Este Actorucho es de lo peorsito que he visto en la TV, para los que estudian actuacion este es el perfecto ejemplo de lo que no se debe hacer. Este Soquete desde hace tiempo nos esta metiendo el mismo personaje en diferentes novelas(Si Jorgito, aunque parezca increible nos dimos cuenta),o comparen ustedes: Que diferencia hay entre el papel de Armando que hizo en Betty la fea y el que esta haciendo de Damian en la Novela Merlina o en la Novela La costena y el cachaco con el personaje de Antonio Andrade . Estos tres personajes son la misma interpretación de Jefe Ejecutivo Gruñon Clase Alta, Pero con diferente nombre.


De todos modos ha mostrado gran versatilidad, En la novela Perro Amor haciendo de Tonto, al igual que el papel de "Caricontento". que esta haciendo en " Llama del fijo, amor ", Bueno, con respecto a esos dos papeles queremos felicitarlo porque no podemos negar que esta haciendo el papel de su vida o sea de TONTO.


En conclucion siempre hace los dos únicos personajes que se sabe: El de Empresario jefe Gruñon Estrato Alto, Y El natural de BOBO, porque si, es un BOBO…


122 comentarios:


Primero de todo, habla con propiedad, porque se nota que tú lo de la escuela como que no sabes nada de nada, osea, que aprendas primero a escribir y a expresarte correctamente, porque me ha constado un montón entender lo que querías decir.


Segundo, me parece horrible que critiques a tus paisanos, espejo de ti y de tu país. Te recuerdo que Jorge Enrique Abello es uno de los personajes más conocidos MUNDIALMENTE gracias a lo que tú dices que hace siempre igual: actuar, cosa que de ti no se puede decir, porque viendo este blog dan ganas de echarse a llorar.


Tercero, es muy fácil ver la paja en el ojo ajeno y no ver la viga en el propio, deberías hacerte revisar por un psiquiatra, porque esta obsesión de tener que criticar a los demás es una señal inequívoca de una enfermedad mental.


Cuarto, puede que los papeles que haya hecho Jorge Enrique Abello sean parecidos, pero no te has parado a pensar que quizá no haya otros actores colombianos que den la talla?


Quinto, respecto a lo de bobo: hay que ser muy inteligente para poder parecer bobo, tienes que fijarte mucho en la gente que realmente lo es para imitarla y que la gente crea que realmente lo es. En tu caso, no tienes que actuar, tú solito desbordas tontería por todos lados, incluso en internet por hacer este blog.


Que Dios te coja confesado.


Por patriotismos de a peso como este es que estamos jodidos en Colombia, si se critica a un Negro entonces uno es Racista, si se critica a un Colombiano entonces uno es Antipatriota, no, las cosas son como son, conocido MUNDIALMENTE si es pero por Mal Actor, o cree que se puede comparar con la versatilidad de un Jack Nicholson un Robert de Niro, un Edgardo Roman o un Ramiro Meneses eso si es actuar.


PD:Si le costo entender lo que queria decir pues muy triste hasta un niño de 8 años lo entenderia, Y si usted esta enamorado de Jorge Enrique Abello pues bueno no soy nadie para criticar sus preferencias sexuales.


("hay que ser muy inteligente para poder parecer bobo"). Uy hermano que comentario tan pero tan "inteligente" de su parte.


JORGE ENRIQUE ABELLO APESTA. )


Terminator, usted debe ser un PETARDOTE, pues en su escrito, en el punto cuatro, usted escribe:(. puede que los papeles que haya hecho Jorge Enrique Abello sean parecidos. )ES DECIR QUE ESTA DE ACUERDO EN QUE EL TIPO ES UN PETARDO. entonces cual es su critica. A demas, su escrito esta re-mal puntuado, ya que hay comas, donde no debe haber. que BOBAZO ESTE TERMINATOR


Pepo, Pepo, Pepo, tanto criticar la escritura de una persona cuando tú no pones acentos y las comas las has debido de poner según te ha venido en gana. para decir algo hay que saber. Además, sólo eliges una parte de un punto que desarrollé, de tal manera que aislando sólo una parte parece que estoy de acuerdo con lo que dices, pero bien lejos de la verdad, a ver si leemos un poquito mejor y completamos las frases, bonito.


antipetardo, por cierto: no soy colombiano. Respecto a que no llega a la talla de Jack Nicholson o Robert de Niro es normal, sólo aparece en televisión. Entendí perfectamente lo que quiere decir, para eso me enseñaron a analizar lo que leo, pero me costó un buen rato porque estaba muy mal redactado.


si, buenas. me has demostrado qué "inteligente" eres con muy pocas palabras.


Bueo, Don Terminador, don escritor. ¿Cuántos libros has publicado, me imagino que ninguno, pues tu redacción no es mala, es pésima.


Aquí escribo tu propio texto, bien redactado a ver si aprendes un poquito. Te aconsejo que compres el libro de redacción de MARTIN VIVALDI, esfuérzate en leerlo y veras que aprendes un poquito.


Pepo, Pepo, Pepo, tanto criticar la escritura de una persona,(aquí va coma) cuando tú no pones (poner no se escribe, usa palabras como ESCRIBIR) acentos y las comas las has debido de poner(Aun si estuviera bien escrita, la palabra PONER, hay redundancia, pues estas repitiendo la palabra en el mismo párrafo). según,(aquí va coma) te ha venido en gana. para decir algo hay que saber. Además, sólo eliges una parte de un punto que desarrollé, de tal manera que aislando sólo una parte(, aquí va coma) parece que estoy de acuerdo con lo que dices, pero bien lejos de la verdad, a ver si leemos un poquito mejor y completamos las frases, bonito.


antipetardo, por cierto: no soy colombiano. Respecto a que no llega a la talla de Jack Nicholson o Robert de Niro es normal, sólo aparece en televisión. Entendí perfectamente lo que quiere decir, para eso me enseñaron a analizar lo que leo, pero me costó un buen rato porque estaba muy mal redactado.


si, buenas. me has demostrado qué "inteligente" eres con muy pocas palabras.


En conclusión, Don analista de textos, creo que no entiendas la redacción de este blog, pues ¿Qué se le puede exigir a un tipo ignorante como tu? Espero que el próximo comentario que dejes, lo escribas bien y lo revises antes de publicarlo… DE ACUERDO


Mire "Bonito", si le enseñaron a analizar lo que lee pues como que no a logrado aprender "Un Culo", porque mas claro para donde? por cierto. a mi tambien me ha costado mucho entender porque esta tan enamorado de Jorge enrique Abello, pero ya entendi. ¿Eres Gay Cierto.


me has demostrado qué "inteligente" eres con muy pocas palabras.


No sea tan Pendejo, no repita lo mismo que yo Cite antes ya pierde la Gracia, si es que analiza tanto lo que lee por lo menos tenga imaginacion para responder.


PD: "analize" lo que escribi y se dara cuenta que esta haciendo el Ridiculo, y si no le gusto "analizeme" Este.


Terminator, si te enseñaron a analizar lo que lees, te cuento que te robaron, porque no aprendiste nada. Pide que te devuelvan el dinero. No es justo que estés por los Blog, haciendo el ridículo, con esa redacción, diciendo que sabes escribir. Cuando quieras te envío a tu mail, algunas reglas de redacción y puntuación.


Que paso, TERMINATOR? Le dio miedo responder. Por que esa ausencia de cobarde. responda falsario. Mentiroso, embustero falaz, hablador pegotero perillán redomado. JA, Ja, JA, JA usted es un vomitivo bascoso cochambroso, desagradable guarro hediondo JA, JA, JA, JA. Ojala alla entendido mis terminos adoquín analfabeto, bárbaro burro camueso, iletrado zoquete, JA, JA, JA


Al "Cervantes" pepo, al iletrado cum laude, eso de decir:


"Ojala alla entendido". me parto de la risa: OJALÁ HAYA ENTENDIDO; a ver si hablamos bien! El que me quiere dar clases de lenguaje, cuando no tiene ni puta idea de dónde tiene su mano derecha (ah, sí, con la que consigues placer, porque visto lo visto, solito te quedaste).


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Esto es como dar margaritas a los cerdos.


Hala, a aprender un poquito más.


Gracias Terminator, entiendo tu admiración por mis comentarios. También tu afecto por este blog.


Ha, como siempre tengo que corregirte. El dicho que comentas (Esto es como dar margaritas a los cerdos) Esta mal dicho. La expresión correcta es Bíblica y es PERLAS EN CERDOS.


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En todas mis publicaciones le he dado mucha importancia a los puntos psicológicos del trading, así como el manejo de las emociones y posteriormente estaré hablando de la Inteligencia emocional.


Esta claro que la ayuda o información psicológica para el manejo del trading es algo difícil de encontrar hoy en día por el crecimiento tan fuerte de los corredores nuevos, el poco entrenamiento que yo tengo ha sido autodidacta y con mucha dificultad aprender y comprender la teoría de algunos libros que hablan sobre el control emocional como el libro “La disciplina del Inversor”.


Al principio de mi experiencia con las emociones me daba cuenta de muchas cosas estañas y que antes yo consideraba una fantasía o algo imposible, pero comenzare relatando mis conflictos emocionales antes, dúrate y después d una negociación.


Los primero Meses


Como todo trader siempre creía en los grandes beneficios y las negociaciones eran como las siguientes;


Me levantaba temprano con el entusiasmo y el impulso de ganar en los mercados, realizaba una negociación por algo que creía o por alguna vela de gran tamaño, no marcaba puntos de salida, no marcaba Stop loos ni Limite, creí que podría controlarme emocionalmente para poder cerrar mi negociación sensatamente, el problema venia después; el mercado se ponía en contra mía y hacia dos cosas; cerraba mi negociación y abría una nueva pero al contrario de la primera, y la otra es que dejaba mi negociación por que tenia la idea de que el mercado siempre volvería al mismo precio.


No existía control emocional, y el miedo y la culpa me invadían, no me podía recuperar tan fácilmente por mis escasos conocimientos en inteligencia emocional.


En mi opinión la única solución es tener en cuenta de que nosotros entramos al mercado para aprender y experimentar su volatilidad, cortemos nuestras perdida y dejemos correr nuestras ganancias si así nos dice nuestro sistema de trading.


Después del Año


Aquí tenia más disciplina me mostraba más abierto a cualquier posibilidad y tenía en cuenta la posible perdida de mis negociaciones aceptándolas como un aprendizaje.


Mis emociones eran variadas dependiendo de mis situación, así que cuando yo ganaba o tenía una ganancia estaba plenamente con mi persona, pero cuando tenía una perdida o estaba perdiendo yo me podnía a estudiar y ver por que me equivoque, con esto mostraba confusión y falta de “algo”.


El control emocional era el siguiente, trataba de despejar mi mente dejando el trading por algún tiempo (horas, días o semanas) hasta que yo sintiera de nuevo este entusiasmo y seguridad para realizar negociaciones, antes de cada negociación yo dedicaba mínimo 10 minutos para identificar puntos de entrada y salida y también ponía mis limites y mi stop de perdida, así que la cosa ya era mas enserio pero aun así parece que yo tenia mas perdidas que ganancias por que no tomaba una disciplina para mi gestión de capital, negociaba con diferentes montos o volúmenes.


Si te encuentras en esta situación, debemos buscar mas información sobre control emocional y alimentar nuestra información sobre gestión de capitales buscando una estrategia que nos haga estar siempre dentro del mercado para aprender.


Les compartiré un pequeño ejercicio para poder administrar nuestro miedo y enojo:


Para poder deshacernos del miedo hay que considerar que antes que nada subir nuestro autoestima con ejercicios como una platica de autoconocimiento académico, y posteriormente despertar las “ganas” de negociar y aprender un día mas en los mercados. Bueno entonces después de esto nos colocamos en un lugar que nosotros nos sintamos cómodos y en una posición que puedas visualizarte fácilmente, cerraremos los ojos y visualizamos una nuestro miedo como un polvo, después visualizamos una escoba y un recogedor y nos desaseemos del polvo que consideramos es nuestro miedo, nosotros sentiremos una limpieza por el tipo de visualización.


Ahora para poder controlar nuestro enojo:


Es necesario alejarnos de toda situación incomoda y hacer algo que nos distraiga inmediatamente, alguna actividad física y diferente a lo que hagamos hecho antes, también nos puede ayudar mostrando interés en nuestro enojo y buscando el por que de nuestro enojo (solo si ya tienes conocimientos sobre inteligencia emocional), para poder controlar el enojo es necesario superar la causa de este enojo así que estaremos preguntándonos que fundamentos tiene nuestro enojo, que bien nos hace y que mal nos hace estar enojados, es necesario que yo me enoje por algo que yo considero es un aprendizaje y crecimiento personal?.


Todos estos ejercicios debemos hacerlo con entusiasmo para encontrar respuestas lo mas pronto posible así que ya es de cada quien el poder superar una emoción tan volátil e incontrolable como el enojo o el miedo, recuerden siempre hay que levantar nuestro autoestima.


Por el momento es todo espero les haiga gustado, posteriormente estaré publicando mas información sobre mis experiencias con el mundo de financiero actual.


En esta ocasión les quiero compartir lo que me paso a finales del 2011 cuando yo ya había perdido dinero en los mercados financieros una y otra ves, después de haber estudiado día y noche buscando la seguridad de mis negociaciones, después de haber recibido todos los golpes del mercado y aun así volver a enfrentarme a mis emociones sigo dando lucha y decido invertir de nuevo en los mercados.


Día con día me levantaba temprano, desde las 6 de la mañana yo estaba en mi computadora viviendo la volatilidad de los mercados, pero a comparación del año pasado solo negociaba hasta el medio día y el resto del día lo dedicaba solo a mí.


Conseguí un préstamo de 200 dólares para invertirlos en los mercados por que yo no tenía dinero para invertir y pensé que mi estudio y dedicación ya habían formado de mí un trader sobreviviente.


Ya era octubre de 2011 y comencé a negociar con ese capital, las primeras negociaciones fueron estresantes por que yo sabía que el dinero era prestado y no me podía dar el lujo de perder, así que aquí yo ya tenía una presión emocional del miedo al fracaso.


Obviamente no todo estaba bien desde un principio no debí haber pedido prestado para invertir el dinero, pero lo hice y el dinero estaba ya en mi cuenta de inversión así que comencé a negociar con esa presión.


En la primera semana realice aproximadamente de 3 a 5 negociaciones en promedio diarias, tenia ganancias y perdidas diarias y reflejaba un estrés durante todo el día, pero aun así esa semana obtuve un 120% de rendimiento así que mi balance era de 440 dólares.


Paso el fin de semana y yo estuve mucho mas tranquilo aunque todo el fin de semana me la pasaba estudiando y “suponiendo” cuanto ganaría si sigo obteniendo este rendimiento y creo que este fue un error más.


Obviamente mi conversación conmigo mismo era algo así; Si yo puedo ganar 120% de rendimiento semanal entonces si sigo negociando, la próxima semana tender 880 dólares aproximadamente.


Y bueno este tipo de afirmaciones nos iluminan, ilusionan nos hacen creer que podemos realmente hacernos ricos en 1 mes.


Bueno la catástrofe no se hiso esperar, los primeros días de la segunda semana yo maneje negociaciones con poca ganancia “pero todas en ganancias” así que me llego a la mente negociar con mayor volumen (el doble) este fue mi mayor error. & # 8230; bueno el día jueves negocie con el doble de volumen y aun recuerdo, fue una venta para eur/usd el precio estaba cerca de un soporte no había noticias ni nada que lo hiciera violentarse así que espere a que se alejara del soporte para entrar en corto, subió 15 pips y decidí abrir la negociación solo que aquí el mercado pronto comenzó a subir con mas fuerza hasta tocar el 50% de fibonacci, obviamente yo me asuste por la perdida tan grande, y cerré mi negociación con 35 pips de perdida que en mi balance eran aproximadamente 70 dólares, así que pensé que podría seguir subiendo y compre pero no fue así el mercado después callo con gran fuerza y rompió el soporte aquí perdí 50 pips mas.


Ya se han de imaginar como me sentía yo, una perdida tan fuerte en tan poco tiempo, me día a si mismo; como es que no vi esto. Por que cerré mi venta. sentía miedo, frustración, confusión, desesperación y mucho coraje conmigo mismo.


Bueno después d esta gran experiencia, decidí negociar con el menos volumen posible y hacer solo una negociación al día, cuando me mostrara completamente seguro y con la suficiente confianza.


Mi primera regla después de esta experiencia nunca negocies con dinero real bajo presión, para poder identificar esto hay que conocernos a nosotros mismo a la perfección y aunque perdamos el control hay que recuperarlo lo antes posible, sino, pasara que nuestro capital desaparecerá.


Actualmente el control emocional es una herramienta clave para el éxito, asique no dejemos pasar por alto cualquier voz en nuestro interior o cualquier emoción, ya que estas hablan por si solas y pueden llegar a tomar control total sobre nosotros, como el enojo, la tristeza, la culpa, el odio, la avaricia, etc etc.


Hay que estar pendientes de nuestras emociones y posteriormente les compartiré mis técnicas de control emocional.


Muy buen día! Aquí estoy de nuevo expresando mi experiencia en los mercados financieros.


Al principio del año 2011 después de nuestra pérdida del capital invertido me costaba mas el poder hacer una negociación ganadora seguía perdiendo y perdiendo en modo demo, y mes tras mes estaba mas confundido.


Me pasaba que no mostraba confianza, me llegaba a la mente a cada momento que necesitaba estudiar mas, conocer mas técnicas, ser mas disciplinado con mis márgenes de stop loss y limit, aunque antes me mostraba mas sensato después de esta perdida mi mundo se movió y sufrí una serie de daños psicológicos como el sufrimiento, la inseguridad, el fracaso, y muchos sentimiento que pasaban por mi cabeza sin poder controlarlos.


El mes de enero y febrero caía y caía de nuevo a veces hasta por el mismo error, así que decidí alejarme. tomarme un descanso y dejar los mercados para estabilizarme emocionalmente, así paso una semana no encendía ni la computadora me dedique a otras cosas, la segunda semana yo ya estaba mas tranquilo ya que no tenia ese miedo por el seguir perdiendo en el mercado.


Después de un mes de estar completamente distanciado de todo lo relacionado con los mercados financieros, decidí intentar de nuevo a negociar, pero para entonces me propuse escribir mis propias reglas que leería cada día antes de abrir una negociación y me comprometí a cumplir con esa disciplina por que yo sabia que se trataba de mi futuro.


Para mediados del 2011 comencé a realizar negociaciones de poco volumen y muy bien estudiadas, donde yo a veces programaba la apertura de una compra o venta, y a veces la realizaba al precio disponible y todas contaban con sus respectivos limites después de a ver realizado un estudio minucioso del mercado, el tiempo que me llevaba hacer el estudio no superaban los 30 minutos, así que comencé a experimentar un nivel de seguridad mas alto, y me día a cada momento; (Gano o pierda yo solo vengo aprender).


Con el paso de los días me di cuenta de que no era necesario negociar diario, por que lo único que importa es encontrar una situación del mercado que te diga claramente la dirección y que te de esta seguridad para realizar esa negociación.


Si teníamos ganancias y pérdidas, pero semanalmente ya teníamos una ganancia promedio que mensualmente sumaban de entre el 20% y el 45% en algunas ocasiones.


Para poder abrir una negociación yo antes tenia que estar motivado y con las ganas de experimentar la volatilidad del mercado, ser positivo con nuestro objetivo como trader, no tener tantos indicadores en las graficas, también comencé a ver solo los gráficos de mayor tiempo como; de 30 minutos, 1 Hora, 4 Horas y 1 día, y con las EMA’s de 70 y 200 periodos, también algunos indicadores como el RLW y RSI y pues en sus casos marcaba obviamente el fibonacci, todos estos indicadores los complementaba con la Nube de Ichimoku que me mostraba varios datos del mercado para poder entrar y salir.


Así que mis negociaciones dejaron de ser estresantes, y se convirtieron en un aprendizaje diario.


Para todo esto les quiero compartir de una buena vez que no hay estrategia ganadora, por que el mercado no sera siempre el mismo, asi que lo unico que yo hice es buscar señales que me generen la suficiente confianza para comprar o vender y aprender d los resultados que me dio el mercado, por que los mercados son impredecibles y pueden reaccionar de una manera tan incoerente aveces pero aqui demotraremos nosotros como trader's que somo una nueva especie que nos movemos con el mercado en ves de luchar con el como la mayoria de los grandes inversores.


Ya no volví ha invertir dinero hasta finales del 2011 fue un año de aprendizaje duro y trascendente para mi personalidad, por el momento es todo y estaré de nuevo describiéndoles lo que paso con aquel capital que invertir en finales del 2011.


En esta ocasión les narrare como fue mi experiencia en los mercados financieros a finales del 2010.


Con un conocimiento mucho mas amplio de los mercados y con ayuda de indicadores técnicos en mis graficas me mostraba mas seguro a la hora de comprar o vender eur/usd, pero por algún u otro motivo rompía mis propias reglas y entraba por corazonadas o por algún movimiento del mercado con fuerza, por alguna vela bajista de gran tamaño o por que un indicador me decía que estaba sobrecomprado el mercado o sobrevendido.


En aquel tiempo sentía la sensación de que me hacia falta algo, algo que me ayudaría a ser un trader exitoso, tal ves aspectos fundamentales o técnicos, pero aquí me di cuenta de que el aspecto psicológico no lo había tomado tanto en cuenta, es cuando de repente comencé hacerme preguntas como; Que siento cuando pierdo. Que se siente cuando gano. que tan seguro estoy yo para creer en que caerá o subirá. por que cierro mis negociaciones antes. por que siento que se me paso el tiempo o entro muy temprano al mercado. son muchas preguntas. que me llegaron a la mente.


Si me hacia falta conocerme, el trading es autoconocimiento, cuando yo escuche esto por primera ves dije; Pero como va ser autoconocimiento si yo lo que trato es saber si el mercado va a subir o bajar. Necesito saber sobre el mercado no sobre mi. Esto que yo pensé esta mal, por que nunca vamos a conocer todos los instrumentos que mueven el mercado son demasiados. y mas en el mercado forex!


Nosotros como trader's independientes debemos aprender a subir y bajar con el mercado y para esto debemos conocernos a si mismos para considerar nuestras perspectivas del precio, el mercado en grafico de velas nos dirá perfectamente bien cuando bajara y subirá, por eso el trading es un autoconocimiento para formar disciplina, carácter, decisión, estudio y autoestudio formal, administrado y responsable, para saber cuanto es bastante. Así te convertirás en una persona Asertiva.


Los errores son parte del camino, con el tiempo comencé a darme cuenta de mis errores con mayor facilidad, ya que el autoconocimiento es una vía rápida para el acceso de los sentimientos, sobre como respondemos ante una perdida y que debemos controlar, administrando nuestras emociones para poder tomar decisiones sensatas y no en base a una emoción provocada por algún movimiento fuerte en el precio.


En diciembre del 2010 sufrí una gran perdida en el mercado mas no inmediata sino que en el transcurso del mes yo negociaba diariamente utilizando un apalancamiento 200:1 con un balance de 650 USD y mis negociaciones abiertas reflejaban 2 USD por pip ganado o perdido, así que la ganancia o perdida podía ser inmensa y tenia en cuenta de que podría quebrar.


Así que con el paso de las semanas teníamos ganancias y perdidas pero el balance semanal era de perdida, después de 3 semanas con estos problemas yo me doy cuenta ahora de que el problema estaba en utilizar un monto de inversión muy alto y la indisciplina de seguir mis reglas como trader responsable, me di cuenta también de que emocionalmente quería recuperar inmediatamente lo que había perdido y mis negociaciones tenían fundamento en una emoción por eso las perdidas no cesaban al contrario eran muchas mas grandes y constantes.


Bueno esto paso en diciembre de 2010, y q paso con mi capital. jajaja pues termine con mi cuenta de 650 USD, ahora considero este dinero como un costo de aprendizaje para poder entender lo que se supone ya sabia yo, así sucede constantemente con los nuevos trader's necesitan de una perdida (de un golpe) del mercado para entender que nos hemos equivocado al creer que podemos comernos el mercado en 1 mes, en 1 día o en 1 año o en una negociación.


Esta es una gran experiencia que espero que les ayude a su formación como trader's, por ahora mi relato termina aquí, posteriormente estaré describiendo mis días del 2011 como trader, para referencias personales y mencionando mis experiencias.


Wednesday, July 28, 2010


The following is an edited excerpt from Phil Mitsch’s Book "How To Have A Successful Home Selling Attitude." This Book is the first of 12 that comprises his Home Seller Solutions Program and it is currently available. My Philosophy About The Different Types Of Real Estate Values is as follows: Despite traditional belief and verbal usage the fact of the matter is that every piece of real estate has a Value Range. It is not worth just one figure. I refer to this Value Range as Fair Market Swing In Value. It is extremely important for home buyers, home sellers, real estate and mortgage and licensees, builders, attorneys, financial advisors, and other miscellaneous servicing company personnel who are involved in the entire home buying, home selling, and lending processes to understand that every piece of real estate has a Fair Market Swing In Value. ¿Por qué? The reason is the entire home buying, home selling, and lending processes could be handled far more proficiently, professionally, productively, and successfully because a lot of listing, selling, and lending misconceptions about real estate values could be eliminated. Over the years these misconceptions have caused hundreds of thousands of real estate transactions to either: 1) terminate, or 2) have to be renegotiated after buyers and sellers have signed agreements of sale.


The 7 Real Estate Values Now here are the 7 Real Estate Values that each piece of real estate potentially has.


Value #2: Upgrades and Extras Value


Value #3: Adjusted Base Value


Value #4: Swing Value


Value #5: Fair Market Swing In Value


Value #6: Special Value


Value #7: Deficiency Value


As a practicing residential Realtor I educated my sellers and buyers about what these 7 Real Estate Values were during both my Listing Presentations and Mortgage Pre-qualification Sessions.


Now let’s analyze exactly what each one of these 7 Real Estate Values are.


Value #1: Base Value The Base Value of a piece of real estate is the value it has without the lending industry’s appraisal allowance for upgrades and extras and Seller Concessions. Seller Concessions meaning discount point and settlement cost assistance to buyers.


Value #2: Upgrades And Extras Value The Upgrades and Extras Value of a piece of real estate is the additional value it has over its Base Value based upon the lending industry’s appraisal allowance for the value of the upgrades and extras.


Value #3: Adjusted Base Value The Adjusted Base Value of a piece of real estate is the value it has when you add its Base Value to its Upgrades and Extras Value.


Value #4: Swing Value The Swing Value of a piece of real estate is the value it has over the Adjusted Base Value based upon the lending industry’s appraisal allowance for Seller Concessions. Again, Seller Concessions meaning discount point and settlement cost assistance to buyers. Swing value is normally limited to 3% to 6% above the Adjusted Base Value due to lending industry limitations pertaining to the amount of Seller Concessions that home sellers are permitted to pay for their home buyers.


Value #5: Fair Market Swing In Value The Fair Market Swing In Value of a piece of real estate is the value it has when you add its Swing Value to its Adjusted Base Value.


Value #6: Special Value The Special Value of a piece of real estate is the value it potentially has over and above its Fair Market Swing In Value. Special Value occurs when Special Financing is available and usually results because home buyers are willing to pay more than Fair Market Swing In Value based on available comparable sales information. ¿Por qué? The reason is home buyers are able, in most cases, to obtain a lower monthly mortgage payment as a result of the existence of Special Financing. Now here are some examples of what I mean by Special Financing.


3 Examples Of Special Financing


Example #1: Sellers have an assumable mortgage that does not require buyer mortgage processing, at an interest rate below the going rate of interest. I refer to this type of Special Financing as a mortgage take over (MTO).


Example #2: Sellers have an assumable mortgage that does require buyer mortgage processing, at an interest rate below the going rate of interest. I refer to this type of Special Financing as a mortgage assumption.


Example #3: Sellers are in a position to hold a first, second, etc. mortgage at an interest rate below the going rate of interest


Value #7: Deficiency Value The Deficiency Value of a piece of real estate is the value that is subtracted from its Base Value due to the existence of cosmetic and functional deficiencies. Deficiency Value is subtracted because it decreases the value of real estate.


Examples Of Different Dollar Amount Values That A Piece Of Real Estate Can Potentially Have Now let me give you specific Dollar Amount Examples of the 7 Real Estate Values I have just listed and that potentially applies to every piece of real estate.


1. Base Value = $200,000


2. Upgrades and Extras Value = $20, 000


3. Adjusted Base Value = $220,000


4. Swing Value = $13,200 (6% of $220,000)


5. Fair Market Swing In Value = $220,000 to $233,200


6. Special Value = $240,000 to $250,000


7. Deficiency Value = the $ amount to correct the deficiency in a professional and workman-like manner


Understanding The 7 Real Estate Values Is Critically Important Knowing what the 7 Real Estate Values and how to calculate them makes it much easier for home buyers, home sellers, real estate licensees, mortgage licensees, appraisers, and virtually anyone for that matter, to establish the Fair Market Swing In Value of any piece of real estate properly, thoroughly, and with literally laser beam accuracy.


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Ardis commented on 03-Jan-2013 11:25 AM


lapantujuh87:"jiwa kratifnye and seninye mantabs "


org sana emang oke2 gandemortivan:"before i die i want to be a succes man "


amin gan. gua pengennya juga begitugenkismis:"before i die i want to have happiness life with my big family.."


amin coy moga jadi keluarga yg sakinah mawadah dan bla bla blaenegizer:"momo. custom:"hebat idenya. si candy orang mana sih?"


orang amrik gan. pernah ke indonesia lho dia ini"


bangga iso pake bot? flygon:"do all my best"


>>> get my wife back"


istrinya oke kali ganaldowjones:"inspiring bangget cuy jadi kaya kaskus juga temboknya, freedom of speech. before i die, i want makes my mama proud."


mama lu bakal bangga cuy punya ank kayak lubarclays. league:"sangat miris cerita hidupnya


keren gan, kreatip tuh org. klo ane, before i die i want to kill you.


jadi ajang ngeluarin impian2 tuh


keren gan, jadi temboknya ga dicoret2 sama grafiti2 ga berguna ya, mantap idenya tuh


i want to made in BALI eh salah KASKUS


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The two-bedroomed Dingle terraced property went under the hammer in an auction at Liverpool’s Cavern Club


Beatles fan Jackie Holmes, 49, has netted herself the keys to her second Fab Four home after stumping up £70,000 for the childhood home of Ringo Starr in Admiral Grove, Dingle, during a property auction held at The Cavern.


The childhood home of Beatles drummer Ringo Starr grew up in has sold at auction for £70,000.


Winning bidder Jackie Holmes bought the white and pink two-bedroomed Dingle terraced house in an auction at Liverpool’s Cavern Club .


The Admiral Grove address was home to Ringo for 20 years. He lived there with mum Elsie Starkey until he wed in 1963.


Auctioneer Countrywide’s lot 101 had a guide price of £55,000 and even had pre-auction interest from the USA.


But it was Beatles fan Jackie, who already owns two other Beatles properties, who was the winning bidder.


The 78 RPM record was the first Beatles disc to be cut and bears the writing of their manager Brian Epstein An extremely rare Beatles record found languishing in a loft has sold for £77,500 at auction. The 10-inch acetate of Till There Was You and Hello Little Girl from 1962 has been described as “a Holy Grail item”. It was the first Beatles disc to be cut before the band broke into the national charts and bears the writing of their manager Brian Epstein. Omega Auctions said it was “nicely surprised” by the price paid by a Manchester man for the item. The disc lay forgotten in the home of Les Maguire - the keyboardist in fellow Liverpool act, Gerry and the Pacemakers.


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León Trotsky y el Che Guevara, un mismo ideal.


Sobre ese eje temático basó su charla la militante y escritora Celia Hart, uno de los referentes más relevantes en enarbolar el estandarte del ideario trotskista en Cuba y Latinoamérica. La escritora cubana marca un paralelismo intrínseco entre la teoría trotskista y guevarista, y sostiene que “no existe contradicción, si no se conoce al Che –y esto se lo digo a los trotskistas - no van a conocer a León Trotsky profundamente, porque los dos forman parte de un mismo camino". La conferencia se dio lugar dentro del marco de las Cátedras Bolivarianas, organizadas por la Universidad de las Madres de Plaza de Mayo. Antes se proyectó el documental Milagros, donde se relata la experiencia de argentinos con graves problemas en la vista, que fueron trasladados a Cuba y Bolivia para someterse a intervenciones quirúrgicas que les devolvieron la visión. Ejemplo que vale la pena resaltar, ya que el único panorama político-social latinoamericano y mundial que estimula el imperio es el de la desfragmentación y segregación.


León Trotsky fue el emblema del socialismo dentro de la Union Sovietica y gran opositor ideológico al stanilismo, que al igual que el Che, dejo su vida en defensa de sus ideales. No solo el ideal de concebir un socialismo a escala internacional une a estos mártires de la Revolución, también están unidos por una concepción que dibuja a la URSS como una matriz gris e infectada con el germen del capitalismo. A modo de ejemplo, Celia cita un pasaje del libro Criticando, escrito por el Che, en el que premonitoriamente afirma que la URSS va camino al derrumbe, dando lugar a un sistema maquinal y voraz, lisa y llanamente capitalista. La escritora volvió a referirse a esa publicación del Che al señalar: “Yo personalmente no le perdono ni al gobierno, ni a la familia del Che, ni a los dueños o los supuestos dueños de los apuntes del Che que en un momento de crisis ideológica tan grande como el que vivimos en los 90 no publicaran ese libro”


Al mismo tiempo, Celia Hart extiende su análisis a la relación de la URSS con Cuba y a al proceso revolucionario de ese país hermano: “existía el pretexto de que la Unión Soviética mantenía a Cuba, pero también nos dio la espalda y perdimos el 85 por ciento de nuestros ingresos. Y cuando uno lee este libro del Che, yo digo que es el segundo capítulo de la revolución traicionada, porque el Che ve una Unión Soviética, la de los post stalinistas de Nikita Kruschef, casi como un orden natural. Cuba, por razones del destino, fue la última de las colonias que tuvo España, el proyecto nacional de nuestra independencia no fue como el de Argentina o el de Venezuela. pero la revolución cubana tiene dos cosas importantes: su radicalismo y su capacidad de ser internacionalista. Esos dos elementos, desde José Martí hasta lo maximo, que definir como el `orgasmo´ del internacionalismo, que fue el Che Guevara encarnan el camino del trotskismo. Y León Trotsky forma parte de nuestra cultura”.


Esta polémica posición a la hora de entrelazar ideológicamente estas dos posturas, le trajo varios cuestionamientos a Hart: “Me acusan de estar trotskyzando a Guevara, a Mella e incluso hasta a José Martí. Pero yo creo que esa es la Revolución Cubana. Creo que para ser guevarista o comprender a Guevara hay que entender a León Trotsky, a Rosa Luxemburgo, a Mariátegui, a Gramsci, a Lukacs, a cada uno de los que hicieron algo y utilizarlos en beneficio de inventario”.


Celia destaca dos pilares fundamentales para despertar a los pueblos con el fin de llevar acabo la Revolución Socialista: la pasión y la solidaridad. Como ejemplo de esas dos virtudes a seguir, Hart comentó que estuvo compartiendo la tarde con los trabajadores del Bauen, y señaló que quedó convencida de que esos compañeros son felices. “Su experiencia demuestra cómo a través de un mecanismo de control obrero se puede llegar a concretar la revolución”, afirmó Celia.


Con respecto al trotskismo en Cuba, Hart señalo que hay un cambio favorable en relación con esa corriente del pensamiento socialista al que la vida política y cultural de la isla. Explico que la figura de León Trotsky esta siendo reivindicada y juega un papel fundamental en la concepción de la enorme capacidad que tiene la revolución cubana para ser internacionalista. Celia recordó un párrafo del libro 100 Horas con Fidel, de Ignacio Ramonet: “en un momento le pregunto a Fidel, muy “candoroso” como es Ramonet, qué hubiera pasado si la revolución hubiera triunfado en 1953 tras el asalto al Cuartel Moncada. Y Castro le responde que hubieran triunfado antes de tiempo. Porque en 1953 estaba Stalin, y el no hubiera permitido jamás el triunfo de la revolución cubana”. La escritora señaló que por primera vez en dos años pudieron vender un libro de Trotsky en la Feria del Libro de La Habana y destaca: “Yo quisiera que ustedes vean cómo están los jóvenes leyéndolo, como lo asocian a Julio Antonio Mella, y al Che Guevara”.


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PARAGUAY: Entre EL CHE GUEVARA Y LOS DÓLARES DE BUSH


por Luis Agüero Wagner(escritor paraguayo) http://judasiscarioteenlaarenapolitica. blogspot. com


“Un guerrillero no muere para que se lo cuelgue en la pared” (Roberto Jacoby)


A cuarenta años de la relampagueante muerte física del mítico guerrillero argentino Ernesto Che Guevara, los falsos izquierdistas con apoyo mediático de la ultraderecha pro-imperialista y exponentes del clientelismo internacional con el cual el complejo IAF-NED-USAID mueve los hilos de las expresiones artísticas, políticas e intelectuales en Paraguay, ultiman el cadalso para su muerte metafísica con su “Semana del Che”. Nada más absurdo que un homenaje de favorecidos por agencias del imperio para quien hace medio siglo identificó al poder norteamericano como el enemigo global número uno de la humanidad, y a quien nada ni nadie irritaba tanto como el mercenario, posesionado como estaba de una causa con tanta potencia como para acabar coronando con un brutal y elocuente epílogo sus propias convicciones. Nuestros exponentes locales, guevaristas de simulacro, más que el famoso lema marxisto-guerrillero “Patria o muerte ¡Venceremos!”, deberían adoptar el “Patria o muerte ¡Venderemos”, al estilo del sitio web “The Che Store” que acepta tarjetas de crédito VISA y ofrece todos los accesorios de vestuario para “tus necesidades revolucionarias”. Sabemos que la cultura pop de la que somos consumidores viene arremetiendo contra el mensaje guevariano mucho antes que la marca de vodka Smirnoff, propiedad de una familia rusa zarista que debió huir a Estados Unidos con el advenimiento de la revolución de Octubre, adoptó el famoso retrato de Korda a sugerencia de una agencia de publicidad inglesa. Hoy, evidentemente, el mundo ha sido tan enjuagado por el marketing como para que una familia zarista - o beneficiarios de dólares de George W. Bush como los dirigentes de nuestro PMas-, y el célebre guerrillero comunista, confluyan en un trago aguardentoso a modo de armisticio dialéctico. La leyenda del Che tiene muchos cultores que la asimilan más para conmover ocasionalmente relaciones interpersonales que para encender la lucha de clases, aunque unos pocos admiradores sinceros como Rodolfo Walsh, hayan tenido la integridad suficiente como para acusar la propia vergüenza de que Guevara haya muerto con tan pocos a su alrededor. Sin lugar a dudas nuestros héroes locales no se hubieran contado entre los leales en Valle Grande ni en La Higuera, incapaces como demostraron ser de la mínima entereza para rechazar los 127.000 dólares que George W. Bush, a través de la IAF, les facilitó para su activismo de “izquierdas”. De pertenecer a la especie no se salvan los beneficiarios de USAID que militan en el movimiento Tekojoja, los filizzolistas a quienes bajo directivas del norte se les fue la mano con el arte abstracto expresionista en la vía pública durante su administración municipal, o los opinólogos seudo-izquierdistas que desde las páginas de la prensa maccartista cantan loas a los planes energéticos de W. Bush mientras nos presentan un mundo tiranizado sin lugar para el futuro, donde solo puede existir el consumo, aunque la mercancía a vender sea ocasionalmente el mismo CHE. Es común que se crea que el traidor es indispensable para que se produzca el fracaso del héroe, pero por lo general fracasan las propias carencias, la propia hipocresía, los propios errores. Ciro Bustos, artista que acompañó como guerrillero al CHE en su aventura boliviana y a quien muchos acusan de ser el gran traidor de la empresa, se ha defendido diciendo que la izquierda a veces confunde los roles con excesiva facilidad y cree aproximarse a la categoría de iglesia (las sectas luguistas lo confirman), instalándose allí con pretensiones hegemónicas, tanto que a veces también necesita del Judas alegórico, de carne y hueso, que justifique sus falencias y fracasos. La situación se complica en nuestro caso, cuando el Judas se hace necesario para alcanzar el éxito. Adversarios ideológicos rechazan las ideas políticas de Guevara, pero con frecuencia comparten los valores que giran alrededor de su mito: revolución, coraje, solidaridad y sobre todo la coherencia. Me atrevo a decir que los admiradores de esta categoría son mejores que los otros, al reconocer que estar moralmente en lo correcto es, en última instancia, más importante que lograr una victoria. Algunas de las sectas luguistas que hoy se proclaman furiosas guevaristas han demostrado en los hechos estar dispuestas a renegar mil veces de lo moralmente correcto a cambio de alcanzar una victoria electoral que les permita acceder al zoquete. La artista plástica Liliana Porter, cuyo sello son las ideologías y significados entrecruzados intencionalmente, llamó “Simulacro”a su obra donde un CHE de juguete orbita junto a Mickey y Donald, mientras el rockero argentino Moris lo asocia en una de sus letras con Drácula y King Kong. Dentro del mismo contexto, la semana del CHE organizada por la izquierda purista del PMas es otro ejemplo de cómo el cinismo y la fortuna de un ícono lo pueden empujar a la ficción, sin lograr resignar su lugar en la verdadera historia.


EN TODAS PARTES SE CUECEN HABAS: CUESTIONARIO PARA LUGUISTAS.


Una prensa maccartista que los paraguayos heredamos de Stroessner pretendió hacernos creer que el obispo “de los pobres” Fernando Lugo era un candidato de la izquierda, como si la Iglesia Católica fuera referente de institución progresista. A ellos les planteamos estas interrogantes:


¿Es izquierdista Ricardo Canese (dirigente luguista) cuando defiende la política de biocombustibles de George W. Bush? ¿Alguno de los dirigentes luguistas protestó alguna vez por las injerencias de James Cason? ¿Recibe dólares de USAID la ONG “Gestión local” de Guillermina Kanonikoff y Raúl Monte Domecq? ¿Estuvo Camilo Soares en noviembre del año 2000 en un congreso financiado por la NED? ¿Fue o no publicitado Lugo por el diario ABC color, propiedad de Aldo Zucolillo, favorecido del agente de la CIA Leonard Sussman cuando era perentorio fabricar bien remunerados disidentes a la dictadura? ¿Firmó Julio Benegas, empleado de Zucolillo, un contrato con Bryan Finnegan ( de la AFL-CIO) el 21 de Setiembre de 2005? ¿Recibió la casa de la Juventud –cuna del PMAS - 127.000 dólares de IAF en el año 2004? ¿Puede ser de izquierda gente financiada por la NED, institución creada como alternativa a la CIA por el imperio?


Justamente, hablando de stalinismo acá aparace Aguero Wagner.


Este es un pobre tipo, un drogadicto que perteneció al ala oviedista del febrerismo, un ladrón que no tiene cabida en ningún lado y que no sé quien lo mantiene.


Lo único que hace es cortar y pegar los mismos delirios hace años, inclusive en uno de sus escritos una vez encontré cosas copiadas textualmente del libro "Insurgentes", editado por el Centro de Estudios y Educación Popular "Germinal" que es parte de las ongs que según él son parte de las teorías de la conspiración que tanto le gustan. Estoy seguro que si me pongo a buscar más plagios en sus alucinaciones vomitadas por toda la red voy a encontrar muchas más, pero prefiero hacer cosas más útiles con mi tiempo.


Las críticas hacia el P-MAS y su dirigencia vienen por izquierda y por derecha, para la derecha conservadora se trata acusar a esta organización de agentes de Chávez, para el izquierdismo infantil nefastos agentes del CIA. Lo bueno es ver como a veces las dos vertientes se funden en una siniestra síntesis, al fin y al cabo juegan el mismo partido para el mismo lado.


Una vez más nada mejor que las palabras del gran florentino parafraseadas por Marx: "Segui in tuo curso e lascia dir la gente"


Los hechos hablan mucho más que todo lo que se pueda decir.


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The general difficulties of women's and men's style


Both men and women could feel the pressures of keeping their clothing up-to-date and in season, yet men's fashion often seems a lot less difficult. Of course, for both sexes, garments and fashion choices may be just as elaborate, and there are many'stylish'items which can rapidly become fashion faux pas - who is able to say they often times see people walking around in 70s flares? On the other side, men's fashion has a few choice goods that can exist eternally - which man is planning to watch out of position with a good-quality, tailored suit, for example? Pick basic pieces, colours and fabrics and you'll never look out-of-place.


Why traditional men's fashion is eternal


The common man's suit has hardly changed for over a hundred years. True, there are numerous types for different situations, nevertheless they are all common in their search for a clever, sharp search for the wearer. The best part about basic style for men is that it is simply fashionable effortlessly neat. A well-groomed lady will typically appear his sharpest in a well-tailored suit, and this is a testament to the style of such clothing. A match will undoubtedly be worn to work in several occupations due to the professional search it affords to the wearer, instilling a sense of respect and trust. Similarly a match will undoubtedly be worn to many social events, like a tuxedo to a black-tie event. This amazing flexibility which allows suits to be used in almost all occasions is what gives it its classic advantage and a lasting devote men's fashion.


Modern movements in classic men's style


Whilst basic men's styles can never be replaced, it's interesting to note that shifts in men's fashion trends have produced particular classic garments back in fashion. The recognition of vintage clothing, particularly, has brought back a wide-variety of basic types into men's wardrobes, such as that of the dandy gentleman. 'Dandy'is a term used to reference men who dress yourself in a classic yet extravagant way, placing importance on appearance and acting in a refined approach. This development for nearly'over-the-top'common fashion for men is evident from events including the'Tweed Run', wherever men and women of all ages dress yourself in especially Victorian-style attire and take to the roads on vintage cycles - with many of the men sporting flawless mustaches! That is only one of many types of research showing the resurrection of such types. There are also numerous sites on the web which focus on gentlemanly style - such as'The Dandy Project'and'Dandyism'- as well as complete internet sites such as'The Art of Manliness'focused on providing articles on classic men's fashion and grooming.


In conclusion, although certain areas of basic men's fashion may be brought back as new developments, the basic garments which they are derived from will never fall out of fashion.


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Ezekiel David: juice: carrot, celery, beet, ginger, [64 oz=8 gl=1.89L] Chris, how does it taste? п»ї


John Smith: Is anybody even listening to him? Why did they bother coming if they are going to talk to each other while hes speaking. п»ї


Dark Owl: Just feel like screaming to tell all those people to shut the f up. So disrespectful. п»ї


vino jjiang: Hi Chris, I really like your videos, great helps for people with cancer. Well done Chris!!Chris, did you need to raise or check your PH (urine/saliva) every day to make sure your body is alkaline? (Cancer cells don't like alkaline) apart from juicing, vegetable diet. Thanks. Regards Vinci. п»ї


Heather Buchanan: why is it so noisy when you are talking that's so rude of themп»ї


Haris Nabil: Finally, someone straight to the point unlike many so called health organizationsп»ї


X_SALEM_X:,you are a dangerous fraud. shame on you. there is blood on your hands. PEOPLE! Diet does not cure cancer, which this kid probably never had in the first place. I'd love to see you exposed for the evil piece of trash you are, no better than the Burzynski clinic in preying on the suffering for self-aggrandizement and personal gain. my aunt listened to people like you, and she died. needlessly. п»ї


Joan B: how did you eat the garlic. raw minced..juiced? п»ї


Traci B: Right on, Chris! В Keep it up, you're not 'too out there'.God bless youп»ї


THINK THINKER: although I disagree very much with his theory that the body was designed by God. it makes no difference when it comes to this diet working. so don't worry atheist, you can do this to. lol..п»ї


cyclegrandma: All those people chattering in the background were so rude! п»ї


ella hope: Your saying what Bragg's book says we are tubes keep them clean eat fresh fruits and vegetables hospitals do not give them to you. You will die. п»ї


xVro Oca: Please please --- Country Singer Joey Feek might still be saved. SOMEBODY PLEASE SHARE the word with her and her husband on OVER NUTRITION with Greens, vegetables and fruits to win her battle with Cancer. Chemo has only depleted her beautiful body of life. If she could only start over with natural food rather than venomous chemo :(п»ї


Tallie Allen: Any supplements or other therapies? п»ї


Tallie Allen: Did you do enemas? п»ї


Aubree Butler: Do you think alkaline water is necessary? п»ї


Neonia Hazelwood: You are a miracle and God saved you both spiritually and naturally to help others who have cancer or are trying to prevent cancer. п»ї


Neonia Hazelwood: GOD BLESS YOU CHRIS! п»ї


Stacy J Binder: You made such a great point! The body is just a bunch of tubes. I never looked at it that way! Great video Chris!!п»ї


Kristen Bello: Worried about the sugar content ofВ fruits like bananas especially raising blood glucose, a food for cancer cells. Perhaps lots of vitamins and some antioxidants but on balance the choice between vegetables (low carb) and sweet fruits (high carb) would lead me to stick with greens and other veggies rather than provide a food source for cancer cells. п»ї


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27.03.2016 22:08:49 [Friedensblick] Ungereimtheiten um Terror-Logistiker Salah Abdeslam Salah Abdeslam wird als der Logistiker der Pariser und Brüsseler Anschläge bezeichnet. Tatsächlich ist von seinen Aktivitäten im Vorfeld der Anschläge viel bekannt. Abdeslams Wege nach Ungarn und Ulm können heute nachgezeichnet werden. Er wurde immer wieder kontrolliert. Trotzdem stellt sich die Frage, woher man die teils genauen Information hat und wieso sie nicht dazu führten, die Anschläge zu verhindern?


27.03.2016 22:08:20 [antikrieg. com] Sean Gervasi - Warum ist die NATO in Jugoslawien? Dieser Artikel von Professor Sean Gervasi ist wohl als Klassiker anzusehen. Klassiker in dem Sinn, dass man jedesmal dazulernt, wenn man sich damit beschäftigt. Und dass die gut fundierten Vorhersagen eingetroffen sind, wie es bei Sean Gervasi in atemberaubender Weise der Fall ist.


27.03.2016 20:22:34 [qpress] Nach ritueller Fußwäsche folgt mediale Kopfwäsche für Papst Franziskus Echte „Katholiker“ stehen nicht sonderlich auf Neuerungen. So auch nicht bei der jüngsten, rituellen Fußpflegemaßnahme zu Ostern, bei der Papst Franziskus erstmals auch Frauenfüße an sich nahm. Ein Sakrileg sozusagen. Man darf dabei aber den Wettbewerb nicht außer Acht lassen. Wir erläutern daher ein wenig genauer, warum das Verhalten von Papst Franziskus einen genialen Geniestreich bei der Schlacht um Marktanteile auf dem Glaubensmarkt gleichkommt.


27.03.2016 20:21:47 [jomenschenfreund. blogspot. com] AIPAC-Konferenz:Zionismus ist Rassismus Rania Khalek konfrontierte AIPAC Besucher mit Aussagen israelischer Politiker, gab sie aber als Trump-Zitate aus. Während sie Trump zugeschrieben als verwerflich angesehen wurden, waren die Zitate aus israelischen Politikermündern vertretbar, ja zu verteidigen. Daraus ergibt sich die Frage, ob Zionismus an sich Rassismus darstellt, wie eine (zurück gezogene) UNO Resolution feststellte. Israel-Kritiker Zuckermann ist nicht der Meinung, aber er stellt, wie viele andere, rassistische Tendenzen fes


27.03.2016 20:21:07 [fit4Russland] Die Reaktionen auf den Mord an Rechtsanwalt Grabowskij zeigen die fortschreitende Zersetzung der Ukraine Die unfassbare neue Tragödie in der Ukraine, der Mord an Rechtsanwalt Jurij Grabowskij, der den im Donbass verhafteten russischen Kämpferhelfer Alexander Alexandrow verteidigte, entblößt schonungslos alle Tiefen der ukrainischen Krise. Dies betrifft insbesondere die Reaktionen der ukrainischen Gesellschaft auf diesen Mord und insbesondere die der Vertreter Kiewer Behörden.


27.03.2016 20:08:05 [VoltaireNet] Moskau und Washington gegen Ankara Die Levante brodelt buchstäblich nach der Umsetzung des russisch-amerikanischen Friedens-Abkommens in Syrien. Jeder Akteur versucht sich geschickt aus der Affäre zu ziehen. Aber diese ist noch nicht zu Ende. Moskau und Washington bereiten sich vor, Präsident Erdoğan zu destabilisieren.


27.03.2016 19:30:27 [RT Deutsch] Hillary Clinton und die Verschwörung des "Regime-Wechsel in Syrien" Wer vor einem Jahr gesagt hätte, dass das US-Außenministerium, Google und Al Jazeera zusammenarbeiten, um einen Regimewechsel in Syrien zu erreichen, wäre sehr wahrscheinlich als "Verrückter" oder "Verschwörungstheoretiker" abgestempelt worden. Von WikiLeaks veröffentlichte Emails aus dem Postfach von Hillary Clinton belegen aber genau das.


27.03.2016 19:28:07 [Alles Schall und Rauch] Terroranschläge sind ab jetzt genehmigungspflichtig Nach jedem Terroranschlag frage ich mich, warum werden die Verantwortlichen für die Sicherheit der Bevölkerung nicht für ihr Versagen bestraft? Warum werden sie nicht diszipliniert, degradiert und konsequenterweise aus ihrem Job geschmissen? Müsste man doch meinen, weil sie den Terroranschlag nicht verhindert haben, obwohl es ihre Hauptaufgabe wäre. In jedem anderen Bereich würde man bei grobem Versagen in der Ausübung des Berufs, und dann auch noch mit vielen Todesfällen, die Verantwortlichen vor Gericht stellen.


27.03.2016 19:16:16 [Klodeckel des Tages] Syrische Retter: Der ideologische Unfall der Frankfurter Rundschau In Deutschland hat ein links-grünes Meinungskartell die Deutungshoheit erobert. Es kann sich alles erlauben, weil es vorgibt, im Auftrag des Guten zu handeln. Millionen von Menschen fallen bereitwillig darauf herein, weil sie sich um ihres Seelenfriedens willen lieber täuschen lassen, als unangenehmen Wahrheiten ins Auge zu sehen oder gar als „rechts“ gebrandmarkt zu werden. Nicht einmal die derbste linke Propaganda löst daher breite Empörung aus.


27.03.2016 19:06:37 [Sicht vom Hochblauen] Es sind unsere Regierungschefs, die eine neue Generation von Terroristen aufbauen. Europa ist im Begriff, den Kampf zu verlieren, weil seine Regierungschefs immer noch die Sponsoren des Terrorismus verhätscheln und Feindseligkeit und Hass schüren.


27.03.2016 10:47:05 [Aktuelle Sozialpolitik] Ein Verstaatlichungsversuch Ein Verstaatlichungsversuch von Spenden an Wohlfahrtsorganisationen, die für den Staat einen Teil der Suppe ausgelöffelt haben. Immer wieder und gerne wird in Sonntagsreden von der "Zivilgesellschaft" gesprochen, ohne die vieles an Aufgaben in unserer Gesellschaft gar nicht geleistet werden könnte. Was mit diesem irgendwie inhaltsleer daherkommenden Begriff der "Zivilgesellschaft" dabei gerne verbunden und lobgepreist wird, ist das ehrenamtliche Engagement und die Spendenbereitschaft der Menschen.


27.03.2016 08:55:05 [Gert Flegelskamp] AfD? Rente? Beides Themen der Woche Die Landtagswahlen sind vorbei und es ist etwas passiert, was mich freut, obwohl ich es für falsch halte. Die AfD hat aus dem Stand heraus im Schnitt 12% der Wählerstimmen erhalten und damit das bisher übliche Parteienspektrum ziemlich durcheinander gebracht, das vermutlich einzig Gute an der AfD-Wahl. Nicht ganz, denn dadurch, dass die AfD auch einige Nichtwähler an die Urne gebracht hat, sinkt auch der unverdiente Prozentsatz der anteilig auf die gewählten Parteien anfallenden Prozente, den Nichtwähler gegen ihren Willen auf die gewählten Parteien verteilen. Doch das habe ich in der Vergangenheit schon eingehend erläutert und langweile Sie folglich dieses Mal nicht mit den Rechenbeispielen.


27.03.2016 14:36:21 [RT Deutsch] Rohrkrepierer: Wie der Krieg um die Ölpreise begann Beim Versuch, Russland durch einen Ölpreiskrieg zu destabilisieren, hat sich Saudi-Arabien ins eigene Knie geschossen. Rainer Rupp beschreibt den Verlauf der Fronten im Preiskrieg um die Ölförderung. Russland, so seine Einschätzung, verkraftet den niedrigen Ölpreis besser, als es viele im Westen erwartet haben.


27.03.2016 09:10:02 [Bankhaus Rott + Frank Meyer] Völlig losgelöst So zynisch es klingt, dem DAX war das Geschehen in Brüssel ziemlich egal, auch wenn es hieß, die Börse würde dem Terror trotzen. Wenn dem so wäre, müsste es ja bedeuten, dass jemand Geld in die Hand nimmt.


27.03.2016 18:56:44 [Übermedien] Und nachts ist es kälter als draußen Jörg Kachelmann: Ich mochte die Zeit, als Meteorologie eine in der Gesellschaft anerkannte Wissenschaft war. Als ich im Alter von zehn Jahren entschied, Meteorologe werden zu wollen, unterstützen mich meine Eltern und kauften Bücher und schenkten dem heranwachsenden Kind ein Thermometer, auf dass es seinem Hobby nachgehe und den Berufswunsch verwirklichen möge. Heutzutage ist das anders.


27.03.2016 11:26:42 [Post von Horn] Gute Freunde Der Rechercheverbund von NDR, WDR und Süddeutsche Zeitung (SZ) ist umstritten. Er hat seit seiner Gründung 2014 einige starke Geschichten aufgetan – etwa über die Auslandsgeschäfte der chinesischen Führung, über Snowden oder den jüngsten VW-Skandal. Andererseits wird der Verbund massiv infrage gestellt.


27.03.2016 07:40:25 [Propagandaschau] Die Rückeroberung Palmyras mit russischer Hilfe – und was die transatlantische Lügenpresse daraus macht Palmyra hätte niemals in die Hände der islamistischen Terrorbanden des IS fallen müssen, wenn der Westen dies nicht gewollt hätte. Massenhinrichtungen und Zerstörungen unwiderbringlicher und wertvollster Kulturschätze waren nur möglich, weil die USA und ihre westlichen Vasallen dieses Verbrechen in Kauf nahmen – man könnte auch sagen, vorsätzlich herbeiführten – um die syrische Regierung mit Hilfe der barbarischen Horden weiter unter Druck zu setzen.


27.03.2016 18:54:11 [Cicero] Teure Unternehmensberater in der Asylverwaltung McKinsey, Roland Berger, Ernst & Young: Das Bundesamt für Migration und Flüchtlinge setzt bei der Bewältigung der Asylanträge auf zahlreiche externe Berater. Behördenchef Frank-Jürgen Weise überträgt damit ein Prinzip, das er schon bei seiner Bundesagentur für Arbeit jahrelang anwendet


27.03.2016 14:39:42 [WSWS] Bundesregierung erhöht Wehretat und rüstet massiv auf Die Bundesregierung wird die Verteidigungsausgaben erhöhen und massiv aufrüsten. Das geht aus den Eckwerten für den Bundeshaushalt 2017 und den Finanzplan bis 2020 hervor, die am Mittwoch vom Bundeskabinett verabschiedet wurden.


27.03.2016 14:38:05 [Telepolis] Buback-Mord: Ermittlungen gegen Ex-RAF-Mitglied Stefan Wisniewski eingestellt Das Attentat auf den Generalbundesanwalt von 1977 bleibt ungeklärt. Die Akte Buback ist nun endgültig zu. Laut Süddeutscher Zeitung vom Donnerstag (24. März) hat die Bundesanwaltschaft die Ermittlungen gegen das frühere RAF-Mitglied Stefan Wisniewski nach mehr als acht Jahren Dauer eingestellt. In dem Verfahren ging es um die Ermordung von Generalbundesanwalt Siegfried Buback am 7. April 1977.


27.03.2016 20:21:07 [fit4Russland] Die Reaktionen auf den Mord an Rechtsanwalt Grabowskij zeigen die fortschreitende Zersetzung der Ukraine Die unfassbare neue Tragödie in der Ukraine, der Mord an Rechtsanwalt Jurij Grabowskij, der den im Donbass verhafteten russischen Kämpferhelfer Alexander Alexandrow verteidigte, entblößt schonungslos alle Tiefen der ukrainischen Krise. Dies betrifft insbesondere die Reaktionen der ukrainischen Gesellschaft auf diesen Mord und insbesondere die der Vertreter Kiewer Behörden.


27.03.2016 20:08:05 [VoltaireNet] Moskau und Washington gegen Ankara Die Levante brodelt buchstäblich nach der Umsetzung des russisch-amerikanischen Friedens-Abkommens in Syrien. Jeder Akteur versucht sich geschickt aus der Affäre zu ziehen. Aber diese ist noch nicht zu Ende. Moskau und Washington bereiten sich vor, Präsident Erdoğan zu destabilisieren.


27.03.2016 19:30:27 [RT Deutsch] Hillary Clinton und die Verschwörung des "Regime-Wechsel in Syrien" Wer vor einem Jahr gesagt hätte, dass das US-Außenministerium, Google und Al Jazeera zusammenarbeiten, um einen Regimewechsel in Syrien zu erreichen, wäre sehr wahrscheinlich als "Verrückter" oder "Verschwörungstheoretiker" abgestempelt worden. Von WikiLeaks veröffentlichte Emails aus dem Postfach von Hillary Clinton belegen aber genau das.


27.03.2016 10:44:41 [VoltaireNet] Nordkoreas Strafe für die Unterstützung bei der Befreiung Afrikas Sehr bald werden wahrscheinlich neue brutale Sanktionen gegen Nordkorea verhängt. Und es wird massive provokative Militäreinsätze von den Vereinigten Staaten und Südkorea geben. Kurz, ’business as usual’ (das übliche Vorgehen): Der Westen wird die Demokratische Volksrepublik Korea (DVRK) weiterhin quälen; er wird sie provozieren, isolieren, dämonisieren und entmenschlichen und damit sicherstellen, dass sie nicht normal funktionieren, noch viel weniger aufblühen kann.


27.03.2016 07:42:50 [Contra Magazin] Jordaniens König: Die Türkei sendet Terroristen nach Europa - Flüchtlingskrise ist inszeniert König Abdullah von Jordanien teilte bei einem Treffen mit US-Spitzenpolitikern ordentlich gegen die Türkei aus. Ankara hätte die Flüchtlingskrise inszeniert und auch Terroristen nach Europa geschickt. Zudem verurteilt der jordanische König den Versuch der Türkei, "eine islamistische Lösung" in der Region anzustreben.


27.03.2016 13:09:35 [NICHT-Feminist] Bernhard Lassahn: Der Affe und die Männerrechtler Es gibt eine zauberhafte Südseeinsel. Man erzählt sich, dass es dort Menschen gegeben hat, die dermaßen hässlich waren, dass sie sich nur in Begleitung eines Affen in die Öffentlichkeit gewagt haben. Wohin sie auch gingen, sie hatten immer einen Affen dabei. Natürlich war allen klar, wozu sie den Affen brauchten: als Kontrastfolie. Im Vergleich zu dem Affen sehen sie immer noch relativ gut aus. So werden Männerrechtler gesehen. Sie sind eine traurige Erscheinung. Sie machen keinen gu


27.03.2016 10:43:34 [Vice] Was die Entwicklung unserer Sprache im Internet über uns aussagt Es tut sich was von Sprache her. Dort, wo inzwischen wahrscheinlich mehr als die Hälfte unserer zwischenmenschlichen Kommunikation stattfindet—im Internet—, zeichnet sich schon seit einiger Zeit ein neuer Sprachtrend ab; und ich rede hier nicht etwa vom ominösen „Verfall der deutschen Sprache" durch OMG, Emojis oder Anglizismen.


27.03.2016 08:53:47 [Gewerkschaftsforum] Einkommensarmut – Arbeitsarmut – Beschäftigungsarmut – working poor Die Statistikbehörde der Europäischen Union (Eurostat) hat neue Daten zur Armutsgefährdung und den Lebensbedingungen in den Mitgliedsstaaten der EU und einigen weiteren europäischen Ländern herausgegeben. Den amtlichen Daten zufolge sind aktuell 16,7 Prozent der Bevölkerung bzw. mehr als 13 Millionen Menschen in Deutschland von Armut bedroht.


27.03.2016 07:35:24 [Telepolis] Reform für Arbeitgeber: "Gut für die Arbeitsplätze"? Die Auseinandersetzung um die Pläne der französischen Regierung, das Arbeitsrecht des Landes in für die abhängig Beschäftigten deutlich rückschrittlichem Sinne zu "reformieren", hält an. Einen nächsten Höhepunkt wird sie mit den, aller Wahrscheinlichkeit nach größer ausfallenden, Demonstrationen und Streiks am 31. März finden. Unterdessen verändert sich der Charakter der Auseinandersetzung durch eine Serie von Meldungen über Polizeigewalt am Rande der jüngsten Proteste, die zu einer Radikalisierung von Teilen der Sozialprotest - und Jugendbewegung beitragen dürften.


27.03.2016 20:21:47 [jomenschenfreund. blogspot. com] AIPAC-Konferenz:Zionismus ist Rassismus Rania Khalek konfrontierte AIPAC Besucher mit Aussagen israelischer Politiker, gab sie aber als Trump-Zitate aus. Während sie Trump zugeschrieben als verwerflich angesehen wurden, waren die Zitate aus israelischen Politikermündern vertretbar, ja zu verteidigen. Daraus ergibt sich die Frage, ob Zionismus an sich Rassismus darstellt, wie eine (zurück gezogene) UNO Resolution feststellte. Israel-Kritiker Zuckermann ist nicht der Meinung, aber er stellt, wie viele andere, rassistische Tendenzen fes


27.03.2016 19:28:07 [Alles Schall und Rauch] Terroranschläge sind ab jetzt genehmigungspflichtig Nach jedem Terroranschlag frage ich mich, warum werden die Verantwortlichen für die Sicherheit der Bevölkerung nicht für ihr Versagen bestraft? Warum werden sie nicht diszipliniert, degradiert und konsequenterweise aus ihrem Job geschmissen? Müsste man doch meinen, weil sie den Terroranschlag nicht verhindert haben, obwohl es ihre Hauptaufgabe wäre. In jedem anderen Bereich würde man bei grobem Versagen in der Ausübung des Berufs, und dann auch noch mit vielen Todesfällen, die Verantwortlichen vor Gericht stellen.


27.03.2016 19:06:37 [Sicht vom Hochblauen] Es sind unsere Regierungschefs, die eine neue Generation von Terroristen aufbauen. Europa ist im Begriff, den Kampf zu verlieren, weil seine Regierungschefs immer noch die Sponsoren des Terrorismus verhätscheln und Feindseligkeit und Hass schüren.


27.03.2016 13:11:22 [Griechenland-Blog] Wir im Westen und die moralische Erblindung Der Islamische Staat mag uns im Westen die eigene Historie vergessen machen, die sicherlich nicht allein, aber auch nicht unwesentlich zu der heutigen Terrorwelle beitrug, jedoch ist die verrückte Vision vom Kalifat des Nahen Ostens objektiv betrachtet sehr modern und westlich.


27.03.2016 11:44:52 [Die Freiheitsliebe] Warum die Sanktionen die Russen treffen und nicht ihre Elite Schon fast zwei Jahre dauern die Sanktionen, die der Westen Rußland auferlegt hat, als Sanktion für Rußlands Ukraine Politik. Die Sanktionen treffen, im Gegensatz zu den Behauptungen, die russische Bevölkerung nicht aber ihre Führung. Wir haben Julius Zukowski-Krebs, Bundessprecher der Linksjugend [solid] über seine Teilnahme an einer Konferenz der russischen Kommunisten, die Auswirkungen der westlichen Sanktionen und warum sie beendet werden sollten, gesprochen.


27.03.2016 11:43:31 [Back To My Roots] Ostern - Zeit zum Innehalten Es mag unter widrigsten Umständen der Moment im Leben eines jeden von uns kommen, wo wir nicht nur hören von anderen, wie jemand anders betroffen ist von Krankheit, Krieg und Krise, Katastrophen verbunden mit absoluten Elend, sondern wir selbst dort hinein geraten - JEDER VON UNS! Die Zeiten stehen günstiger denn je, Mut zur Lücke zu entwickeln, den Schritt zu wagen zur allumfassenden Selbstreflexion.


27.03.2016 01:07:31 [ScienceFiles: Kritische Wissenschaftler - critical science] Die Ideologisierung von Schulen: Schüler als Spitzel Was ist an deutschen Schulen los, wenn eine Neuntklässlerin in ihrer Freizeit nichts anderes anzufangen weiß, als Dossiers über einen Mitbürger anzulegen, dne sie als Rassisten ansieht? Und was ist in deutschen Schulen los, wenn diese Form der frühpubertären Denunziation auch noch gefeiert wird und dazu führt, dass der angebliche Rassist öffentlich hingerichtet wird?


27.03.2016 20:22:34 [qpress] Nach ritueller Fußwäsche folgt mediale Kopfwäsche für Papst Franziskus Echte „Katholiker“ stehen nicht sonderlich auf Neuerungen. So auch nicht bei der jüngsten, rituellen Fußpflegemaßnahme zu Ostern, bei der Papst Franziskus erstmals auch Frauenfüße an sich nahm. Ein Sakrileg sozusagen. Man darf dabei aber den Wettbewerb nicht außer Acht lassen. Wir erläutern daher ein wenig genauer, warum das Verhalten von Papst Franziskus einen genialen Geniestreich bei der Schlacht um Marktanteile auf dem Glaubensmarkt gleichkommt.


27.03.2016 19:16:16 [Klodeckel des Tages] Syrische Retter: Der ideologische Unfall der Frankfurter Rundschau In Deutschland hat ein links-grünes Meinungskartell die Deutungshoheit erobert. Es kann sich alles erlauben, weil es vorgibt, im Auftrag des Guten zu handeln. Millionen von Menschen fallen bereitwillig darauf herein, weil sie sich um ihres Seelenfriedens willen lieber täuschen lassen, als unangenehmen Wahrheiten ins Auge zu sehen oder gar als „rechts“ gebrandmarkt zu werden. Nicht einmal die derbste linke Propaganda löst daher breite Empörung aus.


Forex. es


alesandromichel escribió: me pudieras explicar como es la estrategia del estocastico


SISTEMA con ESTOCASTICO


Es un simple metodo de operar con el estocastico mezclandole un EMA rapido y un EMA lento dependiendo el par.


Lo trabajo sobre graficos de 1H


Estocastico a trabajar (Cualquier cambio para mas pips es bienvenido). No te preocupes por esto: ya viene configurados asi, normalmente. Periodo Base 3 Periodo Rapido 5 Periodo Lento 4


EMA Rapido: 21 Periodos. (Mas rapido -14, 10-. depende de tu riesgo para entrar)


EMA lento: Dependiendo del par trabajamos uno de los siguientes. 100 ; 144 ; 200 depende del par y como veas el mercado.


Pasos para operar:


Primero determinamos la tendencia de una manera simple sobre graficos de 4H miramos si el precio esta por encima del EMA lento y trabajamos alcista si esta por debajo del EMA lento trabajamos bajista.


Luego de determinar tendencia pasamos a grafico de 1H.


TENDENCIA ALCISTA Cuando observemos que el stocastico se encuentra en zona de sobreventa en 25, el cruce del estocastico nuevamente al alza nos daria compra.


TENDENCIA BAJISTA Cuando observemos que el stocastico se encuentra en zona de sobrecompra en 75, el cruce del estocastico nuevamente a la baja nos daria la venta.


Trabajando el EMA rapido: Con el EMA rapido nos va dar la seguridad para entrar y asi disminuir las entradas en falso. Cuando tengamos dos velas a favor de la entrada (Si es entrada en compra y tenemos dos velas de 1 H blancas) la entrada la realizamos cuando el precio nos cruza el EMA de 21 periodos. Igual a la baja entrariamos venta con dos velas negras.


EJEMPLO: Trabajando el EMA lento. El EMA lento nos va a determinar la tendencia y el punto de quiebre para el cambio te tendencia."


Ten encuenta siempre los RES y SOP, cifras emocionales, y si les añades Pivot Point de Dia y Semana mejor.


Siempre podras substituir el Estocastico por ROC, RSI o CCI, o usalas todas juntas comprandolas, hasta que le cojas el puntito a alguno o alguna convinacion. EN FXCM no podras usar el MF, no lo trae.


Y es que yo uso la plataforma FXCM asesorada por la Metatrader con GrandeMaria y THV. GrandeMaria me va dando chivatazos sonoros, lo comparo con lo que dice la Metatrader, aderezado con MACD, ROC y CCI, y lo ejecuto, tras compararlo con los datos de la FXCM.


Espero en breve pasarme a Alpari UK y asi ahorrarme la FXCM. o usarla como asesora, ja ja ja


Aviso Legal: Lo que a mi me ha funcionado no necesariamente le funcionara a usted. Existe la posibilidad de perder una parte o toda la inversión inicial. No debe invertir dinero que no pueda permitirse perder.


Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group Traducción al español por Huan Manwë Karma functions powered by Karma MOD © 2007, 2009 m157y


Aviso Legal: La negociación de divisas con apalancamiento conlleva un alto nivel de riesgo y podría no ser apropiada para todo tipo de inversores. El alto grado de apalancamiento del mercado puede jugar tanto un favor como en contra del inversor. Por lo tanto, antes de negociar divisas, Vd. debe considerar cuidadosamente sus objetivos de inversión, nivel de experiencia y tolerancia al riesgo. Recordamos que existe la posibilidad de perder una parte o toda la inversión inicial por lo que no debe invertir dinero que no pueda permitirse perder. Se debe tener conocimiento previo de todos los riesgos asociados a la negociación de divisas y, en caso de que se tenga alguna duda, buscar la ayuda de un asesor financiero independiente.


Las opiniones expresadas en FXStreet provienen de autores independientes que no necesariamente representan la opinión de FXStreet o de su equipo directivo. FXStreet no verifica la certeza o veracidad de las declaraciones o denuncias de ninguno de los autores independientes que colaboran en la página. Todos los textos publicados son susceptibles de contener errores u omisiones.


Las opiniones, noticias, informes, análisis, cotizaciones u otras informaciones contenidas en FXStreet, producidas por el equipo de FXStreet, por sus colaboradores, socios, asociados o colaboradores tienen carácter de comentario general de mercado y en ningún caso constituyen un consejo o una recomendación de inversión.


FXStreet declina cualquier responsabilidad legal por cualquier pérdida o perjuicio incluyendo, a título enunciativo y no limitativo, pérdidas o beneficios que puedan derivarse directa o indirectamente del uso de esta información o de la confianza depositada en ella.


Cursos de Forex - Oscilador Larry Williams (%R)


Larry Williams %R también está basado en el mismo concepto de medición que los estocásticos, que consiste en medir el último precio de cierre en relación con el rango de precios en un número de jornadas predeterminadas. El precio de cierre actual es restado con el máximo de las jornadas que se toman en la medición. Y esta diferencia por el rango total por el mismo periodo. Los conceptos que se han visto en los anteriores osciladores aplican en el mismo modo en el oscilador %R, y éstos son las zonas de sobrecompra y sobreventa, como las divergencias y las pendientes del oscilador.


A continuación les presentamos la fórmula del oscilador %R:


CIERRE: Es el precio de cierre de hoy


MAX(i-n): Es el máximo del precio durante un cantidad “n” de jornadas


MIN(i-n): Es el mínimo del precio durante un cantidad “n” de jornadas


Debido a que %R se determina restando el precio de cierre con el máximo la gráfica parece un estocástico al revés, y para remediar esto el oscilador %R es graficado con su escala de medición al revés.


La siguiente figura muestra una señal de compra entregada por el indicador Larry Williams %R en el mercado Forex EUR/USD:


Escogiendo los periodos de tiempo


El largo de los osciladores puede ser acortado a través del acotamiento de los ciclos del mercado. Un periodo de tiempo de 1/2 del largo de un ciclo es usado. Los periodos de tiempo comunmente usados son periodos de tiempo de 14, 28 y 56 días de calendario, o si se prefiere por jornadas laborales se usan los periodos de 5, 10 y 20 días laborales.


El oscilador técnico %R al igual que el RSI es empleado en un periodo de 14 jornadas, siendo el periodo de 11 muy popular también.


05-10-2012, 02:41 PM


mi chiamo Maurizio Orsini e sono un trader professionale indipendente di valute e commodities. Mi avvalgo della metodologia Price Action Daily (grafici daily) e come scritto anche nel post di presentazione gestisco un sito internet [url=www. mauriforex. com[/url] realizzando servizi di formazione e consulenza sul mercato valutario con coaching individuali e video analisi quotidiane di segnali forex e formazione.


Un saluto a tutti e buon trading! Maurizio Orsini


05-10-2012, 04:51 PM


rimbalzo oggi per i listini azionari con una performance da risk on per l’Ibex spagnolo: · Ftse Mib. (+1,69%) · Dax 30: (+0,66%) · Cac 40: (+0,37%) · Ftse 100: (+0,25%) · Ibex: (+3,42%) · DJ: (+0,16%) · Nasdaq: (-0,04%) · Nikkei: (-0,39%)


Sul Forex ci sono stati rimbalzini oggi per l’australiano, il neozelandese, l’euro e l’oro con il dollaro. Quest’ultimo ha dimostrato sicuramente la sua forza girando al rialzo dopo una prima parte ribassista. Questo andamento ha creato una serie di Pin (rialziste per i cambi col dollaro come valuta base, e bearish per quelli con il dollaro come valuta quotata o per le commodities) ma su livelli lontani dalla EMA 21 e/o comunque non su livelli che ritengo importanti per prendere posizione; esempi: Aud/Usd, Eur/Usd e lo stesso Gbp/Usd che (nonostante la decisione di lasciare il tasso allo 0,50%) continuo a “vedere” in calo fino all’area 1,6050 dove cercare il grande Long!


La forza del dollaro è stata evidente nel cambio che, come scritto ieri, tenevo monitorato ossia USD/CAD. Non ho preso ieri posizione proprio perché non vedevo una debolezza della moneta USA ed oggi ho avuto una (momentanea?) conferma di rimanere alla porta ed attendere maggiore chiarezza in merito ad un effettivo calo o ad una rottura al rialzo del canale. http://1.bp. blogspot. com/-dO9bCKg6t_k/T6wkem_L5nI/AAAAAAAAAFg/faqnVN63p5o/s1600/usdcad. jpg


Occhio ai tre indici americani perché sono su livelli importanti di supporto la cui rottura potrebbe portare a bei cali (Nasdaq 2580 punti, S&P 1340 punti, Dow Jones 12700 punti) http://1.bp. blogspot. com/-KHmW8Z3GuII/T6wkpyi8sFI/AAAAAAAAAFo/E-f3CESg6rc/s1600/us30.jpg


Buona notte a tutti, a domani


RICAPITOLANDO DEALS A MERCATO: NESSUNO


ORDINI PENDENTI: NESSUNO


DEALS CHIUSI: NESSUNO


08-06-2012, 05:06 PM


Ciao amici del Forex,


inizio di settimana positivo per i mercati azionari che fanno registrare buone performance. Euro e Dollaro rimangono deboli, bene le Commodity Currencies in attesa della decisione notturna dei tassi australiani (previsti invariati al 3,50%)


I MIEI TRADES: NESSUNO


EUR/USD: si è chiuso a costo in una giornata particolarmente indecisa. Incasso il costo e guardo a nuove opportunità di recupero http://1.bp. blogspot. com/-E0p6NJaX-4c/UCAsH16mCpI/AAAAAAAAA34/JSREqRWXOKI/s640/eurusd+perdita. jpg


EUR/AUD: anche in questo caso il movimento rialzista (seppur momentaneo) ha mandato in stop profit il mio trade, per cui esco con una manciata di pips di profitto, praticamente a break even http://3.bp. blogspot. com/-HlKZ5g-flNA/UCAsLvT1pUI/AAAAAAAAA4A/95OhNPxg6ZU/s640/euraud. jpg


Considerando la forte indecisione che in queste settimane sta caratterizzando il mercato (da giugno in poi si notano ormai troppo spesso dei segnali particolarmente forti ed evidenti che vengono però negati da successive candele che mandano in stop il trade o si "rimangiano" tutti i pips guadagnati triggerando lo stop a rischio zero) ho deciso da oggi di essere più cinico nella chiusura delle operazioni. Valuterò cioè la possibilità di chiudere a profitto delle operazioni appena possibile senza necessariamente attendere l'evolversi della tendenza; in modo da monetizzare i guadagni prima di cambi repentini nel movimento del prezzo. Per me è una sorta di "violenza psicologica" dato che mi considero un "trend follower" al 100% e non amo tagliare i profitti ma. fino a quando non torneremo alla consueta direzionalità e "tranquillità" dei mercati preferisco portare a casa la pagnotta quando c'è!!


Petrolio: c'è stato il ritracciamento del doppio minimo rialzista (e l'ho monitorato oggi) ma non fino al livello dove avrei voluto comprare. Al momento sono rimasto al momento fuori e in attesa..anche perchè siamo vicini all'area di resistenza a 93$ http://3.bp. blogspot. com/-lbUE2M8GY3c/UCAsPN63IzI/AAAAAAAAA4I/jgP3mqW_3KA/s640/OIL. jpg


Eur/Gbp: siamo in area resistenza molto importante per uno spunto short da cercare domani http://1.bp. blogspot. com/-oNoLzveknK4/UCAsSsh3_-I/AAAAAAAAA4Q/5XAtqh21Ywo/s640/eurgbp. jpg


EUR/USD: il prezzo rimane sopra la media ma forma una doji di indecisione all'interno di una tendenza comunque ancora ribassista. Queste ultime 3 giornate sembrano molto simili a quelle del 18-19-20 giugno per cui ho deciso di inserire un ordine Sell Stop su rottura del minimo della candela odierna e vediamo se domani l'ordine sarà triggerato http://3.bp. blogspot. com/-l2-droQmkUA/UCAsXIhP1GI/AAAAAAAAA4Y/Q6L8zL1iDm4/s640/eurusd. jpg


EUR/NZD: il prezzo evidenzia una candela pin ribassista proprio sul livello di resistenza. Inserito un ordine sell stop su rottura del minimo della pin con stop sopra la resistenza (anche Aud/Nzd sarebbe una coppia da vendere ma tra le due..per una questione di correlazione..preferisco comprare NZD contro Euro piuttosto che contro Aud) http://4.bp. blogspot. com/-rxGJAF2bQXU/UCAsbsT-PCI/AAAAAAAAA4g/bI42gWYxpto/s640/EURNZD. jpg


A domani, buona notte


Vi ricordo, se volete, la possibilità di unirvi al gruppo "AMICI DEL FOREX" su Facebook a questo link: Log In | Facebook (http://www. facebook. com/groups/335263286561630/)


08-07-2012, 04:55 PM


anche oggi seduta positiva per i mercati azionari con buone prestazioni della sterlina inglese e dell'australiano dopo la conferma del tasso di interesse da parte della RBA. Le parole oggi di Bernanke della Fed ("i problemi europei hanno causato stress e volatilità nel mercato, oltre a rallentare l'economia USA") confermano un pò quanto affermavo ieri in merito alla mancanza di tranquillità del mercato attuale e l'esigenza di adattarsi a ciò con un approccio di trading più prudente.


I MIEI TRADES: NESSUNO


EUR/NZD: il prezzo ha avuto una seduta rialzista senza triggerare il mio ordine sell per cui rimango fuori dal mercato ed, essendo comunque in presenza di una tendenza ribassista, verifico l'effettiva tenuta al di sopra del supporto 1,5190 e poi eventualmente ricercherò l'entrate short sulla prossima resistenza 1,5320 http://3.bp. blogspot. com/-IvPBoJFoXAY/UCF8bFlZJnI/AAAAAAAAA6Q/hJG0u2njErg/s640/eurnzd. jpg


EUR/USD: il mio ordine non è stato triggerato anzi, se pur in presenza di un weekly ribassista, pare spingere pian piano verso una correzione rialzista di breve mantenendosi sopra la media ed i livelli di supporto. Modifico quindi la mia vision in base a quanto il prezzo mi mostra ed inserisco un ordine Buy su rottura del 1,2455 http://4.bp. blogspot. com/-PSrFFn2PDAo/UCF9UXHskUI/AAAAAAAAA6o/OEwrBtcs_IM/s640/eurusd. jpg


EUR/GBP: la resistenza sul vecchio canale laterale a 0,7950 pare reggere ed il prezzo corregge al ribasso ma la tendenza weekly di breve è ancora rialzista per cui rimango alla porta anche se la sterlina è in rafforzamento http://4.bp. blogspot. com/-9x7z3M-PVJc/UCF8h7pywEI/AAAAAAAAA6g/KML_CjDnDNY/s640/eurgbp. jpg


Un saluto e buona notte


08-08-2012, 04:59 PM


Ciao ragazzi la giornata iniziata male per le borse si è poi ripresa con una chiusura intorno alla parità. In seguito alle parole del capo della Bank of England (che nega tagli dei tassi per il prossimo futuro) vola la sterlina, soprattutto con l'euro che oggi vive un altro giorno di consolidamento. Attenzione domani alla decisione tassi giapponese che non dovrebbe comunque riservare sorprese.


I MIEI TRADES: NESSUNO


Quest'oggi breve video analisi a disposizione per voi!


Saluti e buona notte


08-09-2012, 04:56 PM


Buona sera amici del Forex!


Come da attese del Bank of Japan ha mentenuto invariati i tassi allo 0,10%; borse poco mosse, debolezza dell'euro e forza dell'Australiano e soprattutto del Canadese: questa la sintesi della seduta odierna!


I MIEI TRADES: NESSUNO


EUR/NZD: altra candela ribassista con una pin che potrebbe riaprire il movimento short. Anche il settimanale mostra una pinocchio quasi conclusa con falsa rottura del massimo del weekly precedente. Inserisco ordine vendita su rottura del minimo http://3.bp. blogspot. com/--mby8zMUoKs/UCQh0JOGmwI/AAAAAAAAA8E/mrO540Dqx28/s640/EURNZD. jpg


EUR/USD: pare essere ripreso il movimento ribassista senza uno specifico segnale per entrarvi. Attendo un eventuale pullback in area 1,2330 http://1.bp. blogspot. com/-3EaHQ01g6EU/UCQh4DzaExI/AAAAAAAAA8M/t34DGwen1DA/s640/EURUSD. jpg


USD/CAD: altra giornata di ribasso e si avvicina ormai in area 0,99 dove potrebbe esserci una correzione del forte movimento short. Occhio a un segnale di acquisto http://3.bp. blogspot. com/-r1s4X0EhPuM/UCQh7kCR6SI/AAAAAAAAA8U/GOb4JxwHwX8/s640/USDCAD. jpg


NZD/USD: si sta riavvicinando ai supporti in area 0,81/0,8070 dove arriva la media mobile per riprendere un possibile movimento al rialzo in linea con un possibile rafforzamento del Neozelandese (magari in correlazione con una possibile rottura al rialzo dei 1630$ dell'Oro. ) http://3.bp. blogspot. com/-vPFM1q-6s24/UCQh_LKk8_I/AAAAAAAAA8c/d2gKpIxJqG4/s640/NZDUSD. jpg


Buona notte e a domani con l'ANALISI SETTIMANALE!


08-10-2012, 06:35 PM


Eccoci giunti alla fine di un'altra calda settimana di agosto con le borse che consolidano i guadagni della settimana chiudendo praticamente tutte in rosso. Male i dati dell'export cinese che penalizzano di riflesso le Commodity Currencies; sempre forte il canadese, debole l'Euro.


I MIEI TRADES: EUR/NZD short a 1,5119


Come sempre vi auguro un fine settimana di riposo e tranquillità in compagnia dei vostri cari familiari e. della mia ANALISI SETTIMANALE (almeno per qualche minuto. )


Saluti e a lunedi come sempre


08-13-2012, 04:49 PM


la settimana si apre con un calo dei mercati azionari (tranne Madrid) e con la notizia giunta dal Giappone relativamente ad un calo del PIL e alla possibilità di nuove mosse bella BoJ a sostegno dell'economia.


I MIEI TRADES: Petrolio long a 94,06$


EUR/NZD: l'operazione si è chiusa oggi in stop. Come mia abitudine ho rianalizzato il tutto e rimango convinto della bontà della mia entrata. E' vero (come alcuni di voi mi hanno giustamente scritto) che si era su punti di minimo storici ma il segnale di ingresso per me era troppo chiaro (pin inside sotto la resistenza e la media mobile, in linea col trend weekly) e lo ritraderei ancora. Ovviamente ero consapevole della maggiore "aggressività" di questa operazione e proprio per questo ho comunque assunto un rischio inferiore in termini di euro "messi sul piatto". http://1.bp. blogspot. com/-il6o_3YL4Pg/UClkpw-Gq9I/AAAAAAAAA-E/Y3mFDiumsns/s640/eurnzd. jpg


EUR/AUD:avevo inserito un ordine di vendita su rottura del minimo ma lo stesso non è stato triggerato http://4.bp. blogspot. com/-Ra9pMkDPK4s/UClkvoNjlRI/AAAAAAAAA-M/ul50YcJhYJ8/s640/euraud. jpg


PETROLIO: qui è invece entrato (per poco) l'ordine buy e sono in momentanea perdita. Il segnale d'ingresso non è stato negato e siamo in linea con la tendenza rialzista di breve e con il grafico weekly..poi sarà il mercato ha decidere come sempre http://2.bp. blogspot. com/-9V6DY8jq4Gg/UClkzdjJ4mI/AAAAAAAAA-U/TvWvY7595w0/s640/oil. jpg


NZD/USD: è su un'area buy importante ma non ci sono segnali di ingresso in base al mio trading system e quindi attendo la giornata di domani http://2.bp. blogspot. com/-OXeR2NYodAk/UClk2jVqNYI/AAAAAAAAA-c/kGKqSCkV6uI/s640/kiwi. jpg


Auguro a tutti una buona notte, a domani


08-14-2012, 05:11 PM


Ciao Amici del Forex,


la giornata di borsa è stata positiva su quasi tutti i fronti con le notizie del Pil tedesco e francese sopra le attese. Euro variabile, dollaro in ripresa e "preziosi" in contrazione


I MIEI TRADES: Petrolio long a 94,06$


PETROLIO: anche oggi il mio segnale d'ingresso non è stato negato ed abbiamo assistito ad una giornata rialzista. Si è formata una candela inside per cui potremmo assistere ad un vero rialzo su rottura dei 94,20$ oppure un ritest della mia Pin di ingresso se il prezzo dovesse scendere sotto i 92$. In ogni caso rimango a mercato fiducioso della tendenza rialzista in essere http://2.bp. blogspot. com/-EA9evec_mo8/UCq6e6z58kI/AAAAAAAABAE/yWR3RoZG_hQ/s640/oil. jpg


NZD/USD: l'area 0,8090/0,8070 è stata rotta al ribasso senza segnali Long ma al contrario formando una candela decisamente bearish (proprio per questo ho scritto oggi ad alcune persone che mi chiedevano il perchè della mia attesa di un segnale operativo di ingresso e non un acquisto immediato sul supporto!). Ora, a meno che si tratti di una falsa rottura ribassista, è facile rivedere il prezzo in zona 0,8030 e poi 0,7990 (dove transita anche la trendline rialzista) che potrebbe essere area di un buon acquisto http://3.bp. blogspot. com/-2jbXtraGmgQ/UCq6ibPUPGI/AAAAAAAABAM/R_ynPwhgm7g/s640/kiwi. jpg


AUD/NZD: bellissima Pinocchio rialzista con falsa rottura al ribasso della inside di ieri, in appoggio sulla media, chiusura sopra il supporto 1,3015 ed in linea col trend daily e weekly! Si potrebbe comprare o su rottura del massimo (più prudenziale) o tentando di migliorare l'acquisto a 1,5710 su ritracciamento (più aggressivo) http://1.bp. blogspot. com/-Kdaw_ddNiQo/UCq6l8U_nDI/AAAAAAAABAU/dD-OFH16vgA/s640/audnzd. jpg


EUR/USD: si forma una pinocchio che ritesta la trendline ribassista per poi ribassare, forse a riprendere la continuazione del trend weekly short. Inserisco ordine sell alcuni pips sotto il minimo odierno http://3.bp. blogspot. com/-KlaSXVtQz2Q/UCq6pjIP5bI/AAAAAAAABAc/hJka_dIDBEQ/s640/eurusd. jpg


USD/CHF: è l'inverso dell'eur/usd, in questo caso una rottura long della pin odierna riporterebbe in alto il prezzo http://2.bp. blogspot. com/-2liBSLmvI3Q/UCq6tOun1RI/AAAAAAAABAk/kZgb_etX8ww/s640/usdchf. jpg


Occhio a scegliere solo alcune operazioni in virtù di un buon risk management!


08-15-2012, 05:11 PM


i dati positivi della produzione industriale USA hanno condizionato i mercati europei partiti non bene e che chiudono quasi invariati (Milano chiusa per festività). Bene oggi le Commodity Currencies e le materie prime, debole l'Euro


I MIEI TRADES: PETROLIO long a 94,06$ AUD/NZD long a 1,3010 EUR/USD short a 1,2305


Vi lascio oggi con un breve video di analisi infrasettimanale e vi auguro un buon riposo


08-16-2012, 04:31 PM


molto positivi i mercati azionari con la notizia trapelata oggi relativamente ad un ulteriore aiuto da parte dell'UE alle banche spagnole. Indice spagnolo che vola ed Euro che rialza fortemente insieme con le materiae prime. Male il dollaro che dopo un inizio di sessione positivo perde il vantaggio e storna al ribasso, Yen il peggiore


I MIEI TRADES: AUD/NZD long a 1,3010 EUR/USD short a 1,2305


Petrolio: chiusa in serata l'operazione con 100 punti di profitto. In occasione differente avrei lasciato correre spostando lo stop a zero rischio ma dato che domani è in scadenza il Cfd, ed il mio Broker avrebbe chiuso in automatico il trade, ho preferito non attendere domani rischiando uno storno del prezzo ma portare a casa questo guadagno che potrebbe compensare un risultato non positivo di altri trade in corso http://3.bp. blogspot. com/-B4XJE-lY-PA/UC1XFOUQLDI/AAAAAAAABCU/TvvqcqnRkxc/s640/oil. jpg


AUD/NZD: il trade è in perdita e rianalizzando la situazione avrei potuto verosimilmente attendere la rottura della Pin di ingresso invece che entrare su ritracciamento (anche considerato il livello di resistenza sulla quale si era formata). In ogni caso vediamo se l'australiano avrà la forza domani di riprendersi http://4.bp. blogspot. com/-pqXK2zRvswo/UC1XI3lo9yI/AAAAAAAABCc/Y0leFbKFxeI/s640/audnzd. jpg


EUR/USD: anche qui al momento è in perdita e, considerando la tendenza principale ribassista, non mi sarei atteso un movimento così forte oggi dell'euro..probabilmente le voci su nuovi aiuti alla Spagna hanno avuto il loro peso. In ogni caso lo stop è sopra il livello psicologico di 1,24 e se raggiunto potrebbe anche determinare un cambio di tendenza http://1.bp. blogspot. com/-l5bBicwyOSQ/UC1XMjc-UiI/AAAAAAAABCk/Dr2dW-aIsXE/s640/eurusd. jpg


AUD/USD: altra candela Pin in trend rialzista, valuto dopo la chiusura delle 23 un ordine buy su rottura del massimo, non avendo più a mercato il trade sul petrolio http://3.bp. blogspot. com/-12sXjZ8nvEw/UC1XQdPacpI/AAAAAAAABCs/ZdddMwv6Soo/s640/audusd. jpg


08-17-2012, 06:13 PM


Ciao Amici del Forex,


la settimana si chiude positivamente per i mercati azionari sostenuti dalla parole della Merkel relative all'aiuto della Germania in favore dell'Euro, nonostante dalla Finlandia pare si stiano preparando alla sua fine, stando alle parole del suo ministro degli esteri!


I MIEI TRADES: NESSUNO


Come al solito vi lascio con il mio Outlook Settimanale per valutare le possibili opportunità a riapertura mercati.


Auguro a tutti un buon fine settimana


08-20-2012, 04:57 PM


Buonasera a tutti,


questa settimana non inizia bene per le piazze azionarie che scontano l'altolà della Bundesbank alle ipotesi di un tetto antispread prospettato dalla BCE. Euro in altalena, correzione del Dolar Index, vola l'Argento.


I MIEI TRADES: NESSUNO


Aud/Usd: un bel segnale long in area 1,0220 si potrebbe tradare long..vediamo domani se ci saranno segnali di ingresso (altrimenti fuori dal mercato ad attendere con pazienza) http://1.bp. blogspot. com/-FseEV9QC3r4/UDKhHt-8l3I/AAAAAAAABEU/_keSJEzvtZw/s640/audusd+q. jpg


Eur/Usd: siamo in una fase di lateralità di brevissimo periodo ed area 1,24 rimane importante per spunti short al fine di riprendere la tendenza ribassista weekly http://4.bp. blogspot. com/-5Xaidsd0TZ0/UDKhLlnv-FI/AAAAAAAABEc/LWN2nlUP3xg/s640/eurusd+q. jpg


Gbp/Usd: siamo in area resistenza 1,5730. Questa volta la rottura sembra possibile e, nel caso avvenga, un pullback sarebbe buono da comprare (vorrei la conferma della rottura eventuale) http://1.bp. blogspot. com/-rQTgVXAdyd4/UDKhPSPLocI/AAAAAAAABEk/TP1aewgiB98/s640/cable+q. jpg


Argento: anche qui ci siamo avvicinati all'area short 29$. Occhio a segnali di vendita http://2.bp. blogspot. com/-oqa-dpNCw8E/UDKhTlRIxMI/AAAAAAAABEs/3sQ0GLcP03Q/s640/xag+q. jpg


Un saluto e buona notte


08-21-2012, 05:03 PM


le principali notizie di oggi sono il buon esito nella vendita dei titoli di stato spagnoli, il report di Moody's relativo ai paesi deboli area euro Portogallo, Italia, Irlanda, Grecia e Spagna (che sarebbero a metà strada nel percorso di risanamento economico) e soprattutto la convinzione sulle azioni che la BCE porrà in essere per il cosiddeto "scudo anti spread", Bundesbank permettendo. Ovviamente l'Euro vola e rompe quasi tutte le resistenze approfittando anche di un Dollaro debole (per via anche del report negativo di Standard and Poors sull'economia USA); volano i preziosi.


I MIEI TRADES: NESSUNO


Eur/Usd: bella marubozu che si avvicina in intraday a 1,25 per poi correggere leggermente. Vediamo se ci sarà pullback sul 1,24 (ora supporto) per valutare segnali long e continuare il movimento del canale ascendente di breve (stessa cosa per Eur/Aud ed Eur/Cad) http://4.bp. blogspot. com/-MkWw4GoNMUo/UDP151GdqhI/AAAAAAAABGU/zWOVJm9-dtI/s640/eurusd+Q. jpg


Eur/Jpy: in questo caso la resistenza a 98,80 non è stata ancora violata in chiusura per cui (essendo oltretutto nella parte alta del canale rialzista) monitoriamo eventuali segnali short che potrebbero presentarsi su tale livello http://4.bp. blogspot. com/-sdoZBF1xGfc/UDP19c-v8LI/AAAAAAAABGc/ma6_2oEeLdo/s640/euryen+Q. jpg


Usd/Chf: rotto il livello 0,9680. Aspetto un pullback su tale area per cercare uno spunto short http://4.bp. blogspot. com/-EHoKNeAx8u4/UDP2A0dWEMI/AAAAAAAABGk/YrVVadgLTtI/s640/usdchf+Q. jpg


Oro: rotto al rialzo la resistenza a 1630$! A questo punto cerco un segnale di ingresso su pullback se ovviamente sarà confermato il movimento rialzista (stesso discorso per l'argento) http://1.bp. blogspot. com/-f_Ml9HJXFI0/UDP2D7-uWkI/AAAAAAAABGs/WR_QPxHMPpk/s640/oro+Q. jpg


Buon riposo a tutti gli amici del forex


08-22-2012, 05:09 PM


Ciao amici del Forex,


predomina oggi il nervosismo dovuto ai soliti timori greci ed alle prossime decisioni della BCE. I principali listini sono in rosso con una continua debolezza del Dollaro Americano (dopo il Minute del FOMC) ed Euro a due velocità. Continuano gli acquisti pesanti dei preziosi.


I MIEI TRADES: EUR/JPY short a 98,60 EUR/USD long a 1,2485 USD/CHF short a 0,9620


Ho inserito anche un pendente buy su Aud/Usd ma ho descritto tutto con una video analisi di alcuni minuti!


08-23-2012, 04:47 PM


anche oggi i timori per la Grecia spingono i mercati azionari al ribasso, accentuati dalle notizie provenienti dagli Stati Uniti in merito ad un imminente intervento (da settembre) della Fed a sostegno dell'economia (ma non necessariamente un 3° round del Quantitative Easing). Ciò ha ovviamente penalizzato gli indici e reso variabile l'euro. Sempre forti i beni rifugio. Il dollaro potrebbe avere invece una momentanea correzione http://2.bp. blogspot. com/-5SCbzMXEvzs/UDaUoovTizI/AAAAAAAABIY/r4LvxFMxkX4/s640/dollar+index. jpg


I MIEI TRADES: EUR/JPY short a 98,60 AUD/USD long a 1,0532


EUR/USD: il prezzo ha continuato la sua salita anche se con minore intensità. Essendo il quarto giorno di rialzo consecutivo, non avendo (per ora) superato in chiusura il livello 1,2570 ed avendo stornato sulla parte alta del canale, ho preferito liquidare in profitto tutta la posizione e portare a casa il risultato. Profitto finale: 74 pips http://2.bp. blogspot. com/-xYThbo6glgA/UDaUwdCF1FI/AAAAAAAABIg/TUHGf_Smyzo/s640/eurusd. jpg


USD/CHF: il prezzo ha continuato la discesa con meno forza. L'analisi dei vari grafici e dei correlati mi mostra una possibile correzione al rialzo del Usd per cui anche in questo caso preferisco portare in cascina il profitto (anche in previsione di un possibile stop su AudUsd). Profitto totale: 58 pips http://3.bp. blogspot. com/-Nq0oGpa4bAk/UDaU0e8jV-I/AAAAAAAABIo/Ef5E4pzYASo/s640/usdchf. jpg


EUR/JPY: giornata di indecisione. Siamo in una fase rialzista di breve periodo e sopra la EMA21 però..il trend di medio è ribassista e siamo comunque nella parte alta del canale..rimango a mercato come da piano http://2.bp. blogspot. com/-2UZXwYVybug/UDaU4RF37RI/AAAAAAAABIw/RwZS6yUld8k/s640/euryen. jpg


AUD/USD: il mio ordine buy è stato triggerato ma con una falsa rottura del livello dei massimi (non come volevo..). In ogni caso al momento la Pin che mi ha visto entrare rimane valida e quindi rimango in posizione col mio stop ben inserito a protezione del capitale http://4.bp. blogspot. com/-6z9r8d7GPCs/UDaU9Cv9lDI/AAAAAAAABI4/McYtOlA_t_0/s640/audusd. jpg


Eur/Nzd: siamo in una importante area di resistenza. La sua rottura potrebbe portare ad una continuazione del movimento rialzista di breve e, nel caso, un pullback a ritestare il livello potrebbe essere un buono spunto long http://3.bp. blogspot. com/-_A6iutsnTf4/UDaVBmJzfOI/AAAAAAAABJA/JIEpnGu6aHE/s640/eurnzd. jpg


A domani, buona notte


08-26-2012, 12:17 AM


Ciao Amici del Forex,


giornata movimentata quella di venerdi con le borse e l'euro in altalena per le consuete vicissitudini greche e l'incontro Merkel - Samaras (Germania-Grecia) senza indicazioni nuove e rilevanti.


I MIEI TRADES: EUR/JPY short a 98,60


Vi lascio la mia consueta analisi settimanale e vi auguro un felice fine settimana!


08-27-2012, 05:10 PM


Questa nuova settimana inizia bene per i mercati finanziari (Londra chiusa per festività) in attesa delle parole di Bernanke di venerdi prossimo nel meeting di Jackson Hole.


I MIEI TRADES: EUR/JPY short a 98,60


EUR/JPY: giornata di indecisione, mantengo la mia posizione come venerdi con stop loss quasi a rischio zero http://1.bp. blogspot. com/----Fo6E2ru6z_Q/UDvevm4OmpI/AAAAAAAABLM/z----DVqRWJqrI/s640/euryen. jpg


Aud/Jpy: vista la debolezza dell'australiano, ed il pattern di candela interna formatosi, la rottura di 81,40 potrebbe spingere il prezzo verso area 80 primo target di un eventuale posizione corta (c'è una candela pin mensile ribassista in formazione!) http://2.bp. blogspot. com/----wrAfctrB1mA/UDve02EJvkI/AAAAAAAABLU/dWtxNHDkTFE/s640/audjpy. jpg


Nzd/Usd: l'area 0,8030 con il supporto statico in coincidenza con la trendline rialzista potrebbe essere un buon punto dove cercare uno spunto long, se il mercato lo presenterà http://4.bp. blogspot. com/----6LkrdsUt8uM/UDve53EuAKI/AAAAAAAABLc/4DoVu1ozGZI/s640/kiwi. jpg


Buon riposo, a domani


08-28-2012, 05:34 PM


Ciao amici del Forex,


le borse oggi chiudono leggermente i campo negativo anche se l’Euro rimane in forza in seguito al buon esito delle aste dei titoli di stato italiani e spagnoli.


I MIEI TRADES: NESSUNO


Oggi ho preparato un breve video di analisi..


Tutta l'analisi della situazione la trovate nel consueto video settimanale.


Buon week end e buon riposo


seduta incerta sui mercati azionari con una correzione del Dollar Index (al ribasso) e dei Preziosi (al rialzo). La Fed ha lasciato invariati i tassi allo 0,25% come la Banca Centrale Neozelandese.


Vediamo tutto nella mia video analisi appena realizzata!


Buona notte, a domani


USDOLLAR


ANALISI DEL 3/12/15


Il pattern che vedete in alto a sinistra evidenziato in verde sul grafico weekly è fuori ogni dubbio un triangolo di continuazione; viene da se che, una volta rotto al rialzo, dovrebbe proiettare le quotazioni almeno per una misura che è la stessa della base del triangolo.


Cogliamo l’occasione per notare su questo cross come rispondono bene le nostre linee di vibrazione (rosse tratteggiate).


Sul grafico daily verifichiamo che dopo la rottura della resistenza del triangolo, in area 12.200 il cross ha smesso di salire, titubando per circa un mese sotto tale resistenza; oggi con una discesa repentina sui dati macro ha fatto un pullback perfetto sulla resistenza rotta precedentemente.


· Per questa motivazione, e insieme alle seguenti riflessioni:


· 20 punti più sotto ho una doppia linea di vibrazione (gialla) che fa da forte supporto;


· RLW è in ipervenduto e dovrebbe riemergere;


· MACD seppure segue il recente declino delle quotazioni, è ampiamente al di sopra della linea dello zero


Sono entrato lungo. Senza grosse pretese, mi aspetto almeno un ritorno nell’area dei recenti massimi a 12.200: e fino a lì saranno già 100 pips di guadagno.


Se volesse sfondare i supporti per non andare al mio target, sarebbe inficiato il pattern rialzista e tutta la situazione da rivedere. Sono anche un po’ sostenuto dalla convinzione che EURUSD prima di girarsi al rialzo, dovrebbe andare a farsi un test in area 1.020, come già descritto dettagliatamente nelle analisi .


NZD USD


10/12/15 analisi NZDUSD


la long ha avuto successo, visto l'avvicinarsi alla mia linea di vibrazione (rossa), e all'area 0,70 che era l'obiettivo del movimento lungo di medio periodo, ho chiuso la posizione con 135 pips di gain. che in un giorno, di questi tempi, sono guadagno benedetto.


Sempre per le motivazioni di cui sopra, una volta chiusa la long, ho aperto una short, con obiettivo l'ascendente sotto i minimi per circa 400 pips (freccia verde), e stop loss sopra i recenti massimi.


09/12/15 analisi NZDUSD


ferme tutte le aspettative precedenti. siamo a fine anno in un periodo un pò balordo per i mercati, che mostrano incertezze e sbalzi improvvisi spesso fuorviando la giusta view.


Pertanto sono entrato lungo: non è escluso che prima di risalire andiamo a fare il test già indicato di area 0,63, ma siamo per la terza volta al test del supporto che sostiene le quotazioni al rialzo, e potrebbe essere il minimo migliore per entrare nella long se il movimento fosse già cominciato. Quindi un'occasione da non perdere; ma se le indicazioni cambieranno, e il supporto dovesse essere sfondato, farò presto a stoppare la mia posizione lunga e reversarmi corto per raggiungere, appunto, gli obiettivi in area 0,63.


Se invece dovesse resistere la posizione lunga, gli obiettivi rialzisti per il momento saranno quelli già citati nelle precedenti analisi.


17/11/15 analisi NZDUSD


la fase ribassista prevista ha rispettato perfettamente il copione previsto, arrivando al nostro target in area 0,65, come si evince sul grafico a 6h aggiornato ad oggi .


Ogni passaggio previsto è stato rispettato, solo che arrivati a target dovevamo essere pronti per girarci lunghi, e invece i segnali grafici non ancora ci danno l'ok per partire. Infatti la nostra linea di vibrazione verde che doveva essere il target, è stata sfondata, e chi segue tali linee, sa che questo è un segnale di continuazione.


Ad ogni bon conto, su questo grafico ci vedremo impossibilitati a pensare alla long almeno fino a quando le discendenti sui massimi (medio, breve, brevissimo) non saranno violate, il MACD non passerà sopra la linea dello zero, e il RLW non uscirà dalla zona di ipervenduto.


Guardando quindi al daily. verifichiamo che la zona contrassegnata da un cerchio rosso che doveva essere il target della nostra long diventa impossibile da raggiungere, soprattutto dal punto di vista temporale.


Su questo cross restiamo quindi in attesa di segnali rialzisti per cavalcare l'onda; la neckline nera sotto i minimi ci indica il possibile obiettivo dell'attuale discesa . area 0,63.


23/10/15 analisi NZDUSD


come si evince dal'allegato grafico 6h. sempre più maturo per una short: una bella divergenza ribassista del MACD, non ha ancora sortito il suo effetto perchè mancano i seguenti fattori a completamento del segnale negativo:


1) la media rossa del MACD (freccia nera) deve reincrociare sotto quella blu;


2) entrambe le medie poi meglio sarebbe se andassero sotto la linea dello zero;


3) tutto ciò accadrà probabilmente quando i prezzi sfonderanno il supporto statico che si è creato in area 0.67 (freccia rossa);


Quando questi fattori si concretizzeranno (e non credo ci metterà molto), potrò rientrare corto per prendermi 200 pips fino alla linea di vibrazione verde, che guarda caso, in area 0.65 coincide con la linea di vibrazione rossa (freccia verde), che vi ricordo era quella che, sfondata al rialzo, decretava il segnale long di medio periodo. Per capirci meglio, area 0.65 segnerebbe target per la short di breve e pullback sulla linea rotta per riprendere il rialzo.


E rivediamoci il daily per conferma a quanto detto:


bella divergenza rialzista del MACD. E per il target? Naturalmente ci affidiamo alla linea di vibrazione di lungo (rossa discendente), e a maggior conferma dell'area di resistenza, si incrocia in area 0.70 con la discendente sui massimi di lungo periodo nella prima decade di novembre.


Riepilogando: aspettiamo conferme a brevissimo per andare corti coin obiettivo 0.65 area, e subito dopo lunghi per andare a 0.70 prima della metà di novembre.


ローリスクなPipsの稼ぎ方. 逆張り好きな Angel 達へ ~フラクタル~


自分は既にそういう幻想はブレイクしたが、いいなぁ、と思っているインジケーターはいくつかある。 そのうちの一つが MT4に実装されている フラクタル (Fractals) だ。


■オシレーターでもトレンドでもない・・・ 大抵のインジケーターは「オシレーター系」か「トレンド系」か「ボリューム系」のどれかに区別されるが、 フラクタルはどれでもない 。 敢えて言うなら、「プライスパターン系」?


・UPフラクタル→両側により安い高値が2本ずつある高値 ・DOWNフラクタル→両側により高い安値が2本ずつある安値 つまり、相場が反転したときの大底と天井のプライスが算出される仕組み。 ただし、Bar 2つ分 遅れて算出されるので、完全に天底を捉えることは出来ない。


■なにがいいのか? フラクタルの定義がダウ理論 の一部である、と言うところが良い。 ダウ理論に基づけば、相場は トレンド→反転→トレンド の連続である。 フラクタルは他のインジケーターより早くトレンド反転シグナルを出すことが多い。 しかも、大抵の場合、反発はある程度は続く。 オシレーター系指標だとトレンドが続く限り反転シグナルが出続けるが、フラクタルの場合はピンポイント。 なので、逆張り好きなエンジェル達にもってこいだと思うが、どうだろう?


■応用編 - Support & Resistance - フラクタルを応用したMT4カスタムインジケーター。


↑Support & Resistance (クリック拡大)


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Re: 逆張り好きな Angel 達へ ~フラクタル~


トレンドの反転を探してくれるEAがあるんですね 図を見る限りかなりの確率であたっているような感じですね 個人的に逆張り大好きなので是非完成させてください!


携帯からのコメですいません(^_^;) しかもメモリ不足で最後まで見れないし… 不真面目コメンターで申し訳ないです(*_*)


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Cuadro sobre lienzo 60 x 80 cm: Munich beer garden. 1883/84 de Max Liebermann / ARTOTHEK - cuadro terminado, cuadro sobre bastidor, lámina terminada sobre lienzo auténtico, impresión en lienzo


Descripción del producto


Tipodematerial: Cuadro sobre lienzo | Tamaño: 60 x 80 cm


Elegante aspecto gracias a la delicada estructura del lienzo La impresión directa sobre lienzo de Posterlounge convence por su magnífico aspecto, su sencilla colocación y su excelente relación calidad-precio. Sobre nuestro lienzo artístico de color blanco intenso fabricado con tejidos de algodón de > 300g/m², se realzan tanto las fotografías como los motivos artísticos. El aspecto es perfecto gracias a la superficie satinada mate, la cual evita los reflejos en la imagen.


Resumen de ventajas: - Inmejorable aspecto gracias a la delicada estructura del lienzo - Impresión directa UV de alta calidad para colores intensos y mayor resistencia - Fijación sobre bastidor de madera estable de 2 cm de grosor - Marco de madera invisible gracias a los márgenes impresos - Lienzo listo para colgar, fijación mural incluida


Impresión sobre lienzo con marco listo para colgar Nuestras impresiones sobre lienzo se entregan con los márgenes reflejados. Tras la impresión, el lienzo se fija sobre un bastidor de 2 cm de grosor de madera de pino certificada. Le enviamos a casa la imagen que desee junto con los ganchos. Para ello, se envuelve en una lámina protectora y se envía a través de DHL en cajas a medida para cuadros. Podrá colgar su obra de arte de inmediato o colocarla en un marco flotante.


Brillo cromático único sin decoloración gracias a la impresión directa UV Las imágenes sobre lienzo de Posterlounge se convierten en objetos de diseño de los que se puede disfrutar durante muchos años. Le garantizamos una magnífica reproducción cromática gracias a nuestra tecnología más reciente de impresión en color y a la tinta UV. En combinación con nuestro lienzo de color blanco intenso, su superficie satinada mate y la delicada estructura del lienzo, el cuadro ya enmarcado destaca por su excelente aspecto y por la calidad de la imagen.


Wie bereits letzte Woche berichtet, bahnt sich ab der neuen Spielzeit eine wilde Trainerrochade in der Regionalliga West (RLW) an weiterlesen.


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Em troca, são proporcionadas condições de desenvolvimento pessoal e técnico, em ambientes e tecnologias variadas, assim como formação e actualização de conhecimentos.


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Serviconnect


A Serviconnect é uma empresa de consultoria e prestadora de serviços para o mercado das telecomunicações. Iniciou a sua actividade em Janeiro de 2011, tem sede em Portugal e opera globalmente. A àrea principal de operação centra-se nas comunicações “sem-fios”, nomeadamente redes celulares móveis, com foco em projectos de planeamento de rede rádio, desempenho e qualidade de rede, e optimização de rede.


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Serviconnect


A Serviconnect é uma empresa de consultoria e prestadora de serviços para o mercado das telecomunicações. Iniciou a sua actividade em Janeiro de 2011, tem sede em Portugal e opera globalmente. A àrea principal de operação centra-se nas comunicações “sem-fios”, nomeadamente redes celulares móveis, com foco em projectos de planeamento de rede rádio, desempenho e qualidade de rede, e optimização de rede.


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Herramienta de la moneda-la comparación interactivo


El índice Big Mac fue inventado por The Economist en 1986 como una guía alegre de si las monedas están en su nivel "correcto". Se basa en la teoría de la paridad del poder adquisitivo (PPA), la noción de que en los tipos de cambio a largo plazo deben avanzar hacia la tasa que igualar los precios de una canasta idéntica de bienes y servicios (en este caso, una hamburguesa) en cualquiera de los dos países. Por ejemplo, el precio promedio de un Big Mac en los Estados Unidos en enero de 2014 fue de $ 4,62; en China fue sólo 2,74 dólares al tipo de cambio de mercado. Así que la "prima" índice Big Mac dice que el yuan estaba subvaluado en un 41% en ese momento.


Burgernomics nunca fue pensado como un indicador preciso de la desalineación de divisas, más que una herramienta para hacer la teoría de tipos de cambio más digerible. Sin embargo, el índice Big Mac se ha convertido en un estándar global, incluido en varios libros de texto económicos y el tema de por lo menos 20 estudios académicos. Para aquellos que toman su comida rápida es más grave, también hemos calculado una versión gourmet del índice.


Este índice ajustado se refiere a la crítica de que era de esperar los precios promedio de la hamburguesa a ser más barato en los países pobres que en los ricos porque los costos laborales son menores. Señales de PPP, donde las tasas de cambio deben encaminarse en el largo plazo, ya que un país como China se hace más rica, pero dice poco acerca de la tasa de equilibrio de hoy. La relación entre los precios y el PIB por persona puede ser una mejor guía al valor razonable actual de una moneda. El índice ajustado utiliza la "línea de mejor ajuste" entre los precios del Big Mac y el PIB por persona para 48 países (además de la zona del euro). La diferencia entre el precio previsto por la línea roja para cada país, dado su ingreso por persona, y su precio real da una medida de la moneda tamaño gigante sub y sobre-valoración.


Para ver los Datos ir a: http://www. economist. com/content/big-mac-index


El botón 'Select moneda base "le permite elegir entre cinco monedas base: el yuan, el euro, el yen, la libra esterlina y el dólar de EE. UU. También puede optar por ver el índice en su forma original "en bruto", o ajustarse para el PIB por persona. Por defecto, el panel de la parte inferior muestra un gráfico de dispersión trazando el precio local de un Big Mac (expresado en la moneda base actual) contra el PIB por persona en ese país. Seleccionar puntos individuales para obtener detalles.


Al explorar el mapa, el gráfico de dispersión será sustituido por un gráfico de líneas de trazado de la moneda de cuenta corriente del país destacó sub o sobre-valuación contra el paso del tiempo. Es posible seleccionar un país en el mapa de "congelar" (con la excepción de Internet Explorer), lo que le permite ratón sobre / toque en el gráfico de líneas y ver indicadores detallados para su selección en el tiempo. Para 'descongelar' el mapa, haga clic en / golpecito en el país resaltado de nuevo.


El Índice Big Mac


Los Tipos de Cambio Globales, ir para


Filed under: Dans la section — le19emeavecsegolene @ 8:00


La cérémonie de parrainage républicain du 18 décembre à la Mairie du 19 ème Ils sont venus, ils sont tous là. Environ trois cents personnes, famille sans papiers accompagnées de leurs parrains et marraines, militants de RESF 19°, de partis de gauche, d’associations de quartier. Une bonne dizaine d’élus de l’arrondissement et du Conseil de Paris, ceints de l’écharpe tricolore. Des poussettes un peu partout, des enfants qui dansent, dorment et passent de mains en mains pour un câlin.


On s’entre photographie, on s’échange des informations sur la situation de telle ou telle famille. On se reconnaît d’on ne sait plus où. Manifestations, pieds de grue devant un tribunal administratif… On se salue, on s’étreint…


Ceux pour lesquels ils sont venus, sont arrivés du Maghreb, d’Afrique subsaharienne, d’Inde, du Moyen Orient, de Chine…. Ils sont assis là, tranquilles, un peu impressionnés. Une atmosphère à mi chemin entre bonhomie et solennité.


Roger Madec, maire du 19 ème. dans son discours d’accueil, assure que « l’équipe de la mairie est pleinement engagée dans la mobilisation contre la politique actuellement menée à l’encontre des familles sans papiers, et annonce que « toute la gauche a voté en faveur de la mise en place d’une commission d’enquête parlementaire sur les conditions d’application de la circulaire Sarkozy.


On sait bien qu’un quota de bénéficiaires a été sournoisement mis en place ».


Geneviève Allali, enseignante, représentant le réseau RESF se félicite. « trente familles, une cinquantaine d’enfants, vont être parrainées ce soir par des citoyens, parents d’élèves ou non.


Ce sont les victimes d’une politique d’exclusion et de rejet du ministère de l’intérieur. Peu de familles ont pu être régularisées par le biais de la circulaire Sarkozy ; le couperet est tombé, avec des refus, injustifiés, révoltants… Le parcours qui mène à l’obtention de papiers est long et difficile. Un engagement sans faille est nécessaire à leurs côtés, poursuit Geneviève Allali, c’est bien là le but de ces parrainages citoyens. Mais l’action de RESF ne se limite pas aux seuls parrainages de familles. Le réseau est capable d’une mobilisation immédiate en cas d’arrestations, s’efforce de faire sortir des personnes des centres de rétention, le deuxième mardi du mois, RESF manifeste à Belleville contre les expulsions…. ». Puis, citant de nombreux cas relevés dans des établissements scolaires du 19 e arrondissement, Geneviève Allali a remercié la mairie de son soutien et notamment des nombreuses lettres à la Préfecture émanant de son cabinet.


Un tonnerre d’applaudissements salue son mot de la fin « on ne nous séparera pas » .


Et le fait est qu’ici, on se serre le coudes. Sur les chaises, souvent musicales. Dans les allées, encombrées de gens qui n’ont pas trouvé à s’asseoir…


Une conteuse, toute de rouge vêtue raconte les efforts résolus d’une femme malienne pour briser sa solitude. Elle s’assoit simplement devant son immeuble, sur un tabouret pour voir passer les gens, leur parler, s’enquérir de leur vie. comme au pays, déclenchant la colère de son mari mais au bout d’un moment l’adhésion de tout le quartier…


Puis, chaque famille retrouve ses parrains et marraines et s’avance devant l’élu(e) qui leur remet un certificat barré bleu blanc rouge…l’emblème d’une France qui ne renonce pas à ses valeurs. Echarpes tricolores, petit moments d’intimité républicaine, bouquets…


François Dagnaud, premier adjoint au mairie du 19 ème. prononce un petit discours expliquant le sens de cet acte de parrainage ; « la volonté de placer ces familles sous la protection des institutions républicaines, une manifestation d’éducation citoyenne, de fraternité, de respect à l’égard de ses semblables ».


Bref, le symbole d’une France qui lâche pas la main de ceux que l’on veut chasser. Et surtout pas celle de ce bambin africain qui se dandine sur une musique bollywoodienne. Deux adolescents indiens, le frère et la soeur, dansent sur scène, avec grâce et vigueur. Ils sont convoqués dans trois jours au tribunal administratif. Motif. recours contre une reconduite à la frontière…


Renée DAVID AESCHLIMANN


12 836 réponses à “La cérémonie de parrainage républicain du 18 décembre à la Mairie du 19ème”


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How exactly does Garcinia Cambogia Get Impact Weight reduction? <br>


<br> My good friend informed me the lady dropped bodyweight making use of Garcinia Cambogia. Really does this particular go a long way? <br>


<br> Julia Big t. <br>


<br> <a href="http://www. youtube. com/watch? v=autTpDkwWz0">garcinia cambogia bodybuilding</a> Get (HCA) is definitely highly within the information as being a organic slimming pill. Research, about be anticipated, have got blended testimonials. Numerous state it could be a highly effective slimming pill. <br>


<br> In contrast to a number of other weight reduction items, HCA continues to be thoroughly examined within study laboratories to both individual plus pet topics and also to time simply no considerable negative effects are already discovered. <br>


<br> Garcinia Cambogia is really a exotic fresh fruit that will expands primarily within The african continent plus Indian. Really within the citrus fruit family members. It is very bitter towards the flavor producing it inedible however the rind is utilized being a essence. Hydroxycitric acidity will be the material taken out from your fresh fruit plus utilized in the particular dietary supplement. <br>


<br> Hydroxycitric acidity fulfills the human body's requirement for power plus increases the particular signaling program the entire body utilizes to inform the mind in order to provides consumed sufficient. This particular has a tendency to provide an earlier caution program to the people obese informing all of them "Stop consuming I am full". The most obvious impact can be much less calorie consumption ingested. <br>


<br> The particular nutrient chrome will be suggested within conjunction along with Garcinia Cambogia get in order to efficiently manage the human body's glucose levels. Chrome insufficiency may give rise to fat gain and perhaps diabetes. <br>


<br> Nevertheless in case you have diabetes currently, you need to call at your physician just before having any kind of items that contains chrome. <br>


<br> Just like many dietary supplements, I suggest which you check with your physician prior to having this or even creating in order to other people (including children). HCA can be obtained through a lot of resources on the web and might be tagged possibly hydroxycitric acidity or even garcinia cambogia draw out. <br>


<br> In case you select well balanced meals you need to discover that you already know bodyweight plus body fat gradually yet continuously with no actually attempting. You need to eat somewhat smaller sized servings plus select fresh fruit rather than sweet snack foods however, you don't have to move starving. It is a really organic strategy. <br>


<br> You can find 3 vital foundations that needs to be piled jointly to attain weight reduction: consuming more healthy plus smaller sized servings (consuming less calories), boosting costs of one's via easy workout (using upward a lot more calories) plus getting the attitude (mental discipline) to improve your own behaviors right into a beneficial existence system associated with into the energy.


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Fresh fruit That will Burns up Fat-or Will it <br>


<br> Do you want to burn off fat rapidly and much more effectively? There is certainly available nowadays an all natural remove from the herb which is indigenous in order to Philippines which is definitely Garcina Cambogia. <br>


<br> What exactly is Garcina Cambogia Draw out? <br>


<br> This can be a really small, pumpkin-shaped fresh fruit which is also called В‘tamarindВ’. It really is indigenous in order to Philippines and it is cultivated within S. e. Asian countries, Indian plus Main plus Western The african continent. It really is utilized in numerous Southern Oriental meals typically, for example chutneys plus curries. This particular fresh fruit can also be utilized for treating seafood plus upkeep. <br>


<br> With the addition of this particular component in order to foods it really is regarded as quite effective for making foods fill up a person upward quicker. In certain towns within Malaysia, this particular fresh fruit can be used for making soups that may be consumed in front of you dinner for losing weight because of CambodiaВ’s appetite-blocking skills. <br>


<br> Are these claims Fresh fruit Efficient? <br>


<br> This particular fresh fruit continues to be well-researched along with over the number of numerous scientific studies performed through the years. Frequently, study discloses the ability associated with Garcinia Cambogia offers for that weight loss as well as the development associated with healthful diet plan. <br>


<br> What exactly can make Cambogia therefore efficient will not it function? Cambogia is really a yellowish fresh fruit which is designed kind of just like a pumpkin and yes it passes additional brands throughout S. e. Asian countries along with other region and it is consumed being a as well as the particular rind is utilized within conventional tested recipes within southern Indian. <br>


<br> The particular remove comes from mainly the particular rind, that is dried out plus healed and has hydroxycitric acids HCA that is a material promoted in order to obstruct sugar plus fat whilst controlling appetites. <br>


<br> Study and research <br>


<br> Research had been completed in Saint LukeВ’s Medical center the particular Being overweight Nourishment Analysis Middle within Ny to find out issue fresh fruit experienced any kind of benefit since anti-obesity indicates. There have been 135 overweight males and females who have been hired with this research plus it final regarding twelve several weeks. These were divided straight into two groupings, 1 received a working natural substance associated with hydroxycitric acidity as well as the some other getting a placebo. These two groupings had been recommended exactly the same low-energy, plus high-fiber diet plan. <br>


<br> Both in groupings the particular sufferers dropped plenty of bodyweight. However, there was clearly actually simply no significant distinction within the % associated with excess fat reduction. Experts figured <a href="https://www. youtube. com/watch? v=oBhXPYsgEiA">garcinia cambogia for weight loss</a> unsuccessfully to demonstrate significant weight reduction plus weight loss a lot more than what had been noticed using a placebo. <br>


<br> The particular Log associated with Being overweight at the end of the year 2010 released a write-up upon research that will examined Garcinia being a item for losing weight. From the twenty three tests analyzed, just 12 had been think about audio methodologically sufficient to incorporate. The particular evaluation uncovered that will several statistically important weight reduction do happen. Additionally they learned that uncomfortable stomach activities happened two times as frequently within the hydroxycitric team within the particular placebo team. <br>


<br> Consequently. simply because this really is getting extremely supported plus promoted with a physician for the tv, doesnВ’t essential allow it to be therefore?


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Моделирование квазирисков инвестиционно-финансовой деятельности Милосердов Александр Анатольевич


Содержание к диссертации


Глава 1. Риск, квазириск и категория неопределенности как объекты математического моделирования в инвестиционном процессе 16


1.1 Инвестиционный процесс и категория неопределенности 16


1.1.1 Инвестиционный процесс по И. Фишеру 16


1.1.2 Неопределенность как объективная характеристика инвестиционного процесса 21


1.2 Понятие риска и квазириска инвестиционного процесса 30


1.2.1 «Измеримая» неопределенность - ситуация риска 30


1.2.2 «Неизмеримая» неопределенность - ситуация квазириска. 35


Выводы по главе 1 54


Глава 2. Модели риска и квазириска инвестиционного процесса . 55


2.1 Общие подходы к моделированию неопределенности 55


2.1.1 Формулировка задачи принятия инвестиционного решения. 55


2.1.2 Отношение упорядоченности на элементах множества состояний среды 56


2.1.3 Отношение упорядоченности на подмножествах множества состояний среды 57


2.1.4 Количественная шкала правдоподобности на подмножествах множества состояний среды 62


2.2 Обобщенная модель неопределенности 69


2.2.1 Нечеткая мера и ее пространство 69


2.2.2 Разновидности нечетких мер и их пространства 73


2.3 Модель риска. 78


2.3.1 Пространство вероятности 78


2.3.2 Принятие инвестиционного решения в ситуации вероятностной неопределенности 79


2.4 Уменьшение информационной прозрачности. Корректировка модели риска 85


2.4.1 Априорная информация и множество параметров 85


2.4.2 Априорная информация: предельный случай 88


2.4.3 Случай частичного априорного знания о множестве параметров 91


2.4.4 Риск в условиях частичных вероятностных знаний 93


2.5 Модель квазириска 94


2.5.1 Пространства мер возможности и необходимости 94


2.5.2 Разновидности мер возможности и необходимости 97


2.5.3 Принятие инвестиционного решения в ситуации возможностной неопределенности 99


Выводы по главе 2 107


Глава 3. Применение квазирисковой модели для анализа и оценки рыночных рисков на российском финансовом рынке 109


3.1 Построение модели анализа и оценки рыночных квазирисков (MQR-модели) 109


3.1.1 Рыночные риски как элемент рисков инвестиционно-финансовой деятельности 109


3.1.2 Теоретико-вероятностная модель рыночных рисков общего вида 112


3.1.3 Допущение о субъективности рыночных рисков: рыночные квазириски 116


3.2 Использование модели рыночных квазирисков. Программа Quasi-Risk Info 121


3.2.1 Особенности построения модели рыночных квазирисков (модели MQR) 121


3.2.2 Программа Quasi-Risk Info 127


Выводы по главе 3 133


Список использованной литературы 138


Введение к работе


Актуальность темы. В условиях рыночной экономики, осуществление деятельности в инвестиционно-финансовой сфере требует от хозяйствующей организации в целом и от ее менеджмента в частности применения адекватных методов и моделей анализа и оценки соответствующих видов рисков, возникающих, в общем смысле, вследствие нестабильности условий хозяйствования. Использование данных методов и моделей позволяет хозяйствующей организации минимизировать/оптимизировать возможные потери капитала, а также повысить эффективность его использования.


Фактическое отсутствие опыта в данной области у хозяйствующих организаций вследствие существовавшей долгие годы командно-административной системы, при переходе к рыночным формам хозяйствования, с присущей им нестабильностью, достаточно остро поставил перед менеджментом вопросы анализа и оценки различных видов рисков. При этом, объективно обозначилась потребность в формировании нового экономико-математического аппарата и использовании информационных технологий для решения задач данного вида.


В научной литературе изложены основополагающие принципы анализа и оценки неопределенности, присущей инвестиционно-финансовым процессам, предложены основные методы ее моделирования. Данный экономико-математический инструментарий объективно чувствителен к объему информации, используемой в качестве исходной для генерации моделей. Так, наиболее широко применяемые вероятностно-статистические методы являются адекватными для моделирования неопределенности лишь при условии наличия «богатой» и представительной исторической статистики. Однако, в современных условиях хозяйствования последнее часто является трудновыполнимым условием.


Таким образом, основные характеристики процессов, протекающих в настоящее время в инвестиционно-финансовой сфере, требуют создания


адекватного экономико-математического инструментария для анализа и оценки неопределенности в условиях существенного информационного недостатка. Исходя из этого, обобщение и развитие инструментов анализа и моделирования различных ситуаций неопределенности инвестиционно-финансовой деятельности (ИФД), в частности ситуаций, порожденных и характеризуемых существенным недостатком статистической информации, а также создание методики, позволяющей оперативно и эффективно моделировать данные ситуации неопределенности, приобретает особую актуальность.


Состояние и изученность проблемы. Первые теоретические разработки проблемы неопределенности и риска возникли еще в начале XX в. В 1921 г. Ф. Найт в своей работе «Риск, неопределенность и прибыль» дал трактовку понятия риска как ситуации вероятностной неопределенности и осуществил качественный анализ рисков в контексте теории финансов. Практический интерес и первые практические разработки по вопросам прогнозирования и оценки риска возникли в 1929 г. за рубежом в связи с мировым экономическим кризисом: Ч. Доу разработал теорию циклического движения курсовой стоимости ценных бумаг.


И. Фишер по сути сделал первую попытку формализации проблемы инвестиционного выбора в своей фундаментальной работе «Теория процента». Дж. М. Кейнс в своей работе «Общая теория занятости, процента и денег» уделил внимание оценке риска.


Новый всплеск научных разработок по данной теме произошел в 1952 г. когда Г. Марковиц и Дж. Данциг предложили научный метод учета риска при выборе инвестиционных портфелей. В начале 1960-х гг. работа Л. Джонсона и Д. Стейна расширила теорию портфеля, дополнив ее хеджированием.


В 1960-е гг. У. Шарп сформулировал основные понятия риска, его виды, способы его хеджирования и предложил соответствующую модель - модель оценки капитальных активов - (Capital Assets Pricing Model-CAPM).


Существенно усилил влияние «портфельной теории» Дж. Тобин. Включив в анализ безрисковые активы, он предложил тем самым макроэкономический подход, в отличие от микроэкономического подхода Г. Марковица.


К середине 1960-х гг. работы У. Шарпа, Дж. Линтнера и Дж. Моссина подытожили этот этап развития современной теории инвестиций, сформулировав САРМ как макроэкономическое обобщение теории Г. Марковица. В это же время С. Росс предложил альтернативную модель оценки капитальных активов - «арбитражную модель» (Arbitrage Pricing Model).


С инвестиционной теорией и теорией финансового менеджмента тесно связана теория эффективного рынка, исследующая проблему адекватности рыночных цен на финансовые активы и их истинную стоимость. Связанная с этой теорией модель «ходьбы наугад» стимулировала применение динамических теоретико-вероятностных моделей анализа неопределенности. В русле этих идей в 1973 г. М. Шоулс и Ф. Блэк предложили модель опционов (модель Блэка-Шоулса).


Формализованный подход к выбору стратегии в условиях неопределенности предложили Дж. фон Нейман и


О. Моргенштерн в своей работе «Теория игр и экономическое поведение» в 1944 г.


В создание современного математического аппарата и развитие многих направлений исследования операций огромный вклад внес Л. В. Канторович, который сформулировал новый класс условно-экстремальных задач и предложил универсальный метод их решения, положив начало линейному программированию. Значительный вклад в развитие современной инвестиционной теории внесли разработки представителей отечественной школы теории вероятностей академика А. Н. Колмогорова.


В 1978 г. появилась фундаментальная работа Л. Заде по нечетким множествам, ознаменовавшая собой новый этап и новые возможные подходы


8 к анализу неопределенности и неточности информации, а следовательно и риска.


Разработкой этого спектра проблем в разное время также занимались: X. Алуха, Д. Дюбуа, К. Джослин, К. Карлсон, А. Кофман, Д. Пойа, А. Прад, М. Сугено, Р. Фуллер, Р. Ягер, А. Н. Аверкин, С. Л. Блюмин, А. Н. Борисов, В. П. Кузнецов, А. О. Недосекин, Д. А. Поспелов, Ю. П. Пытьев, А. П. Рыжов, Р. И. Трухаев, Л. В. Уткин и др.


Работы вышеназванных авторов внесли значительный вклад в развитие и становление как в целом теории риска в контексте теории финансов, так и обобщающих методов анализа неопределенности в теории принятия решений. Однако вместе с этим методические вопросы анализа и моделирования ситуации неопределенности ИФД в условиях, когда субъект принимающий решения обладает неполной информацией (обрывочными знаниями) в отношении объекта принятия решения исследованы недостаточно.


Прежде всего, необходимо отметить, что неопределенность в настоящее время прочно ассоциирована с вероятностно-статистическим инструментарием (Ф. Найт, Дж. Маршак, Г. Марковиц, А. А. Новоселов и др.). Существенным недостатком данного подхода является его высокая чувствительность к объему доступной информации (исторической статистики) и знанию субъектом/лицом, принимающим решения (ЛПР), вероятностного закона распределения случайной величины. Так, наличие у ЛПР скудной и непредставительной статистики и отсутствие какой-либо информации о вероятностном законе помещает его, по сути, в вакуум с точки зрения доступного инструментария и, как следствие, фактически лишает его возможности принятия какого либо обоснованного решения.


Данные проблемы предопределили выбор темы, цели, задач и основных направлений исследования.


Цель и задачи диссертационного исследования. Целью диссертационного исследования является обобщение и развитие


9 инструментов анализа и моделирования ситуаций неопределенности ИФД хозяйствующей организации.


При этом основной упор автором диссертационного исследования делается на развитие инструментария моделирования неопределенности в условиях недостатка статистической информации и незнания вероятностного закона распределения случайной величины ЛПР (ситуация квазириска), а также на построение методики, позволяющей однозначно идентифицировать риски/квазириски как при условии наличия богатой и представительной статистики и знания вероятностного закона, так и при условии их отсутствия.


В соответствии с сформулированной целью в работе поставлены и решены следующие задачи:


исследование особенностей традиционных теоретико-вероятностных подходов к принятию инвестиционно-финансовых решений в условиях неопределенности, а также основных направлений теоретических разработок в данной области;


анализ существующих приемов моделирования рисковых ситуаций, выявление основных условий их использования; адекватность их применения;


моделирование неопределенности при ослаблении основных условий (ситуация квазириска);


создание методики анализа и моделирования рисковых и квазирисковых ситуаций ИФД;


разработка информационного обеспечения с целью возможности автоматизированного принятия решения.


Объект и предмет исследования. Объект исследования - категория неопределенности как базовая характеристика ИФД, а также риск и квазириск как частные (производные) характеристики ИФД. Предметом исследования являются экономико-математические и инструментальные методы и средства моделирования ситуаций неопределенности ИФД хозяйствующей организации.


10 Теоретическая и методологическая основа исследования.


Поставленные задачи обуславливают комплексность методологии


исследования, основанной на системном подходе к моделированию


различных видов ситуаций неопределенности (рисков, квазирисков).


Методологической основой работы являются диалектика как способ


познания, методы системного анализа, вероятностно-статистические и


экономико-математические модели, а также модели, базирующиеся на


теории возможностей и теории нечетких множеств.


В процессе выполнения диссертационного исследования были использованы следующие основные источники информации: фундаментальные и прикладные исследования зарубежных и отечественных ученых в области экономической теории, теории принятия решений, теории вероятности и математической статистики, теории возможности, теории надежности, теории нечетких множеств и мягких вычислений; элементы теории и инструментальные средства проектирования экономических информационных систем; справочно-информационные и энциклопедические материалы; нормативные документы; материалы научно-практических конференций; ряды исторических данных по ценным бумагам (обыкновенные акции) российских эмитентов с различных торговых площадок фондового рынка РФ; ряды исторических данных курсов валют, официально устанавливаемых ЦБРФ, а также формирующихся на внутреннем валютном рынке и на международном валютном рынке Forex.


Содержание работы соответствует положениям п. 1.6 и 2.3 паспорта специальности 08.00.13 - «Математические и инструментальные методы экономики»:


1.6 «Математический анализ и моделирование процессов в финансовом секторе экономики, развитие метода финансовой математики и актуарных расчетов».


2.3 «Разработка систем поддержки принятия решений для рационализации организационных структур и оптимизации управления экономикой на всех уровнях».


11 Научная новизна исследования. Научная новизна диссертационного исследования состоит в разработке теоретико-возможностной модели риска - квазирисковой модели и ее конкретизации в виде теоретико-возможностной модели анализа и оценки рыночных рисков (Market Quasi-Risk model или MQR-модели) организации, осуществляющей ИФД. Разработанная MQR-модель базируется на посылке о низком качестве исходной информации, что отличает ее от традиционных теоретико-вероятностных моделей анализа и оценки рыночных рисков, используемых на практике различными организациями, осуществляющими ИФД.


В результате проведенного исследования в диссертационной работе сформулированы и обоснованы следующие научные результаты:


предложена теоретико-возможностная модель анализа и оценки рыночных рисков по открытым позициям организации, осуществляющей ИФД, (MQR-модель), позволяющая оптимизировать структуру и величину капитала под риском не только исходя из доступной статистической информации, но и с учетом знаний эксперта. Модель не требует больших массивов исторической статистики для своей генерации, не использует достаточно «слабой» гипотезы о нормальности распределения (однодневных) логарифмических доходностей актива/портфеля и основывается на допущении о равенстве весов, приписываемых значимым ценовым уровням, правдоподобным к появлению, но отсутствующим в исходных данных (при работе в автоматическом режиме);


предложена обобщенная модель неопределенности, под которой понимается математическая структура пространства с нечеткой мерой. Даная модель является обобщением модели риска по А. А. Новоселову;


предложена модель квазириска, под которой понимается математическая структура пространства с мерой возможности;


введено в научный оборот:


а) понятие квазириска, под которым понимается возможностное распределение нечеткой (квазислучайной) величины - квазирискового


12 фактора. Данное понятие ассоциировано с понятием «неизмеримой» неопределенности, введенной Ф. Найтом в 1921 г.;


б) понятие меры квазириска, под которой понимается вещественно-значный функционал, задаваемый на множестве квазирисков (или на множестве квазирисковых факторов). Данная мера обобщает меру риска для вероятностного пространства;


5) предложена методика анализа неопределенности экономических систем. Данная методика согласуется с «концепцией неопределенности» Ф. Найта, что позволяет говорить о создании теоретически обоснованного инструментария моделирования неопределенности в задачах принятия решений при различных объемах доступной информации и различных начальных предположениях относительно объекта принятия решения.


Практическая значимость исследования. Практическая значимость результатов исследования заключается в том, что основные положения, выводы и рекомендации диссертации ориентированны на широкое использование при решении задач анализа экономических систем в условиях неопределенности (риска/квазириска).


Практическое применение предлагаемого инструментария моделирования квазириска ИФД, а также создание методики моделирования неопределенности (риска/квазириска) позволяет повысить научную обоснованность и качество принимаемых инвестиционных решений при работе на финансовом рынке различных организаций, эффективно использовать имеющийся капитал, минимизировать/оптимизировать его возможные потери.


Самостоятельное практическое значение имеют:


1) разработанный алгоритм построения возможностного распределения нечеткой (квазислучайной) величины на основе «бедного» или «искусственно обедняемого» потока данных для финансового актива. Значимые ценовые уровни (или доходности), используемые для генерации возможностного распределения, являются фокальными значениями


13 треугольных нечетких чисел; фокальный ценовой уровень для возможностного распределения определяется как скользящая средняя с весами, задаваемыми экспертным путем;


предложенный алгоритм программной реализации квазирисковой модели (MQR-модели) анализа и оценки рыночных рисков организации, осуществляющей ИФД, на основе интерактивного процесса взаимодействия между ЛПР и разработанным программным средством моделирования рыночных рисков, основанном на визуализации а) распределения возможности ценовых уровней (или доходностей), ожидаемых к появлению; б) процедуры «прогона» модели по историческим данным с отображаемыми значениями по критериям точности-эффективности модели;


разработанное программное обеспечение Quasi-Risk_Info, реализующее предложенную модель анализа и оценки рыночных рисков (MQR-модель), позволяющее оперативно оценивать величину капитала под риском по открытым позициям организации, осуществляющей ИФД, а следовательно, своевременно принимать меры по оперативному управлению данными видами рисков с учетом спектра рекомендаций руководства организации относительно показателей доходности, рискованности и ликвидности.


Основные положения, результаты и выводы диссертационного исследования ориентированны на широкий круг специалистов, занимающихся проблемой принятия инвестиционно-финансовых решений в условиях неопределенности, и, в частности, могут быть использованы частными инвесторами, инвестиционными банками, фондами, финансовыми компаниями, иными кредитными и хозяйствующими организациями, осуществляющими ИФД.


Отдельные теоретические и практические разработки диссертации могут быть использованы при построении систем поддержки принятия решений в других областях экономики, а также применяться для обучения студентов экономических специальностей в высших учебных заведениях.


14 Апробация и внедрение результатов исследования. Исследование выполнено в рамках НИР института «Экономика и управление производствами» Тамбовского государственного технического университета, проводимых в соответствии с Единым заказ-нарядом на тему «Качество объектов микро-, мезо - и макроэкономики, бухгалтерского учета, экономического анализа, аудита и финансово-кредитной деятельности».


Отдельные положения диссертации использованы валютным отделом АКБ «Тамбовкредитпромбанк» (ОАО) г. Тамбова для прогнозирования курсов валют, входящих в состав банковского портфеля; расчета и анализа рыночных валютных рисков, оценки величины капитала под риском, с целью вынесения рекомендаций по корректировке лимитов по открытым валютным позициям; разработки методик расчета и моделирования рыночных валютных рисков; автоматизации процесса прогнозирования курсов валют, расчета и анализа рыночных валютных рисков, что подтверждено актом о внедрении.


Полученные теоретические, методологические и практические результаты диссертационного исследования обсуждались и получили положительную оценку на V Всероссийской научно-практической конференции «Проблемы и перспективы российской экономики» (Московский институт экономики, менеджмента и права, Пензенская государственная технологическая академия, Пензенский государственный университет, Пензенский государственный университет архитектуры и строительства, Ассоциация инженерного образования, Академия информатизации образования, Общество «Знание» России, Приволжский дом знаний, Пенза, 2006), Международной научно-практической конференции «Экономические и экологические проблемы регионов СНГ» (Администрация Астраханской области, Администрация г. Астрахани, Астраханский государственный технический университет (АГТУ), Институт экономики, Институт мировой экономики и финансов, Атырауский государственный университет, Астраханское региональное отделение общественной


15 организации «Вольное экономическое общество России», Астрахань, 2006), 2-ой Международной заочной конференции «Составляющие научно-технического прогресса» (Министерство образования и науки Российской Федерации, Администрация Тамбовской области, Тамбовский государственный технический университет, Российский союз научных и инженерных общественных организаций, Санкт-Петербургский государственный университет экономики и финансов, Санкт-Петербургская академия управления персоналом, Тамбовская областная универсальная научная библиотека им. А. С. Пушкина, Дом науки и техники Российского союза НИО, Тамбовский филиал Вольного экономического общества, Тамбов, 2006).


Материалы диссертационной работы, в том числе предложенная методика анализа и моделирования неопределенности экономических систем, а также непосредственно модель квазириска ИФД, использованы в учебном процессе института «Экономика и управление производствами» Тамбовского государственного технического университета для подготовки экономистов по специальностям: 080105 «Финансы и кредит», 080109 «Бухгалтерский учет, анализ и аудит», 080507 «Менеджмент организаций», 080801 «Прикладная информатика в экономике», что подтверждено соответствующей справкой.


Публикации. Основные положения диссертационной работы опубликованы в 9 работах, включая 2 монографии, общим объемом 15,07 печ. л. (авт. объем — 10,79 печ. л.). Список публикаций приведен в конце автореферата.


Структура и объем работы. Структура работы определена поставленной целью и последовательностью решения сформулированных задач и построена по проблемно-тематическому принципу. Диссертация состоит из введения, трех глав, заключения, списка использованной литературы и приложения.


Инвестиционный процесс по И. Фишеру


Под инвестициями или капиталовложениями в самом общем смысле понимается временный отказ экономического субъекта (индивида) от потребления имеющихся у него в распоряжении ресурсов (капитала) и использование этих ресурсов для увеличения в будущем своего благосостояния.


Согласно Фишеру «инвестиции - сами по себе не цель, а скорее процесс распределения потребления во времени»[125]. Так, в соответствии с двухпериодной моделью индивид (или фирма1) в некий нулевой период имеет доход /0, доступный для потребления. Будущее индивида (фирмы) представлено периодом 1, в котором его гарантированный доход составляет величину /. Потребление индивида в настоящем и будущем периодах необязательно должно совпадать с величиной дохода соответствующего периода. Потребление в настоящем периоде С0, можно обменять на потребление в будущем периоде С. сберегая часть текущего дохода и увеличивая за счет этого потребление будущего периода. И наоборот, можно увеличить потребление текущего периода в обмен на уменьшение потребления будущего периода, занимая деньги в настоящем периоде и возвращая их с процентами из дохода будущего периода.


Проблема индивида (или в общем смысле лица, принимающего решения (ЛПР)) заключается в выборе - с учетом доступных для него возможностей - оптимальной временной структуры потребления. Доступность выбора той или иной временной структуры потребления определяется наличием у индивида (фирмы) множества инвестиционных возможностей.


Фишер приводит различие между «инвестиционными и рыночными возможностями» [125]. Первое - реальные производственные трансферты между доходом в один период времени и доходом в следующий период", второе - трансферты, связанные с заимствованием или кредитованием.


Хиршлейфер термин «инвестиции» употребляет в более широком смысле и относит его к «возможностям обоих типов» [125]. При этом он вводит понятие «множество возможностей», задающееся тремя составляющими: начальный запас, производственные возможности, финансовые возможности. Начальный запас у - го индивида задается какlj = (/0j,/,;). Понятие производственных и финансовых возможностей идентично производственным и рыночным возможностям по Фишеру.


Производственные возможности индивида заданы кривой QSS RT. Данная кривая показывает диапазон производственных возможностей (совокупность производственных инвестиций, ранжированных по убыванию предельной нормы доходности), доступных для индивида в начальной точке Q (некая производственная инвестиция с максимальной предельной нормой доходности). Этот диапазон представляет собой геометрическое место точек, достижимых индивидом, по мере того как он жертвует все большей и большей величиной дохода 10, осуществляя производственные инвестиции, приносящие ему доход /. Финансовые возможности индивида, находящегося в точке Q, представлены прерывистой линией QQl. Находясь в точке Q, индивиду доступен доход только в период 0 - 1\. При этом он может предоставить его в ссуду по некоторой рыночной ставке г. жертвуя сегодняшним доходом ради будущего. Таким образом, данная линия отражает все доступные индивиду комбинации текущего и будущего дохода при заданных величинах /„,/,,г3 и называется межвременным бюджетным ограничением.


Выбор величины потребления в каждом периоде осуществляется индивидом, исходя из принципа максимизации полезности. Так, если выбор чего-либо осуществляется не на случайной основе (т. е если те, кто его делают, преследуют какую-то цель), возникает необходимость в критерии выбора. Каким бы не был данный критерий, выбранный вариант [альтернатива] будет означать утрату наиболее ценного из остальных вариантов выбора. Это означает, что стоимость [утраты] будет покрыта только в том случае, если выбирающий индивид делает выбор так, чтобы максимизировать (получаемую в конечном итоге) ценность [84].


Согласно нормативной теории решений «полезность» является тем критерием, который позволяет индивиду распределить свои средства между разнообразными потребностями, является необходимой основой для их сопоставления.


Термин «полезность» был введен английским философом И. Бентамом. «Под принципом пользы, - писал он, - понимается тот принцип, который одобряет или не одобряет какое бы то ни было действие, смотря по тому, имеет ли оно (как нам кажется) стремление увеличить или уменьшить счастье той стороны, об интересе которой идет дело, или, говоря то же самое другими словами, содействовать или препятствовать этому счастью» [52].


Таким образом, согласно Бентаму, максимизация полезности и является руководящим психологическим принципом поведения людей в их стремлении избежать страданий и увеличить удовольствия или счастье, подчеркивая тем самым их рациональность.


Содержание категории рациональности существенно эволюционировало по мере развития экономической науки. В концепции «естественного порядка» А. Смита «корыстный интерес» хозяйствующего агента был впервые интерпретирован в качестве движущей силы экономической системы. А в неоклассической теории рациональность выбора, осуществляемого индивидом, стала ведущим элементом «жесткого ядра» исследовательской программы и получила трактовку максимизирующего поведения в условиях ограниченных ресурсов.


Тем не менее, модель рационального максимизатора («блаженного калькулятора», по выражению И. Бентама) все же далека от реальности, в которой индивид озабочен максимизацией не только и не столько «корыстного интереса», сколько максимизацией более широкой целевой функции полезности.


Происшедшая трансформация представлений о рациональности и придание модели рационального поведения большей реалистичности явились следствием появления работ многих авторов. Однако определяющую роль сыграли исследования М. Вебера, выделившего типы социального действия, среди них - целерациональное поведение как эталон рациональности; основоположника неоавстрийской школы Л. фон Мизеса, обосновавшего бытие максимизации полезности в качестве критерия рациональности; Т. Веблена и И. Шумпетера, расширивших представление о спектре мотиваций экономических агентов и показавших рациональность поведения субъекта демонстративного потребления и новатора [90].


«Неизмеримая» неопределенность - ситуация квазириска.


Понятие вероятности в его классическом варианте впервые было предложено с целью описания азартных игр. Согласно ему вероятность некоторого события (или исхода) определялось как отношение числа альтернатив благоприятствующих данному событию к общему числу альтернатив [43].


При этом первоначально предполагалось, что данное множество альтернатив должно удовлетворять так называемому принципу равновозможности. Однако, как отмечает Г. Кайберг, данный принцип может приводить к противоречивым результатам [36]. Как выход Лаплас предложил равновозможность интерпретировать как равновероятность. Таким образом, вероятность некоторого события определяется как отношения числа альтернатив благоприятствующих наступлению данного события к общему числу равновероятных альтернатив. Дополнительно Лаплас вводит принцип индифферентности, объясняющий сущность равновероятности: «Две возможности тогда и только тогда равновероятны, когда нет оснований для предпочтений одной из них»[36], т. е утверждается, что равновероятность возможных альтернатив/исходов означает отсутствие каких-либо сведений в пользу неравных частот осуществления этих исходов.


Отметим, что математики заложившие основы теории вероятностей, занимались решением именно игровых задач. При этом во всех других ситуациях бывает достаточно проблематично выделить равновероятностные альтернативы, ибо даже при подсчете вероятностей в азартных играх нужны соответствующие правила отбора подходящих альтернатив.


В общем, как отмечает Г. Кайберг, классический принцип индифферентности Лапласа ни достаточно четок, ни достаточно необходим. Во многих прикладных задачах единственным способом установления вероятностей какого-либо события является подсчет не числа одинакового правдоподобных альтернатив, а числа случаев, в результате которых данное событие могло произойти, приняв относительную частоту наступления этого события за индикатор его вероятности.


Данная интерпретация понятия вероятности получила название эмпирической [36]. При этом как в соответствии с Г. Кайбергом, существует три способа эмпирической интерпретации понятия вероятности: 1) вероятность может буквально отождествляться с относительной частотой; 2) вероятность может считаться абстрактным двойником относительной частоты; 3) вероятность можно рассматривать как характеристику отдельных типов событий, т. е событий, выявляющих отдельные виды предрасположенностей (propensities) или случайных механизмов (chance setups).


В рамках первой интерпретации существует множество различных точек зрения, большинство из которых так или иначе восходят у концепции Р. фон Мизеса. Так фон Мизес считает, что вероятность события должна интерпретироваться как предел относительной частоты его наступления в бесконечной серии испытаний. При этом он вводит понятие «коллектива» - математического понятия идеализирующего эмпирическую реальность - представляющего собой некоторую последовательность событий определенного вида. Когда выясняется вероятность какого-нибудь события, то мысленно извлекается из коллектива соответствующая подпоследовательность, состоящая из событий определенного сорта. Утверждение о существовании вероятности для данного события равносильно утверждению о существовании предела относительной частоты числа членов подпоследовательности в коллективе. Под существованием предела подразумевается сходимость ряда относительных частот в «точном математическом смысле» [36].


Помимо этого, согласно фон Мизесу, данный коллектив должен удовлетворять условию иррегулярности. Оно формулируется в терминах независимости от возможных выборок. Пусть выбрана любая подпоследовательность из коллектива путем произвольного отмечания индексов элементов коллектива. В этом случае предел относительной частоты некоторых наблюдаемых элементов должен быть равным пределу относительной частоты во всем коллективе.


Таким образом, в соответствии с фон Мизесом, располагая последовательностью мы не можем выдвинуть требования о существовании одного и того же предела во всех ее подпоследовательностях, но имея произвольное счетное множество подпоследовательностей, можем потребовать чтобы постоянство пределов относительных частот выполнялось именно на этом множестве подпоследовательностей, выбранных из некоторой последовательности [36].


Допустив существование коллективов, фон Мизес без особого труда сумел показать, что пределы относительных частот удовлетворяют аксиомам исчисления вероятностей.


Рейхенбах и Салмон предложили такую предельно-частотную интерпретацию, в которой формальное требование иррегулярности фон Мизеса объявляется несущественным. Так у Рейхенбаха коллективом фон Мизеса соответствуют вероятностные последовательности, представляющие собой эмпирические данные в виде последовательности событий, упорядоченных, как правило, во времени. При этом, как отмечается в [36], Рейхенбах допускает рассмотрение конечных последовательностей, как наиболее приближенных к действительности.


Формальное определение вероятности совпадает с определением фон Мизеса и является обычным математическим определением предела. Однако в отличие от фон Мизеса, Рейхенбах применяет это определение не только к бесконечным, но и к конечным последовательностям.


В рамках второго способа эмпирической интерпретации понятия вероятности можно выделить точку зрения Г. Крамера. Так, в соответствии с ним, вероятность является всего лишь абстрактным двойником относительной частоты, наблюдаемой в большом классе явлений. Мы просто замечаем, что относительные частоты определенных типов событий в определенных классах экспериментов или испытаний оказываются чрезвычайно устойчивыми, предлагаем стохастическую (вероятностную) модель для объяснения и описания такой устойчивости [36].


Формулировка задачи принятия инвестиционного решения.


Задачу принятия инвестиционного решения индивидом/ЛПР при допущении о выполнимости всех базовых условий инвестиционного процесса (инвестиционный процесс по И. Фишеру) можно сформулировать следующим образом [109, 110, 111, 112]. Пусть имеется множество R, представляющее собой множество инвестиционных результатов, которые ЛПР может получить. Естественно полагать, что это множество является некоторым образом упорядоченно, так как у ЛПР всегда существуют предпочтения в отношении тех или иных доходов [30]. Пусть также имеется множество действий D, каждое из которых приводит к определенному результату из R, а именно существует некоторое отображение u:D - R, такое, что каждому dє D ставится в однозначное соответствие г є R, т. е г = u(d).


Однако в большинстве случаев функциональная связь г = u(d) является неизвестной ЛПР. В частности, выбранное конкретное d є D не гарантирует появление определенного г є R [30].


Не зная функциональной связи, можно попытаться ее идентифицировать. При этом невозможность последнего приводит к необходимости постулировать наличие в общем смысле некоторого случайного механизма, в соответствии с которым появляется некоторое г є R [53, 102].


Таким образом, у ЛПР теперь существует некоторая неопределенность относительно будущих инвестиционных результатов. Обычно в теории принятия решений моделирование неопределенности результатов осуществляется посредством введения в анализ Q-множества состояний среды [103, 112, 128]. Каждый его элемент таєО отражает состояние среды, правдоподобное (а в общем случае также и неправдоподобное) с точки зрения ЛПР и влияет некоторым образом на результаты. При этом ЛПР делает некоторые предположения относительно степени правдоподобности того, что среда примет некоторое состояние та.


С математической точки зрения это означает, что на Q можно задается (бинарное) отношение частичной упорядоченности. Определение 1. (Бинарное) отношение, обозначаемое как RI на Q является отношением частичной упорядоченности и обозначается. если оно удовлетворяет условиям: 1) рефлексивности: Vtnt є Q, wRlm; 2) транзитивности: Ута, та, та" є Q из таЯ/та и w Rlm" = mRlm"; 3) антисимметричности: \/та, та єО из та/?/та и w Rlw= w = w. Определение 2. Если на Q. задано отношение частичной упорядоченности (или п), то (Q, ) называется частично упорядоченным множеством.


Таким образом, та п та будет означать, что состояние среды та по крайней мере также правдоподобно как та. Заметим также, что если та и та - элементы частично упорядоченного множества (Q, ), то может быть, что не одно из соотношений та 2та и та „ та не имеет места, т. е элементы та и та являются несравнимыми. Будем далее полагать, что на (Q, ) не существует несравнимых элементов. Определение 3. Частично упорядоченное множество, не имеющее несравнимых элементов, называется упорядоченным (линейно упорядоченным). Таким образом, полагаем, что (П, )есть упорядоченное множество. Дополнительно введем отображение g:Q - [0,l], где [0,1] упорядочено некоторым образом, ([0,1], ) При этом полагаем, что g-есть изоморфизм, т. е #(та) g(m ) выполнено только в том случае если та п та. Величину #(та), сопоставленную каждому состоянию среды таеО, можно понимать как степень правдоподобности того, что среда примет именно данное состояние [103].


Распространим отношения упорядоченности на подмножества из Q. Определение 4. Некоторое множество А называется подмножеством множества Q, если всякий элемент множества А является элементом множества Q, т. е А с Q. - множество А включено в Q (в данном случае неисключено, что A = Q ).


Заметим, что пустое множество 0 по определению является подмножеством любого множества. Исходя из этого, у каждого множества (кроме пустого) есть по крайней мере два подмножества - само множество и пустое. Определение 5. Универс (универсальное множество) есть такое множество, что любое рассматриваемое множество является его подмножеством. Введем понятия булеана, мощности, алгебры событий. Определение 6. Множество всех подмножеств из Q есть булеан B(Q).


Определение 8. Алгебраическими операциями называют такие, при выполнении которых результирующее множество либо пусто, либо состоит из элементов, из которых состоят и множества, подвергающиеся операциям. Определение 9. Кардинальными операциями называют такие операции, при выполнении которых появляются новые элементы.


Рыночные риски как элемент рисков инвестиционно-финансовой деятельности


Под рыночными рисками, в общем случае, может пониматься специфическая часть финансовых рисков, появление которых обусловлено инвестиционно-финансовой деятельностью организации. Как часть финансовых рисков, рыночные риски обладают следующими основными характеристиками [53]: 1) Экономическая природа. Рыночные риски как часть финансовых рисков появляются в сфере экономической деятельности организации, прямо связаны с формированием ее доходов и характеризуются возможными экономическими потерями организации в процессе осуществления инвестиционно-финансовой деятельности. Таким образом, рыночный риск как экономическая категория занимает определенное место в системе экономических категорий, связанных с осуществлением хозяйственного процесса. 2) Объективность проявления. Рыночным рискам, как и финансовым, присущ объективный характер проявления в процессе осуществления организацией инвестиционно-финансовой деятельности. 3) Спекулятивный характер. Рыночные риски, как и финансовые, могут сопровождаться как существенными финансовыми потерями, так и формированием дополнительных доходов. Специфическая особенность рыночных рисков заключается в том, что возможность их появления обусловлена только нестабильностью финансовых рынков.


Таким образом, под рыночными рисками можно понимать специфическую часть финансовых рисков, связанную с возможным ухудшением финансового состояния организации, вызванного неблагоприятными колебаниями финансового рынка (рыночных показателей финансового рынка - цен, ставок, курсов).


Большинство современных авторов при определении рыночных рисков обычно стараются подчеркнуть природу источников рыночных рисков, а также связанную с ними специфическую область инвестиционно-финансовой деятельности организации. Так, В. С.Романов в [115], определяет рыночный риск как риск потерь, зафиксированных на балансовых и забалансовых позициях, из-за изменения рыночных цен. При этом, под рыночными ценами понимаются некоторые параметры рынка, такие как процентные ставки, курсы валют, цены акций или товаров, корреляция между различными параметрами рынка и т. п. В методичебских рекомендациях НФА [2] под рыночным риском понимается риск того, что [открытая] позиция не будет настолько прибыльна, как это ожидал инвестор, или будет убыточна в связи с колебаниями рыночных цен или ставок (например, цен на акции, процентных ставок, курсов валют, цен на недвижимость и т. п.). В [88] рыночный риск трактуют как риск, связанный с возможным изменением рыночных котировок активов и изменением процентных ставок. [126] определяет рыночный риск как возможность понижения цены определенной ценной бумаги (финансового инструмента); покупка, после совершения которой цены или конъюнктура на рынке падают; потеря, которая может произойти для владельца инвестированных средств при продаже. Положение Банка России «О порядке расчета кредитными организациями размера рыночных рисков» [1] определяет рыночный риск как риск возникновения у кредитной организации финансовых потерь (убытков) вследствие изменения рыночной стоимости финансовых инструментов торгового портфеля [сформированного данной кредитной организацией], а также курсов иностранных валют.


Исходя из приведенных определений, можно выделить следующие основные особенности рыночного риска как самостоятельной экономической категории: 1) природа источников рыночных рисков - нестабильность финансовых рынков; 2) проявляются в виде изменений (колебаний) основных характеристик финансового рынка (цен, ставок, курсов); данные характеристики можно считать базовыми рисковыми факторами. Процесс идентификации рыночных рисков должен осуществляться организацией, исходя из особенностей ее финансово-хозяйственной деятельности. Наиболее просто можно идентифицировать рыночный риск, связанный с операцией покупки/продажи финансового инструмента (формированием торгового портфеля). Так, открытая позиция (длинная или короткая) означает подверженность организации (ее открывшей) определенному виду рыночного риска [53]. Классификация рыночных рисков осуществляется по базовым рисковым факторам (по рынкам). Исходя из этого, в составе рыночного риска принято выделять валютный, фондовый, товарный и процентный риски. В российских условиях, в силу относительной неразвитости финансового рынка, законодательно [1] выделяются валютный, процентный и фондовый риски.


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Que doit-on aux générations futures ?


Une des idées les plus souvent répétées, sans en général en comprendre la portée, est de vanter la nécessité de prendre en compte l’intérêt des générations futures. Mais en fait, ce n’est pas ainsi que nous nous comportons. nous vivons dans l’instant, sans nous inquiéter de laisser aux générations à venir des dettes abyssales et un environnement pourri. Nous pensons, comme l’économiste anglais J. M. Keynes, que seul compte le présent parce que, « à long terme, nous sommes tous morts » ; et nous sommes en fait d’accord avec Groucho Marx, quand il interroge. « Pourquoi devrais-je me préoccuper des générations futures? Qu’ont-elles fait pour moi? ».


Les réponses aux questions ravageuses de Groucho Marx ne sont pas simples et elles conduisent à l’essentiel. pour comprendre ce que nous devons aux générations suivantes, il nous faut imaginer un monde où elles n’existeraient pas. C’est-à-dire un monde où, à partir de la seconde précise où vous lisez ce texte, il n’y aurait plus, sur toute la planète, la moindre naissance. Nulle part. Sinon peut-être la naissance de tous les enfants déjà conçus.


Un tel choc aurait des conséquences immédiates. la fin de tout projet familial, la fin de toute projection dans l’avenir. Et accessoirement la fermeture de toutes les maternités.


Vingt ans plus tard, les conséquences seront bien plus terribles. environ le quart des humains d’aujourd’hui auront disparu; les derniers jeunes entreront sur le marché du travail. On fermera toutes les écoles, tous les collèges, tous les lycées, puis toutes les universités.


A partir de ce moment, le nombre de travailleurs commencera à baisser irrémédiablement. Pendant que le climat continuera de se dérégler, le niveau de vie général baissera inexorablement. Le financement des retraites de tous ceux, vivants aujourd’hui, qui seront alors en retraite, ne sera plus assuré ; on ne pourra plus financer non plus les services publics ; on refusera de rembourser les dettes, au détriment des préteurs, ou on l’exigera, au détriment des emprunteurs. Dans les deux cas, on ponctionnera le patrimoine des épargnants qui n’aura d’ailleurs plus de raison d’être conservé, puisqu’il n’y aura personne à qui le transmettre.


Avec le temps, les conséquences deviendront plus noires encore, pour les derniers survivants de nos contemporains. On assistera à un déclin de plus en plus rapide du niveau de vie des derniers humains, qui devront se battre pour survivre, dans un monde où il n’y aura de moins en moins de gens pour faire fonctionner l’économie, l’administration, le système de santé et les services publics.


Puis, dans un monde de plus en plus en déshérence, où rien ne fonctionnera plus, les derniers humains, parmi les vivants d’aujourd’hui, se battront pour rester le dernier survivant.


Car c’est bien cela qu’il faut réaliser. Sans les générations suivantes, la vie de tous les vivants d’aujourd’hui est condamnée à se terminer en enfer.


La phrase de Groucho Marx ne peut donc convaincre que ceux qui sont victimes de la tyrannie de l’immédiat, qui ne pensent pas à ce que les générations futures leur apporteront d’essentiel dans les années à venir.


Alors, par égoïsme au moins, protégeons le bien-être de nos descendants, comme la prunelle de nos yeux . Et pour cela, innovons, éliminons le gaz carbonique de notre énergie, réduisons nos dettes, devenons harmonieux et sereins, maitrisons nos désirs et nos folies, renforçons la politique familiale. Et surtout. ayons des enfants et aimons les. Comprenons que l’altruisme est une des dimensions les plus vitales de l’égoïsme. Et réciproquement.


+ Vous aimerez peut être.


28 mai 2013 23 h 59 min


On a parlé en longueur dans ce blog de la langue française et de l’héritage que nous laissons à nos enfants. Pour ce faire, comparons deux chansons française à succès. La première est « Titanium » de David Guetta, dont voici les paroles : [Sia:] You shout it out, But I can’t hear a word you say I’m talking loud not saying much I’m criticized but all your bullets ricochet You shoot me down, but I get up _ [Chorus:] I’m bulletproof, nothing to lose Fire away, fire away Ricochet, you take your aim Fire away, fire away You shoot me down but I won’t fall I am titanium You shoot me down but I won’t fall I am titanium _ [Sia:] Cut me down But it’s you who’ll have further to fall Ghost town and haunted love Raise your voice, sticks and stones may break my bones I’m talking loud not saying much _ [Chorus:] I’m bulletproof, nothing to lose Fire away, fire away Ricochet, you take your aim Fire away, fire away You shoot me down but I won’t fall I am titanium You shoot me down but I won’t fall I am titanium I am titanium I am titanium _ [Sia:] Stone-hard, machine gun Firing at the ones who run Stone-hard as bulletproof glass _ [Chorus:] You shoot me down but I won’t fall I am titanium You shoot me down but I won’t fall I am titanium You shoot me down but I won’t fall I am titanium You shoot me down but I won’t fall I am titanium I am titanium _ La seconde est une chanson de Georges Moustaki intitulée « Les Eaux De Mars » _ Un pas, une pierre, un chemin qui chemine Un reste de racine, c’est un peu solitaire C’est un éclat de verre, c’est la vie, le soleil C’est la mort, le sommeil, c’est un piège entrouvert _ Un arbre millénaire, un nœoeud dans le bois C’est un chien qui aboie, c’est un oiseau dans l’air C’est un tronc qui pourrit, c’est la neige qui fond Le mystère profond, la promesse de vie _ C’est le souffle du vent au sommet des collines C’est une vieille ruine, le vide, le néant C’est la pie qui jacasse, c’est l’averse qui verse Des torrents d’allégresse, ce sont les eaux de Mars _ C’est le pied qui avance à pas sûr, à pas lent C’est la main qui se tend, c’est la pierre qu’on lance C’est un trou dans la terre, un chemin qui chemine Un reste de racine, c’est un peu solitaire _ C’est un oiseau dans l’air, un oiseau qui se pose Le jardin qu’on arrose, une source d’eau claire Une écharde, un clou, c’est la fièvre qui monte C’est un compte à bon compte, c’est un peu rien du tout _ Un poisson, un geste, c’est comme du vif argent C’est tout ce qu’on attend, c’est tout ce qui nous reste C’est du bois, c’est un jour le bout du quai Un alcool trafiqué, le chemin le plus court _ C’est le cri d’un hibou, un corps ensommeillé La voiture rouillée, c’est la boue, c’est la boue Un pas, un pont, un crapaud qui croasse C’est un chaland qui passe, c’est un bel horizon C’est la saison des pluies, c’est la fonte des glaces Ce sont les eaux de Mars, la promesse de vie _ Une pierre, un bâton, c’est Joseph et c’est Jacques Un serpent qui attaque, une entaille au talon Un pas, une pierre, un chemin qui chemine Un reste de racine, c’est un peu solitaire _ C’est l’hiver qui s’efface, la fin d’une saison C’est la neige qui fond, ce sont les eaux de Mars La promesse de vie, le mystère profond Ce sont les eaux de Mars dans ton cœoeur tout au fond _ Un pas, une » & # 8230; pedra é o fim do caminho E um resto de toco, é um pouco sozinho … » Un pas, une pierre, un chemin qui chemine Un reste de racine, c’est un peu solitaire… _ En guise de conclusion, ce n’est pas seulement GM que l’on regrette, c’est aussi ce que ses héritiers en ont fait… Libre à vous de penser ou non que GM est coupable d’avoir léguer ce que ses successeurs ont engendré, mais c’est un peu le sentiment que j’ai parfois sur le débat de notre legs à nos enfants… En attendant, on peut toujours réécouter cette seconde chanson : http://www. youtube. com/watch? v=PxMjenL4k-g


27 mai 2013 10 h 11 min


26 mai 2013 15 h 38 min


Fête de la philo Du 25 mai au 17 juin, Paris, Marseille et Lille. Pour sa première édition, la fête de la philo est parrainée par Jacques Attali, Elisabeth Badinter et Luc Ferry. Lancée le jour de la sainte Sophie, cette fête vise à démocratiser la discipline, et insiste sur son ouverture à un public très large.


La fête de la philo se déroulera principalement à Paris dans des lieux très divers (du 104, au CNL, en passant par l’Institut du monde arabe) et deux forums auront lieu en province. à Marseille et à Lille. Elle propose différents types d’approches de la philosophie. conférences, ateliers-labo philo, débats, ciné-philo, performances et lectures… Espérons que les participants à cette fête de la philo y amèneront leur chat, philosophe par excellence: http://www. rtbf. be/radio/podcast/player? id=1826677&channel=lapremiere


26 mai 2013 14 h 56 min


Quid de la solidarité des banquiers envers ceux qui les ont sauvés? Quid de leurs bonus et salaires sanctuaires qui ne visent que le pillage de l’institution qui les fait travailler? Quid de la responsabilisation des traders dans la spéculation visant les matières premières en rackettant ceux qui en ont besoin. Quid de l’exploitation sans ni foi loi, en 2 clicks de souris, d’esclaves au travail, et de territoires ravagés par une cupidité servie par la liberté de circulation des capitaux. Quid des bénéfices réinvestis dans un château de cartes de papier pudiquement appelé « placement » et visant à faire les rentes de quelques privilégiés pour qu’ils se rêvent en entrepreneur dont la seule ambition est de choisir la couleur de la moquette et de se faire une vie de patachon. Quid de la responsabilité politique de ceux oublieux de leurs fondamentaux idéologiques qui ont laissé l’ultralibéralisme noyauter droite et gauche, pour faire la même politique d’argent/dette (Paul Grignon) pendant 30 ans malgré les alternances? Alors faisons un peu de fiction et rêvons d’un cordon sanitaire autour des ultras libéraux, et qui les exclurait du système. Voyons maintenant quel capitalisme cossu, à visage humain on pourrait avoir sans leur idéologie. Rêvons d’une droite à droite et d’une gauche à gauche respectueuses sans extrémisme des choix de leurs électeurs et acceptant de ne pas faire la même politique conçue par un club d’oligarques pour leurs plus grands profits. Je suis désolé, mais beaucoup d’entre nous se réservent le droit sans culpabilisation de juger de la dette utile à assumer et de celle indue à proscrire même si c’est un crève-cœur pour les spéculateurs. Lire Frédéric Lordon à ce sujet est rafraîchissant.


26 mai 2013 12 h 17 min


@raymond75 et jeanr10 :


J’ai l’impression que les fondamentaux ne sont pas assimilés. Peu importe la qualité des éléments fertiles des combustibles d’un réacteur nucléaire U238 ou Thorium 232 (ils ne sont pas si dangereux et c’est plus de 93 % du combustible), ce qui importe ce sont les éléments fissibles fortement alpharadioactifs (de 4 à 8%) que ce soit l’Uranium 233 (transmutant du thorium232) ou le plutonium 239 ( transmutant de l’Uranium 238) qui sont des centaines de fois plus radioactifs ( de type neutronique donc massif et fortement destructeurs des ADN. (5MeV c’est des dizaines de milliers de fois plus énergétique aux brisures des ADN de proximité que nécessaire), cela sont EXTREMEMENT dangereux une fois en liberté. Le nucléaire mondial produit moins de 2 % de l’énergie à l’humanité mais peut provoquer une extinction des vivants en quelques années (lire et COMPRENDRE les textes d’Attali).


Mais là nous rentrons dans le domaine des croyances, car les conséquences sérieuses d’un accident nucléaire ne se remarquent que 6 ans après l’accident, le temps que nos tumeurs cancéreuses grandissent. Si vous êtes vieux ce n’est pas grave, elles poussent encore plus longtemps, pour vos enfants c’est 100 fois plus probables car les poussières de transuraniens synthétiques libérées de quelques nano grammes agissent une fois fixées dans des organes des vivants. Que doit-on aux générations futures = leurs extinctions (non naissances ou forts handicaps de toutes les natures voire Belarus Sud d’aujourd’hui). Le jour où 1 % de la population comprendra cela se rapproche. Raymond et Jean travailler l’atome pour les nuls comprenez le plutonium 239 ou 238, et la biologie du vivants lisez. Vassili Nastenko Helen Caldicott, Chris Busby et arrêtez de lire des extraits incomplets des vantardises d’un Jean-Marc Jancocivi qui considère les peuples comme des idiots qui avalent n’importe quoi.( ce qui est en fait pas si faux non plus). Vlad


26 mai 2013 18 h 27 min


26 mai 2013 12 h 52 min


@volodia : A la différence de vous (en tout cas, je le parierais!), j’ai mis les pieds dans une centrale nucléaire, et j’ai manipulé de l’uranium. Quant aux fondamentaux, comme vous dites, ils sont disponibles à tous ceux qui possèdent une culture disons bac scientifique - j’ai d’ailleurs donné un lien sur le fil précédent-. Et j’ai très largement dépassé ce standard… Alors, si vous avez des arguments, écrivez-les. Mais si vous considérez que vous avez affaire à des ignorants ou des hurluberlus dogmatiques qui ont appris une bible quelconque, je ne me donnerai plus la peine d’essayer de répondre un peu à vos messages. Dans ce cas, je n’aurai pas envie de lire les vôtres, et c’est peut-être dommage.


26 mai 2013 13 h 24 min


Je connais les centrales et pas que par des visites. J’ai manipulé de l’Uranium et du Plutonium (fabriqué du MOX) dans le bunker de Cadarache. J’ai donc eu du Plutonium sur les mains (seul le caoutchouc nous séparait, gants). Je suis surpris que chez l’exploitant EDF, le nombre d’ingénieurs qui ignorent la contamination radiotoxique du plutonium. D’autre part, parmi tous les docteurs ès nucléaire d’AREVA, plus un seul vante les avantages du nucléaire au MOX, depuis le 14 mars 2011, car ils connaissaient TOUS les conséquences d’une fusion des barres au MOX, les criticités promptes et la pulvérisation des pellets frités avec des poudres de 10 µm de diamètre. En fait ils s’étaient TOUS convaincus qu’une fusion ne se produirait jamais au cours de leurs vies, que Tchernobyl c’était du à des gougnafiers soviétiques. Si vous êtes si au courant, retrouvez donc les AMDEC produit d’un réacteur au MOX, il existe mais ne sont pas public et pour cause…. Pour comprendre le nucléaire il ne suffit pas de lire la propagande incomplète il faut CALCULER. Voyez ceux qui ont été les précurseurs Einstein, Léo Szilard, et cetera, voyez leurs testaments après avoir compris la puissance de l’élément au code 49


En Yiddish penser = calculer cela aide dans la démarche intellectuelle de ce qui est si petit si invisible et si puissant. Les savants du nucléaire ces alchimiste du début du 20ème siècle sont les penseurs originaires de l’Austro Hongrie manipulant plusieurs langues et qui pensent en calculant. A méditer et commencer à calculer, si vous êtes prêt je vous propose un exercice qui risque de modifier vos croyances primaires. Jeanr10 êtes vous prêt ?


26 mai 2013 19 h 48 min


@volodia : pari perdu, soit. Mais je serais prêt à parier que vous avez fait en votre for intérieur le même pari inversé. Le problème c’est celui de laisser des déchets et de ne pas les utiliser de surcroît. Tout ce que j’ai écrit traite de ça. Et de la nécessité de disposer d’une énergie non carbonée, qui produise de l’électricité, et qui soit utilisable assez rapidement et pas forcément pour l’éternité… Sortir trop tôt du nucléaire comme le font les Allemands (qui achètent pourtant du nucléaire en France, et possèdent même une (ou plusieurs..) part d’exploitation d’une de nos centrales en Alsace), c’est une gageure qui nous mènerait encore plus sûrement dans le mur. En tant de crise, et de crises cumulées, il faut sérier les problèmes et ne pas vouloir tout faire en même temps, sauf à perdre tout contrôle sur la suite des événements. Il faut laisser tomber ITER et consacrer son enveloppe financière à de la recherche tous azimuts, mais c’est une petite partie du problème… Je doute qu’un travailleur dans le nucléaire, en France du moins et lorsqu’il ne s’agit pas d’un travailleur d’une boîte extérieur à la Centrale, ignore les dangers du nucléaire. Mais il n’est pas utile de travailler dans ce genre d’endroit pour les connaître. Pour ma part, j’ai eu une des explications les plus complètes lors. de mon service militaire. Et je suis sûr qu’un pompier correctement formé est suffisamment renseigné (j’aurais dû poser la question vendredi dernier lorsque je visitais une caserne…). Bref, je remarque que dans la balance des inconvénients et avantages, vous ne mettez pas exactement les mêmes ingrédients que moi. Si vous travaillez (ou avez travaillé) dans le nucléaire, vous savez que le terme « nucléaire » est la phobie pour le Français moyen. Il est parfaitement possible de traiter des légumes ou des fruits de façon à tuer les germes de pourriture et éviter une chaîne du froid très exigeante. Pourquoi ne le fait-on pas. Je suppose que vous connaissez la réponse ! Cadarache ne possède pas de réacteur de puissance, mais des petits réacteurs à but de recherche. Ce n’est pas la chétive Durance à cet endroit qui risque de l’aider beaucoup à son refroidissement !


26 mai 2013 20 h 25 min


êtes vous prêts ?


A répondre aux questions simples que je vais vous poser, il vous suffira d’utiliser Wikipédia et de CALCULER C’est en calculant que l’on réfléchie et que l’on devient critique sur les informations justes mais si incomplètes avec lesquelles on forme le gentil grand public.


J’étais comme vous et ceci encore longtemps après l’accident de Tchernobyl, je croyais comprendre le nucléaire, je remercie les physiciens de COGEMA (Areva)ne m’avoir ouvert l’esprit. Je suis en liaisons avec les ingénieurs d’EDF et je suis effaré de leurs manques de compréhension de ce qu’est l’atome. C’est pour cela qu’ils ont du être sélectionné, pour leurs incapacités à « calculer » « écouter » observer », juste s’occuper de maintenir leurs privilèges CE. Syndicats, gratuité diverses et l’ordre.


Pour Jean r10 Question :


1) A partir de quelle taille ( ou masse) une poussière (même en or ) peut elle flotter dans les airs, sans que la gravitation l’a ramène sur terre ?


26 mai 2013 19 h 02 min


@volodia. De fil en aiguille, je vous remercie aussi de me faire penser à une réponse à « Que doit-on aux générations futures? » Liberté en ce sens que la VERITE libère (et si mon exposition à la poussière des champs m’a exposé, je vais m’empiffrer sans arrêter la gonflette: ça pourrait être amusant). L’égalité pour ne plus aimer, comme mon chien, sa propre laisse. La fraternité parce c’est l’intérêt général d’une génération, et, comme y insiste Monsieur Jacques Attali, l’intérêt général des générations, actuelles, futures, voire passées. Mais ces exigences doivent être repensées à l’aune de nos expériences. * « Liberté. c’est un de ces détestables mots qui ont plus de valeur que de sens ; qui chantent plus qu’ils ne parlent ; qui demandent plus qu’ils ne répondent ; de ces mots qui ont fait tous les métiers, et desquels la mémoire est barbouillée de Théologie, de Métaphysique, de Morale et de Politique ; mots très bons pour la controverse, la dialectique, l’éloquence ; aussi propres aux analyses illusoires et aux subtilités infinies qu’aux fins de phrases qui déchaînent le tonnerre. » (Paul Valéry) http://www. dictionnaire-citation. com/view. php? ItemID=26 Peut-être aussi sortir de la vulgate, religieuse, économique, et de la vulgarisation: – scientifique qui donne aux crétins (j’en suis dans trop de domaines, mais je sais que ça devrait me forcer à la modestie); & # 8211; politique (même remarque, plus nuancée): Casapound par exemple, ou le Front de Gauche, ou le Front de droite; - historique (hilarité d’entendre un nationaliste se tromper sur un épisode qu’il qualifie pourtant de central dans l’histoire de France). * Egalité, pourquoi ne pas se contenter de « la loi est la même pour tous » (la legge è uguale per tutti): ça éviterait peut-être un paquet de. onneries, quoi que… on peut faire confiance aux hommes de loi et aux experts (relaxe de la CPRI sur tchernobyl) pour pervertir cette égalité qui est si simple pour un élève de troisième. * Fraternité, peut-être pour faire la … nique au Faterland des (cousins) germains, à remplacer par filiation « si et seulement si » affiliation: pas d’adoption qui rompe un lien naturel ou acquis. . Que doit-on aux générations futures? De protéger leur génome, de ne pas laisser Monsanto, Pioneer, BASF ou autres les breveter, les concevoir en laboratoires, les traire de leurs maigres revenus, les soustraire aux principes de réalité et de plaisir. D’exiger de General Electric, « designer » de Fukushima, d’accélérer l’énergie verte. De missionner des huissiers aux fins de procéder à une saisie-attribution sur les comptes de la Federal Reserve Bank (« inversion » « angélique ». ).


Et les protéger des pervers de toutes sortes: des petits menssonges qui dépassent les nécesités de la politesse, aux énormes mensonges colportés par les médias les plus fréquentés ou chuchotés par des ratés incultes sur des sites parfois loufoques. Et monter des chaînes d’informations vraiment sérieuses. Et exiger la vigilance du peuple pour le peuple, mais je n’ai pas plus la recette que les générations précédentes, surtout si l’ingrédient principal est le courage.


25 mai 2013 14 h 00 min


24 mai 2013 21 h 08 min


C’est une question philosophique que nous pose JA. Il aurait pu poser la question en ces termes. » Que deviendra la conscience des hommes lorsqu’ils auront disparu. » Je passe sur sa narration morbide de l’extinction lente et progressive… Mais alors. si les hommes disparaissent. que deviendra la pensée. Quelles traces resteront de la mémoire des hommes après eux? Quel anachronisme vivant sera capable de décrire et comprendre la singularité humaine ? Cette angoisse est légitime. Gardons nous de nous dit il.


24 mai 2013 12 h 38 min


Allô, non mais allô quoi! N’est pas Verlaine qui veut mais quand même… Nabila… pour justifier Goethe — « l’éternel féminin nous mène plus haut ». Raison inaudible, coeur aux abonnés absents, joli coffre mais en si(mi)licon(n)e. Etat de droit dont les lois sont incompréhensibles; simplification du droit à la gueule du client(él(it)isme), pardon en fonction du projet du copain; Principe de précaution pousé à l’extrême sauf pour le nucléaire, les poisons plus chimiques, les banquiers centraux que d’aucuns comparent à Madoff, ou les gros promoteurs (préfets laissant passer — sur ordre du sommet de sa hiérarchie, c’est un préfet qui en a témoigné devant une commission parlementaire si je me rappelle bien — de très très grosses illégalités. cf Xynthia); Relégitimation des racines familiales et ethniques mais gestation pour autrui–celui-qui-a-les-moyens-bien-sûr — industrialisée (on dirait GPAO: Gest(at)ion de Production pour Autrui d’Orphelins). Liberté artistique quasi-absolue pour les jeux vidéo archi-violents mais règne du politiquement correct. « Tradition » pluridécennale de tabassage de manifestants par des compagnies républicaines de liberté-égalité-fraternité aimante mais présomption d’innocence pour les richards, par exemple les hommes et femmes politiques, souvent « innocentés » en raison d’un des nombreux vices de procédure invoqués par des cabinets d’avocats pléthoriques et hors de prix, à tel point que pour s’offrir leurs services il vaut mieux avoir détourné des fonds publics… je plaisante bien sûr. . Mais comment peut-on parler d’enfer tout de même? Y aurait-il une connotation morale (oui au moins en ce qu’il y a appel à l’altruisme)? La France aurait pratiquement épuisé ses capacités d’indulgence http://www. lexpress. fr/actualite/politique/jacques-attali-alors-la-revolution-pourra-commencer-en-france_1250852.html (avec en prime un commentaire d’un certain Brunoar…)


24 mai 2013 13 h 03 min


@a1mot. Jacques Attali s’est spécialisé dans l’annonce des catastrophes et dans l’énumération sans fin de recettes simples, y fô ya ka, ce que Machin doit dire à Machine, les 10 décisions à prendre pour ceci, les 20 propositions pour cela, les 350 propositions pour relancer la croissance, j’en ai oublié … Dans le même temps, il fustige, mais avec des mots en apparence délicats, la populace qui décidément ne comprend pas qu’elle doit faire des sacrifices IN-DIS-PEN-SA-BLES en tout pour s’adapter à la « réalité du monde », du monde tel qu’on l’impose à cette populace, notamment en trahissant régulièrement les engagements électoraux. . Mais en fait Jacques Attali, conseiller professionnel des uns et des autres, de gauche comme de droite, ne souhaite qu’une chose. faire survivre ce système sans le modifier. Il rêve d’un gouvernement de « sages » qui prenne des décisions loin de la foule et de sa démocratie, c’est pourquoi malgré l’accumulation des échecs il réclame toujours plus d’Europe, plus de croissance, plus de population, plus de mondialisation sans contreparties ni équilibres négociés. . Jamais de réflexion sur le système lui-même. sur le pouvoir des « prêteurs » par rapport aux banques centrales, sur la perte de pouvoir des états, sur cette évolution des sociétés toujours orientées vers le moins, sur la pollution généralisée des terres, de l’air et de l’eau, sur l’urbanisation sans limite, sur la sur-exploitation des ressources naturelles, sur la raréfaction prévue et déjà constatée des ressources minérales, sur la nature même de cette société où seules les relations marchandes semblent avoir sens, sur la disparition dans les faits de la démocratie et de l’état de droit … . Jacques Attali, qui refuse méthodiquement tout poste de responsabilité publique officielle (autre que conseiller dans l’ombre), et surtout tout poste élu, fait de la prospective en regardant dans son rétroviseur. . C’est dommage, car s’il s’engageait réellement, il pourrait avoir un impact autrement plus important que ce qui n’est qu’une simple exposition médiatique. Cela ne m’empêche pas de le lire et de l’écouter, et de le respecter, mais plus comme un mécano que comme un concepteur.


24 mai 2013 15 h 46 min


23 mai 2013 12 h 11 min


Justement, devons-nous laisser aux générations futures les institutions de la Ve République qui ont fait la preuve de leur cynisme et de leur inefficacité, ou ne devrions-nous pas en inventer d’autres plus intelligentes et morales, avec une Assemblée nationale représentant la nation assemblée, exprimant la volonté générale dans la loi, des ministres responsables, et un président qui serait une véritable autorité indépendante « assurant par son arbitrage le fonctionnement régulier des pouvoirs publics »?


23 mai 2013 11 h 13 min


J’aurais voulu commenter l’édito comme l’a déjà fait Johann Wolfgang von Goethe… « Quoi que tu rêves d’entreprendre, commence-le. L’audace a du génie, du pouvoir, de la magie. » http://www. evene. fr/citations/johann-wolfgang-von-goethe? page=5 « Traitez les gens comme s’ils étaient ce qu’ils devraient être, et vous les aiderez ainsi à devenir ce qu’ils peuvent être. » « Le public exige d’être traité comme les femmes auxquelles il ne faut surtout rien dire que ce qu’il leur plaît d’entendre. » « Ce que vous avez hérité de vos ancêtres, il faut le mériter par vous-même autrement, ce ne sera jamais à vous. » « Peu d’hommes veulent devenir quelqu’un, tous veulent l’être déjà. » « Le meilleur moyen de fuir le monde est l’art, et c’est aussi le meilleur moyen de le pénétrer. » « Au fond, nous sommes tous des êtres collectifs. Tous nous devons recevoir et apprendre autant de ceux qui étaient avant nous que de nos contemporains. » « Quoi que l’homme entreprenne et fasse, l’individu ne se suffit pas, la société reste le suprême besoin de tout homme de valeur. » « On ne peut jamais se débarrasser de ce qui fait partie de nous-mêmes, même si on le rejette. Diccionarios de idiomas


22 mai 2013 19 h 12 min


Fidèle à elle même, l’Union Européenne a su prendre de courageuses décisions pour assurer l’avenir des générations futures : – Le Monde : « Evasion fiscale. l’Union européenne repousse un éventuel accord à plus tard Le Monde. fr avec AFP et Reuters | 22.05.2013 à 16h02 • Mis à jour le 22.05.2013 à 18h47 – François Hollande et Angela Merkel lors du sommet européen du 22 mai à Bruxelles. & # 8211; A l’issue d’un sommet européen consacré à la lutte contre la fraude fiscale, mercredi 22 mai, François Hollande a assuré que « ceux qui pensaient échapper à l’impôt en se réfugiant dans des paradis fiscaux doivent comprendre que le temps de l’impunité est terminé ». & # 8211; Si le chef de l’Etat a dit qu’il n’accepterait pas de conditionner l’échange d’informations bancaires de particuliers à des pratiques similaires de la part de pays tiers, il a reconnu que le Luxembourg et l’Autriche, les deux pays qui refusent de lever le secret bancaire, n’ont pas changé de position et « maintiennent leurs exigences pour l’instant ». & # 8211; Pour autant, il a indiqué que l’Autriche comme le Luxembourg avaient approuvé le communique final du conseil, qui prévoit que, dès le mois de juin, l’Union européenne « fera en sorte de favoriser les échanges automatiques d’informations » et négociera ensuite avec les pays tiers concernés avant d’adopter une directive sur l’épargne à la fin de l’année. Un accord sur l’échange automatique d’informations est attendu « avant la fin de l’année », a confirmé le président du Conseil de l’Union europénne, Herman Van Rompuy. «


22 mai 2013 19 h 46 min


Mardi 21 mai 2013 :


Chypre. la chute du PIB en 2013 pourrait être à deux chiffres.


Le ministre chypriote des Finances, Haris Georgiades, a reconnu mardi que la chute du PIB de l’île méditerranéenne pourrait être à deux chiffres cette année en raison des mesures d’austérité adoptées dans le cadre du plan de sauvetage européen.


«Oui, elle pourrait être à deux chiffres», a-t-il déclaré à un groupe de journalistes de Lituanie.


Mercredi 22 mai 2013 :


La banque centrale chypriote signale des risques « substantiels ».


« L’économie chypriote continue à courir des risques substantiels, et la récession annoncée pour le pays pourrait être plus grave que prévu », a estimé mercredi Panicos Demetriades, gouverneur de la banque centrale.


Selon lui, Chypre, qui a obtenu en mars un plan d’aide de dix milliards d’euros de l’Union européenne (UE) et du Fonds monétaire international (FMI), fait face à des risques « inhabituellement élevés » au niveau macroéconomique et sur son secteur bancaire.


« La récession pourrait être plus grave que prévu avec un impact négatif sur les finances publiques, y compris la dette souveraine », a estimé Panicos Demetriades dans un discours préparé pour une conférence à Nicosie et qui a été lu par un responsable de la banque centrale qui le représentait.


Le produit intérieur brut (PIB) de Chypre devrait se contracter de 8,7% en 2013.


Le gouverneur de la banque centrale a souligné les risques consécutifs aux pertes imposées aux plus gros déposants des deux principales banques du pays, dans le cadre du plan d’aide qui prévoit également un mécanisme de contrôle des capitaux.


Chypre a dû accepter de démanteler Laiki, sa deuxième banque, et de restructurer la première, Bank of Cyprus, en imposant des pertes aux clients détenant plus de 100.000 euros, dont bon nombre sont de nationalité russe.


Le FMI a lui-même fait état de risques inhabituellement élevés la semaine dernière, et a jugé que le pays ne pouvait pas retarder la mise en oeuvre de mesures d’austérité.


22 mai 2013 18 h 01 min


Bel édito. Cruel mais beau. Il semble d´abord invraisemblable que, par un exemple absurde, J. Attali doive appeller l´égoïsme au secours de l´altruisme, et c´est pourtant là que réside le fondement de la conscience éveillée, dans l´évidence que nous formons un tout indissociable, et que hors les autres il n´y a point de salut, seulement « l´enfer ». Et pourtant, l´expression « générations futures » respire une fois de plus le va-et-vient stérile et épuisant entre bonne et mauvaise conscience, le futur toujours bien commode pour tout renvoyer aux calendes grecques, et le pluriel laissant entendre qu´il n´y a pas urgence, quel insensé irait donc se préoccuper du sort de ses arrières arrières petits-enfants ? Ne nous voilons pas la face, les générations futures ce sont nos enfants, et peut-être bien nous-mêmes. Que « leur » devons-nous donc, que « nous » devons-nous donc, qui soit si gênant pour ètre ainsi sans cesse différé ? Probablement ces deux piliers de la conscience que sont l´exigence personnelle et la valeur de l´exemple, et qui résultent de l´observation incessante de soi-même, puis, ensuite seulement, des autres. L´exigence personnelle dans le sens de s´efforcer sans cesse pour s´améliorer, ou même seulement devenir moins mauvais, et la valeur de l´exemple dans la mesure où les beaux discours ne servent à rien s´il ne sont pas retranscrits dans nos moindres actes, dans la pleine conscience que tout ce que nous pensons et faisons influence quotidiennement le destin de l´humanité toute entière. Le bon Coluche disait que des tas de gens avaient des enfants faute de pouvoir avoir un chien, et il est vrai que les enfants ont ceci de commun avec les animaux « de compagnie », « domestiques », « domestiqués », de fonctionner à l´énergie et aux vibrations que nous dégageons, constituant en celà le plus parfait miroir de nos turpitudes. Nous pouvons toujours nous mentir, mais ils sont impossibles à tromper.


22 mai 2013 18 h 54 min


@ollivier. Les enfants. Comme il est tentant de neutraliser ces intransigeants témoins en les rendant aussi cons que nous le sommes, et comme il est tentant de leur faire payer le prix de notre jeunesse envolée, de nos illusions perdues, de ce que nous aurions pu être et de ce que nous ne serons jamais, en leur rendant, la vie et le monde aussi moches et insupportables qu´ils nous sont devenus sous les assauts sans pitié de la vieillesse. En vérité je vous le dis, mes bons amis, peu importe en effet les « générations futures », seule compte la « génération du futur », la nôtre, celle du présent, celle qui saura aujourd´hui, maintenant, tout de suite, ouvrir les yeux, se regarder sans complaisance, corriger sans tarder tout ce qui doit l´être, pour incarner à nouveau une génération « porteuse d´avenir ».


22 mai 2013 16 h 05 min


En un mot, ECOLOGISONS nos pratiques, aussi bien sur un plan productif que sur un plan social. Aménageons une société inclusive riche en places, un écosystème social faisant une place à chacun.


22 mai 2013 14 h 37 min


Mais produire en France permet de distribuer des salaires, et donc de pouvoir s’occuper dignement de nos enfants … Je sais. je suis un être trop simple


22 mai 2013 11 h 32 min


@patrice. « Nous sommes redevables à nos aïeux de ce que nous leur sommes supérieurs », déclarait un Montesquieu ou un auteur de cette trempe. Forcément, après l’hubris, l’hybris, les hybrides et autres: « Et sur le piédestal il y a ces mots : ___ »Mon nom est Ozymandias, Roi des Rois. ___ Contemplez mes œuvres, Ô Puissant(s), et désespérez. » . À côté, rien ne demeure. Autour des ruines De cette colossale épave, infinis et nus, Les sables monotones et solitaires s’étendent au loin. » . Je vais essayer de ne pas trop radoter sur la tradition lettres. tice. ac-orleans-tours. fr/php5/coin_eleve/etymon/hist/tradi. htm . Comme les musiciens, et les livres (plus ou moins bons et stupides, affectionnés par Umberto Eco) qui conversent à travers les siècles, la modernité devrait être de trouver le mode d’interprétation de la partition suivante, avec ses ajouts, ses innovations, sa part de critique et d’ingratitude entre générations mais aussi, par une étonnante synthèse dont l’ironie de l’histoire nous assène les traits d’humour, une fidélité insoupçonnable. . Sur l’écologie, se renseigner sur les constructions traditionnelles parfaitement intégrées à l’économie locale, dont elles participaient très significativement; comparer avec toutes les pollutions induites en aval et en amont de « l’acte de construire. » Sur le mode de vie — chacun sa chacune–, on peut tout de même penser à André Gide, qui reconnaissait que la liberté réside dans l’acceptation du devoir. Symphonie pastorale ou monde effrayant à la Carmina Burana? . Pour (ré)compenser le temps passé à la lecture de mes digressions, je partage avec vous une éminente revue sur la famille sous l’angle juridique. http://pvsamplersla5.immanens. com/fr/pvpage2.asp? puc=4909&nu=201305&skin=spl_kndpub&pa=1?utm_source=LTV&utm_medium=e-mail&utm_campaign=AJFamille-mai2013


22 mai 2013 8 h 53 min


Moi, je pense aux générations futures. je suis pour l’énergie nucléaire – ARTE : « Centrales nucléaires, démantèlement impossible ? & # 8211; De la France aux États-Unis en passant par l’Allemagne, les pays qui ont misé sur l’énergie nucléaire se trouvent aujourd’hui confrontés à un nouveau défi. le démantèlement de leurs centrales vieillissantes ou définitivement mises à l’arrêt. Voici quarante ans, leurs concepteurs n’avaient pas prévu que, devenus trop vieux et donc dangereux, ces réacteurs devraient être un jour démontés, et qu’il faudrait stocker leurs déchets hautement radioactifs. Si les opérateurs et les autorités de la sûreté nucléaire assurent pouvoir maîtriser ce processus de démantèlement, la réalité est toute autre. & # 8211; (France, 2013, 68mn) ARTE F – Date de première diffusion. Hier, 20h52 – Date(s) de rediffusion. Samedi, 25 mai 2013, 12h30 Jeudi, 6 juin 2013, 09h00″ & # 8211; Centrales nucléaires. le démantèlement impossible http://videos. arte. tv/fr/videos/centrales-nucleaires-demantelement-impossible–7504536.html


21 mai 2013 23 h 52 min


22 mai 2013 0 h 00 min


Mardi 21 mai 2013 :


Les eurosceptiques britanniques sèment la panique chez les conservateurs.


Un récent sondage donne l’UKIP de Nigel Farage à deux points des Tories. L’irrésistible ascension des eurosceptiques change le jeu politique britannique.


Jusqu’où iront les eurosceptiques britanniques. Après leur raz-de-marée aux élections locales du 2 mai où le parti pour l’indépendance du Royaume-Uni (UKIP) de Nigel Farage avait obtenu jusqu’à un quart des voix dans certaines régions, un sondage de l’institut Survation révèle que l’UKIP talonnerait, en cas d’élections générales, les conservateurs avec 22 % des voix, contre 24 % au parti du premier ministre David Cameron.


Alors que les Tories perdent 5 points depuis le dernier sondage du 1er mai, l’UKIP progresse de 6 points.


Le Labour glanerait 35 % des voix, les libéraux-démocrates, actuellement partenaires de coalition des conservateurs, 11 %.


21 mai 2013 21 h 30 min


logique, non. « Baby Blues in Europe as Birth Rate Declines Published: Tuesday, 21 May 2013 | 1:55 AM ET By: Holly Ellyatt, Assistant News Editor, CNBC. com – The latest report from Europe’s main statistics agency suggests that the European financial crisis has had an impact on birth rates across the continent since 2008, data supported by evidence from European demographic experts and a U. K.-wide parenting forum. & # 8211; The report entitled « Towards a ‘Baby Recession’ in Europe? » carried out by Eurostat, a statistical body of the European Commission, investigated fertility trends in 31 European countries since the start of the region’s economic crisis in 2008 and found a correlation between the recession and falling European birth rates across the majority of EU countries. & # 8211; « In 2008, several European countries entered a period of economic crisis, usually featuring a fall in gross domestic product(GDP). From the start of the recession, the total fertility rate started to decline across Europe, » Eurostat senior statistician Giampaolo Lanzieri wrote in his report. & # 8211; Between 2008 and 2011, the total number of live births fell by 3.5 percent, from 5.6 to 5.4 million, and the number of countries which recorded a fall – compared to the previous year of 2007 – grew from one country to 26 countries out of 31. – « Decreases in fertility became a common feature in Europe with a time lag. The peak of the crisis (in terms of geographic reach) in 2009 was accompanied by stagnation of the total fertility rate in several countries, followed by a distinct fall, » Lanzieri said. The European crisis – with its impact on living costs, wages, employment and housing – is having a direct and major impact on family planning. & # 8211; « A recession can influence fertility in various ways, although its effect may be softened by government interventions. Apart from the direct impact of the crisis at individual level, the economic uncertainty that can spread in periods of hardship may influence fertility, » Lanzieri said. & # 8211; « From this point of view, the duration of a crisis may play an important role and, in some countries, the duration and the depth of the current recession are unprecedented. » & # 8211; A birth rate of at least 2.1 children per woman is generally required to sustain the population of a developed country. The European average in 2011 of 1.58 could have a serious impact if it continues as Europeans live longer and hope to rely on a younger workforce. & # 8211; Parental Pressures – Justine Roberts, chief executive and founder of Mumsnet, the U. K.’s biggest online forum for parents and prospective parents, told CNBC that anyone thinking of starting a family or having more children was under increased pressure. & # 8211; « Faced with high and increasing childcare costs, stagnant wages, rising food prices and, for many, the loss of tax credits and child benefit, many parents are feeling under real financial pressure. Our forums are littered with users seeking advice on how to survive on dwindling budgets and how to make returning to work financially viable after maternity leave, » she told CNBC. & # 8211; « Prospective parents are very aware of the huge impact having a baby can have on their lives, both financial and social, and understandably people want to get their ducks in a row to ensure they can afford to have a baby, » she added. (…) – http://www. cnbc. com/id/100752786


21 mai 2013 20 h 47 min


22 mai 2013 7 h 04 min


@sylvie. Dans cet article, Jacques Attali déclare en toute modestie. « On ne peut pas dire qu’il ne savait pas quoi faire puisqu’une commission bipartisane, sous ma présidence, en a établi une longue liste. la réforme de l’Etat, de la fiscalité, du logement, de la formation professionnelle, de l’école, des collectivités territoriales, des professions réglementées. Aucune de ces réformes n’a même commencé, sinon, timidement, » & # 8211; (dans un passé récent, il avait déclaré que 70 % de ses propositions avaient été mises en oeuvre … ). & # 8211; La solution est pourtant simple. Attali devient autre chose qu’un rentier du blabla ; il se présente aux élections (présidentielles bien sur) et prends ses responsabilités. Simple non ?


22 mai 2013 9 h 50 min


@raymond75 : « Il y a des choses que je ne dis a Personne Alors … Louis ARAGON Recueil. « Le Fou d’Elsa » & # 8211; Il y a des choses que je ne dis a Personne Alors Elles ne font de mal à personne Mais Le malheur c’est Que moi Le malheur le malheur c’est Que moi ces choses je les sais – Il y a des choses qui me rongent La nuit Par exemple des choses comme Comment dire comment des choses comme des songes Et le malheur c’est que ce ne sont pas du tout des songes – Il y a des choses qui me sont tout à fait Mais tout à fait insupportables même si Je n’en dis rien même si je n’en Dis rien comprenez comprenez moi bien – Alors ça vous parfois ça vous étouffe Regardez regardez moi bien Regardez ma bouche Qui s’ouvre et ferme et ne dit rien – Penser seulement d’autre chose Songer à voix haute et de moi Mots sortent de quoi je m’étonne Qui ne font de mal à personne – Au lieu de quoi j’ai peur de moi De cette chose en moi qui parle – Je sais bien qu’il ne le faut pas Mais que voulez-vous que j’y fasse Ma bouche s’ouvre et l’âme est là Qui palpite oiseau sur ma lèvre – O tout ce que je ne dis pas Ce que je ne dis à personne Le malheur c’est que cela sonne Et cogne obstinément en moi Le malheur c’est que c’est en moi Même si n’en sait rien personne Non laissez moi non laissez moi Parfois je me le dis parfois Il vaut mieux parler que se taire – Et puis je sens se dessécher Ces mots de moi dans ma salive C’est là le malheur pas le mien Le malheur qui nous est commun Épouvantes des autres hommes Et qui donc t’eut donné la main Étant donné ce que nous sommes – Pour peu pour peu que tu l’aies dit Cela qui ne peut prendre forme Cela qui t’habite et prend forme Tout au moins qui est sur le point Qu’écrase ton poing Et les gens Que voulez-vous dire Tu te sens comme tu te sens Bête en face des gens Qu’étais-je Qu’étais-je à dire Ah oui peut-être Qu’il fait beau qu’il va pleuvoir qu’il faut qu’on aille Où donc Même cela c’est trop Et je les garde dans les dents Ces mots de peur qu’ils signifient – Ne me regardez pas dedans Qu’il fait beau cela vous suffit Je peux bien dire qu’il fait beau Même s’il pleut sur mon visage Croire au soleil quand tombe l’eau Les mots dans moi meurent si fort Qui si fortement me meurtrissent Les mots que je ne forme pas Est-ce leur mort en moi qui mord – Le malheur c’est savoir de quoi Je ne parle pas à la fois Et de quoi cependant je parle – C’est en nous qu’il nous faut nous taire. »


21 mai 2013 18 h 53 min


Ouias. Moi je suis à fond avec les propositions de Msieur Jacques Attali. d’abord c’est une tête, c’est LE cerveau, il pense à des choses auxquelles aucun d’entre nous n’a jamais pensé. Penser à laisser à nos enfants un monde meilleurs que le notre, c’est vachement nouveau et foutrement bouleversant ; moi ça me les prend, c’est intense. & # 8211; Tiens, moi je suis à fond pour l’énergie nucléaire. elle est plus propre que propre, pas de CO², pas de bruit, rien. Bien sur on va laisser des cadeaux à nos arrières arrières arrières etc … petits enfants, pendant des milliers et même des centaines de milliers d’années, ce que jamais l’humanité n’avais réussi à faire ; et bien nous on va le faire, et dans 575 739 ans on pensera à nous, et on nous remerciera pour cela. & # 8211; Je suis aussi pour un monde plus juste et plus solidaire. continuons à développer un modèle social et économique qui a le Bangladesh comme modèle et comme cible ; nous avons encore beaucoup de travail à faire, mais lentement mais surement, nous nous en rapprochons, et alors tous les hommes et les femmes seront frères et soeurs. & # 8211; Continuons à encourager la prolifération à l’infini des petits pavillons en carton pâte bétonné qui remplacent nos ignobles champs dégueulasses par des rocades, des ZAC, des ZUP et des ZORGLUB créatrices de vraie valeur ajoutée. & # 8211; Continuons de démolir le système social issu de la Libération. Allo, Allo. tu vis en 2013 et tu fais référence à 1944, Allo, mais tu vis où. Le Bangladesh qu’on te dis. & # 8211; Et puis y en a mare de tous ces fainéants assistés. les 5 000 000 de familles touchées par le chômage, les centaines de milliers de retraités qui passent leur temps aux Séchelles avec les 1 000 Euros mensuels qu’ils volent aux courageux travailleurs, tous ces parasites qui prétendent se faire soigner alors qu’ils n’ont pas un rond pour payer les médecins et leurs laboratoires, ces fainéants de jeunes qui sont 25 % à ne rien foutre et à se plaindre, comme les vieillards de plus de 50 ans qui n’ont même pas le courage de se suicider. Dégueulasse ! & # 8211; Ce n’est quand même pas de la faute de nos élus, de leurs géniaux conseillers et de leurs chroniqueurs couchés si la populace les a obligé à accumuler des montagnes de dettes. Mais heureusement; eux aussi ils pensent aux générations futures. en détruisant méthodiquement les services publics, en privatisant la médecine, en tolérant la mal-bouffe (bientôt américanisée), en mettant en place des systèmes protégés du peuple où tout oppose tout le monde à tous les autres, en développant une mondialisation qui ne fait qu’exploiter les différences de natures sociales et juridiques entre pays, en développant un monde où seule la transaction commerciale à une valeur pour l’humanité. & # 8211; Oui Monsieur Attali, je sais que vous avez le soucis des générations futures, car vous êtes totalement opposé au système …


21 mai 2013 16 h 38 min


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